Al Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University (IMSU) College of Economics and Administrative Sciences Department of Finance and Investment Fin101: Principles of Finance & Investments Level 4: All branches Investment Decisions under Certainty Problem 1 Suppose your firm is considering investing in a project with the cash flows shown below, that the required rate of return on projects of this risk class is 11%, and that the maximum allowable payback and discounted payback statistics for your company are 3 and 3.5 years, respectively. Time Cash Flow 0 -$235,000 1 2 3 4 5 $65,800 $84,000 $141,000 $122,000 $81,200 1- Use the payback decision rule to evaluate this project; should it be accepted or rejected? 2- Use the discounted payback decision rule to evaluate this project; should it be accepted or rejected? 3- Use the IRR decision rule to evaluate this project; should it be accepted or rejected? 4- Use the MIRR decision rule to evaluate this project; should it be accepted or rejected? 5- Use the Net Present Value (NPV) decision rule to evaluate this project; should it be accepted or rejected? 6- Use the Profitability Index (PI) decision rule to evaluate this project; should it be accepted or rejected? Problem 2 Consider the following abbreviated financial statements for a proposed investment: Year Gross Book Value Accumulated Dep. Net Book Value Sales Costs Depreciation Taxes (50%) Net Income 0 $160 $160 1 $160 40 $120 2 $160 80 $80 3 $160 120 $40 4 $160 160 $0 $95 33 40 $11 $11 $90 30 40 $10 $10 $97 25 40 $16 $16 $80 10 40 $15 $15 1- What is the average accounting return (AAR) for the proposed investment? 2- Calculate the Payback period (PB), Discounted Payback Period (DPB), Net present value (NPV), the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and the Profitability Index (PI) for the investment (the required rate of return on projects of this risk class is 10%). Problem 3 ALHILAL Inc. is considering two mutually exclusive projects with widely differing lives. The company's cost of capital is 12%. The project cash flows are summarized as follows: Cash flows CF0 CF1 CF2 CF3 CF4 CF5 CF6 CF7 CF8 CF9 Project A (25,000) 14,742 14,742 14,742 Project B (23,000) 6,641 6,641 6,641 6,641 6,641 6,641 6,641 6,641 6,641 1- Compare the projects by using NPV. 2- Compare the projects by using the replacement chain approach. 3- Compare the projects by using the EAA method. 4- Chose a project and justify your choice. Problem 4 You are considering an investment in two projects, A and B. both projects have an initial cash outlay of $50 000 and the projected cash flows are as follows: Year 1 2 3 4 5 Project A 20 000 25 000 30 000 35 000 40 000 Project B 35 000 30 000 25 000 20 000 15 000 Assuming that the cost of capital is 15%, the NPV and the IRR are presented as follows: NPV IRR Project A 45918.82 44.65% Project B 38449.71 50% 1- Create an NPV profile chart for projects A and B. 2- What is the exact crossover rate for these two projects? Decision Choice of project A Choice of project B Solutions (Problem1) 1- Cumulative cash flow will switch from negative and positive between years 2 and 3: Year Cash Flow Cumulative Cash Flow 0 -$235,000 -$235,000 1 $65,800 -$169,200 2 3 $84,000 $141,000 -$85,200 $55,800 4 $122,000 $177,800 5 $81,200 $259,000 $85, 200 2.6043 years so this project should be accepted. $141, 000 Specifically, PB 2 2- Cumulative PV of cash flow will switch from negative and positive between years 3 and 4: Year Cash Flow 0 -$235,000 Cash Flow PV -$235,000 Cum. Cash Flow PV -$235,000 1 $65,800 2 $84,000 3 $141,000 4 5 $122,000 $81,200 $65,800 $84, 000 $141, 000 $122, 000 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1 2 3 4 $59, 279.28 $68,176.28 $103, 097.98 $80, 365.18 -$175,721 -$107,544 -$4,446 $75,919 $4, 446 3.05 years , which is less than the maximum $80, 365.18 allowable discounted payback, so project should be accepted. Specifically, DPB 3 3- The IRR for this project will be the solution to: $235, 000 $65,800 $84, 000 $141, 000 $122, 000 $81, 200 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 1 IRR 1 IRR 1 IRR 1 IRR 1 IRR 1 IRR IRR .2879, or 28.79% Since IRR > i, this project should be accepted. 4- Cash flows will be moved as shown below: 0 Year Cash $235,000 Flow Future Value (If Positive) Sum of FV Modified $235,000 CFs 1 2 3 4 5 $65,800 $84,000 $141,000 $122,000 $81,200 $65,800 1.11 $99,889.03 4 $84, 000 1.11 $114,881 3 $141, 000 1.11 $173, 726.10 2 $122, 000 1.11 1 $135, 420 $81, 200 $605,116.14 $605,116.14 With this new set of modified cash flows, the MIRR is: 0 $235, 000 1 IRR 0 $605,116.14 1 IRR 5 IRR .2082, or 20.82% Since our MIRR decision statistic is greater than the 11 percent cost of capital, we would accept the project under the MIRR method. 5- NPV $235, 000 $65,800 1.11 1 $84, 000 1.11 2 $141, 000 1.11 3 $122, 000 1.11 4 $81, 200 1.11 5 $124,106.98 Since NPV > 0, the project should be accepted. 6- PI =1. 5281 Since PI > 0, the project should be accepted. Solutions (Problem 2) 1- The average net income is [($11 + $10 + $16 + $15)/4] = $13. The average book value is $80, so the AAR is ($13/$80) = .1625 = 16.25%. 2- Cash flows are $51, $50, $56, and $55, respectively over the four-year period. The initial investment is $160. NPV=7.33 PB=3.05 DPB=3.81 IRR=12.06% PI=1.046 Solutions (Problem 3) 1- NPV (A) = $10,407, NPV (B) = $12,385 Project B is preferred. 2- Chain project A to nine years: NPV (A) = $23,088, NPV(B)= $12,385 A chained to B's time horizon is the preferred option based on NPV. 3- Project A: EAA = $4,333 Project B: EAA = $2,324 Project A is preferred, because it has the larger EAA. 4- Project A is preferred on all counts except the original NPV calculation, and that disparity is due to the time horizon problem. Hence A is the best choice. Solutions (Problem 4) 1- NPV profile chart for projects A and B NPV Trend 120000 Project A 100000 Project B IRR Project A Crossover rate 60000 40000 IRR Project B 20000 0 -20000 Discount Rate 2- Crossover rate= 29.32% NPV SAR 80000