This version of the Melbourne Facts, November 2012 has been prepared for use with screen reader software. The PDF version also available at www.planmelbourne.vic.gov.au is recommended for general access. SECTION 1: MELBOURNE’S STORY Melbourne is regarded as the world’s most liveable city. Melbourne continues to be ranked as the World’s Most Liveable City and has been voted number one, two years running. We are also the 16th most globally competitive city in the world, demonstrating an ability to attract capital, businesses, talent and visitors. Image: Map of world’s most liveable cities We have achieved this through careful planning. 1837 Robert Hoddle designed the CBD’s Hoddle Grid. 1929 Melbourne’s first strategic plan. 1954 Plan led to the planning scheme. 1969 Melbourne Transportation Study identified the future freeway network for Melbourne, including the City Loop. 1971 Melbourne Metropolitan Board of Works plan introduced the green wedges. 1980 Metropolitan Board of Works Metropolitan Strategy sought to concentrate housing, transport, employment and community facilities at highly accessible points. 1994 Creating Prosperity: Victoria’s Capital City Policy laid the path for central city revitalisation. 2002 Melbourne 2030 introduced an Urban Growth Boundary. 2009 Delivering Melbourne’s Newest Sustainable Communities reserved land for the Regional Rail Link, Outer Metropolitan Ring (road and train corridor), and the land for grassland reserves in Melbourne’s west. Image: Images of previous planning policies front covers The new Metropolitan Planning Strategy will help identify and implement Melbourne’s next city shaping ideas. Melbourne is a fast growing city Melbourne continues to grow substantially faster than Sydney, with a growth rate in 2010-11 of 1.6%, to Sydney’s 1.2%. Over the past 50 years Melbourne’s population has doubled and over the next 30-40 years is expected to reach 6 million. Out of the top 10 most liveable cites, one is over 6 million and only three are over 2 million. As a city of 6 million we will face new challenges. Page 1 of 11 Challenge: What will and won’t we be able to do in a city of 6 million people? Image: Historical and Projected Population, Victoria, Melbourne SD and Regional Victoria, 1991-2051 Image: Growth in Population for Australian Cities As well as growing, our population is changing. The proportion of people aged over 65 is expected to double and people 85 years or over is expected to quadruple. As the population ages, there is projected to be a lower proportion of families with children and a higher proportion of lone person and couple-only households. Currently one-in-three Melbourne households is a family with children. By 2051 this is expected to decrease to one-in-four. As the average household size gradually decreases, the number of households is projected to exceed the rate of change in the population. It is anticipated over the next 30-40 yrs Melbourne may require 1 million more homes. Continuing current trends is unlikely to provide sufficient homes for these changes Challenge: What do we need to change to provide for a changing population? Image: Current and Projected Number of Persons by Household Type, Melbourne, 2011 and 2031 Image: Population by Age and Sex, Melbourne SD, 2010 and 2030 Our changing population will require a mix of homes at a range of prices. Diversity in communities is fostered through a mix of housing that suits different population groups at different stages of their lifecycle. Two factors have the potential to significantly impact on this type of diversity in local areas: affordability and a lack of dwelling choice. Housing Types Up until now about half of all new housing in Melbourne has been constructed in the established areas. Between 2004-2008 around 70% of homes built in the established areas were detached houses, villas or townhouses. In many suburbs traditional detached homes will have surplus bedrooms. The new residential zones provide a good starting point, however community feedback via councils will be critical. Housing Affordability Decreasing housing affordability is affecting some people’s housing location choice and their ability to age in place and maintain their social connections. Since 2000 the median house price has almost tripled, increasing from $190,000 to $500,000 in 2011 and the median weekly rent for a three bedroom home in Melbourne has increased from $190 per week to $340. Affordable opportunities for low to moderate income first home buyers and renters have become increasingly limited to Melbourne’s outer suburbs. Challenge: How can we encourage more diverse homes in the established areas? Image: Income required to purchase median house (Couple with 2 children) Image: Proportion of Different Dwelling Types by Region, 2011: Metropolitan Melbourne (occupied private dwellings) Page 2 of 11 Our changing population will need new jobs in a wider mix of locations. Employment densities and locations vary according to job type. The inner area of Melbourne is a key focus for the location of white collar employment, particularly the CBD and the inner to mid eastern suburbs. There are comparatively few white collar jobs in the outer suburbs and the western and northern suburbs. Blue collar jobs are associated with industrial areas in outer suburban locations, particularly Laverton North, Dandenong and Hume. These clusters of employment are major contributors to our productivity and global competitiveness. Challenge: How can we attract different kinds of employment to areas that are traditionally white or blue collar to provide more choice? Image: Location of Blue Collar Jobs by SLA, 2011 Image: Location of White Collar Jobs by SLA, 2011 Victoria is a compact state Victoria is Australia’s most compact mainland state. Almost three-quarters of Victoria’s population live in Greater Melbourne. Over 82% of Victoria’s population live within 100 kilometres of the Central City Nearly nine out of ten Victorians (89%) live within 150km. This compares with 79% of the population of New South Wales and 72% of the population of Queensland, living with 150km of the central business district of the state capital Image : graphic of population density in 100km and 150km ring …And Melbourne is Australia’s second most dense capital city. Melbourne is Australia’s second most dense capital city, with an average of 1,520 persons per square kilometre (p/sqkm) across the built up area. Sydney is 30% more dense, at 2,020 p/sqkm. Further afield, Melbourne’s density is comparable to Chicago or Vancouver, but lower than most European centres. Assuming Melbourne’s population growth over the next forty years is accommodated within the Urban Growth Boundary, density will increase to over 2,200 p/sqkm by 2051. In other words, by 2051, Melbourne will be more dense than Sydney is today. Image: Comparison of the density of people located in Melbourne and Sydney Page 3 of 11 The availability of jobs for local residents is a key driver of sustainability. Working locally is a key issue, however the majority of residents work in their local catchment, not in the inner area as many may think. Journey to work data shows that around 65% of people now travel to work in their own or neighbouring region. The key issue is that a large proportion of people use their car to access employment. Even very short trips under one kilometre in the outer suburbs are made by car. Around 90% of people in the outer areas and 40% of people in the inner areas drive to work. Challenge: How can we improve local connections to reduce car dependency for journey to work trips? Image: % of persons working in own or adjacent LGA, 2011 Image: Private Vehicle to Work Usage in Melbourne, 2011 Planning for growth should consider our work/life balance. The first of the baby boomers reached retirement age in 2011 and the demographic trend will last for around 20 to 30 years. In 2011, for every person over the age of 65 there were around five people of working age. By 2041 every older person will be matched by only three working aged people. This will create new pressures related to balancing work and caring responsibilities and we can no longer view social issues as separate from economic issues. Balancing Work and Caring – Case Study A large study conducted by the Centre for Work and Life across ten Australian outer and growth suburbs from 2006 to 2009 found the separation of residential areas from areas of employment meant some residents took lower skilled jobs closer to home in order to meet the family’s caring responsibilities. This particularly affected highly educated and skilled women. These pressures on families in balancing family responsibilities with distance to work are likely to increase as both the number of older persons and children and young people, increase in outer areas. Challenge: How can we support areas where ageing and caring will have a significant impact on people’s ability to work ? Image: Projected changes in number of children (age 0-17), Melbourne, 2011 to 2031 Image: Projected increases in people aged 65 and over, Melbourne, 2011 to 2031 Page 4 of 11 SECTION 2: Outcomes for the Metropolitan Planning Strategy. The Victorian State Government’s Ministerial Advisory Committee developed nine strategic principles to guide the development of Melbourne. Based on the principles, a Discussion Paper has been developed which explores the options for Melbourne’s future and identifies a number outcomes and directions for making them happen: What we want to achieve: A distinctive Melbourne Throughout its history Melbourne has responded to new challenges and opportunities by building on the best of its past, looking to the future and developing its own unique identity. A globally connected and competitive city Melbourne is inextricably linked to the global economy through trade, people and the flow of information and ideas. To remain competitive in the decades ahead, Melbourne needs to improve its productivity. Social and economic participation Social issues affect a person’s capacity to contribute to the economy and the community. If not addressed they will put a handbrake on productivity or impose direct costs on society such as increased health and welfare services. Strong communities Connection to family, friends and neighbours across generations is important to building strong communities and promoting wellbeing. We must reinforce the elements that create strong and caring local communities. Environmental resilience Melbourne needs to be environmentally resilient. We need to be able to respond to changing environmental and climate conditions and ensure development does not undermine natural values. What needs to change: A polycentric city linked to regional cities Idea 1: Growing the Central City as the anchor of a world city Idea 2: Building national employment and innovation clusters Idea 3: Unlocking capacity in established suburbs Idea 4: Providing a transport system for Melbourne’s future Idea 5: Strengthening the green edge to Melbourne Idea 6: Building a state of cities Idea 7: Extending Melbourne boulevards: a civic legacy Living locally – A ‘20 minute’ city Idea 8: Delivering jobs and services to outer area residents Idea 9: Providing diverse housing in the right location at a reasonable price Idea 10: Improving the environmental performance of suburbs Page 5 of 11 Making it happen: Infrastructure investment that supports city growth Idea 11: Using investment to transform places Idea 12: Moving to a place-based focus for programs Idea 13: Identifying a long-term framework for metropolitan infrastructure Leadership and partnership Idea 14: Developing partnerships and agreements Idea 15: Developing good governance structures and processes to deliver the Strategy Idea 16: Setting targets, measuring progress and publishing indicators. Planning for our future needs must not compromise our liveability and distinctiveness. Melbourne is one of the world’s great Victorian-era commercial cities. We have high quality public spaces, rich heritage, parks and gardens, an array of cultural institutions and an enviable calendar of national and international events. Through all its phases of development Melbourne has built on the best of the past while looking to the future, and has developed a special vibe and character of its own. Being a distinctive city creates a good setting for global competitiveness. Image: Open space in Melbourne. There is high level of access to open space in Melbourne with 93% of dwellings within 400 metres of some form of open space. Image: Melbourne has a tradition of conserving the valued heritage aspects of areas. SECTION 3: Ideas for the Future The ideas in the Discussion Paper highlight a number of opportunities the government can build on to maximise our assets and maintain Melbourne’s distinctiveness and liveability. Opportunities: REINFORCING THE CENTRAL CITY AS A WORLD CITY – by creating an arc of urban renewal around the Central City, extending from Fishermans Bend to Footscray. CREATING GLOBAL EMPLOYMENT CLUSTERS – by focusing investment on key employment and freight areas, such as Monash, the Airport and Parkville. BUILDING A STATE OF CITIES – by investing in regional cities CBDs and supporting transport links between and around centres, such as Geelong, Bendigo, Ballarat and Latrobe. DEVELOPING LOCAL SOLUTIONS FOR SUBURBAN PLACES – by utilising the established areas to encourage the right development in the right locations at the right price, ensuring local solutions for suburban areas. Page 6 of 11 CREATING OPPORTUNITIES AND CONNECTING COMMUNITIES – by improving transport connections, especially walking, cycling and local buses, to existing services. A LEAVING A LEGACY – by expanding the legacy of urban design through a new network of boulevards and maintaining a hard green edge to the urban area. MAKING IT HAPPEN – by exploring new funding models and partnerships for infrastructure delivery. Reinforcing the Central City as a world city. MAC Idea 1: Growing the Central City as the anchor of a world city. One of Melbourne’s competitive advantage is the amount of land available for redevelopment in strategic Central City locations, such as Fishermans Bend, E-Gate and the Arden Precinct. These urban renewal opportunities are at a size and scale not experienced in any other Australian city. This provides us with a unique opportunity to create a world class Central City with new transport connections, attractive neighbourhoods and employment centres. Work is already underway with the introduction of the Central City Zone and rezoning of 240 hectares in Fishermans Bend. Urban renewal plays a significant role in accommodating growth in Melbourne. In the period 2004 to 2010, a quarter of new dwellings built in the established areas were in urban renewal projects. Opportunity: Melbourne’s Central City urban renewal has the ability to influence long term views of other areas, such as Central Activities Areas, acting as a catalyst for similar urban renewal projects. Creating global employment clusters. MAC Idea 2: Building national employment and innovation clusters. One of Melbourne’s strengths is the number of suburban job clusters that are nationally significant places of economic activity and innovation. These areas provide an opportunity to use the economy as the organising element of the city. Expanding suburban job opportunities – The Monash-Clayton and Melbourne Airport precincts, along with the biosciences precinct in Parkville are globally significant employment and innovation clusters and have the potential to grow and service a broader area. Supporting a world class freight city – The establishment of the Western Intermodal Freight Terminal – a new interstate rail terminal in Melbourne’s west – will allow relocation of domestic intermodal freight handling from South Dynon and create a more efficient port. Planning for the Port of Hastings as an international container port, including planning for transport links such as the Western Port Highway, will also improve our freight handling abilities. Over the longer term the west is well suited to boost its freight and logistics role, with the Outer Metropolitan Ring transport corridor, Avalon Airport and potential port development reinforcing one another to deliver significant benefits. The Victorian Government is currently developing a long-term freight plan with a focus on how to efficiently move goods around Melbourne. Opportunity: In addition to Monash, the Airport and Parkville, Melbourne may have the potential to create other employment and innovation clusters such as in the West. Page 7 of 11 Image: Map of Melbourne and employment clusters Building a state of cities. MAC Idea 6: Building a state of cities. Metropolitan Melbourne is only one part of the settlement choices available in Victoria and we have an arc of regional cities, such as Geelong, Bendigo, Ballarat and Latrobe City. Previous planning has focused on connecting these centres to Melbourne and we benefit from strong road and rail linkages. We have the opportunity to further improve connections to Melbourne and the connections between regional cities and their surrounding communities – driving regional economies, attracting investment and providing lifestyle choices for our growing population. We also have the opportunity to invest in the CBDs of regional cities to attract more investment and people. Work is already underway with the Regional Growth Fund and Regional Growth Plans. Opportunity: Regional cities could provide an alternate solution to Victoria’s long-term population management, providing an alternate lifestyle choice. Image: Map of regional Victoria and commuting distance Developing local solutions for suburban places. MAC Idea 3: Unlocking capacity in established suburbs. MAC Idea 9: Providing diverse housing in the right location at a reasonable price. Neighbourhood character is important and areas with valued characteristics need to be protected. We need to find local solutions for suburban places, ensuring people have access to appropriate housing in the right location and at an affordable price. Up until now about half of all new housing in Melbourne has been constructed in the established areas. Work by the Grattan Institute shows there are ‘shortages’ of semi-detached dwellings and apartments in middle and outer areas of Melbourne. We are beginning to see different types of homes being built in the established areas, however on average homes cost on $131,400 more to build in these locations than equivalent greenfield dwellings, principally due to higher construction costs. Challenge: How do we reduce the costs of developing homes in the established areas? Challenge: How can the new zones help encourage greater diversity in dwelling choice? Opportunity: The established areas of Melbourne may be able to provide well-located and more affordable homes for the changing population. Image: Distribution of housing types 2004-2008 Image: Costs of developing infill and Greenfield dwellings, Melbourne Connecting communities and creating opportunities. MAC Idea 4: Providing a transport system for Melbourne’s future. MAC Idea 8: Delivering jobs and services to outer area residents. Page 8 of 11 Meeting our daily needs within around 20 minutes travel is about ensuring areas are well serviced and have good transport connectivity, especially walking, cycling and local buses. One way to support living locally is by integrating transport and land use - moving people closer to transport services, and bringing transport services to people. There are opportunities to achieve these by focusing development around industrial areas near railways stations. Opportunity: Making the most of industrial land around rail corridors can create better access to jobs and services. Image: Example of Industrial Lands Around Rail Stations (Northern areas) Leaving a legacy. MAC Idea 5: Strengthening a green edge to Melbourne. MAC Idea 10: Improving the environmental performance of suburbs. While Melbourne has a’ hard edge’ planning boundary between urban and rural areas – the Urban Growth Boundary – this boundary is not always reflected in the character of non-urban areas. Melbourne can strengthen its ‘green wedge’ planning approach with a ‘green edge’. It should be obvious where Melbourne stops and rural areas begin. Opportunity: We need to consider if Melbourne’s footprint is sustainable in regards to access to jobs, housing costs and environmental impacts. Image: Melbourne’s strategic natural assets Leaving a legacy. MAC Idea 7: Extending Melbourne’s boulevards – a civic legacy Our ornate buildings, boulevards and high streets, expansive inner city parks and gardens and a vibrant street life contribute to our distinctiveness. There are opportunities to expand this legacy of urban design to our suburban areas, creating a new network of grand boulevards and greening the city. Image: Artist impression of boulevard Making it happen. Funding and Investment in long-term plans MAC Idea 11: Using investment to transform places. MAC Idea 12: Moving to a place-based focus for programs. MAC Idea 13: Identifying a long-term framework for metropolitan infrastructure. There is a clear desire to identify a comprehensive vision for the transport system, in a similar way to how the road plans in the 1960s identified a long-term vision. However, we can’t keep funding the way we have been and we need to explore new approaches. Possible funding mechanisms include: • development contribution changes • user pays • assets sales Page 9 of 11 • value capture. Opportunity: We need to explore new funding models and implementation plans with our partners and the community for infrastructure delivery. Image: Community infrastructure funding preferences Making it happen (cont’d). The Government has a range of committed and prioritised infrastructure projects, planning projects and policy reforms which seek to retain Melbourne’s high ranking in global surveys on the liveability of cities and enhance Melbourne’s productivity and adaptability to economic change through: • Identifying urban renewal projects in an expanded Central Melbourne • Statutory planning reform • Growth Corridor Plans • Freight policy development • City-shaping project prioritisation via the Infrastructure Australia submission process Image: Infrastructure Australia Priority Projects Making it happen (cont’d). Leadership, Partnerships and Monitoring MAC Idea 14: Developing partnerships and agreements. MAC Idea 15: Developing good governance structures and processes to deliver the Strategy. MAC Idea 16: Setting targets, measuring progress and publishing indicators. The COAG Reform Council listed the necessary ingredients for capital city planning. It stated ‘the way we undertake our strategic planning for cities needs to change.‘ Partnerships between Commonwealth and State Governments, State Government and local councils, public and private sectors, councils and their communities, are fundamental ingredients to achieve a positive future for Melbourne. Opportunity: We need to explore new partnerships and governance structures. Image: Graphic of the partners involved in planning Melbourne. SECTION 4: QUESTIONS Have your say. Thinking about the future raises many challenges and choices if Melburnians are to share the benefits of growth and development, as well as the responsibility for delivering these benefits to the metropolitan community. Page 10 of 11 The community and key stakeholders will be asked to consider the trends and ideas in the Discussion Paper and provide comments through meetings, submission and events. Comments close on 1 March, 2013. The Discussion Paper asks the community: Question 1 What do you think of the outcome principles? Question 2 What do you think is needed to achieve the outcome principles? Question 3 What are the key ingredients for success in achieving the vision of an expanded Central City? Question 4 What do you think of the idea of identifying and reinforcing employment and innovation clusters across Melbourne? Question 5 What is needed to support growth and development in regional cities? Question 6 What do you think of the idea of a ‘20 minute city’? Question 7 How can established suburbs accommodate the needs of changing populations and maintain what people value about their area? Question 8 How do we ensure a healthy and sustainable environment for future generations? Question 9 What do you think about the possible ways of funding infrastructure? Question 10 How can all levels of government, business and community work together to create the city you want? 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