Supporting Information Upgrading Lignocellulosic Products to Drop-In Biofuels Via Dehydrogenative Cross-Coupling and Hydrodeoxygenation Sequence Sanil Sreekumar, Madhesan Balakrishnan, Konstantinos Goulas, Gorkem Gunbas, Amit A. Gokhale, Lin Louie, Adam Grippo, Corinne D. Scown*, Alexis T. Bell* and F. Dean Toste* Energy Biosciences Institute, College of Chemistry and Energy Technologies Area, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, University of California, Berkeley, 94720. BP North America Inc. United States Reagents All the chemicals were purchased from Sigma Aldrich, Alfa Aesar, Eastman, or Strem Chemicals and used as received. Reaction analysis All the reactions were analyzed by gas chromatography using dodecane as internal standard. Gas chromatography analysis was performed on a Varian CP-3800 instrument with a FID detector and VF-5 MS column (5% phenyl and 95% methylpolysiloxane) using helium as the carrier gas. 1H-NMR and 13C-NMR were recorded on a Bruker AVB, AVQ-400 MHz NMR spectrometer in the indicated deuterated solvents. For 1H-NMR, CDCl3 was set to 7.26 ppm (CDCl3 singlet) and for 13C-NMR, CDCl3 and C6D6 were set to 77.16 ppm (CDCl3 center of triplet) and 128.06 ppm (C6D6 center of triplet) respectively. All values for 1H-NMR and 13 C-NMR chemical shifts for deuterated solvents were obtained from Cambridge Isotope Labs. Data are reported in the following order: chemical shift in ppm () (multiplicity, which are indicated by br (broadened), s (singlet), d (doublet), t (triplet), q (quartet), quint (quintet), m (multiplet)); assignment of 2nd order pattern, if applicable; coupling constants (J, Hz); integration. All 13 C-NMR 1 spectra were reported using the descriptor (o) and (e) referring to whether the peak is odd or even, respectively, and correlate to an attached proton test (APT) experiment. Representative procedure for Dehydrogenative Cross-Coupling In a 12 mL Q-tube containing a stir bar, calcined hydrotalcite (0.4 g) was charged. To the reaction mixture, butanol (0.074 g, 1 mmol), 2-furfural (0.192 g, 2 mmol), internal standard (dodecane, known amount) and toluene (1 mL) were sequentially added. The Qtube was sealed and the reaction mixture was stirred for 20 hours at 150 °C in a preheated metal block. The reaction mixture was cooled to room temperature, diluted with tetrahydrofuran and the GC analysis of the reaction mixture was carried out. Table S1. Olefination of Furfural and 1-Octanol Using paraffin solvents Entry Solvent Time Alcohol Base Selectivity Yield % 1 Nonane 20 octanol HT >99:1 65% 2 Tridecane 20 octanol HT >99:1 60% (E)-2-(furan-2-ylmethylene)-6-hydroxyhexanal (3j). 1 H NMR (CDCl3, 400 MHz) δ 9.45 (s, 1H), 7.61 (d, J=1.6 Hz, 1H), 6.95 (s, 1H), 6.10 (d, J=3.5 Hz, 1H), 6.55 (dd, J=3.5 Hz, J=1.8 Hz, 1H), 3.67 (t, J=6.4 Hz, 2H), 2.66 (t, J=7.8 Hz, 2H), 1.79 (br. s, 1H), 1.68-1.58 (m, 2H), 1.58-1.47 (m, 2H). C NMR (CDCl3, 100 MHz) δ 194.56 (o), 151.33 (e), 145.66 (o), 139.47 (e), 135.53 (o), 13 117.07 (o), 112.80 (o), 62.64 (e), 32.63 (e), 24.61 (e), 24.38 (e). ESI-HRMS calcd. for C13H23O2+: m/z 195.1016 ([M+H]+), found: m/z 195.1019 ([M+H]+). 2 (E)-3-(furan-2-ylmethylene)cyclopent-1-ene-1-carbaldehyde. 1 H NMR (CDCl3, 400 MHz) δ 9.88 (s, 1H), 7.47 (d, J=1.3 Hz, 1H), 7.14-7.07 (m, 1H), 6.67-6.59 (m, 1H), 6.48 (dd, J=3.3 Hz, J=1.8 Hz, 1H), 6.41 (d, J=3.4 Hz, 1H), 2.99-2.91 (m, 2H), 2.84-2.76 (m, 2H). C NMR (CDCl3, 100 MHz) δ 189.15 (o), 153.48 (e), 151.24 (o), 149.75 (e), 145.45 (e), 13 143.09 (o), 116.25 (o), 112.29 (o), 111.30 (o), 29.10 (e), 28.67 (e). ESI-HRMS calcd. for C13H23O2+: m/z 175.0754, ([M+H]+), found: m/z 175.0754 ([M+H]+). (E)-2-(furan-2-ylmethylene)tetradecanal (3k). 1 H NMR (CDCl3, 400 MHz) δ 9.43 (s, 1H), 7.59-7.56 (m, 1H), 6.91 (s, 1H), 6.73 (d, J=3.4 Hz, 1H), 6.55-6.51 (m, 1H), 2.60 (t, J=7.6 Hz, 2H), 1.47-1.13 (m, 20H), 0.85 (t, J=6.7 Hz, 3H); 13C NMR (CDCl3, 100 MHz) δ 194.33 (o), 151.42 (e), 145.36 (o), 140.06 (e), 135.11 (o), 116.50 (o), 112.68 (o), 32.00 (e), 29.96 (e), 29.76 (e), 29.75 (e), 29.73 (e), 29.67 (e), 29.52 (e), 29.44 (e), 28.38 (e), 24.91 (e), 22.76 (e), 14.19 (o). ESI-HRMS calcd. for C13H23O2+: m/z 291.2319 ([M+H]+), found: m/z 291.2326 ([M+H]+). Synthesis of 2wt% Pt/NbOPO4 A solution of chloroplatinic acid hexahydrate (0.16 g, 0.3 mmol) in nanopure water (2 mL) was wet impregnated on 3 g of NbOPO4 (supplied by CBMM, Araxá, Brazil). The catalyst was dried at 100 ⁰C overnight and then subjected to 3 reduction/calcination in the flow of hydrogen (50 mL/min) at 300 ⁰C for 4 h with a temperature ramp of 2 C /min. General procedure for hydrodeoxygenation: The hydrodeoxygenation reactions were performed in a 4560 Mini Parr reactor. To a solution of aldol adduct 3a (0.5 mmol, 0.103 g) in octane (8 mL) was added 2 wt% Pt/NbOPO4 (0.5 mol%, 0.024 g) and internal standard (undecane/dodecane, known amount) in a 25 mL Parr reactor. The reactor was then sealed and the dissolved gases in the solution were purged (pressurize/depressurize) with nitrogen at 500 psi (3 times) while stirring. The purging was repeated with hydrogen at 500 psi (3 times) before the reactor was charged with hydrogen (500 psi). Then the reactor was heated to 250 C and stirred for 4 h at the same temperature. The reactor was cooled to ambient temperature and depressurized. Aliquot was drawn from the reactor and GC analysis of the reaction mixture was carried out. Catalyst stability test (3b representative example) Reaction Conditions: Additional aldehyde 3b for subsequent cycle was added to the reaction mixture containing Pt/NbOPO4 (0.5 mol%). Catalyst stability test was carried out under H2 atmosphere (500 psi), 250 C, octane (8 mL), 4 hours internal standard (dodecane, known amount) was added. Yield of 5b-8b were determined using the response factor of alkanes by the GC-FID analysis of the crude sample. 4 Table S2. Recycling experiments for the Hydrodeoxygenation Reaction. Conversion Starting Material (%) 100 Cycle 1 5b (%) 32.6 6b (%) 13.3 Yields 7b (%) 11.7 8b (%) 20.1 Total (%) 77.7 Cycle 2 100 31.7 8.9 12.7 21.6 74.9 Cycle 3 100 28.2 8.9 14.4 18.5 70.0 5 (E)-2-(furan-2-ylmethylene)-6-hydroxyhexanal (3j). 6 (E)-3-(furan-2-ylmethylene)cyclopent-1-ene-1-carbaldehyde. 7 (E)-2-(furan-2-ylmethylene)tetradecanal (3k). 8 Life-cycle Assessment 9 We used life-cycle assessment (LCA) to quantify the net greenhouse gas (GHG) footprint of the fuel production scheme presented in our paper, varying the source of higher alcohols as a sensitivity analysis. The feedstock used for analysis was Brazilian sugarcane and conversion processes were modeled using a combination of existing chemical process models, proprietary models, and simplifying assumptions where necessary. Our model is run for a hypothetical facility that processes 5 million wet tonnes of sugarcane annually, although we assume inputs scale approximately linearly with size. Data sources for material and energy inputs as well as methodological choices are outlined here. Feedstock and cane milling We assume the Brazilian sugarcane feedstock is cultivated in the southern part of Brazil, in the states of São Paulo and Minas Gerais, where a large fraction of current sugarcane cultivation and ethanol production is concentrated. We have also selected this region because of the potential access to natural gas pipeline infrastructure, which is limited in Brazil but is crucial for H2 production required by our production scheme. Our crop input and yield data is largely drawn from national survey data reported in Seabra and Macedo (2011).1 Process data for cane million, including sugar and bagasse yield are also taken from Seabra et al. Table S3 shows the key data inputs. Biorefining Although the majority of biorefining inputs and outputs are drawn from either Seabra et al. or the scheme documented in our paper, some addition inputs such as lime input for flue gas desulfurization and sulfuric acid neutralization were calculated based on a combination of proprietary Aspen Plus models and models released by the National 10 Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL).2-3 The lime required for flue gas desulfurization is correlated with the quantity of sulfuric acid utilized during pretreatment, using the model documented in Humbird et al. (2011) as a base case.2 For wastewater treatment, we utilize overliming as consistent with Aden et al. (2002), although we choose to use CaCO3 as an input rather than hydrated lime.3 We assume that the quantity of lime required for neutralization of sulfuric acid is linearly correlated with the input quantity of sulfuric acid. Hydrogen production The most economical and technologically mature method for producing hydrogen is steam reforming of natural gas. In this case, the resulting fossil GHG emissions are estimated to be approximately 12 kg CO2e/kg H2 produced, with 25% of those emissions coming from energy use and fugitive methane during natural gas extraction, processing, and delivery, and the remaining 75% coming directly from the H2 production plant.4 Hydrogen can also be produced using renewable energy sources. A number of options exist, including gasification of herbaceous biomass, electrolysis of water using renewable electricity, aqueous-phase reforming of cane sugar, anaerobic digestion of sugars followed by gasification, and steam reforming of ethanol produced via fermentation of cane sugar. We selected steam reforming of ethanol because of its relative technical feasibility in the short term. According to Haryanto et al (2005)5, selectivity to H2 is 90% for steam reforming of ethanol. Table S3 provides yield details for both pathways to hydrogen production. 11 Petroleum-derived higher alcohol production LCA literature regarding petroleum-based butanol and higher alcohol production is sparse. In an effort to quantify the key inputs and outputs of these processes, we rely largely on stoichiometry. Petroleum-derived butanol originates from propene, which is combined with syngas to produce butyraldehyde (Reaction 1). Butyraldehyde is then reduced to form butanol (Reaction 2). In this process, we assume all syngas is formed through steam reforming of methane. We assume a 10% H2 loss rate to account for the need to maintain pressure in the reaction vessel. Reaction 1: C3H6 + CO + H2 C4H8O Reaction 2: C4H8O + H2 C4H9OH Hexanol, octanol, and decanol are produced from ethylene via Oxo process, as shown in Reactions 3 and 4. Triethylaluminium is ultimate converted to aluminium hydroxide, which is a component of bauxite and can be sold for a variety of applications including water purification. The resulting inputs and outputs for both petroleum-derived alcohol production pathways are provided in Table S3. Reaction 3: Al(C2H5)3 + 6C2H4 Al(C6H13)3 Reaction 4: Al(C6H13)3 + 1.5O2 + 3H2O 3HOC6H13 + Al(OH)3 Bio-derived alcohol production via Guerbet reaction We approximate the yield of converting cane sugar-derived ethanol to higher alcohols using results presented in Koda et al. (2009).6 In this case, approximately 90% of ethanol is converted to higher alcohols. A 5% loss is assumed due to the need for an EtONa catalyst for the process. Because the limiting factor in alkane output is furfural 12 availability from C5 sugars in the bagasse, only 60% of ethanol is diverted to higher alcohol production. The remaining 40% is sold directly as fuel. Transportation We assume that both alkanes and ethanol must be transported 700 km by tanker truck before reaching terminals where they can be transferred to marine tankers. We then assume all fuel is transported 1000 km by marine tanker to international markets. Although these assumptions are fairly arbitrary, the results not sensitive to transportation distances for the most part. Sugarcane transportation distances are taken from national survey data in Seabra and Macedo (2011).1 13 Table S3. Data and assumptions for LCA calculations. Process Operating parameter Unit Data source Sugarcane cultivation Diesel input 115 MJ/wet tonne cane Seabra & Macedo (2011)1 Nitrogenous fertilizer input 0.78 kg N/wet tonne cane P2O5 input 0.25 kg/wet tonne cane Seabra & Macedo (2011)1 Seabra & Macedo (2011)1 Seabra & Macedo (2011)1 K2O input 0.98 kg/wet tonne cane Seabra & Macedo (2011)1 CaCO3 input Atrazine 5.2 kg/wet tonne cane 0.048 kg/wet tonne cane GREET 1 2013 Seabra & Macedo (2011)1 Cane transportation Flatbed truck 21 km Seabra & Macedo (2011)1 Cane milling Sucrose yield 140 kg/wet tonne cane Seabra & Macedo Bagasse yield 0.28 wet tonne/wet tonne cane (2011)1 Seabra & Macedo (2011)1 Fermentation Ethanol yield Pretreatment Sulfuric acid input Furfural yield 1900 MJ/wet tonne cane 5 18 kg/wet tonne cane Total generation 66 kWh/wet tonne cane Onsite use 21 kWh/wet tonne cane Calculated, based on SupraYield process Calculated based on combustion of cellulose, lignin, and trash Calculated based on assumption of 50% greater power use than traditional sugarcane biorefinery Net export 45 kWh/wet tonne cane Calculated kg/wet tonne cane Calculated kg H2/kg natural gas Spath & Mann (2001)4 Furfural production Power generation kg/wet tonne cane FGD lime input H2 via steam-reforming of natural gas Calculated Yield 5 0.28 14 H2 via steam-reforming of ethanol Yield 0.11 kg H2/kg sucrose Calculated Guerbet alcohols production Conversion efficiency 90% -- Koda et al (2009)6 Petroleum-based butanol production Methane input 0.22 kg/kg butanol Calculated Propylene input 0.57 kg/kg butanol Calculated TEA input 0.37 kg/kg higher alcohols Calculated Ethylene input 0.55 kg/kg higher alcohols Calculated Aluminum hydroxide co-product 0.25 kg/kg higher alcohols Calculated 10 mol/kg furfural Calculated 0.0015 kg/MJ alkanes Calculated MJ/kg furfural Calculated kg/wet tonne cane Calculated Petroleum-based higher alcohols production Transfer hydrogenation & aldol condensation Alcohol input Hydrodeoxygenation Hydrogen input Alkanes yield 110 Wastewater treatment CaCO3 input 5 Liquid product transportation Tanker truck 700 km Assumption Marine tanker 1000 km Assumption Gasoline 3.56 MJ/km Assumption Diesel 3.29 MJ/km Assumption Sedan efficiency Results Table S4. Final fuel output for each scenario from a biorefinery processing 5 million wet tonnes of sugarcane per year. Alcohols MJ Ethanol MJ Alkanes Guerbet 5.78E+09 7.95E+09 Guerbet w/ onsite H2 production 4.42E+09 7.95E+09 Pet.-based higher alcohols 9.48E+09 7.95E+09 Higher alcohols w/ onsite H2 production 8.11E+09 7.95E+09 Pet.-based butanol 9.48E+09 7.95E+09 Butanol w/ onsite H2 production 8.11E+09 7.95E+09 15 Table S5. Greenhouse gas intensity reductions relative to petroleum-based gasoline and diesel. Guerbet alcohols Fossil Bio H2 H2 Petroleum-based higher alcohols Fossil H2 Bio H2 Petroleum-based butanol Fossil H2 Bio H2 -0.5% 0.6% -0.4% -0.4% -0.4% -0.4% Upstream electricity use Sugarcane cultivation & harvesting Other fossil fuel extraction & processing Natural gas extraction & processing 0.7% 0.6% 1% 1% 0.7% 0.7% 8% 9% 6% 7% 6% 7% 1% 2% 6% 8% 6% 8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.8% 0.3% Hydrogen production 12% 0% 10% 1% 10% 0% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% Flatbedtruck transportation 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% Gas pipeline transportation 0.6% 0.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.6% 0.2% Tanker truck transportation 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% Direct 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Combustion 0% 0% 13% 14% 9% 10% Total excluding iLUC 31% 21% 47% 40% 41% 33% Total including iLUC 52% 34% 57% 50% 50% 43% Negative error bars (non-iLUC) -6% -6% -5% -5% -5% -3% Positive error bars (non-iLUC) 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% Electricity offset credits Chemicals and fertilizers Other transportation Heat and power needs and production Brazilian sugarcane biorefineries burn bagasse to supply the process heat and electricity required by the facility, with excess electricity exported to the grid. Seabra and Macedo1 report that the average surplus generation in 2008 was 10.7 kWh/tonne of cane input, and the average for only facilities that sell power to the grid was 25 kWh/tonne cane. Traditional sugarcane biorefineries require approximately 30 kWh/tonne cane to operate, meaning that approximately half of total electricity production is exported. Two factors are expected to drive net heat production and power exports in the coming decades: 1) the phasing out of on-field trash burning and manual harvest in favor of mechanical harvesting, in which the trash (mass equivalent to approximately half that of bagasse) will 16 be collected for use as additional fuel, and 2) the installation of high-pressure boilers in new facilities, which will increase the efficiency of on-site energy production. Seabra and Macedo1 estimate that these changes will result in greater than a factor of five increase in total electricity exports, totaling 130 kWh/tonne cane where both bagasse and trash are combusted, and substantially increased process heat supply. As indicated in Table S3, total electricity production in our model is lower because we assume only cellulose, lignin, and trash are routed to combined heat and power system. Another important factor that impacts the importance of net electricity exports in Brazil is the country’s grid mix. Estimates of Brazil’s electricity mix in the literature and popular tools such as GREET and CA-GREET are remarkably inconsistent, ranging from 55% to 85% hydroelectricity. Furthermore, the marginal mix, which is meant to represent the combination of power sources that ramp up to meet a small increase in power demand or ramp down if demand decreases, is considered to be identical to the average mix in GREET, while CA-GREET assumes that 100% of marginal power is supplied by natural gas-fired plants. According to the January 2015 report from Brazil’s Ministério de Minas e Energia, installed capacity is as follows: 66.6% hydro, 9.5% natural gas, 9.2% biomass, 6.8% fuel oil, 3.7% wind, 2.7% coal, 1.5% nuclear.7 During the wet season, hydro supplies 76% Brazil’s total power.8 Hydro’s contribution drops to 67% of power during the dry season, while gas and oil-fired electricity generation increases.9 Conversely, sugarcane harvest and milling occurs during the dry season, when bagasse-fired power supplies 6% of power, and this contribution drops by an order of magnitude during the wet season, when sugarcane facilities are not operating.8-9 17 Because this article seeks to assess whether the drop-in fuels presented here will achieve the required GHG emissions reductions under current regulations, we have chosen to use a marginal electricity mix for Brazil that is consistent with GREET’s assumptions: 83% hydroelectricity, 5% natural gas, 1.2% petroleum, 1.7% coal, 4.2% biomass, and 3.0% nuclear.10 However, the data we present here shows that this is unlikely to be an accurate representation of the electricity sources displaced by increasing biomass-fired power exports. Instead, the marginal mix displaced by biorefinery power exports is more likely to be comprised of gas and, secondarily, oil power plants, based on the reported seasonal variations in power generation. If biorefineries choose to employ storage methods for biomass, allowing them to generate and export power during the wet season, this may alter the displaced power mix. Conservatively, we assume in this study that facility-wide power demand is 50% greater per tonne of cane input than the power requirements for an ethanol-only facility. The heat and power needs for our modeled sugarcane biorefinery are uncertain; we hope to improve these estimates in subsequent studies through a combination of additional experiments and process modeling. However, the already-abundant bagasse supply (minus hemicellulose, which we assume is used for fuel production) plus the newlyavailable sugarcane trash and improved efficiency of high-pressure boilers are indications that, unless the energy demands for our modeled biorefinery are greater than a five times that of a traditional ethanol facility, the on-site biomass should serve as a sufficient energy supply. For reference, using a lower heating value of 18 MJ/kg of dry biomass and 185 kg of dry biomass yield (cellulose and lignin fractions of bagasse plus trash), approximately 2600 MJ of thermal energy is available, minus the amount used for drying 18 the biomass and efficiency losses. In comparison, our model suggests that one tonne of cane could yield up to 18 kg of furfural as intermediates. The modeled thermal energy required to extract the furfural from solution is 4.1 MJ/kg, leading to a total thermal energy requirement of approximately 72 MJ per tonne of cane. As is clear from these simple calculations, the thermal energy needs are unlikely to exceed the energy that residual biomass can provide. Burning additional biomass for process heat beyond what is required in traditional Brazilian sugarcane facilities will not appreciably impact the GHG balance because the carbon released is biogenic. Furthermore, variations in power exports have a minor impact on the overall GHG footprint of the fuels because the mix of power displaced is largely carbon-neutral. However, as discussed earlier, the standard method of calculating power-related carbon offsets is not necessarily reflective of actual power offsets. Wastewater treatment In conventional sugarcane ethanol facilities, wastewater treatment needs are minimal as the vinasses, which contain valuable nutrients, are reapplied to the soil and the energy needs of this system are already included in our model. Converting bagasse-derived hemicellulose creates an additional need for wastewater treatment, particularly because of the H2SO4 acid catalyst required during pretreatment of bagasse and dehydration of C5 sugars to furfural. Our model includes CaCO3 requirements for overliming to neutralize the acid during wastewater treatment, as shown in Table S3. Should a combination of aerobic and anaerobic digestion be employed to reduce the chemical oxygen demand (COD), the wastewater treatment unit would become a net energy producer, resulting in biogas with high methane content that can be combusted alongside biomass in the boiler. 19 This factor contributes to the overall uncertainty associated with net heat and power consumption/production at the facility, as discussed in the previous section and explored in the following Uncertainty and sensitivity section. Uncertainty and sensitivity Although our analysis is based on empirical data and, in the case of sugarcane cultivation and delivery, survey data from Brazil, there are a few factors that introduce substantial uncertainty in our results. One important variable is the furfural yield from C5 sugars. Although an HCl acid catalyst results in a higher yield (90%), we found that producing HCl for use at a rural sugarcane facility is energy- and GHG-intensive. If H2SO4 can be used to achieve a yield of 70%, that choice is preferable because the acid can, at least in part, be reused from the pretreatment step and H2SO4 is less energy-intensive to produce. Another important source of uncertainty is the assumed mix of electricity that is displaced by increasing biorefinery power exports. We conduct a sensitivity analysis by varying the amount of electricity exported from the biorefinery and the mix of grid electricity that is offset. These ranges are reflected in the error bars for Figure 2 in the main text. In the “high” case, the biorefinery uses 2.5 times the electricity of a comparably sized traditional ethanol facility and the net electricity usage is met entirely by natural gas simple cycle power. In the “low” case, the biorefinery uses only 25% more power than a traditional ethanol facility and net electricity exports offset entirely natural gas simple cycle power. Our base case, for comparison, uses an electricity mix that is primarily hydro and assumes that the biorefinery uses 50% more electricity than a typical ethanol facility. Indirect land use change 20 Indirect land use change (iLUC) refers to the emissions associated with bringing new land into agricultural production as a result of increased biofuel demand.11 The GHG emissions result from clearing and tilling of land that has presumably not been previously cultivated. However, the GHG emissions are highly dependent on a variety of market factors and the type of land brought into agricultural production (forest, grassland, etc.) California’s Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) currently uses the highest iLUC factors for sugarcane, although they are likely to be revised downward. The current factor, 46 g CO2e/MJ sugarcane ethanol translates to 98 kg CO2e/wet tonne sugarcane.12 Adding the maximum iLUC factor to the results does substantially increase the GHG footprint, with the most dramatic impact on the Guerbet alcohols pathway because less fuel is sold per tonne of sugarcane input. Still, GHG reductions exceed 60-65% for the Guerbet pathway, and reach approximately 40-55% for pathways requiring petroleum-based alcohols (see Figure 1). 21 Figure 1: GHG-intensity results, normalized by percent reduction relative to petroleum-based diesel and gasoline, including iLUC factors Discussion 22 A single fuel pathway can yield dramatically different results depending on the chosen feedstock and location of production. We selected Brazilian sugarcane for sale on the international market (to countries such as the United States) because it is a nearer-term scenario than conversion of crop residues or other herbaceous feedstocks. However, our results show that furfural derived from lignocellulosic feedstocks can be combined with petroleum-derived alcohols, eliminating the need for sugar or starch and removing the requirement that cellulose and hemicellulose be broken down and fermented to ethanol (an expensive process). Selecting a Brazilian scenario is advantageous from a feedstock availability perspective, but minimizes any electricity offset credits because Brazilian electricity is primarily renewable – greater than 60% is satisfied by hydropower with the remaining power supplied primarily by natural gas. In contrast, plants in the United States would enjoy significant electricity offset credits if they cause carbon-intensive coal-fired power plants to ramp down. References 1. Seabra, J. E. A.; Macedo, I. C., Comparative analysis for power generation and ethanol production from sugarcane residual biomass in Brazil. Energy Policy 2011, 39 (1), 421428. 2. Humbird, D.; Davis, R.; Tao, L.; Kinchin, C.; Hsu, D.; Aden, A.; Schoen, P.; Lukas, J.; Olthof, B.; Worley, M.; Sexton, D.; Dudgeon, D. Process Design and Economics for Biochemical Conversion of Lignocellulosic Biomass to Ethanol; NREL/TP-5100-47764; National Renewable Energy Laboratory: Golden, CO, 2011. 23 3. Aden, A.; Ruth, M.; Ibsen, K.; Jechura, J.; Neeves, K.; Sheehan, J.; Wallace, B.; Montague, L.; Slayton, A.; Lukas, J. Lignocellulosic Biomass to Ethanol Process Design and Economics Utilizing Co-Current Dilute Acid Prehydrolysis and Enzymatic Hydrolysis for Corn Stover; NREL/TP-510-32438; National Renewable Energy Laboratory: Golden, CO, 2002. 4. Spath, P. L.; Mann, M. K. Life Cycle Assessment of Hydrogen Production via Natural Gas Steam Reforming; NREL/TP-570-27637; National Renewable Energy Laboratory: Golden, CO, 2001. 5. Haryanto, A.; Fernando, S.; Murali, N.; Adhikari, S., Current status of hydrogen production techniques by steam reforming of ethanol: A review. Energy & Fuels 2005, 19, (5), 2098-2106. 6. Koda, K.; Matsu-ura, T.; Obora, Y.; Ishii, Y. Guerbet reaction of ethanol to n-butanol catalyzed by iridium complexes. Chemistry Letters 2009, 38 (8), 838-839. 7. Boletim Mensal de Monitoramento do Sistema Elétrico Brasileiro, Janeiro 2015; Ministério de Minas e Energia: Brasília, DF, Brasil, 2015. 8. Boletim Mensal de Monitoramento do Sistema Elétrico Brasileiro, Março 2014; Ministério de Minas e Energia: Brasília, DF, Brasil, 2014. 9. Boletim Mensal de Monitoramento do Sistema Elétrico Brasileiro, Setembro 2014; Ministério de Minas e Energia: Brasília, DF, Brasil, 2014. 10. GREET Fuel Cycle Model; Argonne National Laboratory: Argonne, IL, 2015. 11. Searchinger, T.; Heimlich, R.; Houghton, R. A.; Dong, F.; Elobeid, A.; Fabiosa, J.; Tokgoz, S.; Hayes, D.; Yu, T.-H., Use of U.S. Croplands for Biofuels Increases 24 Greenhouse Gases Through Emissions from Land-Use Change. Science 2008, 319, 12381240. 12. “LCFS Lookup Tables” (California Air Resources Board, Sacramento, CA, 2012). 25