Confidence Intervals for a Single Proportion Problem 1 At a certain company, the HR department is interested in knowing what percentage of the employees are content with the medical benefits offered to them. A random sample of 140 employees is obtained, and 74.3% of them say they are content. (a) Construct and interpret a 90% confidence interval for the proportion of all employees at this company that would say they are content with the medical benefits. (b) Construct and interpret a 92.5% confidence interval for the proportion of all employees at this company that would say they are content with the medical benefits. (c) Construct and interpret a 97.4% confidence interval for the proportion of all employees at this company that would say they are content with the medical benefits. Problem 2 A legislator is interested in knowing what percent of the residents in a certain community would be in favor of a new law that is being proposed. (a) If she would like to construct a 90% CI with margin of error no more than 5%, how many residents must she randomly poll? Assume no previous studies. (b) If she would like to construct a 90% CI with margin of error no more than 5%, how many residents must she randomly poll? Assume that a preliminary investigation yielded that 32% of the community would be in favor of the new law. (c) If she would like to construct a 95% CI with margin of error no more than 3%, how many residents must she randomly poll? Assume no previous studies. (d) If she would like to construct a 95% CI with margin of error no more than 3%, how many residents must she randomly poll? Assume that a preliminary investigation yielded that 32% of the community would be in favor of the new law. Problem 3 We have calculated a confidence interval based upon a sample of n = 100. Now we want to get a better estimate with a margin of error only one fourth as large. What sample size must be obtained? Problem 4 We have calculated a confidence interval based upon a sample of n = 80. Now we want to get a better estimate with a margin of error only one half as large. What sample size must be obtained? Answers Problem 1 (a) “By Hand” p̂ ± z* p̂ (1- p̂) 0.743( 0.257) = 0.743±1.645 = ( 0.6822, 0.8038) n 140 “Via Calculator” 1-PropZInt x = 104 n = 140 C-Level = 0.90 ( 0.6821, 0.80362) We are 90% confident that the proportion of all employees at this company that are content with the medical benefits is between 68.21% and 80.362%. (b) “Via Calculator” 1-PropZInt x = 104 n = 140 C-Level = 0.925 ( 0.67709, 0.80862) We are 92.5% confident that the proportion of all employees at this company that are content with the medical benefits is between 67.709% and 80.862%. (c) “Via Calculator” 1-PropZInt x = 104 n = 140 C-Level = 0.974 ( 0.66062, 0.82509) We are 97.4% confident that the proportion of all employees at this company that are content with the medical benefits is between 66.062% and 82.509%. Problem 2 2 æ z* ö æ 1.645 ö (a) n = 0.25ç ÷ = 270.6025 ÷ = 0.25ç è 0.05 ø è ME ø 2 Thus we need 271 residents. 2 æ z* ö æ 1.645 ö (b) n = p̂ (1- p̂) ç ÷ = 235.532 ÷ = 0.32 ( 0.68) ç è 0.05 ø è ME ø 2 2 æ z* ö æ 1.96 ö (c) n = 0.25ç ÷ =1067.111 ÷ = 0.25ç è 0.03 ø è ME ø Thus we need 236 residents. 2 Thus we need 1068 residents. 2 æ z* ö æ 1.96 ö (b) n = p̂ (1- p̂) ç = 0.32 0.68 ÷ ( ) çè ÷ø = 928.814 0.03 è ME ø 2 Thus we need 929 residents. Problem 3 Since sample size is inversely proportional to the square of the ME, multiplying ME by ¼ would correspond to multiplying n by 16. Thus we need a sample of size 1600. Problem 4 Since sample size is inversely proportional to the square of the ME, multiplying ME by ½ would correspond to multiplying n by 4. Thus we need a sample of size 320.