Heidi Stucker Intro to GIS Prof. Barbara Parmenter November 2013 Assignment 6 Multi-level Food Retail Opportunities: Improving food access in Boston’s most underserved neighborhoods through grocery store development, small food market improvements, and mobile produce market stop expansion. (Note: I may or may not include the components in grey.) 1) Project description: My project focuses on identifying areas in Boston where there are geographic impediments to residents accessing full service grocery stores. Looking at the underserved areas, I explore the opportunities for three interventions to improving healthy food options - grocery store development, small-mid size food market improvement, and mobile produce market service expansion - that require varying degrees of time and resources to implement, and have varying degrees of impact. Food deserts are typically defined by the lack of access to full service grocery stores. For my project, I am also delineating underserved areas by their lack of supermarkets, but rather than identify supermarket development as the sole intervention to improving food options, I explore a range of interventions for consideration for immediate, intermediate and longterm improvement to the food environment. Project Goal: The goal of this project is to explore and identify various solutions to improving food access in Boston’s most underserved neighborhoods. Project Questions: a) What areas in Boston have insufficient service by full service food markets? b) Where are there opportunities for development of new markets in these areas? c) Where are there opportunities for improvement of existing markets in these areas? d) Where are there opportunities for immediate intervention by mobile produce markets? e) How might transportation services be improved to increase access to healthy food outlets? 2) Literature: Eckert, J., & Shetty, S. (2011). Food systems, planning and quantifying accesss: Using GIS to plan for food retail. Applied Geography, 31, 1216-1223. doi:10.1016/j.apgeog.2011.01.011 This article measures food accessibility in Toledo, Ohio by using data on a) grocery stores and markets, b) resident addresses c) Census block outlines, and d) Census 2000 demographic data (pertaining to poverty levels, race/ethnicity, educational attainment, and automobile access). Access was measured using 1) Network Analyst closest facility tool to calculate the distance to from households to the nearest grocery store and then 2) an equation to measure the average block group accessibility (sum of distances between residential units and retailers / # of residential units = mean distance to food retailers for block group). Results were 3) spatially joined to the block group outlines to determine the average degree of access. The block groups on average =>1 or =>2 miles from a grocery store was then layered with demographic data to identify areas that may have or develop accessibility issues. While calculating an average measurement of food access for block groups is useful in that it can be compared to Census demographic data, the average seems imprecise. I might be interested in evaluating access using similar measurements, but I am also interested in looking at more precise measurement approaches. In thinking about my project, I’ve been interested mostly in identifying opportunities to develop new or improve existing food retail in areas of greatest need; inspired by the suggestions in this article about improving transportation systems (car sharing, taxi vouchers), I will also consider how I can evaluate opportunities to improve transportation options. Cui, C., Wang, J., Pu, W., Ma, J., and Chen, G., (2012). GIS-based method of delimiting trade area for retail chains. International Journal of Geographical Information Science 26, 1863-1879. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13658816.2012.661058 Wang, et. al. present a very precise method of delimiting a retail trade area the “spatial extent around a store (a contiguous area or polygon) that contains the majority of the customers or potential customers…(2012),” – that measures elements including stores, customer location, street network, as well as travel time, transportation mode, traffic lights, road grade and traffic rules. The article reviews a number of methods by other researchers used to delineate trade area that give cruder, general results and most often use the Euclidean distance as a measure. I was particularly interested in the article’s methods of including both pedestrian an auto measurements and delineation of trade area using travel time, not distance. While I am not interested in delineating trade areas of existing food retail using the complex methods (stop light timing, street grade) presented in this paper, it will be helpful in thinking through measuring trade areas using travel time for cars and people on foot. Roig-Tierno, N., Baviera-Puig, A., Buitrago-Vera, J., and Mas-Verdu, F. (2013). The retail site location decision process using GIS and the analytical hierarchy process. Applied Geography, 50, 191-198. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2013.03.005 This article takes a multi-step approach to identifying the best site for development of new retail. Tierno, et. al. first suggest a multi-step process to identifying various sites, then suggest a list of criteria to determine the best site. The first and second steps evaluate geodemand (measuring the number and concentration of residents on a city block level) and geocompetition (the extent to which other stores already capture the market). The third step combines geodemand and geocompetition layers (via kernel density), to measure potential sites. Then subjective criteria (determined through surveys by industry professionals) is used to determine which of the potential sites is the best site for development. Some of the methods presented in this article will be helpful for my project. For example, the article presents a different way of determining the trade area (that evaluates a ratio of sales floor square footage : travel distance), and it combines data layers using kernel density, something I’m interested in considering. Something I find interesting about the method for measuring geodemand, however, is that this is a measurement of population density, but does not evaluate income. ArLand Land Use Economics (2008). Elyria-Swansea Grocery Store Market Analysis. Retrieved from http://www.denvergov.org/Portals/646/documents /Elyria_SwanseaGroceryMarketStudy.PDF. This report presents a grocery store market analysis for a neighborhood in Denver, Colorado. The report includes analysis of potential development within a particular trade area, market demand (derived from current and projected populations), desirable characteristics for grocery stores, competition from other stores, and possible sites for grocery store development. This will be a valuable report to reference for my project, especially with regard to tracking the anticipated change over time (population/income projections) and measuring grocery store demand (the report uses an equation for measuring the percentage of income spent at grocery stores). Also, while some of the methods used in other articles I’ve referenced here are far too complex for the scope of this project and beyond my GIS abilities, the methods laid out in this report’s analysis are comprehensive, logical and within the scope of what I might consider for my project. Trust, The Food. (2010). Food for Every Child: The Need for More Supermarkets in Philadelphia. Retrieved from http://www.mphaweb.org/documents/ FoodforEveryChild_Massachusetts.pdf This report by The Food Trust identifies areas in Massachusetts and Boston that are in need of improved healthy food options. The report produces data layers on income, health and food access using kernel density, then combines the layers to identify the areas that are the lowest-income, with the highest rates of diet-related illnesses and the furthest from supermarket trade areas. This report inspired my GIS project, and while I intended on building upon the findings by evaluating healthy food retail opportunities in the areas identified in this report as most underserved and in greatest need of intervention, I am instead intending on using my own methods to identify areas of greatest need. The reason for doing my own analysis is two-fold: 1) the Census data used in the report was from 2000 – I intend to use Census data from 2010, and 2) the report uses diet-related deaths as a part of identifying areas of great need – while there is a measured correlation between presence of supermarkets and improved health, I think it’s a stretch to use diet-related deaths as a way to justify improved healthy food options. Other helpful non-GIS literature: Sideoff, D. (2012) Getting to Grocery: Tools for Attracting Healthy Food Retail to Underserved Neighborhoods. ChangeLab Solutions. Retrieved from http://changelabsolutions.org/sites/default/files/documents/Getting_to_Gr ocery_FINAL_20120514.pdf. Treuhaft, S., & Karpyn, A. (2010) The Grocery Gap: Who Has Access to Healthy Food and Why it Matters. Policy Link & The Food Trust. Retrieved from http://thefoodtrust.org/uploads/media_items/grocerygap.original.pdf USDA (2009) The Economics of Supermarket and Grocery Store Location. In Ver Ploeg. et. al. (Eds.), Access to Affordable and Nutritous Food – Measuring and Understanding Food Deserts and Their Consequences: Report to Congress. (83-90). 3) Data layers: (Data Set name, description, data source agency, URL-if applicable, and key attributes you will use) Determining areas with insufficient service by full service food markets: Grocery Stores Table: Description: Grocery stores using NAICS code 445110 Data Source Agency: Reference USA URL: https://www.referenceusa.com/ Key attributes: square footage, revenue, number of employees (all potential proxies for full service grocery store) Census2010TIGERROADS_ARC Description: Streets and roads shapefile Data Source Agency: MassGIS Key attributes: Figure out how to get mph for street segments. I will calculate length and identify walk time and drive time for each segment OR EOTROADS_ARC Description: Streets and roads shapefile Data Source Agency: MassGIS Key attributes: Includes “class” for all street and road segments, and “speed limit” for some segments. Interested in deriving speed limit for all street segments, and considering how I might do this referring to the street segment “class” number. OpenSpace_Poly Description: Open space and parks shapefile Data Source Agency: MassGIS Key attributes: use open space boundaries as borders of trade areas where applicable Hydro25K_Poly Description: hydrographic features shapefile Data Source Agency: MassGIS Key attributes: use open space boundaries as borders of trade areas where applicable (MBTABUSROUTES_ARC) Description: Bus routes Data Source Agency: MassGIS Key attributes: Yet undecided if I’ll use this data layer. Interested in exploring measuring travel time with buses to grocery stores to delineate trade area. Will inquire about how feasible this is. (MBTABUSSTOPS_PT) Description: Bus stops Data Source Agency: MassGIS Key attributes: Yet undecided if I’ll use this data layer. Interested in exploring measuring travel time with buses to grocery stores to delineate trade area. Will inquire about how feasible this is. Determining potential areas for development of new full service food markets In areas with limited access, measure grocery demand Census2010BlockGroups_Poly: Description: Block Group shapefile Data Source Agency: MassGIS Key attributes: will reduce the block groups used to the areas with limited access to full service food markets. Household Units: Description: Household Units Table Data Source Agency: American Fact Finder, Census 2010 URL: http://factfinder2.census.gov/faces/nav/jsf/pages/index.xhtml Key attributes: narrowed to area with limited access Average Household Income: Description: Average Household Income Table Data Source Agency: American Fact Finder, Census 2010 URL: http://factfinder2.census.gov/faces/nav/jsf/pages/index.xhtml Key attributes: narrowed to area with limited access In areas with limited access, identify potential locations for grocery development BUILDINGFP_POLY Description: footprint of buildings more than 150 square feet in Boston Metro area Data Source Agency: MassGIS Key attributes: Will add field to attribute table measuring square footage of buildings. FY09_Parcel_Join Description: Boston Parcel Shapefile Data Source: Boston Assessor Key attributes: street address, owner, land use (commercial), parcel type (324 = supermarkets) Determining opportunities for improving existing markets Small-Mid Size Market Table Description: This will be a data set of small- to mid-size markets that sell a limited range of grocery items. These will include convenience stores that have a smaller square footage that typical grocery stores. Data Source Agency: Reference USA URL: https://www.referenceusa.com/ Key attributes: I’ll consider square footage, revenue and number of employees and street proximity to determine which markets to include/exclude. Determining opportunities for expanding mobile produce market service Mobile Produce Market Table Description: This will be a data set of the stops made by Fresh Truck, a mobile produce market in Boston. It will include location, service day and service timeframe. Data Source Agency: The Fresh Truck website URL: http://thefreshtruck.org/ Key attributes: location, service days, service times Determining opportunities for improving transportation to full service food markets. Census2010TIGERROADS_ARC Description: Streets and roads shapefile Data Source Agency: MassGIS Key attributes: Figure out how to get mph for street segments. I will calculate length and identify walk time and drive time for each segment. OR EOTROADS_ARC Description: Streets and roads shapefile Data Source Agency: MassGIS Key attributes: Includes “class” for all street and road segments, and “speed limit” for some segments. Interested in deriving speed limit for all street segments, and considering how I might do this referring to the street segment “class” number. (MBTABUSROUTES_ARC) Description: Bus routes Data Source Agency: MassGIS Key attributes: Yet undecided if I’ll use this data layer. Interested in exploring measuring travel time with buses to grocery stores to delineate trade area. Will inquire about how feasible this is. (MBTABUSSTOPS_PT) Description: Bus stops Data Source Agency: MassGIS Key attributes: Yet undecided if I’ll use this data layer. Interested in exploring measuring travel time with buses to grocery stores to delineate trade area. Will inquire about how feasible this is. 4) Data creation process, and/or analysis steps that you expect to perform Determining areas with insufficient service by full service food markets 1. Grocery Store Table a. Prepare data: decide which food markets to include and exclude based on the Reference USA search for NAICS 445110 (supermarkets) b. Geocode data 2. Project streets data (either Census2010TIGERROADS_ARC or EOTROADS_ARC) a. Using Network Analyst’s Service Area tool, identify walk time service area for each supermarket b. Using Network Analyst’s Service Area tool, identify drive time service area for each supermarket 3. Project bus route and stops layers (MBTABUSROUTES_ARC and MBTABUSSTOPS_PT) a. Determine if it is feasible to identify bus ride time service area for each supermarket b. If feasible, use Network Analyst’s Service area tool to identify bus ride service area. Results should produce a map with three service areas for each supermarket by walk time, drive time and bus ride time. The outermost boundaries will be used to determine areas with sufficient grocery store service. The areas outside of these rings will represent the areas with insufficient service by full service food markets. Determining potential areas for development of new full service food markets Measure grocery demand 1. Download Household Unit data for Boston, block group level a. Derive the household unit count within limited service area 2. Download Household Income data for Boston, block group level a. Derive the average household income within limited service area 3. Determine Aggregate Income for Boston, block group level a. Multiply household units by average household income for limited service area 4. Download Consumer Expenditure Survey data a. Identify Boston-specific or national average percentage of income spent on food at home b. Multiply food at home percentage by aggregate Income to derive food spending total estimate for limited service area 5. Identify percentage of food at home spending that might be captured by development of a new market (Peg Barringer notes that it’s likely a new market would capture about 60% of the total estimated spending.) 6. Determine how much square footage of grocery store space the limited service area could support a. Find data that estimates average grocery sales per square foot (Peg Barringer notes that $400/$450 per square foot is a common estimate.) Identify potential locations for grocery development 7. Join FY09_Parcel_Join and BUILDINGFP_POLY 8. Using “Select by Attribute,” isolate commercial properties 9. Using “Select by Attribute,” isolate buildings that have a footprint square footage equal to or less than the square footage the limited service area could support 10. Using “Select by Attribute,” isolate the parcels that have a “Yr_Built” value of “0”. a. Compare the results to orthoimagery to verify these are vacant parcels. 11. Review the results and determine which parcels and buildings might be suitable for new grocery store development. 12. Calculate service area of these prospective grocery store sites based on the criteria and formula used previously to determine service area for the existing supermarkets Results will be used to produce a map that shows the existing buildings or vacant parcels that could accommodate grocery store development in the area with limited grocery store service; each possible location will have an accompanying, estimated trade area. Determining opportunities for improving existing markets 1. Small-Mid Size Market Table 1) Decide which food markets to include and exclude based on the Reference USA search. May want to include some of those markets filtered from the original Grocery Stores Table (445110) and include other food markets: convenience stores (445120), Fruit & Vegetable Markets (445230), Meat Markets (445210), Fish & Seafood Markets (445220), Food (Health) Supplement Stores (446191), and all other specialty food stores (445299). 2) Filter results for the limited service area 3) Geocode data 4) Determine which markets are most promising for expanding and improving their offerings to meet more of the food needs of the limited service area. To do this, use market square footage, estimated sales revenue and number of employees, street proximity. Results will be used to display a map of existing food markets that would be promising candidates for improvement and expansion efforts. Determining opportunities for expanding mobile produce market service 2. Mobile Produce Market Table 1) Prepare data for The Fresh Truck 2) Geocode data 3) Looking at the current area of service by The Fresh Truck, and identify opportunities to expand service in the area with limited full service food outlets. Results will be displayed in a map showing proposed sites for expanded service by mobile produce markets. Determining opportunities for improving transportation to full service food markets 3. MBTABUSROUTES_ARC and MBTABUSSTOPS_PT 1) If I am able to figure out bus ride time, I could identify where, along a travel route there might be inefficiencies in the bus transit system, and where there might be opportunities to develop interventions, such as improved schedule notifications 5) The products you hope to include on your poster (maps, tables) Maps: 1) Map of sufficient food retail area, showing existing supermarkets with walk time trade area, drive time trade area and bus ride time trade area. 2) Map of limited food retail area, showing the polygons of the areas outside of the sufficient food retail area. 3) Map showing buildings or vacant parcels in the limited food retail area that could accommodate grocery store development, with respective, estimated trade areas. 4) Map of existing food markets that would be promising candidates for improvement and expansion efforts. 5) Map showing proposed sites for expanded service by mobile produce markets. Tables: 1) Grocery store demand in the area with limited food retail