Submission by City of Port Phillip as Planning Authority Part B 18 August 2015 Contents PART B ................................................................................................................................................1 1. INTRODUCTION TO PART B .................................................................................................2 1.1 Structure of Council’s submission................................................................................................................ 2 2. ISSUES RAISED IN SUBMISSIONS .........................................................................................3 3. COUNCIL’S RESPONSE TO SUBMISSIONS .........................................................................5 4. 5. 6. 7. 3.1 Consideration of submissions by Council .................................................................................................. 5 3.2 Previous Planning Panel Commentary ......................................................................................................... 5 3.3 Response to issues raised in submissions ................................................................................................... 6 FLOOD MODELLING ..............................................................................................................27 4.1 Introduction ..................................................................................................................................................... 27 4.2 Modelling Methodology – Overview ......................................................................................................... 29 4.3 Assumptions behind the modelling ............................................................................................................ 29 4.4 Drainage Inputs ............................................................................................................................................... 31 4.5 Translation to SBO Mapping ....................................................................................................................... 31 4.6 Calibration by ‘Ground-truthing’ against past storm events ............................................................... 32 4.7 Preparation for Amendment C111 ............................................................................................................ 32 4.8 Climate Change .............................................................................................................................................. 32 FURTHER TECHNICAL REVIEW ..........................................................................................34 5.1 Overview .......................................................................................................................................................... 34 5.2 Considerations ................................................................................................................................................ 34 5.3 Outcome / proposed changes to Amendment C111 ............................................................................ 35 FLOODING MAINTENANCE AND CAPITAL EXPENDITURE ........................................36 6.1 Drainage Maintenance Program .................................................................................................................. 36 6.2 Identification of Areas for Possible Pipe Upgrade Works .................................................................... 36 CONCLUSION..........................................................................................................................38 7.1 Amendment C111 .......................................................................................................................................... 38 7.2 Council’s final position on the Amendment ............................................................................................ 38 APPENDICES ...................................................................................................................................39 Figures Figure 1 – Diagram showing the flood modelling process .................................................................................... 28 PART B PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 1 1. INTRODUCTION TO PART B 1.1 Structure of Council’s submission This submission has been prepared having regard to Practice Note 46 – Strategic Assessment Guidelines for Preparing and Evaluating Planning Scheme Amendments (DTPLI, July 2014). The submission is structured as follows: Part A The Part A Submission was provided prior to the commencement of the hearing on 18 August 2015 and contained the following information, as set out in Panel Directions dated 31 July 2015: Background to the Amendment Chronology of events Strategic Assessment Identification of the issues raised in submissions and its response Changes to the Amendment documentation proposed as a result of the issues raised in submissions At the hearing, Part A will be taken as read by all parties. Part B This part, to be presented at the Panel Hearing, contains the following: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Introduction to Part B Issues raised in submissions Council’s response to submissions Flood modelling information (including methodology) Further technical review Flooding maintenance and capital expenditure Conclusion (including final position on the amendment) PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 2 2. ISSUES RAISED IN SUBMISSIONS The following issues were raised in the submissions received (including late submissions received): Issue 1. Individual properties have not flooded in the past and should not be subject to the Special Building Overlay 2. Questioned the accuracy of the modelling or modelling that doesn’t account for real life flood events (only computer modelling) Discussion Twenty (20) of the submissions objecting to the Amendment referred to previous flood events (or the lack thereof) in their local area that did not affect their property to explain their position that the modelling must be incorrect. Fourteen (14) submissions stated that the modelling should be based on real life flood events, rather than computer modelling, which may not account for structures that may impede the flowpath. Fourteen (14) submissions stated that the inclusion of their property in the SBO would negatively impact on the value of their property. Where a property is only marginally affected by the proposed SBO, ten (10) objecting submissions pointed to existing walls, buildings, garages or other structures (on the site or adjoining sites) that has blocked the flowpath for previous floods or would potentially block the flowpath of flood water from entering their property in the future. Eleven (11) submissions stated that the inclusion of their property in the SBO would be an administrative burden that could result in increased costs associated with future redevelopment or extensions to existing buildings. Nine (9) submissions stated that the inclusion of their property in the SBO would result in higher insurance premiums. Five (5) submissions used the opportunity afforded by the Amendment to provide feedback to Council about: particular drains that they observed were blocked by leaves and other material causing problems for the runoff of water (during light and heavy rainfall events), the design of particular storm drains or the inadequacy of the existing drainage to cope with normal runoff. Note: where specific drains were referred to in the submission, then customer requests were logged so that they could be investigated). 3. Impact on property values 4. Buildings or structures on a property are unaffected 5. Financial or administrative burden for future development or redevelopment of the site – including additional costs associated with raising floor levels 6. Impact on insurance premiums 7. Problems with specific blocked or poorly designed drains near their property PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 3 Issue 8. Council and Melbourne Water should maintain and/or upgrade the drainage system to cope with overland flow from the 1 in 100 year flood event 9. Climate change impacts 10. Further design requirements are needed Discussion Three (3) submissions stated that the entirety of the drainage system should be upgraded to accommodate overland flows from the 1 in 100 year flood events, again in lieu of pursuing expanding the SBO to cover more properties. A further three (3) submissions stated that lack of maintenance of the drainage network by Council and/or Melbourne Water was causing the flooding issues and that these issues should be investigated, in lieu of pursing an expansion of the SBO to cover more properties. Two (2) submissions were received that discussed the lack of consideration of the impacts of climate change in the revised modelling of the Special Building Overlay. One of these submissions raised the issue of increased rainfall intensity associated with climate change as justification to retain their property completely within the SBO. The second submission was critical of the approach taken with the Amendment to not include consideration of the impacts of climate change. Specifically, this submission stated that there is no justification for not incorporating the impacts of climate change because climate change increases rainfall intensity, higher sea levels reduces the capacity of the drainage system and future impacts of coastal climate change have already informed planning decisions. Furthermore, the submission stated that the SBO should be based on flood levels derived from modelling for the assumed impacts of climate change because the design life of these buildings will be 50-100 years. One (1) submission recommended that design standards be changed to require buildings to be constructed on more permeable foundations (e.g. stilts or other openings) to allow flood water to pass underneath and reduce the flood risk compared to constructing more solid foundations. PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 4 3. COUNCIL’S RESPONSE TO SUBMISSIONS 3.1 Consideration of submissions by Council At its meeting on 14 July 2015, Council endorsed responses to the issues raised in submissions outlined in the Consultation Report (Attachment 3 to the Council Report – provided in Appendix 5 in the Part A Submission). 3.2 Previous Planning Panel Commentary Planning Panels Victoria (PPV) have considered and reported on a significant number of planning scheme amendments relating to flood overlays or zones (including the SBO), since the introduction of these provisions into the Victoria Planning Provisions more than 17 years ago. Most of the issues raised by submitters to Amendment C111 have been raised in previous Planning Panel hearings considering the introduction (or change to) the SBO or Land Subject to Inundation Overlay (LSIO). Previous Planning Panels have consistently made the following points with respect to the application of the SBO: The drainage system The application of the Special Building Overlay complements other flood mitigation, drainage maintenance and upgrade works undertaken by floodplain management authorities or local councils. 1 Upgrading the entire drainage system to present day standards in order to accommodate for 1 in 100 year flood events would cost billions of dollars, and is not practical for floodplain management authorities (e.g. Melbourne Water) or for local councils to deliver. 2 The flood prone nature of some land ‘represents an existing fact’. 3 The SBO is a tool to advise landowners and potential purchasers of the potential for the land to flood in a 1 in 100 year flood event, and allows authorities to consider any development proposals to reduce detrimental impacts. 4 The SBO does not prohibit development 5 and the requirements in the SBO only apply to development and works proposed within the area covered by the overlay. 6 Purpose of the SBO 1 Bayside Planning Scheme Amendment C1 Panel Report (May 2001), p8 & p31 Ibid, p31 3 Moreland Planning Scheme Amendment C50 Panel Report (March 2008), p17 4 Bayside Planning Scheme Amendment C1 Panel Report (May 2001), p20 5 Ibid, p28 6 Ibid, p37 2 PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 5 The shape of the overlay is based on the overland flow paths identified through best practice computer modelling and is the most reliable estimate that can be made from existing information and techniques. 7 It is unlikely that a single storm event will cause the extent of inundation shown on the SBO. Flooding tends to be localised, because a single storm event is unlikely to cover the whole of the SBO area at one time. Flood modelling 8 The cost of gaining more intensive terrain information (via land surveys of individual properties) would be prohibitive 9,10 and the most appropriate time to assess the flooding risk to a particular property is at the planning permit stage, where accurately surveyed levels area provided. 11 The full disclosure of property information is appropriate and beneficial. 12 Development costs, property values & insurance The prospect of improved planning for the community is more important than the possibility of decreased property values or the increased costs associated with raising the floor level of a new building. 13,14 There has generally been no correlation found between the application of the SBO and property values. 15 A potential increase in insurance premiums is not a relevant consideration as to whether the SBO should be applied. 16 3.3 Response to issues raised in submissions The following section provides the following in relation to each of these 10 issues: A short outline of the issue; A Council response to the issue; and Relevant commentary from previous Planning Panel reports where the issue has been previously considered. 7 Stonnington Planning Scheme Amendment C18 Panel Report (September 2004), p45 Bayside C1, op cit, p10 9 Ibid, p37 10 Stonnington C18, op cit, p45 11 Final Report on the New Format Planning Scheme (April 1999), p64 12 Moreland C50, op cit, p17 13 Glen Eira Planning Scheme Amendment C16 (November 2001), p7 14 Bayside C1, op cit, p28 15 Stonnington C18, op cit, pp57-58 16 Bayside C1, op cit, p30 8 PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 6 Issue 1 Property has never flooded: Individual properties have not flooded in the past and therefore should not be subject to the Special Building Overlay. Outline of Issue Submissions objecting to the Amendment referred to previous flood events (or the lack thereof) in a local area. In this context, advice that their property had not experienced flooding was used to substantiate their position that the modelling must be incorrect. Council response The shape of the overlay is based on the overland flow paths identified through best practice computer modelling. It is the most reliable, cost-effective estimate that can be made from existing information and techniques. The lack of historical evidence about flooding on a particular site does not mean the property may not be inundated by overland flooding in the future. Storm events vary considerably and the factors that contributed to flooding in one storm event may not be repeated for the next. The relevant consideration is; where the water is likely to flow in during a 1 in 100 year storm event when the local and main drainage systems are unable to cope with the volume of water. Buildings and structures within the flowpath may currently divert or otherwise hinder flood waters. If these structures were removed, then the flowpath would change and a property further down the flowpath may be impacted. A number of submitters’ properties are only marginally impacted by the proposed SBO. The removal of these properties from the proposed SBO because there is no anecdotal evidence of past flooding would be inconsistent with good planning and risk assessment. A further technical review (refer to Section 5) has been undertaken to investigate whether there are any anomalies with the floodshape on affected properties with a minor coverage of the proposed SBO2. Other than to correct any anomalies based on a more detailed technical and on-site assessment, there is no justification to remove properties from the model simply because a submission has been made requesting this on the basis of an absence of recent / past flooding. Previous Panel findings The Planning Panel in relation to Amendment C1 to the Bayside Planning Scheme considered the view of the Planning Authority that: “The technical basis for the derivation of the SBO is appropriate an accords with industry practice. It is unlikely that a single storm event will cause the extent of inundation shown on the SBO. Flooding tends to be localised because a single storm event is unlikely to cover the PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 7 whole of the SBO area at one time. Varying the input parameters of the models would result in relatively minor variations to the flood levels on which the SBO is based. The general absence of severe flooding in the past 80 years does not undermine the validity of the SBO. Application of more rigorous prediction methods is unlikely to result in a significantly different outcome.” 17 These points were also submitted to the Planning Panel in Amendment C18 to the Stonnington Planning Scheme: “Melbourne Water stressed to the Panel that the SBO was not based upon a known or historical flood event. It was based upon the overland flows that would result from a storm event that occurs, on average, once every one hundred years. These overland flow paths were identified through computer modelling techniques.” 18 In both cases, the Panel accepted these arguments and, in relation to the latter case, the Panel noted: “Whilst there may be no record of flooding on a property, however this did not mean that overland flows had not or would not occur at the site. Although flooding may not have previously been witnessed at the site, each storm event occurs independently of previous ones and it cannot be assumed that flooding has not previously or will not occur, on the basis that there are no records of such an event.” 19 In Amendment C36 to the Boroondara Planning Scheme, the Panel made the following further points in relation to properties only marginally affected by the SBO and the need to maintain the integrity of the approach to flood mapping and controls: “A number of the submitters sought the removal of these fringe elements of the SBO from their properties on the basis that no local knowledge existed to indicate that their land had been subject to flooding, even in recent heavy downpours. Others drew attention to constraining elements on their properties or adjoining properties that would serve to divert or withhold floodwaters from the natural flooding boundaries if the SBO flood levels were experienced. It was contended that common sense consideration of these aspects should result in a decision to remove their property from the SBO… The Panel can appreciate where a property is partially impacted by what some may view as a relatively small encroachment that these owners could experience a sense of frustration and view any variance that would relieve their property from the SBO as being an extremely minor variation, when viewed in context against the broad picture of the overall area impacted by any projected 1:100 flood. However if such variations were granted in a piecemeal approach then the whole integrity of the SBO would be challenged. It is important to appreciate that the SBO boundaries have been based upon rigorous application of both flood modelling and terrain modelling principles and each section of the SBO has been ultimately plotted and presented using prescribed and best practice of cartographic principles. To randomly vary boundaries without any substantial justification is inappropriate.” 20 17 Bayside Planning Scheme Amendment C1 Panel Report (May 2001), p10 Stonnington Planning Scheme Amendment C18 Panel Report (September 2004), p23 19 Ibid, p45 20 Boroondara Planning Scheme Amendment C36 Panel Report (February 2005), pp30-31 18 PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 8 Issue 2 Accuracy of the modelling: Questioned the accuracy of the modelling or stated that modelling doesn’t account for real life flood events (is only computer modelling). Outline of Issue Submissions question the fundamentals of the modelling and (similar to Issue 1) why a property that is only marginally affected should be included in the SBO. This includes questioning the data that was used as a basis for the modelling. Council response The use of computer based flood modelling has been consistently accepted by Planning Panels as an appropriate basis for application of the SBO. The use of computer modelling is the only practical method to reliably map the extent of changes to the floodshape across the Port Phillip municipality, recognising that it: Is the most densely populated municipality in the state; Was largely settled in the late 19th century and early 20th century – well before design standards were developed to consider overland flows from 1 in 100 year flood events; Is 20.6km² in size; and Has a significant diversity of built form and surface treatments. The terrain map used as the basis for the model is based on aerial photography and LIDAR point data provided by Melbourne Water. The 2m grid size of the terrain map is within the appropriate scale range (as specified in Melbourne Water guidelines) for flood mapping in urban catchments. The boundaries of the revised SBO show the maximum extent of flooding during a 1 in 100 year flood event. This is conservative and it is appropriate to include properties that may only be marginally affected – as development within even these parts of the floodshape may impede the flowpath or exacerbate flooding risk. Local stormwater drains that are principally designed for 1 in 5 year storm events (with some drains able to cope with up to 1 in 10 year storm events) have an insignificant effect on the 1 in 100 year storm event flooding and modelling. Melbourne Water do not take into account local stormwater drains in the flood modelling and mapping of their own drainage network because of their low impact on the results. It is also important to ensure that new development near a boundary (such as a fence) does not impede the flowpath, or that new works do not redirect the flowpath and pose a significant flood risk to an adjoining property. This is based on an assessment at the planning stage of the process that would look closely at the direction and velocity of the flowpath in the TUFLOW model and the surveyed levels provided with the planning application. Council and Melbourne Water have gone to lengths to ensure that the boundaries of the SBO are mapped as accurately as possible (including undertaking further analysis following exhibition). It has never been paramount (to the architects of the SBO and similar tools in the planning scheme and to Planning Panels) that these boundaries be absolutely accurate. A further technical review has been undertaken to investigate whether there are any anomalies with the floodshape on affected properties with a minor coverage of the proposed SBO2. Refer to Section 5 and APPENDIX 1. PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 9 Fully assessing the flooding impact to an individual property will rightly occur at the planning application stage – when more detailed, site-specific information can be assessed. At this stage any specific conditions for development can be most appropriately determined. Council officers have undertaken a very limited further technical review in response to submissions for properties with marginal coverage of the proposed SBO2. The model is based on assumptions and has an inbuilt margin of error from the input data. It is a tool only to determine a certain level of flood risk. It would be prohibitively time and resource intensive to undertake a further technical review for all minimally impacted sites across the municipality, and even then the result would not be precise. Previous Panel findings The use of computer based flood modelling has been consistently supported by Planning Panels in the past. This position is clearly outlined in the Panel Report on Amendment C18 to the Stonnington Planning Scheme: “It is important to appreciate that the SBO boundaries have been based upon rigorous application of both flood modelling and terrain modelling principles and each section of the SBO has been ultimately plotted and presented using prescribed and best practice of cartographic principles. To randomly vary boundaries without any substantial justification is inappropriate. This aspect is best appreciated by taking an instance where a development on a property may incorporate a proposed underground car park and it is intended to grade the driveway from the street alignment down to the car park. The presence of a sliver of SBO across the property frontage would bring under scrutiny the levels of the driveway and if it was revealed that the proposed grade change was to introduce a significant change in levels that could result in a dramatic extension of the SBO not only over the property under development but also an adjoining property, then the presence of the SBO has fulfilled valuable role.” 21 It has been accepted by all Planning Panels that a full assessment of the flooding risk to a particular property is most appropriately undertaken at the planning permit stage, where accurately surveyed levels are provided by the permit applicant. In the Final Report on the New Format Planning Schemes, Chief Panel Member, Helen Gibson raised the following points in relation to the Land Subject to Inundation Overlay (and which are equally applicable to the SBO): “In the Panel's view, if accurate flood mapping is not being completed by DNRE [Department of Natural Resources and Environment], the relevant flood plain management authority should determine what land is potentially or likely to be affected by flooding and that land should be included in a Land Subject to Inundation Overlay. It does not matter that the boundaries may not be accurate at the time the overlay is applied. The Land Subject to Inundation Overlay only requires that a permit be obtained for buildings and works. It does not prohibit either use or development. The time to examine the evidence in detail about where flood levels lie in fact is at the time a permit application is made. 21 Stonnington Planning Scheme Amendment C18 Panel Report (September 2004), pp51-52 PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 10 The same approach needs to be adopted even when flood levels have been verified by DNRE but individual landowners dispute their accuracy. Panels do not have the resources to examine in detail competing arguments about where the flood levels lie on an individual property when there is a lack of agreement about this. At the amendment stage it is usually irrelevant. It is a matter more appropriately sorted out at the time any permit may be applied for.” 22 22 Final Report on the New Format Planning Scheme (April 1999), p64 PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 11 Issue 3 Property values: Negative impact on property values. Outline of Issue Submissions stated that the inclusion of their property in the SBO would negatively impact on the value of their property. Council response The flood prone nature of some land is an existing fact. Excess floodwater may still follow natural valleys and drainage paths that existed prior to the subdivision and development of the area. The SBO has an important function to reflect this underlying condition of the land transparently to current owners and future purchasers of affected properties – so that they can make informed decisions about the property and about planning for their own safety during flooding events. Property values are determined by many different factors, including location, streetscape and amenity, the current economic conditions, as well as planning controls. It is therefore difficult to assign what effect, if any, the identification of land as liable to overland flows by the SBO may have on the value of a property. Even if it was found that the SBO had a significant impact on property values, it should not have any bearing on the application of the SBO. A previous study23 undertaken by the City of Stonnington (at the time the SBO was proposed to be applied to that municipality) looked at the values of comparable properties in Port Phillip that were inside and outside of the SBO respectively. This study concluded that there was no correlation between the application of the SBO and property values. Previous Panel Findings The Planning Panel, in relation to Amendment C18 to the Stonnington Planning Scheme concluded that: “Panels have consistently found that there is no justification for setting aside of any SBO amendment on the basis of requests for compensation, loss of property value and possible increase in insurance premiums.” 24 The Planning Panel, in relation to Amendment C50 to the Moreland Planning Scheme stated that: “The value of any property is determined by the complex interplay of many different factors such as overall economic conditions, public economic policies, location, streetscape and amenity, and it is difficult to assign what effect, if any, the identification of land as liable to overland flows may have on the value of a property. This view consistent with the conclusions of the Planning Panels for Amendment C3 to the Yarra Planning Scheme and Amendment C18 to the Stonnington Planning Scheme. These Panels generally found no correlation between the application of the SBO and property values. 23 24 Stonnington Planning Scheme Amendment C18 Panel Report (September 2004), pp57-58 Ibid, p59 PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 12 Melbourne Water also reported that the Stonnington Council commissioned Charter Keck Kramer (CKC) to review the effects on property prices of the application of the SBO. CKC examined property prices in the City of Port Phillip and found no correlation. The Panel was not provided with any contrary evidence and concludes that the SBO or the LSIO are highly unlikely to affect property prices, and that it is appropriate that the condition of the land be recorded and available to interested people.” 25 Specifically, the Charter Keck Kramer study concluded (as reported in the Panel Report to Amendment C18 to the Stonnington Planning Scheme): “[T]here is a general purchaser awareness of the SBO within the City of Port Phillip, and that purchasers understand the consequences that some properties affected by the Overlay may, in the course of renovation and extension, have to meet special planning and building requirements that would otherwise not apply. Notwithstanding, the pattern of sales and analysis, gives no evidence or cause to believe that the application of the SBO to any of the properties has had a measurable effect on the value of those properties when offered to the market on normal reasonable terms and conditions. Simply stated, the application of the Overlay within the City of Port Phillip appears to have had no adverse impact on the property values. For the reason that there is a strong socio-economic and demographic similarity between the City of Port Phillip and the City of Stonnington, and as many of the properties affected in the City of Port Phillip are of a similar style, construction mode and market value range as many of those likely to be affected within the City of Stonnington by the proposed introduction of the SBO, we consider it reasonable to anticipate that the introduction of the SBO in Stonnington will, similarly, have no measurable impact on the value of properties to which it will apply.” 26 25 26 Moreland Planning Scheme Amendment C50 Panel Report (March 2008), pp17-18 Stonnington Planning Scheme Amendment C18 Panel Report (September 2004), pp57-58 PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 13 Issue 4 Financial or administrative burden: There would be a financial or administrative burden for future development or redevelopment of a site (including additional costs associated with raising floor levels). Outline of Issue Submissions stated that the inclusion of their property in the SBO would be an administrative burden and could result in increased costs associated with future redevelopment or extensions to existing buildings. Council response The SBO provides important and relevant information for property owners, and is an appropriate planning mechanism to maintain the free passage of floodwaters, minimise flood damage, and allow a range of government and non-government agencies to plan for these events and ensure public safety. Burden on development A planning permit is only triggered if the buildings and/or works proposed on a site are fall within the area of the land covered by the SBO. This would include any requirement to refer the application to Melbourne Water under Section 55 of the Planning & Environment Act 1987. There are very few properties in Port Phillip that are unencumbered by an existing overlay (e.g. a Heritage Overlay) or where a planning permit would not already be required under the zone to construct a building or extension. Only 887 properties across Port Phillip currently containing single dwellings in a residential zone that are on lots of 500m² or more and not encumbered by an existing overlay (and therefore would not trigger a planning approval for new development). The proposed SBO would affect 320 of these sites (which equates to only 1.5% of the total properties proposed to be included in the SBO by Amendment C111). Development costs The SBO does not prohibit development. Costs associated with redevelopment in SBO areas will vary depending on the site context, how the SBO covers the site and the proposed design of the development. The additional costs of increasing floor levels should be considered as safeguard against and the consequential reduction in costs to the property owner and to the community as a whole in relation to flood damage to new buildings. Previous Panel findings In relation to the issues associated with redevelopment, the Planning Panel for Amendment C50 to the Moreland Planning Scheme has highlighted that the SBO is a necessary planning mechanism to ensure that development responds to flood risk at the permit stage. It stated: “The Panel notes that under the Overlays, a planning permit is required for buildings and works, and applications are referred to Melbourne Water. Upon application for a permit, PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 14 each site can be investigated further, and a detailed assessment be made. Melbourne Waterʹs requirements generally relate to the raising of floor levels or changes to site layout. The Overlays ensure that development proposals are tested prior to being implemented. This process ensures the proposed development is safe and minimises the risk of personal injury or property damage that may arise from periodic inundation. Often the referrals process is likely to improve the design of the development. The Panel also notes that applicants have the right to seek a Review by VCAT if they consider that the Responsible Authority or referral authority are being unreasonable.” 27 Furthermore, the Planning Panel for Amendment C1 to the Bayside Planning Scheme has stated: “The overlay provides important and relevant information for any landowner and prospective developer. It does not prohibit development but allows drainage matters to be considered in detail at the appropriate time, namely, when a development application is submitted to the responsible authority.” 28 27 28 Moreland Planning Scheme Amendment C50 Panel Report (March 2008), p21 Bayside Planning Scheme Amendment C1 Panel Report (May 2001), p28 PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 15 Issue 5 Unaffected buildings: Buildings or structures on a property will be unaffected by flooding / will protect the property. Outline of Issue Submissions have stated that existing walls, buildings or fences (on their property or adjoining properties) currently protect their property from flood damage. Council response There is no certainty that development on a site or on adjoining sites will remain and continue to block the flowpath of water. If these structures are removed, then properties on the site or further down the flowpath may be affected by overland flows. In relation to existing buildings, once the flood water reaches floor level, the building is inundated and becomes part of the flow path. It is important to assess the impact of future development within the SBO, particularly development that may impact on the flowpath. Adding further information to the terrain map in relation to the building locations, walls and fences and other structures and their impact on flows would be extremely complex and resource demanding. Therefore, a general depiction of the likely flooding impact is the most effective approach in deriving the SBO boundaries (and this is reflected in the terrain map used as the basis for the model – refer to Section 4). As discussed under Issue 2, it is also important to retain the SBO on part of a property to ensure that proposed developments (including those with basements) are appropriately designed so that the development is not detrimentally impacted by flooding (including the potential for flooding to a basement). For all of these reasons, the presence of built form on an adjoining or nearby site, or on the site itself does not warrant removal of the property from the SBO. Previous Panel findings In relation to Amendment C18 to the Stonnington Planning Scheme, the Panel provided a response to this particular issue: “Whilst the model does embody some elements that deal with the recognition of flows in urban areas, the overland flow path projected by the model is based on the ground levels and assumes that no blockage of drainage infrastructure exists at the time of flooding and that structural barriers such as fences, houses and brick walls are less permanent… [It is has been] consistently stressed in previous Panel hearings… that the SBO should be viewed as a planning tool that aims to identify areas subject to the 100 ARI event… and it must be recognised that hydrological analysis was based on statistical concepts that were susceptible to change as more data became available. Consequently, hydraulic and hydrological analysis can be continuously refined.” 29 29 Stonnington Planning Scheme Amendment C18 Panel Report (September 2004), p46 PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 16 The Panel in relation to Amendment C2 to the Moreland Planning Scheme also stated: “The purpose of the Overlay is to identify land affected by flooding or overland flows as a result of a 1 in 100 year rainfall event. The Panel accepts that a prime function of the overlay is to ensure that any future development within the affected portion of the site is appropriate in terms of the identified flood potential. The removal of the overlay could result in a development application that may seek to introduce a floor level that has an inappropriate relationship with the flood level.” 30 30 Moreland Planning Scheme Amendment C2 Panel Report (March 2001), p11 PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 17 Issue 6 Insurance: Negative impact on insurance premiums Outline of Issue Submissions stated that the inclusion of their property in the SBO would result in higher insurance premiums. Office response The potential impact on insurance premiums is not a matter that should have any bearing on the application of the SBO. The application of an SBO does not cause or change the likelihood of flooding, but recognises the existing condition of land. Melbourne Water and Council can provide, upon request, maps showing the extent of the land that is floodprone (where the land is partially affected) and the specific flood level. This information can be provided to insurance companies to accurately inform the level of risk. Insurance companies should adjust premiums based on the potential flooding impact to the land and to any buildings based on the best available information provided to them. The Insurance Council of Australia has advised Melbourne Water that most insurance policies provide coverage for storm damage, include cover for damages resulting from overland flows. However, this needs to be confirmed by the property owner’s individual insurer. Previous Panel findings The impact on insurance premiums has been consistently dismissed as a relevant issue by previous Panels. Whilst other panel reports generalised and combined these issues, in Amendment C1 to the Bayside Planning Scheme there was a significant discussion on this topic. Both the Council and Melbourne Water put the following to this Panel: 31 “This is not a relevant consideration in the determination of whether a development overlay should apply. Insurance contracts have always imposed an obligation of disclosure on policy holders. The application of an SBO does not cause or change the likelihood of flooding, but recognises the existing condition of land. Insurance companies would continue to calculate their premiums on the basis of what is known, and the properties identified in the overlay would still be subject to flooding in a 1 in 100 year rain event. The Insurance Council of Australia has advised Melbourne Water that most insurance policies that provide coverage for storm damage, include cover for damages resulting from overland flows. However this would need to be confirmed by the household's individual insurer.” 31 Bayside Planning Scheme Amendment C1 Panel Report (May 2001), p29 PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 18 The Panel agreed with these points and added: “The Panel agrees that [the impact on insurance] is not a matter which should affect the imposition of the overlay. Such a position, if accepted, may also affect the imposition of other overlays such as the Wildfire Management Overlay. The inclusion of the overlay in the scheme represents an important piece of information for property owners and potential purchasers and developers.” 32 32 Ibid, p30 PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 19 Issue 7 Blocked or poorly designed drains: Problems with specific blocked or poorly designed drains near their property Outline of Issue Submissions and enquiries that have raised specific issues about drains blocked with leaves and other litter, or specific problems with the design of the local drainage network, were logged in Council’s customer requests system. Actions taken included cleaning out the relevant drain, marking it up for future or special attention, taking on board any comments in relation to drainage design, and contacting the submitter / customer about the action taken. Office response Council and Melbourne Water continue to maintain and upgrade their respective drainage systems to ensure drains continue to cater for the 1 in 5 year standard (design standard applied to the system). More information on what Council’s capital improvement program is in Section 6. Council also provides regular street sweeping services to reduce the amount of leaf (and other) litter that could collect in the drainage system, and does respond to specific complaints or issues raised by customers about specific drains. Maintenance issues do not have any direct bearing on proposed Amendment C111 – noting however, the organisation’s broader obligation to respond to these issues. Previous Panel findings The Planning Panel in relation to Amendment C2 to the Moreland Planning Scheme provided the following points in relation to this topic: “It is to be expected that the introduction of overlays will tend to draw from the community responses to perceived inadequacies in the existing drainage systems and submitters will endeavour to utilize the process as a forum for focusing on such matters. However the Panel has no power to deal with such concerns and it can do little but to draw such concerns to the attention of the Council administering the Planning Scheme. The occurrence of overland flows is due primarily to the limited capacity of the drainage infrastructure, which, in accordance with design standards of the time, was generally only required to be designed and constructed to the 1 in 5 year standard. Although incremental developments throughout the catchment may contribute to increases in runoff, this would only impact marginally upon what is an existing risk of inundation from the large storm events.” 33 33 Moreland Planning Scheme Amendment C2 Panel Report (March 2001), p12 PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 20 Issue 8 Maintain and upgrade the drainage system: Council and Melbourne Water should maintain and upgrade the drainage system to cope with overland flow from the 1 in 100 year flood event Outline of Issue Submissions stated that the entirety of the drainage system should be upgraded to accommodate overland flows from the 1 in 100 year flood events and / or commented that the lack of maintenance of the existing system was causing the flooding events. Submissions stated that these measures should be undertaken in lieu of expanding the SBO to cover more properties. Council response The drainage system in Port Phillip was entirely constructed prior to 1975, and was constructed to accommodate 1 in 5 year flood events which was the standard at the time. Overland flooding associated with 1 in 100 year flood events in new residential areas on the urban fringe is considered at the subdivision stage; together with the design of streets, layout of the allotments and the filled ground level for each property. Upgrading the entirety of the drainage system in Port Phillip to a 1 in 100 year standard would not simply necessitate the use of drainage pipes with larger diameters, but in some areas it would also necessitate realignment and widening of existing roads, demolishing existing buildings and increasing the natural ground level of all properties that are affected. This would result in significant disruption and displacement for many residents – and a considerable financial cost to property owners and Council / Melbourne Water. The imposition of the SBO, requiring new buildings to be protected from flooding and for an assessment to be made about the impact of development on flowpaths, is comparatively less costly than dealing with the damage caused by flooding events. Upgrades of the local drainage network are aimed at achieving the 1 in 5 or 1 in 10 year storm capacity. In the 1 in 100 year storm modelling, the local drainage network may be entirely disregarded because of its low impact on the larger storm event. Refer to Section 6 for more information on local drainage maintenance and drainage system upgrades. Previous Panel findings and background information In Victoria, the use of the 1 in 100 flood level has been in effect since 1975 following the introduction of the Drainage of Land Act 1974. This provides the basis for declaring flood levels and flood areas, and has since been incorporated into the Water Act 1989 and the Building Act 1993. 34 The standard and best practice prior to 1975 was for the drainage system to cope with 1 in 5 year flood events. 35 This measure is also in the planning system, including the Special Building Overlay, which has as its stated purpose to: “identify land in urban areas liable to inundation by overland flows from the urban drainage system as determined by, or in consultation with, the floodplain management authority”.36 34 Bayside Planning Scheme Amendment C1 Panel Report (May 2001), p15 Ibid, p31 36 Clause 44.05 to the Port Phillip Planning Scheme. 35 PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 21 Planning Panels have regularly considered this issue and have consistently agreed with Melbourne Water’s comments about the true cost of addressing this legacy issue: “To upgrade the whole Metropolitan system to accommodate a 1% flood standard would cost billions of dollars. [Melbourne Water’s] current budget provides for a capital expenditure of approximately $6-8,000,000 per annum on the main drainage system and therefore it is necessary to adopt other complementary approaches to deal with the issue.” 37 “A massive injection of funds into improving stormwater drainage in settled suburbs would be at the expense of other community aspirations… it would not be reasonable to inhibit the normal expectations of owners to develop their properties, awaiting some future time when community priorities favour a massive injection of funds towards drainage improvements.” 38 37 38 Bayside C1, op cit, p31 Glen Eira Planning Scheme Amendment C16 (November 2001), p11 PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 22 Issue 9 Climate change: Amendment does not address the impacts associated with climate change, including sea level rise and an increase in storm events Outline of Issue Two submissions were critical of the approach taken with Amendment C111 not to include consideration of the impacts of climate change – specifically the associated increase rainfall intensity, and higher sea levels reducing the capacity of the drainage system. Office response Sea Level Rise The flood modelling was completed approximately 6 months prior to the approval and gazettal of Amendment VC94, which revised Clause 13.01 to provide differential rates for sea level rise 0.2m by 2040 for urban infill areas and 0.8m (by 2100) for greenfield development. This Amendment also removed the ‘precautionary principle’. Please refer to APPENDIX 6 for the previous wording contained in Clause 13. The flood modelling did not include modelling of 0.2m sea level rise as this was not a factor at the time, and modelling for 0.8m SLR no longer had any basis in State Planning Policy – so it would be difficult to use this as the basis for the amendment, particularly with the removal of the ‘precautionary principle’. The updates to the SBO proposed by Amendment C111 do not reflect changes to flood potential arising from coastal climate change. Council is undertaking a number of studies in conjunction with the Association of Bayside Municipalities (ABM) to gather information about coastal processes to assist our understanding of future coastal flooding, how this will combine with catchment flooding and what impacts this will have over time. These include a review of current and historic sea level and wave climate. Additional information about storm bite is yet to be gathered. A full suite of data will not be available for some years, however, in the interim it is Council practice to advertise major developments (including any development proposing a basement) on a low-lying property proximate to the coast and not covered by an SBO to Melbourne Water (pursuant to Section 52(1)(d) of the Act) for comment. Increased Rainfall As discussed in Section 4.8, Melbourne Water’s practice is not to include any predicted increases in rainfall as a result of climate change for catchments, and this will continue for any new planning scheme updates in the immediate future because the ARR is currently under review. Furthermore, whilst climate change may impact the frequency of the storm events, this may not equate to changes to 1 in 100 year flood levels or extents as represented in planning scheme overlays. PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 23 Council’s Commitment to Planning for Coastal Climate Change Council is committed to responding to climate change and this is demonstrated through education, advocacy and action. Council, in its submission to the Coastal Climate Change Advisory Committee, stated that one of the key principles for responding to climate change in coastal areas is for the introduction of an overlay to manage future development to “delineate vulnerable ‘at risk’ areas; and to define development requirements which will mitigate the effects of flooding and inundation in urban areas”39. A new planning tool can respond to a specific, transparent and integrated manner to the effects of coastal climate change – in addition to updating the existing flooding overlays (e.g. SBO, LSIO) to manage climate change impacts on inland areas.40 An integrated, regional response is required for the Port Phillip Bay area and cannot rely on individual Local Councils to prepare varying responses and to progressively update planning schemes and to use ‘best fit’ planning tools that are not specifically designed to address the impacts of climate change (e.g. the LSIO). The Draft Central Regional Coastal Plan (2015-2020)41 has stated that there is a need to develop a Coastal Hazard Vulnerability Assessment for the central region (encompassing Port Phillip Bay), which would be a necessary precursor to the development of a planning tool to deal with coastal hazards and inundation associated with sea level rise, and would inform the science underpinning the tool. Council, in its submission to Plan Melbourne, highlighted that this plan had not detailed how the government will respond to the impacts of climate change, including flooding and sea level rise, and was a major gap in a long term strategy for the development of Melbourne.42 Furthermore, Council identified that a priority initiative should include the commitment to planning for climate change and sea level rise – including delivery of drainage and coastal management infrastructure. 43 It is Council’s position that a bay-wide Coastal Hazard Vulnerability Assessment (CHVA) needs to be undertaken for Port Phillip Bay and a specific tool in the Victoria Planning Provisions (VPPs) needs to be developed by the State government to implement this CHVA in an integrated way for all bayside municipalities. The ABM, of which Council is an active member, is collecting data and this will inform the CHVA (which would need to be undertaken by the State government) and a future tool (again, developed by the State government) and the decision guidelines that would be made for individual planning applications. In the meantime, Council is committed to responding to the challenges of climate change, and will continue to undertake advocacy through all possible channels to ensure that: o Climate change is properly addressed at state and regional level; o Our planning for climate change is based on a bay-wide assessment and robust data; and o We have the appropriate tools to specifically and transparently consider the impacts of climate change. 39 Submission to Coastal Climate Change Advisory Committee – Issues and Options Paper (City of Port Phillip, February, 2010), p1 40 Ibid 41 Finalised version of this plan is currently being considered by the Victorian Government. 42 Plan Melbourne – Final Submission by the City of Port Phillip (10/12/2013), p4 43 Ibid, p6 PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 24 The SBO addresses a particular type of flooding and is not the ‘best fit’ to deal with climate change impacts (including sea level rise). Amendment C111 simply updates the SBO based on new modelling and it is premature for us at this stage to make changes to the amendment to factor in sea level rise without a bay wide CHVA, and without support in the State Planning Policy Framework. PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 25 Issue 10 Design requirements: Further design requirements are required in policy to encourage built form that would allow flood waters to flow under buildings Outline of Issue A submission recommended that design standards be changed to require buildings to be constructed on more permeable foundations (e.g. stilts or other openings) to allow flood water to pass underneath and reduce the flood risk compared to constructing more solid foundations. Council response The requirement to construct new buildings on stumps allowing water to flow underneath can be appropriate in some areas, particularly when the main flow path runs across a property or collection of properties. However, it is not suitable everywhere and could be problematic for some sites. It is important that assessments are made on a site by site basis by Melbourne Water (for SBO1 and SBO3 areas) and Council’s Development & Drainage Engineer (for SBO2 areas), taking into account the location of the main flow path and the depth and velocity of flooding. Council and Melbourne Water continue to use the Guidelines for Development in Floodprone Areas (Melbourne Water, 2007), along with best practice principles, policies and guidelines developed by State and Federal governments – which provide a technical basis to assess the flooding risks associated with proposed developments. PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 26 4. FLOOD MODELLING 4.1 Introduction The flood modelling undertaken by Council is considered to be industry best practice. The techniques to construct the model and to undertake simulations have vastly improved since Council initially went through this exercise, leading to the introduction of the SBO into the Port Phillip Planning Scheme in 1998. The modelling tool used ‘TUFLOW modelling software’ is well established and internationally recognised as the world’s most powerful 2D/1D hydrodynamic computational engine. There is complete confidence by Melbourne Water and Council engineers in the model and the floodshapes ultimately generated to inform the boundaries of the SBO. The floodshapes were determined using the best available data and techniques at the time. The floodshapes and flood levels will be used within the planning application referral system that then considers the subject property on an individual and more detailed basis. The key stages involved in the modelling process are: 1. 2. 3. Constructing the model Undertaking model simulations Reviewing and filtering the model outputs Figure 1 on Page 28 provides an illustrative summary of this process. Melbourne Water Flood Modelling Melbourne Water will provide a separate submission that will include an outline of the flood modelling that they have undertaken. PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 27 Figure 1 – Diagram showing the flood modelling process 4.2 Modelling Methodology – Overview The Flood Modelling Report produced by URS for the City of Port Phillip in December 2011 (available in APPENDIX 5 encompassed the following scope of works: Data Collation and Review Preliminary Flood Modelling Detailed 1D/2D Flood Modelling Climate Change Impacts Flood Maps and Report The computer modelling program TUFLOW was used. TUFLOW is a 1D/2D hydrodynamic model developed to simulate flooding situations where flow patterns are poorly defined and/or unsteady and to effectively model the one dimensional network of pipes and pits. Using a GIS based approach, model inputs can be produced in layers which has major benefits: It enables the model components to be developed and overlayed on maps containing information such as contours and aerial photographs where catchment features can be easily understood. It allows for the interpretation, analysis and comparison of the model results such as multiple modelling scenario and/or modelling of several ARI events. Melbourne Water’s Guidelines and Technical Specifications for Flood Mapping Projects (2010) (the ‘Melbourne Water Guidelines’) was adopted for the study. The municipality was divided into seven (7) sub-catchments, each of which were analysed in isolation to the others. The following four (4) scenario runs were modelled for each of the seven (7) sub-catchments based on Melbourne Water Guidelines and climate predictions for 2100 (0.8m sea level rise and 32% rainfall intensity): 5 year base case (1.22m Sea level) 5 year climate change (2.02m Sea Level and 32% increased rainfall intensity 100 year base case (1.22m Sea Level) 100 year climate change (2.02 m Sea Level and 32% increased rainfall intensity) Note: as discussed in Section 3.3 (under Issue 9), the modelling was in response to State Planning Policy at the time that referred to sea level rise of 0.8m by 2100. 4.3 Assumptions behind the modelling Catchment Features In order to simulate water movement through an urban catchment during flood events, it is important that features which may impede the flow, such as roads, buildings, walls, fences, vegetation, etc. are represented in the flood model. Individual representation of all these features is difficult and deemed unnecessary in this instance. Instead, as is often the case in flood mapping, the catchment impedance to overland flow was modelled by assigning six (6) roughness coefficients (Manning’s n value) to the 2D domain/catchment surface areas delineated by similar land-use or surface type from aerial photographs. PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 29 Waterways (n=0.022) Paved areas such as roads, laneways and car parks (n=0.02) Open space such as parks and gardens (n=0.035) Medium density residential properties (n=0.25) Higher density residential properties (n=0.30) Large buildings and other impermeable obstructions (n=3) The initial loss for the entire area (except for waterways with 0mm initial loss) was assumed to be 10mm as stipulated by Melbourne Water for a typical urban catchment. The entire area was also assigned a value of zero continuous loss for the same reason. All piers and beaches, as well as the island in Albert Park Lake were not included in the model because any rainfall in these areas would drain directly into the surrounding water and cause negligible flooding and instabilities in the model. 1D Network Development The 1D pipe network in the TUFLOW model comprises Melbourne Water Drains and drains adjacent to these drains with a diameter of 300 mm or larger. The inclusion of every pipe would produce instability in the model and increase processing times. Smaller diameter drains were included in areas were local pondage could be expected. Pits were included in the model based on the defined pipe network, modelled with an unrestricted inlet capacity and assigned a level which was known or in some cases estimated using engineering judgment based on surrounding topography and a minimum cover level of 600 mm. All pipes were assigned a Manning’s n roughness of 0.015 and open channels 0.04 as stipulated in the Melbourne Water Guidelines. 1D and 2D Boundary Conditions Port Phillip Bay – Sea Level For all catchments adjacent to Port Phillip Bay – 1.22m AHD for base case, 2.02m AHD for climate change scenarios as per Melbourne Water Guidelines at the time. Pipe Outlet Boundaries The following tail water levels on the pipe outlets were adopted: 0m AHD to Port Phillip Bay 3m AHD to Albert Park Lake 1.22m AHD to Yarra River Elwood Canal – as per sea level for particular model run These levels were selected to ensure a conservative ‘worst case scenario’ for the flood mapping as they would essentially assume that the water body is full throughout the simulation period. Model Runs Determination of Critical Storm Durations Intensity-Frequency-Duration (IFD) curves supplied by the Bureau of Meteorology were used to give rainfall intensities for each storm duration and ARI (average recurrence interval) for the region. Australian Rainfall and Runoff (ARR) Vol 2 was used to determine a temporal pattern of the storm. A PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 30 number of storm durations were tested and two durations were run for each of the sub-catchments and the results were spliced together to ensure that the maximum modelling flooding levels were determined: 45 minute and 1.5 hour storm durations for catchments 1, 2, 3, 4, 6 and 7; and 30 minute and 45 minute storm durations for catchments 5. Model Checks An extensive quality checking process of the hydraulic modelling results was undertaken by URS. 4.4 Drainage Inputs Before the TUFLOW model was developed, several data sets needed to be gathered and pre-processed: GIS data provided by Council and Melbourne Water of the drainage network (pits and pits) Existing RORB and TUFLOW models provided by Melbourne Water of the behaviour of the network outside the Council area Aerial photography of the area provided by Council . LIDAR data of the area provided by Melbourne Water – accurate to within ± 100mm vertical and ± 350mm horizontal. Flooding “hot spots” provided from the Stormwater Action Plan (URS 2009) which represent areas that have historically known to flood (community complaints and Council staff knowledge). Melbourne Water 100 year ARI flood extents developed using RORB in 1998. Special Building Overlays developed in 1998 by Council. 4.5 Translation to SBO Mapping Flood Mapping Flood extent maps were generated for each of the four (4) scenarios for all seven (70 sub-catchments taking the maximum depths of the results of the two storm durations. Filters were applied according to Melbourne Water Guidelines as follows: All areas with above 50mm depth of flooding and a velocity of above 0.008m/m/s All areas above 100 mm depth of flooding All island within the flood shape smaller than 100 m² were removed All inundation of less than 100 m² in area were removed Flood maps were constructed with the base case superimposed on top of the climate change scenarios to give an understanding of the increase in flood extents that can be expected in the future. The flood extents generated in this study were then combined with current Melbourne Water flood shapes and to produce the updated proposed SBO mapping. Identification of Pipes Running Full The TUFLOW output files were used to map which pipes ran full during the simulation as well as how long these pipes were running at capacity for the 5 year base case and 5 year climate change scenarios. PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 31 This was done in order to easily identify which pipes were under –capacity and which pipes were running full for the majority of the simulation period (>75% of the time). Property Flood Depths and Levels The flood depths and flood levels for all four storm event scenarios were determined for all properties within the filtered flood shapes. No attempt was made to further define properties affected by flooding and/or define the flood shape after consultation with Melbourne Water. The flood shape should be used within a referral system that considers each property individually. Further filtering of the flood shape may threaten the integrity of such a referral system. 4.6 Calibration by ‘Ground-truthing’ against past storm events The modelled sub-catchments are ungauged and therefore it is not possible to calibrate the model against known flood events. However, Council’s Stormwater Action Plan (URS 2009) identified a number of known flooding “hot spots” which represent locations that have historically been known to flood from local knowledge and reports. Overall, there was a good level of agreement between the modelled data and historical “hot spots” observation across the seven sub-catchments. 4.7 Preparation for Amendment C111 Melbourne Water underwent a similar modelling process for Catchment 7 only (an area incorporating the Elwood Canal, Shakespeare Grove and Byron Street main drains). Following the finalisation of the changes to the floodshapes for SBO2 by Council and SBO1 by Melbourne Water, there was a period of review undertaken to ensure that no single property was covered by more than one of the proposed schedules (i.e. SBO1 or SBO2). SBO3 was later developed to divide areas of the SBO affected by Melbourne Water’s drains, to define and apply additional planning permit exemptions to areas where the flood levels are relatively stable. This reduces the need for planning permits, and referrals to Melbourne Water. Further analysis was undertaken to ensure no single property was covered by more than one SBO schedule. 4.8 Climate Change Using Melbourne Water Guidelines and climate predictions for 2100 (0.8m sea level rise and 32% rainfall intensity, the effects of climate change was analysed with the use of maps for the 5 year and 100 year climate change scenarios and comparing them to the base case scenarios. The flood extent comparison maps show as expected, that there is a larger flooded area with the climate change scenarios although this did vary with each sub-catchment. For the coastal catchments (catchments 1,3,5,6 and 7) certain areas of increased flood close to the shoreline can be almost solely attributed to sea level rise. For the 100 year storm event, the increase in flooded areas ranged from 1% (catchment 4), 4% (catchment 6), 6% (catchment 2), 9% (catchment 1 and 7), 11% (catchment 3 and 5). Melbourne Water is not including any predicted increases in rainfall as a result of climate change for catchments. Whilst Melbourne Water may have informally completed some initial analysis, this has not been included. Therefore any new planning scheme updates in the immediate future will not include predicated increase. PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 32 Furthermore, Australian Rainfall and Runoff (Engineers Australia, 1987) is currently under review, with projects underway which include revisions to rainfall estimations increases as a result of climate change. PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 33 5. FURTHER TECHNICAL REVIEW 5.1 Overview As resolved by Council in response to individual submitters (and to further inform the Planning Panel), Council officers undertook a further individual technical assessment of properties in SBO2 where the proposed coverage of the property by the SBO is minor, and where a submitter has expressed a view that the property should be removed from the proposed overlay (16 properties in total). A property is considered to have minor coverage if the proposed SBO covers less than 15m² and less than 6% of the total area of the site. 5.2 Considerations The final flood mapping used to produce the proposed SBO included a set of filters in accordance with Melbourne Water Guidelines (refer to Section 4.5). The fact that there may be only a small percentage or width of a property covered by the SBO flood shape is no justification for the removal of the property from the SBO. For reasons given earlier, it is not desirable to further filter the flood shape and undertake a more detailed assessment of each property without detailed development proposals. However, a methodology has been developed to provide a consistent assessment of each property which has been referred for a further technical review. This same methodology is already and will continue to be applied at the planning application stage. The five criteria and weightings have been chosen by Council’s Drainage and Development Engineer based on his experience and technical expertise in the understanding of the modelling data and outputs. His recommendation to retain or remove the property from the SBO is his assessment endorsed by his Co-ordinator, and the full assessments are contained in APPENDIX 1 to this submission. The five criteria and weightings to assess the flood risk are as follows: Criteria Assessment Weighting Overland flow path relative to property How much of the water flows onto the property from the main flow path? 50% Surface flow characteristic What is the direction and velocity of the flow onto the property? 15% Ground LIDAR level in property Are the LIDAR points on the property higher or lower than the main flow path? 15% Flood Shape in property How much of the property is covered by the flood shape? 10% Max Flood Depth in property What is the maximum flood depth on the property? 10% PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 34 5.3 Outcome / proposed changes to Amendment C111 This technical review has been undertaken and very minor refinements to the SBO2 floodshape are recommended. All affected submitters have been advised in writing of the recommendations and the following is a summary: Submission No. Location Proposed Outcome 111-SUB021 Station Street, Port Melbourne Remove from SBO 111-SUB026 Dow Street, Port Melbourne (2 properties) Remove from SBO 111-SUBL060 Richardson Street, Middle Park Remove from SBO 111-SUB018 Raglan Street, Port Melbourne Remove from SBO 111-SUB019 Lambeth Place, St Kilda Remove from SBO 111-SUB031 Richardson Street, Middle Park Must be retained 111-SUB045 Docker Street, Elwood Remove from SBO 111-SUB022 Phyllis Street, Elwood Must be retained 111-SUB043 Dundas Place, Albert Park Remove from SBO 111-SUBL058 West Beach Road, St Kilda West Must be retained 111-SUB050 Spray Street, Elwood Remove from SBO 111-SUB033 Little O’Grady Street, Albert Park Must be retained 111-SUB017 Milton Street, Elwood Remove from SBO 111-SUB057 Barrett Street, Albert Park Must be retained 111-SUB035 Cruikshank Street, Port Melbourne Remove from SBO In summary, of the 16 properties subject of the technical review, the proposed SBO2 could be removed from the following 11 properties: 141 Station Street, Port Melbourne 233 Dow Street, Port Melbourne 235 Dow Street, Port Melbourne 279 Richardson Street, Middle Park 147 Raglan Street, Port Melbourne 11 Lambeth Place, St Kilda 14 Docker Street, Elwood 40 Dundas Place, Albert Park 69 Spray Street, Elwood 50B Milton Street, Elwood 97-101 Cruikshank Street, Port Melbourne Full details of the technical review are available in APPENDIX 1. PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 35 6. FLOODING MAINTENANCE AND CAPITAL EXPENDITURE 6.1 Drainage Maintenance Program On average, Council spends around $900,000 per annum on drainage maintenance services. On 26 May 2015, Council awarded Contract 1912-Drainage Maintenance Services to Veolia Water Network Services commencing on 1 July 2015 for a period of three years (with an option for a further term of two years). The contract service specification includes: Side Entry Pit (SEP) and Grated Pit (GP) inspection and cleaning Increased maintenance in known flooding areas (pit inspection and cleaning monthly in High Maintenance Zone includes Frequent Flooding Areas at 56 locations. Refer to APPENDIX 2 for more information. Gross Pollutant Trap (GPT) inspection and cleaning Litter basket inspection and cleaning Junction pit, pipe and culvert cleaning CCTV inspections Depot wash bay & Transfer Station sump pit cleaning Reporting, inspections and asset management Standardised asset grading according to the industry standard Water Services Association of Australia (WSAA) 05 “Conduit Inspection Reporting Code of Australia”. The new contract also contains improved data collection and reporting to: Ensure we report on asset condition to industry standards Allow recording of servicing details in the asset management database Improve access to information to ensure that drains which require more frequent maintenance is appropriately scheduled. Update spatial data in our Geographic Information System (GIS) Provide information to prioritise locations for civil upgrades or renewal Provide accurate drainage and flooding information. 6.2 Identification of Areas for Possible Pipe Upgrade Works On average, Council spends around $1 million per annum on drainage capital works. Using the flood inundation maps and the maps showing the pipes running full from the 2011 URS study, it has been possible to identify areas that may be in need of pipe upgrade works to achieve the 1 in 5 year service level (refer to APPENDIX 3 for more information). In a number of cases, increasing pipe sizes will not reduce flooding and alternative measures will be required. A number of drains discharge to the Bay or to the Yarra River and the outlets are submerged at high tide or under peak flows. This prevents the free flow of stormwater and will result in flooding in the network. To overcome this, a number of mitigation measures are possible, including retarding basins or underground storage (to store and hold back stormwater until the water level drops) and tide gates on the outlets (to prevent sea/river water filling the stormwater drain). PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 36 The Citywide Drainage Upgrade Program (URS, 2014) was commissioned to undertake an analysis of the Council drainage network in order to improve hydraulic performance and identify practical flood mitigation solutions for the 5 year Average Recurrence Interval (ARI) storm combined with climate change scenario (0.8 m sea level rise and 32% increase in rainfall intensity by 2100). The study focussed on ten (10) sub-catchments which contained only Council drainage assets. Catchments containing Melbourne Water assets, which drain catchment greater then 60ha (including catchments external to the City of Port Phillip) require regional scale flood mitigation assessments were beyond the scope of this study. The study identified potential options for each sub-catchment; modelled the preferred option’s to determine their effectiveness in mitigating localised flooding; and undertook a benefit cost analysis of the preferred option/s. A total of nineteen (19) location were identified for investigation of which six (6) were eliminated because of limited benefits and thirteen (13) found to have potential. Costs estimates for each solution ranged from $97,000 to $7.7 million (total estimated cost for all solutions was $28.5 million. A value assessment on the relative costs and benefits for each option was developed with the benefit based on the number of properties and building no longer subject to flooding as a result of the flood mitigation measure. The mitigation measures were then ranked in terms of value for money (cost per building saved from inundation) to provide twelve (12) options ranging from a cost per building saved of $15,900 up to $415,250. These options include: Tide gates (3) Retarding basin (1) Underground storage (4) Pipe upgrade (3) Raised pedestrian crossing (1) Further detailed investigation of these options has commenced and a Business Case will be developed for capital works funding in future years. PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 37 7. CONCLUSION 7.1 Amendment C111 Council as the Planning Authority for Amendment C111 respectfully requests that the Panel support adoption of the proposed amendment to update the SBO in the Port Phillip Planning Scheme. This amendment proposes to amend the Special Building Overlay to reflect the revised flood extent, by amending maps and replacing the existing schedule to Clause 44.05 with three new schedules to reflect the relevant authority responsible for the drainage network and to introduce additional planning permit exemptions in certain areas. The amendment is consistent with the State and local planning policy frameworks, and the mapping undertaken by both Council and Melbourne Water is in accordance with industry best practice and is accurate for the purpose of the broad application of an overlay. Council considers it important to fulfil its duty as Planning Authority to keep the planning scheme up to date. This includes ensuring the SBO reflects the most current assessment of properties subject to flooding, thereby reducing risk, increasing awareness and ensuring that flooding impacts do not worsen. 7.2 Council’s final position on the Amendment In considering all written submissions at its meeting on 14 July 2015, no specific changes to the exhibited amendment were proposed by Council. Council did, however, determine to do undertake the further technical review of 16 properties subject of submissions. The outcomes of this review have been detailed in Section 5 and APPENDIX 1, and propose that 11 properties be removed from the SBO as exhibited. Subject to the advice of this Panel, these changes to Amendment C111 will be recommended to Council at the adoption stage. PANEL SUBMISSION – AMENDMENT C111 – REVIEW OF THE SPECIAL BUILDING OVERLAY PAGE 38 APPENDICES Appendix 1 Further Technical Review Appendix 2 Drainage Maintenance Program Appendix 3 Pipe Upgrade under Capital Works Program Relevant Panel Reports Appendix 4* A. B. C. D. E. F. Bayside Amendment C1 Final Report NFPS Panel Report Glen Eira Amendment C16 Moreland Amendment C2 Moreland Amendment C50 Stonnington Amendment C18 Appendix 5* Flood Modelling – Updating Port Phillip Council Flood Modelling and Assessing the Impact of Climate Change (URS Aust. Pty Ltd, 2011) (main content only) Appendix 6 Clause 13 of the State Planning Policy Framework (prior to gazettal of Amendment VC94) *All appendices, except for 4 and 5 are included with the copies of the submission circulated at the hearing. Appendices 4 and 5 can be made available on request. All appendices to this report (including 4 and 5) will be made available online at after the Panel Hearing: http://www.portphillip.vic.gov.au/amendment-c111.htm Advice for Panel Members (only): A complete copy of the URS Report (Appendix 5) has been provided to the Panel and is in Tab 6 in Folder 2. APPENDIX 1 Further Technical Review APPENDIX 2 Drainage Maintenance Program APPENDIX 3 Pipe Upgrades under Capital Works Program APPENDIX 4 Relevant Planning Panel Reports A. B. C. D. E. F. Bayside Amendment C1 Final Report NFPS Panel Report Glen Eira Amendment C16 Moreland Amendment C2 Moreland Amendment C50 Stonnington Amendment C18 APPENDIX 5 Flood Modelling – Updating Port Phillip Council Flood Modelling and Assessing the Impact of Climate Change (URS Aust. Pty Ltd, 2011) (Referred to as “URS Report” in this submission) APPENDIX 6 Clause 13 of the State Planning Policy Framework (Previous version – prior to gazettal of Amendment VC94)