Assessing Atmospheric Pollen Dispersion and Gene Flow from Herbicide-resistant Horseweed Meilan Qi1§, Haiyan Huang2§, Rongjian Ye3§, Xiangzhen Li 4, David R. Miller 5, , David W. DuBois 6, Junming Wang2*, and C. Neal Stewart 3 1 School of Science, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, P. R. China 2 Illinois State Water Survey, Prairie Research Institute, University of Illinois at Urbana- Champaign, Champaign, IL, USA 3 Department of Plant Sciences, University of Tennessee, 2431 Joe Johnson Dr., Knoxville, TN, USA 4 Chengdu Institute of Biology, Chengdu, Sichuan, P. R. China 5 Department of Natural Resources and Environment, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT, USA 6 Department of Plant and Environmental Sciences, New Mexico State University, Las Cruces, NM, USA § * These authors contributed to the work equally. Corresponding author: Illinois State Water Survey, Prairie Research Institute,University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, 2204 Griffith Dr., Champaign, IL 61820-7463, wangjim@illinois.edu, Voice: (217) 300-2529, FAX: (217) 244-0220 1 Summary 1. Horseweed (Conyza canadensis) with evolved herbicide resistance has become an especially problematic weed in crop production across the United States. The resistant horseweed can pollinate regular horseweed and spread herbicide resistance through gene flow. 2. Although horseweed pollen dispersal is wind-borne, there is little knowledge, preventive guidelines, and mechanism modeling in regards to gene flow (dynamic pollen dispersion, deposition, and final outcrossing), especially on the relationship of pollen dispersion, deposition, and outcrossing with different atmospheric conditions, herbicide-resistant horseweed patch size, pollen size, buffer crop type, height, and field size. 3. A pollen dispersion and deposition model was calibrated and validated using 2013 field experimental data. Regression slope and correlation coefficient of the measured vs simulated pollen concentration were 0.99 and 0.6, respectively; the slope and coefficient of determination of measured vs. simulated pollen deposition were 1.29 and 0.4, respectively. 4. The validated model was run for various combinations of atmospheric conditions, horseweed characteristics, and different buffer plants and sizes. Pollen dispersion, deposition, and the potential outcrossing ratio with distance were obtained under the different conditions. 2 5. Although the horseweed characteristics and atmospheric conditions cannot be controlled in field conditions, crop fields with high leaf area densities, tall heights, and a large field sizes can effectively prevent pollen dispersion. 6. Synthesis: This study provided information on the pollen gene flow and invasion from herbicide-resistant horseweeds under different environmental and cropping conditions. The information will help provide guidelines for preventing herbicide-resistance spread/gene flow from herbicide-resistant weeds and genetically modified plants in general. Keywords: Gene flow, herbicide resistance, horseweed, modeling, pollen dispersion Introduction The evolution of glyphosate resistance (GR) in weedy species places an environmentally benign herbicide in peril. Horseweed (Conyza canadensis) with evolved GR has become an especially problematic weed in crop production across the United States. This plant is considered a significant agricultural weed because it can reduce agricultural yields by 90% at high densities and becomes problematic under low-tillage agriculture (Bruce & Kells, 1990; Shields et al., 2006). The spread of GR horseweed has been rapid, with resistant populations covering millions of acres in corn (Zeamays L.), soybean, and cotton (Gossypium hirsutum L.) fields in the US (Heap, 2014). Horseweed gene flow studies have been conducted (e.g., Bruce & Kells, 1990; Dauer et al., 2006, 2007, and 2009; Henry et al., 2008; Regehr & Bazzaz, 1979; Shields et al., 3 2006; Weaver, 2001). Horseweed is self-compatible (Shields et al., 2006), and Smisek (1995) found that 96% of florets were self-pollinated and the outcrossing rate averaged only about 4% . Therefore, horseweed gene flow studies have been focused on seed spread (Dauer et al., 2006, and 2007; Shields et al., 2006) instead of pollen transport, pollination, and outcrossing. However, the transfer of GR via pollen as a mechanism of gene flow, in addition to long-distance seed movement, is troubling because it could aid in the evolution of multiple resistance (Henry et al., 2008). Even a single outcrossed plant can produce more than 200,000 seeds (Bhowmik & Bekech 1993; Weaver 2001). Although horseweed pollen dispersal is described as wind-borne, there is no knowledge, preventive guidelines, and mechanism modeling in regards to gene flow (dynamic pollen dispersion, deposition, and final outcrossing) for GR horseweed. In particular, little information is available on the relationship of gene flow with atmospheric conditions (wind speed, direction, wind variability, and atmospheric stability), buffer plant type, height, and size, pollen size, and GR horseweed patch size. Spatial and temporal extrapolation of gene flow measurements are most efficient using numerical models. The most useful models for gene flow will be those that can be used to dynamically predict pollen transport, deposition, and final outcrossing from individual locations and then scale up to landscape and regional scales. Various descriptive models have been used to depict pollen dispersal in horizontal or vertical planes (Fitt et al., 1987; Haldane, 1948; Levin & Kerster, 1974; Kareiva et al., 1994; McCartney, 1994; Wright, 1943). Yet these descriptive models do not have the power to analyze the effects of controlling factors, should not be extrapolated outside the 4 observation range, and cannot simulate or predict the dynamics of the dispersal process (Emberlin et al., 1999). Some comprehensive models of atmospheric transport are quite well developed for simulating transport processes in and above vegetation canopies (Aylor, 1982; Aylor & Ferrendino, 1989; Aylor & Flesch, 2001; Klein et al., 2003; Okubo & Levin, 1989; Raupach, 1993; Raupach et al., 1998; Tufto et al., 1997; Wang & Yang, 2010; Yang et al., 1991). Transport models can be broadly classified as Lagrangian or Eulerian based on the type of reference frame used for formulation (Shirolkar, et al., 1996). The application of Eulerian models for estimating scalar transfer by turbulence within and above plant canopies has been limited by the inability to treat the dispersion of material from nearby sources well. Lagrangian models do not suffer from this deficiency since they consider the diffusion of materials from both nearby and far away sources explicitly (Van den Hurk & Baldocchi, 1990). The objectives of this paper were to calibrate and validate a Lagrangian model for GR horseweed pollen gene flow simulation, and then run the model to find the gene flow with different atmospheric conditions, buffer plant type, height, and size, pollen size, and GR horseweed patch size. Materials and Methods Lagrangian model The Lagrangian model in Wang & Yang (2010) was used to simulate horseweed pollen dispersion. The random flight of each pollen particle is simulated in a sequence of short time steps, during each of which the particle moves: 5 dx [u u ]dt , dy vdt , dz ( w v s )dt (1) where u is the mean alongwind velocity at the present height of the particle; u , v , and w are the alongwind, crosswind, and vertical turbulent velocities; and v s is the settling velocity of the pollen grain (0.02 m/s for horseweed pollen, settling speed was calculated based on Stoks law (2014) and pollen density in van Hout et al., 2008). The velocity fluctuations have been formulated in a Markov chain approach based on inputs of u* (the friction velocity, m/s), wind direction (degree), and L (the Monin Obokov length, m). The pollen release height was from 0.5 m to 1.3 m. The instantaneous concentration (grains/m3) at a location is calculated as the number of pollen grains in a unit volume at that location and time. The average concentration during an averaging time period is the average of the instant concentrations. Pollen grains intercepted by plants were determined by the probability that a pollen grain was intercepted during a time step based on the canopy horizontal and vertical projection of element area density and pollen grain speed, as described in Wang & Yang (2010). Table 1 listed the plant characteristics used in this paper. Pollen deposition flux density (grains/m2/s) at the height of 0.5 m (lowest flower height of horseweed) was calculated as the concentration at 0.8 m at the corresponding horizontal location multiplied by deposition velocity (0.26 m/s). The deposition velocity was obtained from experimental data (Fig. 1). Details of the experimental method will be explained in the following experiments section. Outcrossing 6 Henry et al. (2008) found that adjacent GR to Glyphosate susceptible (GS) horseweeds had an outcrossing ratio of 4%. If the pollen outcrossing ratio was linearly related to a total pollen vertical flux (grains/m2) like corn (Wang et al., 2006), the outcrossing ratio of source GR horseweeds to a GS horseweed was estimated as 0.04 (4%) multiplied by the ratio of deposition of the GS horseweed to source strength. The outcrossed seed number at a location (seed grains/plant) was estimated as 200,000 grains/plant multiplied by the corresponding outcrossing ratio. Experiments Experiments of GR horseweed pollen emission and dispersion were conducted at the Research Farm, University of Tennessee at Knoxville (Latitude: 35º 53 46.57 N; Longitude:83 º 57 35.99 W; Elevation:250 m). The sampling time period was during horseweed pollination season from August 5th, 2013 to September 27th, 2013 (Fig. 1). Source plants were GR horseweeds with a field diameter of 6 m. The density was 4 plants/ m2. The plant height was 1.3 m. The atmospheric conditions for model inputs were measured using an anemometer at the height of 2.6 m in the center of the field (CSAT3, Campbell Sci, Utah, IL). The average u* was 0.15±0.05 m/s (ranged from 0.04 to 0.44 m/s); mean wind direction was 223±55º (ranged from 1 to 346 º); and mean L was -0.1±15 m (ranged from -55 to 317 m). Pollen concentration sampling In pollen dispersal experiments, pollen concentration (grains/m3) was measured using columns of Rotorod samplers (Model 20, Sampling Technologies, Inc., MN, USA) in the downwind sampling line. One column of Rotorod samplers was located in the center of the source to measure the horizontal flux (grains/m2/s) profiles of source 7 production and release (Fig. 2). Other columns of Rotorod samplers were set up in the prevailing wind direction. Pollen deposition sampling Microscope slides (2.5 cm 7.5 cm) covered with silicon grease (Sampling Technologies, Inc., MN, USA) were used to measure the deposition flux density (grains/m2/s) at 0.5 m heights along the sampling lines. Details of the experimental setup are provided in Fig. 2. Pollen concentration and deposition sampling were conducted throughout the pollination season. The sampling period for the collectors was 2 hr to 3 hr during the daytime (7:00-19:30). Timers on the Rotorod samplers were used to provide different intermittent samplings, as determined by the capacity of the Rotorod samplers to avoid being overloaded. New fresh sampling rods and slides were placed for each new sampling period. Pollen concentration, deposition, source strength, and atmospheric parameters during each experimental period were obtained following Wang & Yang (2010). There were a total of 34 sampling periods with greater than 0 pollen grains/plant/s source strength. The data of concentration at 0.8 m height and deposition flux density at 0.5 m height at the Rotorod pole locations during the first 17 periods were used to calibrate the deposition velocity (Fig. 1). The remaining data were used to validate the model. Model application 8 After validation, the model was applied to predict effects of source strength, horseweed patch size, buffer plant type and size, pollen settling speed, and the atmospheric parameters on pollen dispersion and outcrossing from GR horseweeds. The default parameters are listed in Table 2. Typical noon time atmospheric parameters (u* and L) were used for atmospheric inputs. Measured average source strength was used as the default source strength. The default patch size of the horseweed was 1 m radius circle area that contained 13 horseweed plants (4 plants/m2). The default buffer (surrounding crop field) was grass ground. The model was also used to simulate potential gene flow with different horseweed patch sizes (0.2 to 100 m), different source strengths (0.2 to 83.3 grains/plant/s), buffer plants, buffer sizes (0 to 200 m), wind strengths (u* from 0.05 to 1.5 m/s), atmospheric stabilities (L from -1,000 to 1,000 m), and pollen settling speeds (0.05 to 0.34 m/s). The domain of the simulations was set by the distance where the deposition flux density was reduced to 0.1% of source strength. The total simulation period was from 15 min to 2 h corresponding to the distance. The model outputs 3-D concentration (grains/m3), 2-D deposition flux density (grains/m2/s) at 0.5 m height, and 2-D outcrossing ratio from the source plant. The deposition output was accumulated over time for the whole pollination season. The 1% and 0.1% distances (at which the predicted pollen deposition flux density was 1% and 0.1% of the source strength, respectively) were determined along the prevailing wind direction. 9 For all simulations except for different source sizes, the total deposition flux (TDF, grains/m2) during the pollen viable period (2 h, Aylor et al., 2003) was estimated at each prediction location by multiplying the deposition flux density by 2 h. In simulations for different source sizes, the grand total pollen deposition flux for the whole pollination season was estimated by multiplying the deposition flux density by the daily shedding time of 12.5 h (7:00-19:30) and the pollination season. The 1% and 0.1% distances for total deposition flux in the prevailing wind direction were used as the distance where the deposition flux density was 1% and 0.1% of the source strength. Similarly, the 1% and 0.1% distances in the prevailing wind direction for outcrossing ratio are the distances where the outcrossing ratio was 1% and 0.1%. Results Model validation The model simulated pollen plumes reasonably. Figure 3 shows a sample output from the model with u*=0.1 m/s and L=-1 m. As expected, concentration plume height increased with distance and concentration decreased with height and distance; deposition decreased with downwind and cross wind distances. Compared with experimental data, the ratio of simulated to the measured concentration was 0.99 and the correlation coefficient was 0.6 (Fig. 4). The ratio of 10 simulated to the measured deposition flux density was 1.29 and the correlation coefficient was 0.4. Model application The model was run to simulate pollen dispersion under different environmental conditions. With increased horseweed amounts, the 1% and 0.1% distances increased (Table 3). If there is one horseweed plant in a field, it may have 1% and 0.1% deposition distances at 1 and 7 m, respectively, which can potentially produce 80 seed grains/plant at 7 m. That means that even though there may only be several GR horseweeds in a field, the GR gene flow potential is large. The total deposition flux during a period is linearly related to source strength as shown in Table 4. Even though the release rate of pollen is the average source strength from 13 plants (radius of 1 m area, 2 grains/plant/s), the total deposition flux at the 1% and 0.1% distances can be high (187,200 and 18,720 grains/m2). With increased wind speed, the average pollen flight time and travel distance increased (Table 5), while the 1% and 0.1% distance decreased. This implies that, although large wind speed can disperse pollen to further distances, it can dilute pollen concentration and then decrease deposition density. The 1% and 0.1% distances of pollen transport reached a maximum under neutral atmospheric stability conditions and generally decreased with distance from neutral, either from neutral to very unstable or from neutral to very stable condition (Table 6). This can be explained as follows. Under unstable conditions, strong turbulence may 11 dilute the pollen concentration and then the deposition by increasing the spread. Under a stable condition, the pollen can be transported further with little downward mixing in the more laminar air than under a neutral condition (with vertical mixing air) and therefore, it diluted the pollen concentration and deposition. Because there was not much vegetation to intercept the pollen on the grass land the 1% and 0.1% distances were highest on the grass land buffer among all the buffer plants (grass, soybean, sweet and grain corn) (Table 7). Although soybean is shorter than corn, its leaf area density was much larger than corn (Table 1). Therefore, the 1% and 0.1% distances were smaller in the soybean buffer field than in the corn field. Although grain corn (2.83 m) was taller than sweet corn (1.71 m), the 1% and 0.1% distances were similar in the two buffer fields. The reason may be that although taller plants can intercept more pollen, they can decrease the wind speed more than shorter ones, resulting in less dilution of the pollen concentration and deposition. As expected, if the buffer field size increased, it decreased the 1% and 0.1% distances (Table 8). If the buffer size increased to 50 m (grain corn), all the pollen can be blocked by the buffer and there were no pollen grains deposited after the buffer. If the pollen settling speed increased (pollen size increased with different plant species), the pollen transport distance decreased (Table 9). Corn pollen is the largest pollen in nature and has a settling speed of 0.34 m/s. The 1% and 0.1% distances were estimated at only 5 m and 13 m, respectively, while the distances of horseweed pollen were 13 and 55 m, respectively, because of its lighter settling speed of 0.02 m/s. Discussion 12 Model validation The model performance is comparable to the literature. For example, in the dispersion model review paper (Weil. et al., 1992), one Gaussian dispersion model gave a correlation coefficient of r=0.14 between measured and simulated gas pollutant concentrations from a power plant stack (regression slope of simulated vs measured concentration was 1). After the model was improved with a better buoyancy component, the r=0.58 (slope =1). The model in this study had r=0.6 for pollen concentration simulation (slope=0.99) and had r=0.4 for pollen deposition simulation (slope=1.29). Gene flow prevention Pollen dispersion is affected by wind speed, atmospheric stability, horseweed patch size, source strength, pollen settling speed, and buffer plant type and size. While the atmospheric factors and horseweed characteristics cannot be controlled, buffer crop type and field size can be chosen to better prevent pollen dispersion. In this study, the buffer plants with a higher leaf area density and larger field size can better prevent pollen dispersion. Acknowledgements The authors gratefully acknowledge financial support for this research from USDANIFA-AFRI- Controlling Weedy and Invasive Plants Grant (2012-67013-19687), and the support from the Illinois State Water Survey at the University of Illinois at UrbanaChampaign. We thank the excellent programming work by Ms. Xiufen Cui. Opinions expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the Illinois State Water 13 Survey, the Prairie Research Institute, the University of Illinois, or the University of Tennessee. References Aylor, D.E. (1982) Modeling spore dispersal in a barley crop. Agricultural Meteorology, 26, 215-219. Aylor, D.E. & Ferrendino, F.J. 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Journal of Applied Meteorology, 31, 1121–1145. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520-0450(1992)031<1121:EAQMRA>2.0.CO;2 Wright, S. (1943) Isolation by distance. Genetics, 28, 114-138. Yang, X., Madden, L.V. & Brazee, R.D. (1991) Application of the diffusion equation for modeling splash dispersion of point-source pathogens. New Phytologist, 118, 2, 295- 301. Table 1. Canopy characteristics of horseweed, corn, and soybean. LAD: leaf area density; Fx: the proportion of leaf area projection on horizontal ground; Fz: the proportion of leaf area projection in the vertical direction; Lv: the stem average diameter. Corn data was from Wang and Yang, 2010. Horseweed and soybean data were measured in this study by sampling 4 plants. Level Height (cm) 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 114-130 98-114 81-98 65-81 49-65 33-49 16-33 0-16 Level Height (cm) 8 7 6 79-90 68-79 56-68 Horseweed LAD (m3/m2) 0.000 0.000 0.044 0.044 0.044 0.044 0.032 0.032 Fx Fz 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 1.00 1.00 1.00 Lv (m) 0.003 0.003 0.005 0.005 0.004 0.004 0.002 0.002 Soybean LAD (m3/m2) 0.14 7.11 7.11 Fx Fz 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.42 0.42 0.42 LAD (m3/m2) 0.000 0.000 0.000 17 5 4 3 2 1 45-56 34-45 23-34 11-23 0-11 Level Height (cm) 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 150-171 128-150 107-128 86-107 64 -86 43-64 21.-43 0-21 Level Height (cm) 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 248-283 212-248 177-212 142-177 106-142 71-106 35-71 0-35 7.11 5.9 5.9 5.9 1.13 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.50 0.50 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.87 0.87 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 Sweet Corn LAD (m3/m2) 0.10 0.82 1.42 1.47 1.30 1.56 1.20 0.35 Fx Fz 0.04 0.60 0.68 0.78 0.76 0.71 0.63 0.59 0.99 0.75 0.70 0.55 0.56 0.65 0.66 0.69 LAD (m3/m2) 0.038 0.075 0.087 0.065 0.073 0.051 0.046 0.042 Grain Corn LAD (m3/m2) 0.18 1.15 2.30 2.40 2.74 1.87 1.38 0.30 Fx Fz 0.14 0.68 0.55 0.75 0.60 0.52 0.58 0.58 0.98 0.60 0.69 0.59 0.65 0.76 0.69 0.52 LAD (m3/m2) 0.011 0.038 0.055 0.046 0.054 0.052 0.047 0.037 Table 2. Default conditions used for simulations of different source field sizes, source strengths, buffer heights, buffer field sizes, atmospheric conditions, and pollen sizes. Pollen Horseweed u* L Source strength settling patch size: Buffer (m/s) (m) (Grains/plant/s) speed radius (m) (m/s) Grass 0.2 -15 2 1 0.02 land 18 Table 3. 1% and 0.1% deposition flux distances simulated from different size source fields (where the grand total deposition fluxes were 200,000 and 20,000 grains/m2, outcrossing ratios were 0.004 and 0.0004 and outcrossed seed numbers were 800 and 80 seeds/plant, respectively). (See Table 2 for the default atmospheric and plant conditions.) Source Radius Plant 1% Distance 0.1% Distance /m number /m /m 0.28 1 1 7 1 13 13 55 5 314 89 255 10 1256 167 481 20 5024 300 756 56 39388 627 1609 100 125600 891 2057 Table 4. Predicted total deposition flux (TDF, grains/m2) during 2-h period at 1% and 0.1% distances from 3.14 m2 (1 m radius, 13plants) herbicide-resistant horseweed plants for different source strengths under normal atmospheric conditions (see Table 2 for the default weather and plant conditions) TDF at 1% distance TDF at 1% distance of Source Strength of 13 m 55 m (grains/plant/s) 2 (grains/m ) (grains/m2) 0.2 18,720 1,872 2 187,200 18,720 8.3 776,880 77,688 16.7 1,563,120 156,312 33.3 3,116,880 311,688 83.3 7,796,880 779,688 Table 5. Predicted 1% and 0.1% distances and pollen average flight time (not deposited or intercepted) and flight distances during two-hour simulation period from 3.14 m2 (1 m radius) herbicide-resistant horseweed plants for different u* (see Table 2 for the default weather and plant conditions) Average Wind speed at Average 1% Distance 0.1% Distance Horizontal u* one meter above Flight (TDF = 187,200) (TDF = 18,720) Flight (m/s) canopy time (m) (m) Distance (m /s) (s) (m) 0.05 0.32 30 90 3,288 2,687 0.1 0.63 22 75 4,036 6,628 19 0.2 1.27 13 57 2,538 8,264 0.3 1.90 9 49 1,800 8,821 0.8 5.07 3 27 725 9,467 1.5 9.51 2 16 393 9,638 Table 6. Predicted 1% and 0.1% distances with total deposition flux (TDF, grains/m2) during two-hour period from 3.14 m2 (1 m radius) herbicide-resistant horseweed plants for different atmospheric stabilities (see Table 2 for the default weather and plant conditions) 1% Distance 0.1% Distance L Atmospheric state (TDF =187,200 ) (TDF = 18,720) (m) (m) (m) -5 Very unstable 9 39 -15 Moderate unstable 13 59 -50 Unstable 17 72 -1000 Neutral 24 87 1000 Slightly stable 18 56 50 Stable 17 61 Table 7. Predicted 1% and 0.1% distances with total deposition flux (TDF, grains/m2) during a two-hour simulation period from 3.14 m2 (1 m radius) herbicide-resistant plants for different buffer plants under normal atmospheric condition (see Table 2 for the default weather and plant conditions). 0.1% Distance Buffer 1% Distance (TDF = height Buffer plant (TDF = 187,200 ) 18,720) /m (m) (m) 0.2 Grass ground 13 59 0.9 Soybean 8 20 1.71 Sweet corn 11 26 2.83 Grain corn 13 23 Table 8. Predicted 1% and 0.1% distances with total deposition flux (TDF, grains/m2) during two-hour simulation period from 3.14 m2 herbicide-resistant plants for different buffer sizes (buffer plant characteristics used grain corn data; see Table 2 for the default weather and plant conditions). 20 Buffer Size (m) 1% Distance (TDF = 187,200 ) (m) 0.1% Distance (TDF = 18,720) (m) % deposition at buffer downwind boundary 0 12 54 29 5 2 32 7 10 1 16 2 20 0 1 0.2 30 0 0 0.01 50 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 200 0 0 0 Table 9. Predicted 1% and 0.1% distances during two-hour period from 3.14 m2 herbicide-resistant plants for different pollen settling speeds under normal atmospheric conditions (see Table 2 for the default weather and plant conditions; TDF = total deposition flux, grains/m2).The settling speed was calculated following Stoke’s law (2014) and pollen density (van Hout et al., 2008). Species Pollen 1% Distance 0.1% Distance Settling speed diameter (TDF = 187,200) (TDF = 18,720) (m / s) (µm) (m) (m) Horseweed (Ye, R. et al., 21 0.02 13 55 2014,unpublished) Sunflower (Baghali et al., 27.5 0.03 13 53 2011) Rice (Dai et al., 2006) 42 0.07 13 45 Switchgrass (Ge et al., 54 0.10 11 43 2011) Corn (Wang and Yang, 100 0.34 5 13 2010) 21 Deposition (grains/m2/s) 60 50 40 y = 0.26x r= 0.8 30 20 10 0 0 50 100 150 200 250 Concentration (grains/m3) Figure 1. Deposition velocity calibration (ratio of deposition divided by concentration) using half of the experimental data (first 17 sets of 34 experimental periods). r is the correlation coefficient of the simulated and the measured data (P<0.001). 22 N E W S 24m 12m 6m 3m 1.5m 0.5m 1m 6m 3m 3m 0.75m 0.75m 1.0m 0.75m 0.75m 2.6m 0.5m 0.5m 0.8m 0.8m Rotorod pole (3.55m) 1.3m Rotorod pole (3.05m) 0.5m Slide pole Anemometer Horseweed plant Figure 2. Schematic sketch of experimental setup. Locations of the sampling poles in the field (top) and vertical positions of the samplers on the poles (bottom). 23 Figure 3. One sample output from the model during a noon time 15 min simulation period, when u* = 0.1 m/s, wind direction = 0, L = -1 m. The source had a radius of 6 m. The arrow in the deposition graph shows the wind direction. Top: concentration with height and downwind distance; bottom: deposition flux density with distance. 24 Model concentration (grains/m3) 1000 y = 0.99x r =0.6 100 10 1 0.1 1 10 100 1000 0.1 Measured concentration (grains/m3) Figure 4. Simulated vs. measured pollen concentration. r is the correlation coefficient of the simulated and the measured data (P<0.001). Simulated deposition (grains/m2/s) 100 y = 1.29x r=0.4 10 1 0.1 1 10 100 0.1 Measured deposition (grains/m2/s) Figure 5. Simulated vs measured pollen deposition flux. r is the correlation coefficient of the simulated and the measured data (P<0.001). 25