10th Wageningen International Conference on Chain and Network Management Wageningen, 23-25 May 2012 STUDY OF COMPETITIVENESS OF CATTLE AND BEEF SYSTEM IN NEUQUÉN PROVINCE, ARGENTINA BY USING THE EPESA METHOD. Senesi, Sebastián Sub-Director Food and Agribusiness Program School of Agronomy-UBA Email: ssenesi@agro.uba.ar Napolitano, Gustavo Food and Agribusiness Program School of Agronomy-UBA Email: gnapolit@agro.uba.ar Palau, Hernán Food and Agribusiness Program School of Agronomy-UBA Email: hpalau@agro.uba.ar ABSTRACT The objective of this paper is to present the study of competitiveness of the cattle and beef system applied for the Government of the Province of Neuquén, following the methodology called EPESA (Study and Strategic Planning of the Agribusiness System). The paper includes a quantification of the economic and product flows, a diagnosis in term of institutional, organizational, technological and commercial environments, a competitive analysis of the system, comparing with other cattle and beef systems in Argentina and the description of transactions and attributes of transactions in the whole system. All this information is used for formulating a strategic plan. Key words: strategic lines, quantification of the system, institutions, organizations, transactions. Track: Managing Wicked Problems: The Role of Multi-Stakeholder Engagement, Resources and Value Creation 1 STUDY OF COMPETITIVENESS OF CATTLE AND BEEF SYSTEM IN NEUQUÉN PROVINCE, ARGENTINA BY USING THE EPESA METHOD. 1. INTRODUCTION The province of Neuquén, in Argentina Patagonia, currently has over 200,000 head of cattle in over 1,300 livestock farms (0.4% of the national totals). Bovine slaughter in the province of Neuquén has increased almost 400% since 2001. Due to the present health status of the province regarding foot-and-mouth disease (FMD-free without vaccination throughout most of its territory), cattle raising stands out as a very important present and future activity, especially with respect to beef consumption within the province and beef exports to countries of the FMD-free circuit, countries that demand high quality beef at very high prices. On the other hand, livestock production in the area is currently practiced using extensive methods, with little technological development; there exists a potential to increase productivity of the livestock and the farms. In order to improve the productive question and therefore increase beef production in the province, innovations are necessary in the institutional, organizational and technological environment that will directly impact the commercial scene. To this effect, the province of Neuquén, together with the CFI (Consejo Federal de Inversiones – Federal Investment Council), have contracted the services of the Food and Agribusiness Program (School of Agronomy-UBA, Argentina) to conduct a systemic study of cattle raising and beef consumption in this province, by using the EPESA (“Study and Strategic Planning of the Agribusiness System”; EPESA refers to the Spanish words) method. The EPESA method is an interesting tool in order to better understand the bovine Agribusiness System (ABS) of the province of Neuquén, by studying not only the technological aspects related to productivity but also the institutional and organizational environments that contribute to the systemic competitiveness of the ABS. It aims to be a participative method, with strong support from local public and private actors –at primary, industry and commercial levels–, leveraged by several group activities. “The actors’ participation is also important to establish trust, ties and communion, in short, to create a space for dialogue that will improve the capacity to generate collective actions, to expand knowledge collectively and to build social capital” (Senesi, 2009). Therefore, this study sets out to formulate a diagnosis of the productive and commercial situation of cattle raising and beef consumption in the province of Neuquén, and later establish a series of strategic actions together with the provincial government. Its object is sustained by the proposal to: “produce, process and distribute high quality beef, differentiated by origin, identity preservation and quality certification, with the object of accessing markets, satisfying consumers and creating value for stockbreeders, within the framework of sustainable development in the Province” (Ordóñez, H., 1994). 2. PROCEDURES 2.1. Theoretical framework The study of the bovine ABS cannot be done by using the classic economic assumptions. Traditionally, economics has been studied by means of “neoclassical economics.” This paradigm points at explaining the functioning of the economic system based on the following 2 assumptions: An infinite number of buyers and sellers, transparency in the transactions, complete contracts, homogeneous products, complete information, factor mobility, freedom to enter and exit, prices based on supply and demand. According to Hoff et al. (1993), “neoclassical theory explains the economic system adequately when markets ‘function’ reasonably well, but fails when there are missing markets and price is not all that is needed to adjust and carry out transactions.” Based on Coase (1937, 1960) a new theory has been developed to study economic systems: “transaction cost economic theory” (Coleman, 1998), which takes the transaction as the basic unit for analysis. There arose a concept elaborated by Williamson (1985) on the basis of preceding works: “the new institutional economics” (NIE), based on historical processes with institutional changes (North, 1990), on the economy of property rights (Demzsetz, 1967), on the theory of the firm and transaction costs (Williamson, 1985), and on the agency theory (Arrow, 1963, 1968; Jensen and Meckling, 1976). The NIE approach uses several theories in order to understand how the economy works (Kherallah & Kirsten, 2001) and how the economic agents behave in terms of the transactions and strategies. The main difference between neoclassical theory and the new institutional economics is that the latter analyzes the institutions, since the legal structure that the laws, contracts and property rights enforce is relevant to the economy (Hoff et al., 1993). The new institutional economics (NIE) poses two propositions: 1) “institutions do matter” and 2) “the determinants of institutions are susceptible to analysis by means of the tools of economic theory” (Matthews, 1986). One of the objectives of the NIE is to try to explain the determinants of informal and formal institutions1 and their continuity —or lack of it— in time and to “evaluate the impact of these in economic performance” (Nabli & Nugent, 1989); that is to say, the level of transaction costs that exists under this or that institutional system. North (1990) mentions that if property rights are not properly defined in the institutional environment, or if they present weakness, the path to growth and development needs them to be created or strengthened. NIE also mentions that in the real economy there are costs, always positive, called “transaction costs”, which are not taken into consideration by neoclassical economics. Transactions costs are those incurred before (ex-ante) and after (ex-post) the transaction itself. They are the not-always-visible costs that arise from negotiating, designing and carrying out a transaction,–ex-ante–; and the costs that arise from a bad negotiation, adjustment and/or safeguard of the contract in question –ex-post–, whether these are caused by mistakes, omissions and/or unexpected alterations (Williamson, 1993) or opportunist actions (Hallwood, 1990). In the end, transaction costs are “functioning costs of the economic system” (Arrow apud Williamson, 1985). Uncertainty is the main source of transaction costs. Institutional uncertainty is due to constant changes in the rules of the game or to poor enforcement of the law. Institutions are a society’s rules of the game. They are the formal (laws, decrees, etc.) and informal (culture, customs) norms that rule business and transactions among other things. Institutions and their enforcement are responsible for the operation of organizations (the economic agents or “players”) within the legal or formal framework. The higher the respect of the laws and customs, i.e., the stronger the enforcement of the laws and contracts, the lower the institutional uncertainty and, therefore, the lower the transaction costs at macro level. 1 By informal institution we understand the culture, customs and other influences that rule informally over men and business. Formal institutions are the laws, regulations and other legal resolutions that rule over men and business. 3 At organizational level, the higher or lower level of uncertainty is due to behavior assumptions: bounded rationality (Simon, 1962) and opportunism (Arrow, 1963, 1968; Akerlof, 1970). These phenomena influence lack of information –what is known as incomplete/asymmetrical/imperfect information theory”– and lack of information generates uncertainty regarding future events. This organizational uncertainty leads to micro transaction costs. Associativism of the economic agents at horizontal or vertical level depends on enforcement of the law and contracts. In those environments where opportunism and bounded rationality are significant, there are fewer incentives for the players to want to develop links with other agents for fear of being duped or running with higher transaction costs due to these alliances (Palau, 2005). Therefore, the most common governance structures for the development of transactions are the typical spot market (coordination via prices) and the firm or vertical integration (coordination via control), depending on the de la specificity of the asset2 involved. Williamson (1993) states that with a low level of asset specificity and high levels of uncertainty, transactions via the market are the most efficient, since the risks of opportunism and rationality limited are avoided. In the meantime, as the level of specificity of the asset rises, vertical integration –internalization of externalities– appear as the superior option to minimize fixed, variable and transaction costs. Hybrid forms, contracts or alliances (coordination via incentives) are only possible with low levels of uncertainty, a result of respect for the laws, contracts and rights, in this case, property rights. Ordóñez (2002) summarizes the paradigm of the new institutional economics: “the analysis of the real dynamics of business from a theoretical perspective found a series of difficulties in orthodox neoclassical economics. The assumptions of perfect competition […] are not always present in the real world of the economy and business.” Coase (1937) called this approach ‘Nirvana economics’ or ‘chalkboard economics’. The world of real economy or business is a world of imperfect competition: A reduced number of economic agents, differentiated products, incomplete information, restrictions to the mobility of factors and entrance barriers. Coase (1998) proposes then an approach to the economic problem from the point of view of economics, law, political science, social psychology and anthropology, in such a way that its most complex aspects may be included. It is in this sense that the new institutional economics approach is created. 2.2. The EPESA Method. The authors follow the method “Study and Strategic Planning of the Agribusiness System” (EPESA) (Senesi, 2009). This method was built on the basis of a methodological combination between the chain approach (Ordóñez, 1999) and the GESIS method (Fava Neves, 2007), complemented with the new institutional economics theoretical framework. This methodological approach is summarized in Figure 2.1: 2 Specific assets are those assets whose value depends on the continuity of contractual relations. 4 Figure 2.1. EPESA Method: “Study and Strategic Planning of the Agribusiness System” 1 – Initiative of leaders within the productive, industrial System, Government, and universities 2– Quantitative and qualitative mapping of the Agribusiness System 3– Establishment of a Vertical Organization within the System 4 – Planning and strategic management design for the Agribusiness System 5– Consolidation and management of the prepared projects and contract designs Source: Adapted by Senesi (2009), based on Fava Neves (2007) and Ordóñez (1999) 1. Initiative of leaders within the productive system and research institutes/universities to plan the future of a productive system The EPESA process should start from the initiative of some existing organization within the sector (normally a sectoral organization), along with the Government, universities and research institutes, eager to organize a process of planning and a future approach for the productive system. 2. Mapping and quantification of the Agribusiness System (ABS) (chain, network, netchain) The mapping and quantification stage may be summarized in six phases: a) review of existing studies; b) description and definition of the agribusiness system; c) description for executives; d) research in associations; e) interviews with experts and executives from companies; f) quantification. 3. Establishment of a Vertical Organization within the System The establishment of a vertical organization may contribute to achieve objectives such as: a) organization and exchange of information; b) a forum for strategy discussion; c) flexible organization in order to gain and utilize resources, etc. 4. Planning and Strategic Management Design for the Agribusiness System This stage has the following components: a) qualitative and quantitative defining and description of the abs; b) discrete structural analysis; c) analysis of transactions and governance structures –i) transaction space; ii) coordination analysis–; d) analysis of the consumption; e) analysis of the competitive environment; f) diagnostic tools (i.e.: SWOT analysis); g) setting of scenarios and futures strategies. In this paper, the authors use only those elements of the EPESA method that contribute to the analysis (step 2) and planning and strategic phase (step 4). Step 1 will not be described, due to the initiative was already launched by the province of Neuquén, Argentina, as it was explained at the introduction of this paper. On the other hand, steps 3 and 5 were not taken into consideration since there were not included in the consultancy project. Step 2 “mapping and quantification of the productive system” has the following 6 phases: Table Error! No text of specified style in document..1: Phases of the EPESA method applied to the present study (each phase includes when it has been done during the project) Phases a. Review of existing studies Procedures Carrying out reviewing of existing private or public studies, sectoral diagnoses and cases of relevant companies. February 2010. 5 Phases b. Description and defining of the ABS Procedures Design of the ABS through “boxes”, respecting product flow, extending from supplies to the final consumer. Specifying the system implies defining it according to the object of study: i) Level of analysis (Meso-system, System, Subsystem or Strictly Coordinated sub-systems –Ordóñez, 1999); ii) Field of analysis (supply chain, networks/netchains or food and agriculture districts –Ordóñez, 1999); iii) Products/services portfolio; iv) Regional sub-systems and/or strategic groups. March 2010. c. Description for executives within the private sector and other experts. d. Research in associations and institutions e. Interviews with experts and executives from companies With the first draft of the description, some in-depth interviews with executives from companies acting in the sector, and other experts (researchers, sectoral leaders, among others), must be carried out in order to adapt the design proposed. April 2010 f. Quantification and strategy proposals Herein all information obtained is processed and added to the system description, following the name of the industry. Thus, the data are sent to the contributing companies that will analyze the values. The companies send the data back with commentaries and contributions. June 2010. g. Workshop for mapping and prioritizing strategies In the final phase a workshop for presenting results and discussing numbers takes place. Afterwards, in the final part of the event, there are created small discussion groups seeking the fulfillment of strategic actions presented and summarized in plenary section are created. July 2010. Some private associations provide their members with information about the ABS, many times even on the Internet. May 2010. Interviews with buying directors will be carried out, trying to estimate the market from the opposite side of the system link. Interviews oriented towards focusing on competitive business keys, group of strengths/opportunities and of threats/weaknesses. Critical points of competitiveness. Relevant group of endogenous competitive advantages and disadvantages of the business and exogenous ones of the context. Current competitive paradigm. Strategic prospects of the different agents. Validation of the review of existing studies. June 2010. Source: Senesi (2009). Once the mapping and quantification of the productive system are executed, the only thing that remains is to carry out the strategic planning and management of the ABS (step 4 in the Figure 2.1; see table 2.2.). Table Error! No text of specified style in document..2: Detailed sequence of the step 4 of the EPESA method (each stage includes when it has been done during the project). Stage a) Qualitative and quantitative defining and description of the ABS What must be done? Identification of agents, processes, supplies flow and products within the ABS under study. Based on gathered information, implementation of stage 2 of the EPESA method. Qualitative and quantitative mapping. April-July 2010. b – Discrete structural analysis Analysis of the Institutional (formal and informal), Organizational and Technological environments, according to outcome area. Study of related or supporting sectors. Stage based on New Institutional Economics concepts. August 2010. c- Analysis of transactions and governance structures: i – Transaction space ii- Coordination analysis Identification of transaction spaces, interfaces between the different sectors within the ABS. Description of transactions: frequency, uncertainty and assets specificity. Most frequent governance structures: market, contracts, vertical or horizontal integration. Mapping of contracts and of the existing coordination forms. Breach of contracts and legal certainty. Identification and analysis of existing markets in the different interfaces. Alignment of transactions. Correspondence between governance structures, business strategies, and coordination mechanisms and institutional environment. Degree of adjustment. Remediability criterion. Capability of managing conflicts. Cooperation and rivalry. Mechanisms for distributing surpluses. Capability of adding 6 Stage d- Consumption value. Strategic alliances, contracts, joint ventures. Social capital. September 2010. What must be done? Description and identification of consumption trends. Current main suppliers and demanders. September 2010. e – Analysis of the Competitive Environment Competitive scenarios. Main suppliers and demanders. Basic market conditions, number of agents, competitive interactions, strategic performance, asymmetric information, imperfect competence and the power of the market. Existing (tariff and non-tariff) barriers. Structure, number of buyers and sellers, product differentiation, entrance barriers, cost structure, vertical integration, other integration models. Growth patterns and competitive paradigm. Dynamic capabilities and generation of singular resources. Analysis of target markets and client sectors. World trade. Main exporters and importers. October 2010. f- Diagnostic Tools Study on competitive advantages of the countries. Methodology: Porter’s Diamond Model. Study on the external environment (opportunities and threats) and domestic environment (strengths and weaknesses). Methodology: SWOT analysis. Connections between matrices. October 2010. g – Scenarios and future strategies, objectives proposed Prospective analysis. Analyzing current scenarios and proposing the design of future alternative scenarios. Trends. System adaptability. Potential for change and agents’ resistance to change according to new changes in the local, regional and global business scenario. List of main business strategies and public policies within the system (actions) that will be employed in order to achieving the objectives, degree of convergence between both of them. Winners and losers. Ethics, reliability, credible commitments. Formal and informal institutional environment. Innovation. Institutional, organizational and technological innovation. Innovation and the capability of generating knowledge. November 2010. Source: Senesi (2009). 3. MAPPING AND QUANTIFICATION OF THE CATTLE AND BEEF SYSTEM IN NEUQUÉN, ARGENTINA Livestock farming in the province of Neuquén, Argentina, started at the end of the nineteenth century through an ancient form of nomadic herding in the north and center of what was at the time a national territory. The first farms developed winter fattening destined to exports to Chile, an activity that continued until the advent of the railroads to the area in the first decade of the twentieth century, when regional production started focusing on the Argentine wetlands and the Atlantic (PROSAP, 2009). In the past, bovine stock experienced fluctuations between 150,000 and 120,000 head of cattle, but starting in the 2000s it has increased to reach the current figures (204,000 heads). Regarding its health status, the province is divided in two regions: North Patagonia A (NPA) subsystem (which is FMD-free where vaccination is practiced) and North Patagonia B (NPB) subsystem (more extensive and FMD-free where vaccination is not practiced). The NPA subsystem has a stock of 12,610 head of cattle, which represents only 7% of the provincial total. In addition, it concentrates 71% of the total population of the province (366,171 people). The NPB subsystem has a total stock of 181,273 heads (93% of the provincial stock), while concentrating the remaining 29% of the population of the province (149,563 people). The differences in FMD status make transfers of cattle on the hoof and beef with bone possible only from the NPB subsystem to the NPA subsystem. On the other hand, only deboned beef from other national territories with “FMD-free without vaccination” status is allowed to enter the NPB subsystem. Error! Reference source not found.1 and 3.2 present the main stages (hereinafter “result areas”) of the bovine ABS of the province of Neuquén and the main actors and support 7 organizations involved, and quantification in terms of product and cash flow. Cash flow information is also presented in Table 3.1. Figure 3.1. Bovine ABS in Neuquén: actors and quantification of product flows (in number of heads and tons of beef; year 2009). 36.269 Steers, Heifers NORTH PATAGONIA A SUBSYSTEM INPUTS AND TECH PROVIDERS Blood 528 tons SUPER and HIPERMARKETS 11.751 tons Viscus 1.932 tons GROCERY STORES INDUSTRY 5.782 heads NPA subsystem 36.269 heads out of province CONVENIENCE STORES Total: 42.051 Heads FARMER Stock 5.781 Cows 1.732 Heifers 411 Bulls 6.000 Slaughter’s cows 4.000 Fattening’s cows Fat 1.476 tons Leaders: 42.051 u. Bones: 3.608 tons Beef 8.856 tons Fat 821 tons Viscus 1.074 tons 11.751 tons CALVES TO SERVICE 397 calves. Index of replacement (25%) FARMER (Grass fed) 1.113 male calves 835 female calves 1590 female calves 1590 male calves BUTCHER STORES CONSUMPTION: 64,2 Kg/inhab/year TOTAL CONSUMPTION: 366.171 tons. Half carcass: 2.987 tons Cuts: 11.660 tons FARMER (FEED LOT) 3.477 male calves 358 femaie calves 3.000 calves FARMER Stock 86.500 Cows 32.556 Heifers 5.609 Bulls CALVES TO SERVICE 14.567 female calves Index of replacement (48%) 7.000 male calves 3.000 female calves Blood 294 tons FARMER (Grass fed) 14.947 male calves 8.225 female calves INPUTS AND TECH PROVIDERS GROCERY STORES CONSUMPTION 52,4 Kg/inhab/year TOTAL CONSUMPTION: 7.839 tons. 30.275 female calves 30.275 maie calves CONVENIENCE STORES INDUSTRY Total: 23.383 heads BUTCHER STORES FARMER (FEED LOT) 8.328 male calves 4.583 female calves Leaders: 23.383 u. Bones 2.006 tons Beef: 4.924 tons SUPERMARKETS NORTH PATAGONIA B SUBSYSTEM 12.700 Steers, Heifers Cuts: 2915 tons ARGENTINE BOVINE AGRIBUSINESS SYSTEM LOGISTIC FINANCIAL MECHANISM INSTITUTIONAL ENVIERONMENT (PROVINCE AND NATIONAL) Source: the authors Figure 3.2. Bovine ABS in Neuquén: cash flow quantification (in Argentine pesos; year 2009). $84.747.052 Steers / Heifers NORTH PATAGONIA A SUBSYSTEM Half carcass: $24.788.075 Cuts: $209.522.415 FARMER (FEED LOT) Calves $2.340.000 INPUTS AND TECH PROVIDERS $2.100.000 Blood Fat SUPER/ HIPERMARKETS $168.930.329 Viscus $13.344.159 GROCERY STORES INDUSTRY CONVENIENCE STORES Leather Bones Beef $73.504.493 FARMER (COWS) Slaugher and fattening cows $11.880.000 BUTCHER STORES $2.470.510 $168.930.329 FARMER (GRASS FED) CONSUMPTION: $922,6 inhaab/year TOTAL CONSUMPTION: $337.860.658. $8.385.612 FARMER (COWS) $47.047.350 Blood INPUTS AND TECH PROVIDERS $9.000.000 Viscus CONVENIENCE STORES INDUSTRY BUTCHER STORES FARMER (FEED LOT) $27.575.093 NORTH PATAGONIA B SUBSYSTEM Fat FARMER (grass fed) $58.799.651 Leather Bones Beef $ 40.873.016 SUPERMARKETS CONSUMPTION: $753,5 inhab/year TOTAL CONSUMPTION: $112.696.547 tons. GROCERY STORES Male and female calves $7.782.000 Steers / Heifers $29.675.138 Cuts: $24.194.274 ARGENTINE BOVINE AGRIBUSINESS SYSTEM LOGISTIC FINANCIAL MECHANISM INSTITUTIONAL ENVIRONMENT Source: the authors 8 9 Table 3.1: Bovine ABS in Neuquén: cash flow (in Argentine pesos; year 2009) Result area Invoicing Veterinarian Inputs and Services Suppliers Animal forage suppliers Inputs and technology Total inputs and technology Breeder (calf producer) (productor de cría) Extensive fattening Intensive fattening (Feed Lot) Sales outside the province Buys outside the province Primary production Total primary production Livestock Commercialization Industry Independent agents Bone-in beef Subproducts of the slaughter Total industry Extra-province beef "Imports" bone-in beef "Importa" cut beef Total "imports" of beef Distribution Supermarket sales Butcher sales and other distribution channels Total sales to consumer Neuquen Total Subsystem A Subsystem B $ $ 2.682.864,08 $ 49.868,08 $ 2.632.996,00 69.499.368,14 $ 12.805.552,14 $ 56.693.816,00 $ 72.182.232,22 $ $ $ $ $ $ 44.005.606,56 33.426.705,31 20.690.997,53 22.658.553,89 47.392.587,36 $ 12.855.420,22 $ 59.326.812,00 $ 1.833.439,81 $ 42.172.166,75 $ 1.756.747,21 $ 31.669.958,10 $ 3.884.479,63 $ 16.806.517,90 $ 22.658.553,89 46.548.282,36 $ 844.305,00 $ 168.174.450,65 $ 54.022.949,02 $ 114.151.501,64 $ $ $ 1.300.000,00 86.136.768,27 $ 55.756.435,42 $ 30.380.332,85 1.511.553,56 $ 1.511.553,56 $ 87.648.321,83 $ 57.267.988,98 $ 30.380.332,85 $ $ 19.732.175,24 $ 19.732.175,24 274.525.933,42 $ 214.414.249,77 $ 60.111.683,65 $ 294.258.108,66 $ 234.146.425,01 $ $ $ 245.440.244,26 $ 221.249.475,27 $ 24.190.768,99 213.650.447,22 $ 117.402.926,94 $ 96.247.520,28 60.111.683,65 $ 459.090.691,48 $ 338.652.402,21 $ 120.438.289,27 $ 1.081.353.804,85 $ 696.945.185,44 $ 384.408.619,41 Sour Source: the authors Following the quantification of the bovine ABS in the province of Neuquén, it can be said that I generates almost 1 billion pesos, that represents approximately 2% of the industrial GNP of the country, or 14.5% of the GPP of Neuquén ($6.9 billion in 2009). Input and technological expenses at ABS level are approximately 72 million pesos, but it is important to mention that 95% of those inputs come from other areas of the country, mostly under the category of animal feed. This means that 68.5 million pesos leave the province to provide for fattening of local animals, and represents a weakness in terms of increase production and productivity. “Primary Production” result area generates 168.17 million pesos, and its main category is the purchase of bovines outside the province (47.39 million pesos) and calf production (44 million pesos). It is worth mentioning that the province “exports” to other domestic cattle and beef systems of a total of 22.6 million pesos. Regarding industrialization, the bovine ABS of Neuquén generates a little over 87 million pesos. As for the beef supply in the ABS, 12% of it comes from animals produced and slaughtered in the province, while 20% originates in animals from other provinces. The remaining 68% of the beef supply can be explained by beef “imports” from other regions of Argentina, in the form of half carcasses (8% of the total volume) and packet cuts (60% of the total volume), mainly from the pampas region. The total beef consumption of the province of Neuquén in 2009 was 34,219 tons for a value of $459,090,691. This means an average per capita consumption of 66 kg/inhab., which equals $864/inhab./year. The province “imports” 68% of the beef it consumes, which equals 312 million pesos. 10 4. PLANNING AND STRATEGIC AGRIBUSINESS SYSTEM MANAGEMENT DESIGN FOR THE The objective of this section is to present the step 4 of the EPESA method. It has 4 main topics: the discrete structural analysis (analysis of the institutional, organizational, technological and commercial environments), the analysis of the transaction of the whole system, the consumption analysis, and the analysis of the competitive environment. 4.1. Discrete structural analysis The main topics that influence the Neuquén’s bovine ABS at institutional environment are: Due to the Federal Meat Act, there are different types of licensing slaughterhouses (municipal, provincial and national), and so do technology, investment in facilities, product portfolio and health requirements. As a result exist unfair competition between industries with higher requirements and enforcement (generally those to export, comparing with domestic market industries). Nationally, in the past 5 years there has been a process of State intervention that has controlled and restricted beef exports. However, some of these regulations exempt animals slaughtered in North Patagonia B and South Patagonia, giving the possibility to the province of Neuquén to be an important export player in Argentina, especially because it is free of Foot and Mouth Disease without vaccination in almost all its territory. Also in Neuquén, Provincial Law 2669 “Plan Productivo Provincial” (Provincial Productive Plan) is currently in force to implement plans and programs with the mission to “reach higher levels of economic development in the different links of the value chains of the Province”, among them, cattle raising. The establishment of industries linked to cattle and beef, as well as those devoted to feed-lot fattening, fall under Law Nº 1875/90 of preservation, conservation, defense and improvement of the environment, and Law Nº 899/75, Water Code. The main topics that influence the Neuquén’s bovine ABS at organizational environment are: Inputs and technology: Provincial and extra-provincial suppliers of veterinary inputs and cattle feed, most of which come mainly from outside the province. It could generate some distortions in terms of input and technology suppy. Primary Production: In the NPA subsystem, the small cattle ranchers predominate. 87% of the producers own less than 100 head and concentrate 42% of the stock of the subsystem. On the other hand, 15 producers own over 250 head, but concentrate only 22% of the stock. The latter are associated to feed-lot expansion in the province. In the NPB subsystem there is a predominance of farmers who own less than 100 head (863 producers, 56% of the total), representing 13% of the stock of the subsystem, associated to a “small subsistence producer” profile. 44% of producers can be associated either to a traditional cattle rancher or a new rancher profile. Livestock Commercialization: There exists a high level of intermediation in the system, and the presence of “independent agents” and/or “brokers”. 11 Industrialization: In the NPA subsystem there are two meat processing plants and two municipal slaughterhouses. These processing plants are licensed for federal transit. In the NPB subsystem there are eight small scale municipal slaughterhouses, of which only 2 are licensed for federal transit (CATA SA and Matadero de Zapala). There is a lack of capacity in this subsystem, especially in order to supply foreign markets. Distribution: There coexist in the province different formats of retail distribution, from large supermarkets belonging to national chains to small retailers and the HORECA channel. In the NPA subsystem supermarket sales predominate. In the NPB subsystem butcher stores prevail. Public and private institutions for control, development and research: Among the national organizations, ONCCA granted subsidies to feed-lot fattening farms; SENASA is in charge of supervising slaughter; INTA is the main national research and transfer organization for the agricultural sector. At provincial level are FUNBAPA and the Ministry for Territorial Development of the province of Neuquén; the Universidad Nacional del Comahue conducts research and has extension programs together with INTA; AAPRESID develops a network of tests to improve forage, and the Rural Society of Neuquén represents livestock producers locally and nationally. The main topics that influence the Neuquén’s bovine ABS at technological environment are: Inputs and technology: Since feed-lot fodder and bales for the complete cycle are brought in from other provinces, freight has a high impact on the final cost. At present, there are initiatives to develop the production of animal fodder in Neuquén. Primary Production: Neuquén is characterized by the prevalence of extensive livestock raising. The province has a low extraction, around 17%; in general, low productive and reproductive rates can be observed in small producers. The larger and more professional producers show very good reproductive rates. The handling of the animal load and overuse of forage resources is critical, and there exist degradation and over-exploitation problems. Industrialization, slaughter, deboning and processing: The technological level of the meat processing plants operating in the A subsystem is the highest in the province. In the B subsystem, processing plants show low to very low technological levels. The entire system shows low levels of use of the byproducts of slaughter. Distribution 60% of the beef supply of the province is done in vacuum packed cuts; this allows greater efficiency in the integration of the half carcass. This product is mainly marketed in supermarkets, although in the NPB subsystem, as a consequence of the scarcity of beef in relation to the demand, butchers also sell vacuum packed cuts. 12 Finally, the main topics that influence the Neuquén’s bovine ABS at commercial environment are: There are serious deficiencies in the availability of information related to the system (prices, markets, volumes produced and/or commercialized, etc.), especially in the case of the small and medium producers. There is a great influx of calves at a very narrow window of time in the year, when they come down from the Cordillera, between April and May. In addition, these animals show low uniformity regarding their state and physical condition. Small nomadic breeders are the most affected by this situation because they are trapped in their need to sell animals. There exist deficiencies in compliance with normative and formal aspects related to the calves, especially those whose owners are nomadic producers. There are many small producers with low volumes of animals and low uniformity within the same lot, making commercialization difficult (the figure of the broker appears). Internal beef production is not enough to supply the internal consumption of the province. 4.2. Analysis of transactions and governance structures Five transaction spaces have been identified in the system: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Inputs and veterinary services supplier - producer (breeding / complete cycle / feedlot) Animal forage supplier – producer (breeding / complete cycle / feedlot) Calf producer– complete cycle / feedlot producer Complete cycle / feedlot producer– industry Industry – Retail distribution Error! Reference source not found. presents a summary of the analysis of the transactions identified within the livestock and beef ABS of the province of Neuquén regarding the three attributes used to describe them and the prevailing governance structures. In addition, the most efficacious and efficient governance structures for each case are suggested. In this sense, three transaction spaces have been found in which the governance structures used and those suggested are not aligned. Table 4.1. Summary of the characteristics of transactions and governance structures most common in the livestock and beef ABS in Neuquén. TRANSACTION SPACE FREQUENCY UNCERTAINTY SPECIFY ASSETS GOVERNANCE STRUCTURE PRESENT THEORETICAL GOVERNANCE STRUCTURE ALIGMENT OF TRANSACTION 1 Inputs: medium to high; Genetics: low Low Market Market Yes 2 Medium Medium Market Medium to high High to medium-high High Hybrids / contracts Market No 3 Inputs: Low; Genetics: medium to high Medium to high Medium to low Medium (prod.) High (ind) High (ind) Low (distr.) Yes Hybrids No Hybrids No 4 5 High Medium to high Medium Market & Vertical Int. Market VI Market Source: the authors 13 Given this characterization, we may infer that, in general terms, coordination of the business is done through price (market), and there are practically no contracts (hybrid forms). Contracts could define win-win relations, getting out of the current schemes (win-lose) that promote imbalances, inequities and low added value schemes. These conditions are responsible for the low level of coordination of the bovine ABS in Neuquén and the existence of high level of transaction costs, avoidable by applying more efficient designs. Since there is no real coordinator in the system, the agents operate individually and opportunistically, depriving the system from competitiveness and decreasing the added value. At the same time, the situation generates an imbalanced distribution among the actors of the value produced. 4.3. Consumption The international demand of food has undergone changes in the past few years. Economic growth in developing countries has led to greater consumption of animal proteins. On the other hand, global consumers show preferences that are often present only in developed countries. Various quality certifications, guarantee of origin and food safety, consideration for the environment, social aspects and animal welfare are being demanded by consumers both in developed and developing countries (Palau, 2005). Therefore, we are going through a process of consumer segmentation, based on their preferences; however, these segments are no longer niche markets, but are becoming more and more important in terms of the volumes demanded (Fava Neves, 2000). Worldwide, the greater beef consumption has provided the drive for some countries to increase their beef production and therefore their exports. In particular, Brazil and India have increased their participation in international commerce (Palau et al., 2010). On the other hand, historically exporting countries –the US, Australia, New Zealand– have not increased their export volumes considerably, concentrating on their traditional markets. In countries like China and even Brazil, economic growth promoted an increase in beef consumption of local production. Argentina presents very erratic exports in the international market –in 2005 Argentina was the 4th main exporter with more than 750,000 tons and in 2011 it exported only 250,000tons–, mainly oriented to the commodities market. The country has been unable to capture the growth of international demand, either in quantity or in quality, due to institutional restrictions to exports in the past few years. Therefore, the greater volume of beef is destined to the domestic market, since beef consumption in Argentina has been close to 60 kg./inhabitant/year for the past three decades, and the local consumer does not pay for name brand, information or certifications. Starting with the stock liquidation from 2006 and the strong increase in over-the-counter beef prices experienced at the end of 2009 as a consequence of that liquidation, beef consumption dropped again to a little over 60 kg./inhab./year (Senesi et al., 2010). According to several studies (Ordóñez, 1998; Ordóñez, 2002; Palau, 2005; Contreras et al., 2009), Argentine beef consumers have very different consumption patterns from those of international consumers; they prefer tender meat from young animals with low weight. On the other hand, price is the most important sign to purchase, not taking into account certification and traceability programs. Beef consumption is concentrated mainly in the pampas region, particularly in the city of Buenos Aires and Greater Buenos Aires area. It is estimated that 50% of beef consumption 14 corresponds to Bs. As. and GBA, where 14 million people live, while the remaining 50% corresponds to the rest of the country, with a population of 26 million inhabitants. 4.4. Analysis of the Competitive Environment The analysis of the competitive environment was developed using Porter’s Diamond methodology, which establishes competitiveness aspects based on 4 key attributes and a satellite attribute: Factor Conditions; Demand Conditions; Related and Supporting Industries; Firm Strategy, Structure, and Rivalry; and Government. Variables for analysis were established for each of these attributes and these variables were compared between the NPA subsystem – FMD-free without vaccination– and the NPB subsystem –FMD-free with vaccination system– in Neuquén. The comparative analysis of the variables was developed both qualitatively and quantitatively (see Figure 4.1). The analysis of the factor conditions allows us to identify that the NPB subsystem of the province of Neuquén presents better conditions for bovine production compared to the NPA subsystem and to the Patagonia FMD-free without vaccination livestock and beef system. This is due to the fact that it has better precipitations, the presence of wetland meadows, access to irrigation water (better to that of subsystem A, but lower than that of Patagonia FMD without vaccination). Compared to the FMD-free with vaccination livestock and beef system, the NPB subsystem is in competitively inferior condition with respect to the variables mentioned. The property of the land, geographical location (in relation to the demand), investments and availability of machinery variable are in a better competitive situation in NPA subsystem, than in the NPB subsystem. As for labor (availability and quality), research and knowledge transfer, the bovine ABS of Neuquén is in inferior conditions to those of the rest of the bovine systems in the country. From the analysis of the demand conditions, it is concluded that per capita consumption is higher in the NPA subsystem than in the NPB subsystem; in the former it is close to the national average, while in the latter it is almost 15% lower. However, a competitive disadvantage is observed here that also appears in the Patagonia FMD-free without vaccination livestock and beef system: beef “imports” (whether in the half carcass or vacuum packed) are necessary in order to supply the demand. Therefore, before a growing dependency on beef “imports”, the system/subsystem is more vulnerable to production and price fluctuations in other regions of the country. As for prices in the NPA and NPB subsystems, higher prices for cuts with bone can be seen in the NPB subsystem because these cuts come exclusively from local slaughter. On the contrary, cuts without bone have higher prices in the NPA subsystem than in the NPB subsystem because of a greater demand of these cuts in the first subsystem. The analysis of the related and supporting organizations shows that the livestock and beef system of Neuquén is in competitive inferiority when compared to the FMD-free with vaccination livestock and beef system, and is in a similar situation to that of the Patagonia FMD-free without vaccination bovine ABS. The situation of the firm strategy, structure and rivalry of the business attribute is similar to that of the previous attribute, in which the bovine ABS of Neuquén and of Patagonia FMDfree without vaccination show low competitiveness compared to the Argentine bovine ABS, FMD-free with vaccination. Finally, the analysis of the government attribute shows that the bovine ABS of Neuquén has a greater competitive advantage than the rest of the systems nationwide, especially because local government is committed to support the industry –both at production and industrialization level–, promoting investments in irrigation, seeds and feeding inputs and slaughtering capacity. 15 Figure 4.1. Summary of the main elements of the analysis of the competitive environment Source: the authors 5. STRATEGIC ANALYSIS Based on the conclusions of each of the previous chapters, an analysis is developed that highlights the main points to take into consideration and the strategic lines that the authors consider that the Government of the Province of Neuquén is advised to analyze and implement. Strategic Line I: Strategic Line II: Promote the differentiation of the product to satisfy global client segments. Promote livestock productivity in the province, especially in the breeding areas, and the incorporation of new areas for finishing and/or fattening. Strategic Line III: Promote a Livestock and Beef System capable of generating and adding value within the scope of the province of Neuquén. Strategic Line IV: Establish a single heath and commercial standard at provincial level. Unify Subsystems A and B. Strategic Line V: Develop the institutional and commercial framework for unification of slaughtering licenses. Strategic Line VI: Develop a Provincial Livestock Raising Plan that will promote the strategic lines proposed in this paper in addition to others of interest to the Government. 16 Strategic Line VII: Establish criteria for the use of fiscal lands and the demarcation of private property. Strategic Line VIII: Promote a specific Law for the establishment of feed-lots in the Province and review Law Nº 899/75 of the Water Code. Strategic Line IX: Promote research, development and extension in topics related to the Competitiveness of the Beef ABS of Neuquén. Strategic Line X: Improve the extraction rate of the Province. Strategic Line XI: Develop industries around the byproducts of the slaughter and improve the disposal of wastes. Strategic Line XII: Promote cooperation designs among economic agents so as to make progress towards added value coordination by means of transactions aligned by focusing on the client. 6. CONCLUSIONS Internationally, beef consumption is increasing and it’s expected to have higher level of consumption, especially due to economic growth in developing countries. Argentina is in an unique position in terms to be a supplier of beef: grasslands, grains, production culture and tradition, infrastructure, etc. The province of Neuquén in particular incremented its cattle and beef production in the last years and, due to the present health status regarding foot-andmouth disease, cattle raising stands out as a very important present and future activity to supplying both domestic and international markets. On the other hand, livestock production in the area is currently practiced using extensive methods, with little technological development; there exists a potential to increase productivity of the livestock and the farms by investing in feed lot facilities. However, the province as a system needs the formulation of a strategic plan, which has been conducted by the authors in alliance with the CFI (Consejo Federal de Inversiones – Federal Investment Council) and the State of the province of Neuquén. The methodology used was the EPESA method (“Study and Strategic Planning of the Agribusiness System”), with two main stages: a) diagnosis and quantification of the system; b) planning and strategic management (step 2 and 4 of the EPESA method). The project includes a systemic study of cattle raising, industry, distribution and beef consumption in this province, identifying also the coordination and transactions. A priori, this work would have two conclusions. In the first place, it is worth noting a conclusion about the livestock and beef system of the province of Neuquén, which has production capacity and local supply, but beef from other regions of the country must be brought in to supply the demand of the province. This is mainly due to the fact that agro ecological conditions have a low comparative advantage in relation to other regions. On the other hand, the handling is many times deficient, and, therefore, so is the productivity of the livestock, which shows low productive and reproductive rates. However, it can be observed that the provincial government has been promoting livestock raising, since it is possible to improve these rates by means of a series of innovations in technology (feeding) and infrastructure (the meat processing industry). It is for this reason that the province of Neuquén might become, in a near future, a beef production pole, with the added value of being FMD-free without vaccination, which would allow it to export beef to the main high-demand markets of the FMD-free circuit. Hence the importance of the formulation of the current strategic plan, which gives rise to the second conclusion of this work. The plan formulated takes into consideration, based on the systemic diagnosis, the needs, advantages and disadvantages of the system, using as a hard 17 nucleus the theoretical framework of the new institutional economics together with concepts of modern industrial organization, based on the EPESA method. The result of the strategic plan resulted in strategic lines and can be summarized in terms of a) promoting differentiation of Neuquen’s cattle and beef, b) promoting higher productivity by increasing the use of corn and protein, c) establishing an unique FMD status in the whole province, d) developing the unification of the slaughtering licenses and health and commercial standards, e) establishing better criteria of lands and water use, f) promoting research in terms of production, industrialization and commercialization of beef and byproducts from Neuquén to different markets, g) promoting cooperation design between farmers, industrials and traders by means of transactions aligned by focusing on the client. All these strategic lines were thought in order to improve Neuquén beef system’s competitiveness. The project did not include how to implement them. 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