Scottish Government
Justice Analytical Services Division
Analytical Programme 2014-2015
This document sets out the 2014/15 analytical
programme for Justice Analytical Services,
highlighting the main analytical projects proposed
for this year.
Contents
Section 1: About Justice Analytical Services .....................................3
1.1 Our Purpose ......................................................................................3
1.2 Our Approach ....................................................................................5
1.3 Our People ........................................................................................5
1.4 Organogram: Justice Analytical Services (at July 2014) ....................7
Section 2: Our Work ............................................................................8
2.1 Analytical Planning and Prioritisation.................................................8
2.2 External Commissioning and Contract Management ....................... 10
2.3 Routine Analytical Work ..................................................................10
2.4 Scottish Crime and Justice Survey (SCJS)......................................10
2.5 JAS Analytical Programme for 14/15 ...............................................12
Section 3: Guidance for Potential Contractors ................................ 29
3.1 For Research Contractor Guidance: ................................................29
3.2 For Advertisements of Upcoming Research Projects: ..................... 29
Section 4: Sources of Further Information .......................................29
4.1 Justice Policy .................................................................................. 29
4.2 Justice Evidence and Analysis ........................................................ 29
4.3 Scottish Government Analysts: ....................................................... 29
Section 1: About Justice Analytical Services
1.1
Our Purpose
The overarching purpose of Justice Analytical Services is:
to provide analytical insights to underpin and influence the delivery
of justice and safety for the people of Scotland.
We play a key role in creating, delivering and communicating the
evidence base for a Safer and Stronger Scotland. We are a multidisciplinary team and our analytical contribution comes in various forms
including social research, statistics, economics, operational research
and the administration that underpins analysis.
We seek to promote the use of analysis to challenge and improve the
policy and practice essential for achieving outcomes. We strive to
ensure that robust evidence gets to the people who need it, is
accessible, easy to interpret and is widely used.
In planning and delivering our work we have taken full account of the
analytical requirements attendant to the Scottish Government National
Performance Framework (SG National Performance Framework). JAS
supports delivery of policies that are focused on the key national
outcomes of:
 We live our lives safe from crime, disorder and danger
 We have strong, resilient and supportive communities where
people take responsibility for their own actions and how they
affect others
 Our public services are high quality, continually improving,
efficient & responsive to people’s needs
Our evidence shapes, informs and measures progress towards the
vision set out in The Strategy for Justice in Scotland:
a justice system that contributes positively to a flourishing
Scotland, helping to create an inclusive and respectful society in
which all people and communities live in safety and security,
where individual and collective rights are supported, and where
disputes are resolved fairly and swiftly.
The Justice Strategy is explicitly based on evidence and follows an
outcomes-driven and user-focused approach that has been shaped by
our analysis.
1.2
Our Approach
The strategic approach described above has been underpinned by
robust evidence and it is our role as analysts to develop and further
strengthen and communicate the evidence to improve policy, delivery
and outcomes. We seek to deploy our analytical resources flexibly,
innovatively and cost-effectively to provide timely, fit-for-purpose, qualityassured analysis that gives our colleagues the best information they
need to improve public policy.
Therefore in framing this year’s
programme we have worked closely with policy colleagues to focus on a
clear set of priorities to direct limited analytical resources to where they
can have the greatest impact in supporting delivery of justice outcomes.
We will regularly review these priorities to ensure they are responsive to
evolving policy needs and external developments.
We make an important analytical contribution through primary analysis such as compiling official statistics and undertaking or contracting
research. We also have a key role to play in ensuring that existing
knowledge and information – both internal and external - is drawn
together and channelled effectively to people who need to know it and in
a way that they can make use of it. We aim to increase our knowledge
and enhance our analysis through constructive engagement with justice
stakeholders, the academic community, analysts and policymakers both
in Scotland and internationally.
1.3
Our People
Justice ASD consists of two cross-professional units and a business
management support team, as described below and illustrated in the
diagram in 1.4.
Justice Analytical Unit
The Justice Analytical Unit provides analytical advice and support in
the areas of both criminal and civil justice, working with a range of key
stakeholders to develop a shared understanding of available evidence
and to maximise the use and impact of this evidence across the justice
system. This work includes the publication of key statistical data on both
criminal and civil justice issues. The current work of the Unit has a strong
focus on informing the Making Justice Work and Reducing Reoffending
change programmes. This work includes the provision of analytical
advice on courts and case management, victims and witnesses,
tribunals and access to justice; advising on the impact and value for
money of interventions for offenders, both in prisons and in the
community; and on policies to manage and reduce the prison population.
The unit also provides economic support across both the Justice and
Safer Communities Directorates.
Safer Communities Analytical Unit
The Safer Communities Analytical Unit is a multi-professional unit that
provides evidence, analysis and advice to the Safer Communities
Directorate. This covers the policy areas of policing, fire and rescue,
organised crime and counter terrorism, resilience, community safety,
illicit drugs use and recovery. Significant themes in the unit’s current
work are: police and fire reform; supporting the Advisory Group on
Tackling Sectarianism in Scotland; and enhancing the evidence-base on
drug misuse and treatment. The unit also produces a range of regular
National Statistics publications using police and fire service data, and is
responsible for the management, analysis and dissemination of the
Scottish Crime and Justice Survey (SCJS).
1.4
Organogram: Justice Analytical Services (at July 2014)
JUSTICE ANALYTICAL SERVICES
External number is 0131 -24(ext no)
Nicola Edge
Head of Justice ASD
Ext 44501
Safer Communities Analytical Unit
C2 - Euan Dick Ext 47408
Head of Safer Communities
Business Support Team
B2 - Elaine Brown, Business Manager
Ext 40882
B1(TRS) – Willie Hunter, Administration Ext 40874
A3 - Fiona Hope, PA
Ext 47100
Justice Analytical Unit
C2 - Peter Conlong, Ext 47542
Senior Economist
Safer Communities Analytical Unit
Community Safety, Knives/violence, Reducing Crime, Drugs/Alcohol, Fire/Resilience, Crime Stats, Sectarianism,
Police Organisation, Organised Crime, Defence Research, SCJS
C1 Kirsty Bosley, Analyst &OR
C1 Fiona Fraser, Researcher
C1 Ben Cavanagh, Researcher
C1 Sandra Campbell, Statistician
C1 Neil Grant, Statistician
C1 Katherine Myant, Researcher
B3 Phillipa Haxton, Statistician
B3 Linzie Liddell, Researcher
B3 Fran Warren, Researcher
B3 Jan Young, Statistician
BFS Trish Campbell, Researcher
B2 Neil Davidson, Researcher
B2 Neil Henderson, Statistician
B2 Vacant, statistician
B1 Alex Reid , Statistician
BFS Brendan Nisbet, Researcher
Fire and Resilience
Drugs and Safer Communities
Community Safety
Crime Statistics
Scottish Crime and Justice Survey
Police & Fire Reform
Fire and Statistics
Safer Communities
Drugs and Safer Communities
Crime Statistics
Scottish Crime and Justice Survey
Safer Communities
Crime Statistics
47447
43282
41602
44603
46176
44085
41673
42424
42541
45459
46598
44949
44374
Police Strength and Performance
Police
43079
43512
Justice Analytical Unit
Making Justice Work, Criminal Proceedings, Victims & Witnesses, Civil Stats, Civil Research/Access to Justice,
SCCJR-lead, Reoffending/RRP II, Sex Offending, Offender Management, Sentencing Policy, Reconviction
Analysis, CJSW, Prison Population, Law Reform
C1 Emma Milburn, Statistician
C1 Debbie Headrick, Researcher
C1 Catherine Bisset, Researcher
C1 Elizabeth Fraser, Statistician
C1 Michael O’Neill, Economist
Criminal Justice Analysis
Making Justice Work
Offender Management & Rehabilitation
Prisons Analysis
Economic Analysis
45910
44737
42983
45908
45913
C1 Jenny Leishman, Statistician
B3 Alan Fleming, Statistician
B3 Tamsyn Wilson, Researcher
B3 Gilly Diggins, Statistician
B3 Alasdair Anthony, Statistician
B3 Sacha Rawlence, Researcher
B2 Vacant
B2 Howard Hooper
B2 Eileen Rospendowski, Data manager
B1 Andrew Morgan, Statistician
A4 Liz Martin
A4 Vacant
A4 Adele Walls
Youth Justice
Community Sentencing
MJW/Offender Management & Rehabilitation
Criminal Justice Analysis
Civil Justice /Access to Justice
Offender Management & Rehabilitation
Civil Justice/Access to Justice
Statistical Administrator
Prisons Data
Reconviction Analysis
Statistics Support Officer
Statistics Support Officer
Statistics Support Officer
44297
47768
43842
49695
44373
43675
44931
42927
40085
42595
42931
42635
45428
Section 2: Our Work
2.1
Analytical Planning and Prioritisation
The work of the division covers both an agreed forward programme of
analytical priorities, and routine analytical work particularly related to the
compilation of National and Official Statistics, ongoing project
management and knowledge transfer activity.
Analytical planning to develop a programme for the financial year
2014/15 followed a structured process of engagement with policy
colleagues which was designed to closely align our analysis with current
policy priorities and to the delivery of outcomes. Key priorities for this
year’s programme include:
Justice system insights and development
 justice change programmes - to provide the best available
evidence and advice to support delivery of these programmes, in
particular the Reducing Reoffending and Building Safer
Communities programmes
 justice business volumes - innovative modelling of the systemwide impacts of actions taken by individual parts of the justice
system with a view to improving future decision-making and
enhancing efficiency across the system as a whole
 cross-justice “quality assurance” - working closely with justice
organisations to develop a new approach to understanding and
promoting system-wide efficiency and effectiveness, with a
particular focus on the user perspective
Data improvement and analysis
 Scottish Crime and Justice Survey - publication of survey
modules, improved data analysis and dissemination, continued
development of this flagship survey
 police data - delivery of key national statistics, essential data
development and improvement including a key focus on quality
assurance and support for Police Scotland and SPA to publish
their own data
 youth justice and data linkage - investigation of available data
and scope for data linkage in the youth justice area to shed new
light on this priority area and inform the preventative spend agenda
 sentencing analysis - analysis of data on long-term changes in
sentencing practice and communicating these critical insights to
decision makers within the criminal justice system, especially the
judiciary
Research and evidence review
 hate crime and sectarianism - including research into the scale
and nature of sectarianism, publication of hate crime statistics and
evaluation of the Offensive Behaviour at Football and Threatening
Communications Act
 violence and organised crime - review of evidence on violence
and fear of crime as well as on scale and nature of organised
crime in Scotland
 domestic abuse - analysis of trends in domestic abuse and
impacts on criminal justice system and exploration of a “whole
system” approach to looking at the criminal justice system
response to violence
 drugs - providing underpinning evidence for policy including
prevalence estimates as well as exploring emerging data on New
Psychoactive Substances
 court reform - analytical support and advice to ensure that
proposals are evidence based and developing plans to monitor
and evaluate implementation
Evaluation
 police and fire reform evaluation - programme of work to provide
an independent and trustworthy evidence base to demonstrate
progress of reform
 community justice evaluations - including an evaluation of
Community Payback Orders, Criminal Justice Social Work reports
and the presumption against short sentences, to inform and
improve practice and policy
 improving evaluations of offender interventions - promoting
innovative 4-step evaluation guidance, evaluations of the Reducing
Reoffending Change Fund etc.
Section 2.5 sets out the forward programme of priority projects for
2014/15 agreed with senior policy colleagues and approved by the
Cabinet Secretary for Justice at the end of June 2014. The list of
projects is organised by Unit structures within the division (see
Section 1.3 – Our People). While some of the projects are new topic
areas or introducing new methodologies to existing evidence issues,
others are continuations of existing programmes.
2.2
External Commissioning and Contract Management
JAS follows the Scottish Government consultancy procurement
guidance in commissioning external work. This includes consideration of
value for money, ethics and risk management. Further guidance on how
we procure research and analysis is available in Section 3 of this
document, along with details of where and how to locate and bid for
work.
2.3
Routine Analytical Work
Much of the routine work within JAS revolves around the collection,
maintenance, improvement and production of statistics. These statistics
form a vital resource to inform public policy and enable accountability in
Scotland. They are a resource used not only by the Scottish
Government but also by stakeholders, users, the academic community
and the general public.
Significant work is also undertaken in response to ad hoc analytical
requests – such as answering Parliamentary Questions (PQs) and
Freedom of Information requests. This work is an essential aspect of
democratic accountability.
2.4
Scottish Crime and Justice Survey (SCJS)
The Scottish Crime and Justice Survey is a social survey which asks
people about their experiences and perceptions of crime in Scotland. Its
main aims are:



provide reliable statistics on people’s experience of crime,
including services provided to victims of crime
assess the varying risk of crime for different groups of people
examine trends in the level and nature of crime in Scotland over
time

collect information about people's experiences of, and attitudes on
a range of crime and justice related issues
An important role of the SCJS is to provide an alternative and
complementary measure of crime to the police recorded crime statistics,
which provide statistics on crimes and offences recorded and cleared up
by Scottish police.
2.5 JAS Analytical Programme for 14/15
Cross-cutting projects
Title
Justice Quality Assurance
Framework
User Benefits Toolkit development, testing and
application
Support for academic
institutions to provide justice
evidence and advice
Detail of proposed analysis
Development and implementation of a quality measurement framework for the
justice system, incorporating the User benefits toolkit work.
Work to further refine and develop user benefits toolkit, to work with
stakeholders to explore its potential application to inform benefits
management, monitoring and evaluation, and Justice dashboard development.
Also to design methods for implementation and take forward a cross-agency
response to improving user measures and filling gaps in key data areas.
Financial support for academic institutions, to support provision of justice
evidence and advice.
Lead Person
Debbie Headrick
Tamsyn Wilson
Debbie Headrick
Business volumes and criminal
justice system modelling
Costs of the Criminal Justice
System
To develop a model of the criminal justice system, and apply in the context of
Michael O’Neill
work on likely future business volumes and costs.
To publish updated figures on the costs of the criminal justice system in relation Michael O’Neill
to i) expenditure of criminal justice agencies, ii) unit costs of case stages for
courts, prosecution and legal aid, and iii) community disposals.
Economic and social costs of
crime
Scottish Index of Multiple
Deprivation - development of
a crime domain
Domestic abuse recorded by
the police 2013-14
To finalise initial estimates of the economic and social costs of crime, and
publish figures with an explanation of the methodology.
Request individual level crime data (for selected crime codes) from Police
Scotland. Develop data sharing agreement. Working with OCSP, QA data
submitted by PS.
Annual data collection, quality assurance and publication of statistical bulletin for 2013-14.
Michael O’Neill
Sandra Campbell
Jan Young
Hate crime - data collection
and publication
Scoping out the setting up of a new data collection on hate crime, quality
assurance and publication of a statistical bulletin. To involve detailed
discussions with a range of stakeholders including Police Scotland, SPA and
COPFS as well as internal SG colleagues.
Annual data collection, quality assurance and publication of statistical bulletin.
Sandra Campbell / Jan Young
To pull together findings from the SHS questions on discrimination and
harassment with reference to findings from the SCJS module on harassment.
Review UKSA requirements of previous review of SCJS. Develop any required
amendments to SCJS. Improved dissemination of survey results. Review and
consider publication of additional information on SCJS trends. Consider options
for contract renewal. Increased policy engagement and questionnaire review.
Linzie Liddell
SCJS 2012/13 Drug Use
module report
Production and publishing of report the extent of self-reported illicit drug use
ever, in the last year and in the last month and examines the experience of first
drug use and drug use in the last month by adults aged 16 or over.
Fran Warren
SCJS 2012/13 Partner Abuse
module report
Production and publishing of self-report module report which estimates the
extent of partner abuse, both since the age of 16 and in the last 12 months.
Neil Grant
SCJS 2012/13 Sexual
Victimisation and Stalking
module report
Production and publishing of self-report module report looking at the extent of
sexual victimisation and stalking among adults in Scotland.
Neil Grant
SCJS 2012/13 Microdata
Release
The SCJS 2012/13 microdata should be published via the UK Data Service. Will
be first time this has been done in-house so will require additional work to set
up appropriate processes and documentation.
Alex Reid
SCJS Civil data analysis
Supervise, complete and publish the work to analyse the civil questions from
the SCJS.
Development of SCJS questionnaire (following on from 2014-15 review)
through internal and external consultation. Will also require production of
summary reporting outlining approach and outcomes.
Alasdair Anthony
Racist incidents in Scotland
2013-14
Analysis of SHS data on
experience of prejudice
Scottish Crime and Justice
Survey (SCJS) - Forward Work
Plan
SCJS Questionnaire
Consultation
Jan Young
Neil Grant
Trish Campbell
Analysis of trends in young
people offending
Whole System Approach Justice outcomes
Update previous analyses of youth offending and produce briefing paper,
explore data sources and potential for data linkage.
Assessment of Justice Outcomes for young people who have been managed
through the Whole System Approach. Evaluation to be commissioned by
Education ASD, but will require analytical input and data from JAS.
This project has a number of strands including public/judicial understanding of
sentencing; longer-term drivers of sentencing; public perceptions of
sentencing; public understanding of issues such as early release,
consecutive/concurrent sentences; impact of sentencing on reoffending;
judicial decision-making processes; impacts of changes to sentencing policy,
and role of sentencing council.
Jenny Leishman
Data Linkage in Justice
To expand the analytical capability of Justice data, by facilitating the increase
linkage of unit level data, in order to provide a better understanding of how
outcomes can be improved.
Emma Milburn
Linking offender data from the
Criminal History System (CHS)
to the "spine" via the data
linkage service
Linkage - Transitions between
courts and the use of direct
measures
Explore the feasibility of including offender characteristics from the CHS within
the population spine - potentially focusing on linking offender data with the
SLS. Joint project with ADRC.
Emma Milburn
Analysis of the transitions individuals make through courts and non-courts to
identify patterns of offending following Summary Justice Reform.
Gilly Diggins
Extending provision of bail
data
Review the availability of data relating to bail and with a view to extending the
data on the conditions attached to bail, the reasons behind bail decisions and
factors in breach of bail.
Gilly Diggins
Redesign of the prison
statistical system
Redesign of Scottish Government prison statistical system to ensure it runs on
modified IT platform.
Elizabeth Fraser
Understanding sentencing
Jenny Leishman
Emma Milburn
IT infrastructure development
Current focus is on re-engineering prison statistical system, with plan to
appraising/re-engineering criminal proceedings statistical system. Longer term
aspiration to enhance access to and use of justice data through improved IT
infrastructure and support, improved data management, including metadata,
system documentation and risk control, and increased access and accessibility
(open data, building capacity among key stakeholders to access and use
information effectively).
Elizabeth Fraser
Communications project
Develop a strategy to improve our communication of evidence and analysis to
Katherine Myant
external audiences. The strategy may include improved
internet/intranet/sharepoint sites, use of social media, infographics, developing
narratives, better representation at conferences, and regular contact with
leading Scottish academics and stakeholders.
Justice Analysts Group (JAG)
Organise JAG meetings; present findings of recent JAS work (and work by other
bodies); seek agreement to collaborate on future analysis.
Peter Conlong
JAS monthly brief
Monthly synthesis of topical justice information.
Alan Fleming
Justice Dashboard
Maintaining and communicating Justice Dashboard
Alan Fleming
Civil Law and Legal System
Title
Administrative Justice
Civil Law Analytical Report
2012-13
Detail of proposed analysis
Collation of administrative justice data into one source. Assessment of 'costs of
failure'.
Follow-up report on the civil law stats 2012-13 release. This analytical report
will bring together commentary on the court statistics with other relevant
pieces of analysis e.g. on administrative justice, analysis of civil questions from
the SCJS.
Lead Person
Michael O’Neill
Alasdair Anthony
Civil data mapping
To determine what data sources could be employed in civil statistics and aim to
understand their limitations. To identify data sources which could be used to
inform policy decisions and/or be published in Civil Law Statistics in Scotland
publication.
Alasdair Anthony
Civil Law Statistics in Scotland
bulletin 2013-14
Civil stats: assessment of data
on children in divorce
To publish an improved bulletin on civil issues across Scotland.
Alasdair Anthony
Review data on children in divorce/dissolution.
Alasdair Anthony
Civil stats: Data Access, PIA,
and Disclosure Control Policies
Civil stats: Data development
and improvement project
SCS Management Information
System review
Create Data Access Agreement/PIAs, DCPs.
Alasdair Anthony
Analysis of ancillary craves
Development of ancillary craves stats using case-level data.
Alasdair Anthony
Divorce and dissolution
statistics publication
Drivers and outcomes in
Alternative Dispute Resolution
Publication, implementing same-sex marriage changes.
Alasdair Anthony
SLAB led project exploring motivations for and outcomes of ADR in the Scottish
pilots
Debbie Headrick
QA of data on aggregate, case level, and DR1 data. Possible secondee to SCS to Alasdair Anthony
assess situation and implement solutions.
SCS intend to review their MI system for civil courts. We intend to collate views Alasdair Anthony
from SG policy leads/stakeholders and feed these into the review and try to
ensure our own views are taken on board.
Community Justice
Title
Detail of proposed analysis
Community Reintegration Pilot Support for evaluation.
Lead Person
Sacha Rawlence
Community Women's Justice
Centres Evaluation
CPO etc. Evaluation
Support to design an evaluation, to hire an evaluator, and manage their work,
including QA of outputs.
This is an externally commissioned process and early outcome evaluation of
CPOs, CJSW reports and the presumption against short prison sentences.
Ongoing support including management of year 1 and subsequent evaluation,
plus support to develop and implement a monitoring framework.
Commissioning and management of external work on the unit costs of
delivering community justice disposals/services.
Tamsyn Wilson
Criminal Justice Social Work
Statistics, 2013-14
Data linkage remand and
sentencing outcomes
Development of reconviction
rate matching methodology
Publication of Criminal Justice Social Work Statistics at a national level derived
from Local Authority Social Work management information systems.
An update of the original pilot project using more recent data, which will
include near complete S numbers from the prisons data.
Review of potential methodology to allow robust comparisons of reconviction
outcomes for different groups of offenders and testing of methodology in the
context of community sentences vs. short prison sentences.
Alan Fleming
Drug Treatment and Testing
Orders 2 evaluation
Questionnaire design and analysis.
Tamsyn Wilson
Reducing Reoffending Change
Fund Analytical Support
Research on unit costs of
Criminal Justice Social Work
services
Sacha Rawlence
Sacha Rawlence
Michael O’Neill
Elizabeth Fraser
Andrew Morgan
Evaluation strategy for
Criminal Justice interventions
To provide leadership and support on evaluation strategies for CJ interventions,
including drawing up guidance, providing ad hoc support, clarifying issues
around statistical significance and control groups, and to ensure a clear line of
sight to performance management frameworks and/or models of "payment by
results".
Comparing reconviction rates across countries. Scotland is collaborating with
the Ministry of Justice organisations in England & Wales and The Netherlands
on a project to generate comparable figures, building upon earlier work that
was published by the MoJ.
Linking data from risk assessment tool to convictions data and conducting
factor analysis on results in order to identify the factors related to offending.
Community Justice division is developing a range of potential options to
manage and ultimately reduce the prison population. This will require further
analysis of the impact of various options.
Catherine Bisset
Reconviction Rate Statistics,
2011-12 cohort
Reducing Reoffending
Programme 2 (RRP2) Structures
Produce statistical publication of reconvictions of offenders discharged from
custody or given non-custodial sentences in 2011-12, Scotland
Analytical support for redesign of the community justice system, focussing
initially on assistance with costs of different options and dependencies with the
other projects (especially funding and performance management).
Peter Conlong
Reducing Reoffending
Programme 2 (RRP2) Support
for Throughcare project
Reducing Reoffending
Programme 2 (RRP2)- Funding
Support Ministerial group and any follow-up work.
Catherine Bisset
Reducing Reoffending
Programme 2 (RRP2) Performance Management
Analytical support for the Performance Management project within RRP2.
Likely to include logic modelling, development of intermediate outcome
framework, metrics, and consideration of governance issues.
International comparisons of
reconviction rates
LSCMI and convictions data
Prison Population and Penal
Policy - Analytical input
Andrew Morgan
Emma Milburn
Peter Conlong
Peter Conlong
Assisting with revising formula for distributing CJA funds including providing the Michael O’Neill
necessary statistics. Involvement in RRP2 funding group and development of
future funding model.
Peter Conlong
SG Criminal Proceedings
Database - Postcode Outcode
Analysis 2013-14
Scottish Prison Service
performance management
support
First part of post code now included in CP data feed. To carry out analysis of
the quality of the information with a view to recommending how the
information could possibly feed into the SNS site as well as be used in other
areas of JAS.
Refinement of logic models based on the new vision of SPS, which could be
used to develop a more meaningful performance management system.
Includes logic modelling of "purposeful activity".
Andrew Morgan
Catherine Bisset
Update 'What works to reduce To oversee the work of an intern updating this evidence review.
reoffending' review
Sacha Rawlence
Venture Trust reconvictions
analysis
Evaluation of Caledonian
System
Prison statistics and
projections 2012-13
Reconvictions analysis Review
Group
To apply matched pairs analysis to offenders on the Venture Trust programme.
Andrew Morgan
Design, commissioning and management of an evaluation of the Caledonian
system, to inform reaccreditation decision.
Annual update of prison statistics and 10 year population projections.
Sacha Rawlence
An initial review of the reconvictions analysis programmes has raised a number
of questions about the detail of the methodology. The group will aim to
explore issues in to ensure that the analysis fully reflects the current Justice
system and user needs.
Andrew Morgan
Electronic monitoring
Consideration of existing evidence base on the success/impact of GPS-based
systems, and potential use of electronic monitoring as a condition of bail.
Collect data at unit level for community payback orders and drug treatment
and testing orders for the year 2013-14; Liaise with local authorities over the
provision of this data and the correction of any errors in the data. Lead role in
the review of throughcare data. Also review CPO and DTTO collections in time
for 2014-15 data collection.
Catherine Bisset
Review of criminal justice
social work statistics
Elizabeth Fraser
Alan Fleming
Criminal Justice
Title
Court Reform Bill: measuring
success
Making Justice Work:
monitoring and evaluation
Detail of proposed analysis
Lead Person
Development and sign off of indicators; development of measures for success; Debbie Headrick
baseline data review; recommendations; design and implementation of pilots.
Support for monitoring and evaluation of the projects within the MJW
Michael O’Neill
programme - advice on logic models and alignment to MJW outcomes, design
and development of an appropriate monitoring and evaluation frameworks.
Criminal Justice Management
Information System
Manage the data collection and validation of monthly data from CJOs, loading
on to the CJBMIS site. Review calculation of 26 week indicator with COPFS.
Update code used to export COPFS data from SG extract, communicate to
stakeholders on update, review CJBMIS upload codes. To include working with
Audit Scotland.
Jenny Leishman
Criminal Law and Licencing
Title
Domestic abuse
Detail of proposed analysis
Analysis of trends in domestic abuse and impacts on criminal justice system,
liaison with SCCJR on possible academic support, and analytical support for
proposed Expert Working Group.
Criminal Proceedings Database A project to report on the Scottish Government Criminal Proceedings database;
2012-13
identify possible development opportunities, document database logic and to
identify possible areas of risk in the medium/long term.
Lead Person
Debbie Headrick
Gilly Diggins
Offence modifiers/other
recording issues 2012-13
To pursue data recording issues relating to modifiers, bail decisions, and the
presumption against short sentences with CJOs to ensure completeness of
analysis to inform and monitor policy decisions.
Criminal Proceedings Additional Datasets 2012-13
Review and recommend further developments for the additional datasets
Gilly Diggins
which are produced along with the Criminal Proceedings statistical tables.
Specifically around datasets for age breakdowns and further tables on offences.
Analyse data relating to 2013-14. Seek to improve structure and commentary,
Gilly Diggins
identifying other improvements in data collection, processing and quality
assurance where possible.
Criminal Proceedings in
Scotland 2013-14
Liquor licensing statistics
2013-14
Publication of statistics collected from local licensing boards on number of
businesses licensed to sell alcohol.
Gilly Diggins
Alan Fleming
Drugs and Community Safety
Title
Detail of proposed analysis
Data linkage project to assess Linking data on drug-related deaths to prisons data.
drug-related deaths among exprisoners
Lead Person
Elizabeth Fraser
Offensive Behaviour at
Football - Evaluation of Part 1
of OBFTC Act
Continuing project management of the OBFTC evaluation, being undertaken by
Stirling Uni. Will be completed in August 2015.
Ben Cavanagh
Prevalence estimates of
problem drug use for 2012/13
To work with ISD and academic experts to produce estimates of the prevalence
of problem drug use in Scotland in 2012/13.
Fiona Fraser
Report of National Drug
Related Deaths Database
Provide support to ISD and policy colleagues with quality assuring the report
and contributing to briefing.
Fiona Fraser
Research on drug misuse and
older people
Research to find out about the experience of older people misusing drugs in
Scotland, what are their needs and how suited are current services to meeting
them.
Fiona Fraser
Research on New Psychoactive To establish the prevalence of use, patterns of use and motivations for use of
Substances
NPS across Scotland.
Fiona Fraser
Scottish Schools Adolescent
Lifestyle and Substance Use
Survey (SALSUS) 2013
Fran Warren
Provide ad-hoc advice on the 2013 SALSUS survey to ensure that DPU interests
are represented. Attend Advisory Group meetings, comment on
questionnaires, draft reports, etc.
Scottish Drug Misuse Database Work with ISD to ensure that the quality of the data in the SDMD is as good as
Fiona Fraser
reports 2013-14
possible and to improve the structure and content of the SDMD reports due out
in 2013/14.
Sectarianism: Community
Experiences of Sectarianism
The project will explore the day to day experiences of sectarianism in 5 case
study locations, to understand how people perceive it, how it impacts on them.
Ben Cavanagh
Sectarianism: Community
impact of marches and
parades
Managing the externally commissioned research. Aim of the research is to
identify the impact that a sample of marches and parades on the local
community in which it takes places. Particular focus will be on events that may
be considered sectarian.
Linzie Liddell
Sectarianism: Expert advice to
projects tackling sectarianism
To help establish a body that will be able to provide evidence-based advice to
projects that are being funded to tackle sectarianism.
Ben Cavanagh
Sectarianism: Scottish Social
Attitudes Survey (SSAS)
module on sectarianism
ScotCen are running a module on sectarianism in the 2014 SSAS. This involves
asking respondents how they would feel about Catholic/Protestants family
living next door/ marrying into their immediate family etc.
Ben Cavanagh
Service Evaluation of takehome Naloxone
An independent service evaluation of Scotland’s national ‘take home’ Naloxone
programme. The evaluation will examine inputs, the effectiveness of the
process, outputs, as well as providing an early indication of impact and
outcomes.
Scoping of and undertaking evaluation of part 6 of the OBFTC Act. Some
internal work, possibly externally commissioned elements also.
Fran Warren
Violence reduction:
Understanding the link
between football and
domestic violence
Analysing the ways in which domestic violence is linked to football (cause and
correlation). This was recommendation of the joint action group.
Linzie Liddell
Work to establish the means
of deriving prevalence
estimates of Problem Drug
Use in Scotland
Work to establish a technical group to discuss and explore the most
appropriate way to estimate the prevalence of problem drug use in Scotland
prior to specifying the work for the next round of estimates, due for 2015/16.
Fiona Fraser
Building Safer Communities
JAS will be involved in developing a performance framework and providing
advice on the structure and direction for the programme based on the
Improvement Science approach.
Kirsty Bosley
Building Safer Communities:
Updating the literature review
on Reducing Crime
Up-dating the existing literature for important new evidence, filling in gaps and
arranging publication. Contribution to handling and publication and follow-up
events and workshops with BSC colleagues.
Linzie Liddell
Drug seizures 2013-14
Continuation of recent data collection to meet statutory data requirements.
Sandra Campbell
Threatening Communications:
Evaluation of Part 6 of OBFTC
Act
Evidence review: Fear of Crime A review of existing data and research on fear of crime, its causes and effects
and how it can be adequately measured. This is to provide context to existing
work on reducing crime and why crime has fallen.
Neil Davidson
Neil Davidson
Extension of MAPPA to violent
offenders
Analytical advice on targeting, potential volumes, and potential costs.
Peter Conlong
Firearm certificates 2012-13
Annual data collection, quality assurance and publication of statistical bulletin
Neil Henderson
Homicide in Scotland 2013-14
Annual data collection, quality assurance and production of a statistical bulletin
Neil Henderson
Offensive Behaviour at
Football - Analysis of charges
under Section 1 of OBFTC Act
Analysis of the COPFS data on Section 1 charges. To include analysis of
characteristics or accused and victim, nature and location of offensive
behaviour and outcome of charge.
Ben Cavanagh
Outcomes work on drug
misuse
To be confirmed. Exploring how to build up a richer story of the place of drug
misuse in our wider outcomes picture, drawing on work already being done in
other areas of the SG.
Fiona Fraser
Provide quality assurance and
contribute to briefing and
handling for various routine
ISD publications on drug use
Provide quality assurance and contribute to the briefing and handling for
routine publications, ensuring that the key messages are brought to the
attention of policy colleagues and Ministers to inform policy making going
forward
Fiona Fraser
Recorded Crime in Scotland
2013-14
Statistical publication on police recorded crime in Scotland. Annual publication
which provides a measure of the volume of crime with which the police are
faced.
Sandra Campbell
Recorded Crimes and Offences Annual data collection, quality assurance and publication of statistical bulletin.
involving Firearms 2013-14
Neil Henderson
Religiously aggravated
offending: Analysis of charges
under Section 74
Analysis of Section 74 data held by COPFS including data on characteristics of
accused and victim, religion targeted, location of incident and the outcome of
the charges.
Ben Cavanagh
Research on the impact of
Welfare Reform on drug
users/ service users
Project to be confirmed
Fiona Fraser
Sectarianism: Up-date of
analysis on structural
disadvantage for 2011 Census
results
Violence evidence review:
mapping prevalence, nature,
typologies, measurement and
impact
Updated analysis of structural disadvantage that is included in the literature
review 'Empirical Evidence on Sectarianism in Scotland' using the 2011 Census
data. CAS statisticians will be doing the majority of this work. JAS to provide
advice and handling.
Updating previous evidence review to provide a summary of what evidence
exists on the prevalence and nature of different types of violence in Scotland.
To support policy work, and provide a rationale for engagement and funding of
other organisations and projects
Linzie Liddell
Development of a single data
base for alcohol and drugs
To support ISD and policy colleagues in developing a single national drug and
alcohol collection system - sit on project board and implementation group.
Fiona Fraser
Follow-up analysis to the
report from the Expert Group
on Substitute Prescribing
To assist Brian Kidd with setting up and running an event to establish a drug
misuse research agenda for Scotland. Frist task will be to map the research
community and various funding sources in Scotland.
Fiona Fraser
Recorded crime - quality
assurance of MKQ and ScOMIS
data
QA of MKQ data and ScOMIS data in advance of the preparation of the
recorded crime bulletin. Preparation of a Technical report detailing
findings/outcomes etc.
Sandra Campbell
Scottish Crime Registrars
Group
Participation in the Police Scotland versions of what were the ACPOS Scottish
Crime Registrars Group and the Scottish Crime Recording Standard Counting
Rules sub-group
Sandra Campbell
Linzie Liddell
UKSA Re-assessment of
Recorded Crime
UKSA conducting the re-assessment of "Recorded crime in Scotland".
Update analytical briefing note Update the analytical briefing note on drugs in line with new information
on drugs
published since the last update in October 2013.
Sandra Campbell
Fran Warren
Fire and Rescue Services
Title
Fire - Planning and Defining
Services
Detail of proposed analysis
HMFSI are about to embark on a project to consider in detail the processes
which the Scottish Fire and Rescue Service applies in designing its various levels
of service provision. JAS will support by providing data and analysis.
Lead Person
Kirsty Bosley
Fire and Rescue Service
statistics 2013-14
Collection and publication of the first year of functional data for the new SFRS.
The formation of the single service requires reformatting of collection and
publication.
This is the last year that SG will publish these statistics and another project
exists to manage the handover of FRS statistics to SFRS.
Phillipa Haxton
Fire Data Collection and
Requirements Post Reform
SG publishes incident data and FRS data annually. It has been agreed with SG,
the service and the board that SG will publish the FRS data for the last time this
year, handing over the publication to the service after that.
Kirsty Bosley
Fire data consultation
Consult users of FRS and incident data to establish new formats for the
publications. SG publishes incident data and FRS data annually. With the new
single service both publications will have to change and we are required to
consult data users on changes.
Kirsty Bosley
Fire Performance Framework
The Fire and Rescue Framework for Scotland 2013 sets out priorities and
guidance for the new Scottish Fire and Rescue Service (SFRS). JAS have
provided performance indicators and targets for the framework and will
provide support in reviewing and advising on the SFRS reports.
Fire Statistics Scotland 201314
Bulletin contains Fire and Rescue Services incident data for financial year 2013- Phillipa Haxton
14. The format will need to be revised to accommodate the single service and a
consultation is underway to determine data users’ requirements for the
publication.
Fire statistics are currently handled in an Access database. Scottish
Phillipa Haxton
Government is ceasing to support Access so all databases will have to be
migrated to another system. This project covers sufficient migration to provide
data for the 2013-14 publication.
Fire - IT solution and recoding
of data to local authority
Kirsty Bosley
Police
Title
Serious organised crime:
Measuring community harm
Detail of proposed analysis
Scoping a qualitative, ethnographic study of the operations of organised crime
in one or more communities to establish its scale and nature and its harms. This
will follow on from a nationally-based omnibus survey of public perceptions of
organised crime.
Lead Person
Ben Cavanagh
Missing Persons analysis
Potential analytical work to support the missing persons work. Discussion with
SG colleagues has highlighted a range of different interests including research
what existing arrangements/protocols are in place for handling missing persons
enquiries between various stakeholders, initial investigation and after care,
how they differ, whether they’re used, where there’s gaps, proportion of
successful outcomes etc.
Ben Cavanagh
Police - Data Sharing
Agreement
Work with PSoS and SPA to agree data provision mechanism for policing and
crime data, and develop a data sharing agreement to reflect and formalise new
arrangements.
Police Officer Quarterly
Strength bulletins
Police Staff Numbers - PQs,
ad-hoc requests, PSE
consistency
Quarterly stats bulletin used to monitor 2007 and 2011 manifesto commitment. Alex Reid
Regular quarterly demand for Police Staff Numbers, PQs, ad-hoc requests,
consistency/rationalisation of the JAS data collection with the Public Sector
Employment (ONS) data collection.
Neil Grant
Policing performance
management
Support SPA and PS led-work on development of policing performance data
and framework, methods for measuring comparative performance, including to
support and inform
monitoring of Strategic Policing Priorities.
Define and agree future responsibilities for data collection, analysis and
reporting, within the SG, PSOS and SPA. This project will be required to engage
with stakeholders, complete the process, disseminate the results, and
implement the plans (POQS and crime stats publications). It should also
consider scope for PSoS/SPA to produce their own Official Statistics in the
future.
Update of previous analysis on recidivism patterns for sex offenders.
Neil Grant
The commissioned project will involve two activities: 1) overview and mapping
of all major relevant data sources and 2) local fieldwork to collect qualitative
evidence on reform in context using a longitudinal case study methodology.
Will need to establish working group involving key stakeholders to improve
alignment and reduce duplication, ensuring co-ordinated work between the
services and SG, across police and fire, and between benefits and evaluation
work.
Katherine Myant
Post Reform Landscape of
Police & Crime Data
Collection, Analysis and
Publication
Sex offender notification
periods
Police and Fire Reform
Evaluation
Neil Grant
Neil Grant / Sandra Campbell
Peter Conlong
Section 3: Guidance for Potential Contractors
3.1 For Research Contractor Guidance:
http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Research/About/SocialResearch/Guidance-for-Contractors
3.2 For Advertisements of Upcoming Research Projects:
http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Research/new-research-projects
Section 4: Sources of Further Information
4.1
Justice Policy
For further information about justice work across the Scottish
Government:
Scottish Government Topics - Law, Order and Public Safety
Justice Strategy - Summary
Making Justice Work
Reducing Reoffending
Police Reform
4.2
Justice Evidence and Analysis
Justice Strategy Evidence Paper
4.3
Scottish Government Analysts:
To find out more about Social Research in the Scottish Government:
http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Research/About/Social-Research
To find out more about Statistics in the Scottish Government:
http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Statistics/
To find out more about Economics in the Scottish Government:
http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Economy/EconDept