Chapter 8 Sampling Distribution Ch 8.1 Distribution of Sample Mean Objective A : Shape, Center, and Spread of the Distributions of x A1. Sampling Distributions of Mean Assume equal chances for each number to be selected. S {1, 2,3} Sampling Probability distribution of mean x . Let’s say we select two elements (n 2) from S {1, 2,3} with replacement. (Independent case) List out all possible combinations (sample space) and x for each combination. Probability distribution of x is summarized in the table shown below. Probability histogram for x . Let’s compare the distribution shape of x and x . P( x) 1 3 1 2 1 1.5 2 3 x P( x) 39 29 19 2.5 3 x Is this by chance that x is normally distributed? A2. Central Limit Theorem A. If the population distribution of x is normally distributed, the sampling distribution of x is normally distributed regardless of the sample size n . If the population distribution x is not normally distributed, the sampling distribution of x is guaranteed to be normally distributed if n 30 . B. Mean/standard deviation of a sampling distribution of x vs mean/standard deviation of a population distribution of x . The mean and standard deviation of population distribution are and respectively. The mean of the sampling distribution of x is x . x The standard deviation of the sampling distribution of x is x . x n Example 1 : Determine x and x from the given parameters of the population and the sample size. 27 , 6 , n 15 Example 2 : A simple random sample is obtained from a population with 64 and 18 . (a) If the population distribution is skewed to the right, what condition must be applied in order to guarantee the sampling distribution of x is normally distributed? (b) If the sample size is n 9 , what must be true regarding the distribution of the population in order to guarantee the sampling distribution of x to be normally distributed? Objective B : Finding Probability of x that is Normally Distributed Standardize x to Z Recall : Standardize x to Z : Z Now : Z Standardize x to Z : x x x x Example 1 : A simple random sample of size n 36 is obtained from a population mean 64 and population standard deviation 18 . (a) Describe the sampling distribution x . (b) What is P( x 62.6) ? Example 2 : The upper leg of 20 to 29 year old males is normally distributed with a mean length of 43.7cm and a standard deviation of 4.2cm. (a) What is the probability that a random sample of 12 males who are 20 to 29 years old results in a mean upper leg length that is between 42cm and 48cm? (b) A random sample of 15 males who are 20 to 29 years old results in a mean upper leg length greater than 46 cm. Do you find the result unusual? Why? Ch 8.2 Distribution of the Sample Proportion Objective A : Shape, Center and Spread of the Distribution of p Distribution of the Sample Proportions A. Sampling distribution of sample proportion p , where. p x n The shape of the sampling distribution of p is approximately normally provided by, np(1 p) 10 or npq 10 , where q 1 p B. Finding the mean and standard deviation of p p p p p(1 p) n Objective B : Finding Probability of p that is Normally Distributed Standardize p to Z Z p p p where p p and p p(1 p) n provided p is approximately normally distributed. Example 1: A nationwide study indicated that 80% of college students who use a cell phone, send and receive text messages on their phone. A simple random sample of n 200 college students using a cell phone is obtained. (a) Describe sampling distribution of p . (b) What is the probability that 154 or fewer college students in the sample send and receive text messages on the cell phone? Is this unusual?