APPENDIX Sample Selection Drawing from similar methods that we used in our prior work that assessed trends in management of back pain,1 we used the NAMCS and NHAMCS Reason for Visit Classification for Ambulatory Care codes2 to identify three related reasons for visit (RFV) including Headache/pain in head, Migraine headache, and Tension headache. We then used ICD-9-CM codes to identify additional visits where a diagnosis of headache or migraine was made. Relevant diagnoses that were available in the NAMCS and NHAMCS ICD-9-CM diagnostic lists are outlined in Table A1. We also used the following NAMCS/NHAMCS reason for visit codes to identify clinical red flags, which would indicate something other than routine headache. We excluded these from the analysis. These included fever, disorders of speech/speech disturbance, slurring, convulsions, altered level of consciousness, epilepsy, and HIV with or without associated conditions. Table A2 summarizes the clinical red flags represented by ICD-9-CM codes, which served as additional exclusion criteria. We summarize cohort design in Appendix Table A3. Based on the above reasons for visits and diagnosis codes, we created five groups of patients presenting with headache. Our first group was the gold standard group, which consisted of patients who presented with new onset (<3 months duration) or acute on chronic headache. Our second group consisted of patients with nonprimary complaints and non-primary diagnoses of headache. The third group consisted of patients who presented with a chief complaint of headache, which was not acute. The fourth group consisted of patients who only presented with a primary diagnosis of headache, but not a chief complaint. Groups 1-4 excluded any patients with potentially competing diagnoses, such as back pain, abdominal pain, joint pains, which could potentially confound utilization trends of the key outcomes we studied. Finally, group 5 included groups 1-4 and added in visits with competing diagnoses. The groups were mutually exclusive. When we compared trends in group 1, our gold standard group, with the other groups, trends were similar. We therefore include in our primary results all groups. Main Outcomes As previously described in our prior study on back pain,1 during the years 2001-2004, the CT/MRI variable was removed from the survey instrument, and we substituted “other imaging” in its place. When we removed the years 20012004, the trend for CT/MRI remained unchanged (see Table A4); therefore we kept them for the purposes of consistency and to maximize sample size. During 2007-2010, MRI and CT were reported separately so these were combined for analyses to maintain consistency over the study period. The referral to other physicians variable was presented as a binary checkbox on the survey instrument during each year of the study. The counseling variable has several subcategories, including dietary and nutrition education/counseling, exercise education/counseling, and stress management and mental health education/counseling. If any of these three types of counseling were checked off for a given visit for headache, then our counseling variable was counted as positive. We chose these particular subcategories of counseling because of the substantial dietary, lifestyle, and psychosocial influences on migraine and tension-type headaches in addition to specific guideline recommendations for counseling.3-5 Competing Diagnoses Table A5 illustrates unadjusted use over time after excluding visits with competing diagnoses, which might confound trends in utilization. In this sensitivity analysis, we excluded visits that included any of the following ICD-9CM codes: musculoskeletal disorders (711-719, 730-736), back pain (724) abdominal diseases (540-543, 550-555, 574-577, 789), liver diseases (592, 594), kidney stones (592, 594), any fracture (805-830), dislocation (831-839), sprains and strains (840-848), encephalitis (323-326), dementia or degenerative nervous system disease (330-341), stroke (342-345, 347-349), pneumonia (481-487). Excluding these diagnoses revealed similar trends to our main analysis, therefore, visits with these diagnoses were included in the primary analysis in order to maximize sample size and power. Clinical Guideline Selection We performed a MEDLINE search and review of the National Guideline Clearinghouse using search terms such as headache guidelines, migraine guidelines, headache clinical practice guidelines, and migraine clinical practice guidelines, appropriate use of imaging for headache. We identified three major clinical headache guidelines that would most likely influence U.S. clinician behavior during the study period. These three guidelines were released proximate to the first half of the study period and were published by major professional societies: The American College of Physicians for migraine in 2002, the American Academy of Neurology for headache in 2000, and the Institute for Clinical Systems Improvement for headache in 1998.3-5 Of note, although verapamil was recommended during the study period, the American Academy of Neurology Guideline 2012 update on pharmacologic prevention of migraine 6 finds unsatisfactory evidence for verapamil (conflicting and poor studies). Amitriptyline went from 1 (proven efficacy; 2000) to B (probably effective; 2012), while propranolol remained high (1 to A), and topiramate had a better evidence base (3 to A). Table A1. Inclusion Criteria According to Presence of ICD-9-CM Diagnostic Codes ICD-9-CM Code General Description 784.0 Headache 307.81 Tension Headache 346.00 346.01 346.10 346.11 346.20 346.80 346.81 346.90 346.91 Classical migraine without mention of intractable migraine without mention of status migrainosus Classical migraine with intractable migraine, so stated, without mention of status migrainosus Common migraine without mention of intractable migraine without mention of status migrainosus Common migraine with intractable migraine, so stated, without mention of status migrainosus Variants of migraine without mention of intractable migraine without mention of status migrainosus Other forms of migraine, without mention of intractable migraine without mention of status migrainosus Other forms of migraine, with intractable migraine, so stated, without mention of status migrainosus Migraine, unspecified, without mention of intractable migraine without mention of status migrainosus Migraine, unspecified, with intractable migraine, so stated, without mention of status migrainosus Table A2. Exclusion Criteria According to Presence of ICD-9-CM Diagnostic Codes ICD-9-CM Code 801 - 804 345 General Description Fracture of the skull or face Epilepsy 850 - 854 Head Trauma 140-208 Malignancy 042 - 044 Human Immunodeficiency Virus and associated complications 781 - 785 Neurologic Deficit (e.g., weakness) V220-V222, V230-V235, V237-V240 Pregnancy and associated complications Table A3. Cohort Design Group 1 2 3 4 5 Description Primary reason for visit due to new onset (<3 months duration) or acute on chronic headache or migraine Both non-primary complaint and non-primary diagnosis of headache or migraine and competing diagnoses are absent Primary complaint of headache or migraine during chronic routine, pre/post operative, or general/preventative visit and without competing diagnoses Primary diagnosis of headache or migraine without a complaint and without competing diagnoses Groups 1-4 and including competing diagnoses Sample n (%) 3,896 (41.6) 582 (6.2) 2,969 (31.7) 913 (9.8) 1,002 (10.7) Table A4. Unadjusted Percentages of CT/MRI Use Excluding 2001-2004 Year (sample n) CT/MRI 1999-2000 (n=1,299) 6.7 2005-2006 (n=1,533) 9.4 2007-2008 (n=1,579) 13.5 2009-2010 (n=1,585) 13.9 P-value 0.001 Table A5. Unadjusted Use over Time Without Competing Diagnoses (% of Visits) 1999-2000 (n=1,165) 2001-2002 (n=1,556) 2003-2004 (n=1,469) 2005-2006 (n=1,375) 2007-2008 (n=1,389) 2009-2010 (n=1,406) P-value Advanced Imaging (CT/MRI) 6.5 6.9 7.0 9.1 12.6 14.6 <0.001 Referrals to Other Physicians 7.0 8.9 10.7 10.1 12.4 11.9 0.01 Headache Prevention Counseling 21.7 22.6 23.0 19.2 14.7 18.1 0.044 NSAIDs/APAP 14.7 18.9 15.4 13.5 18.6 15.3 0.94 Triptans/Ergot 10.0 13.0 13.5 19.2 14.2 17.3 0.006 Preventative Opioid/Barbiturate 9.0 19.2 9.5 15.8 10.4 20.1 12.1 17.1 13.2 20.1 15.9 18.9 0.003 0.74 Year (sample n) Medications Abortive Abbreviations: NSAIDs, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs; APAP, acetaminophen; Preventive: propranolol, verapamil, amitriptyline, and topamirate; Headache Prevention Counseling: diet and nutrition education/counseling, exercise education/counseling, stress management/mental health education/counseling. Table A6. Patient Visit Characteristics Over Time Year (Sample n) 1999-2000 (n=1,299) 46.5 75.3 2001-2002 (n=1,717) 44.7 73.0 2003-2004 (n=1,649) 45.7 73.9 2005-2006 (n=1,533) 46.0 72.8 2007-2008 (n=1,579) 45.0 78.9 2009-2010 (n=1,585) 46.8 75.2 Age (mean) Female Sex Race/Ethnicity* White 71.7 80.4 71.1 77.9 71.0 76.0 Black 9.8 9.1 12.2 9.1 14.6 12.0 Hispanic 12.8 6.9 12.5 8.7 9.6 7.9 Other 5.7 3.7 4.3 4.3 4.9 4.1 Insurance Status Private 57.5 67.0 67.5 62.0 62.8 60.4 Medicare 13.0 10.5 14.0 13.0 11.6 16.8 Medicaid 10.3 7.4 9.0 11.2 10.7 12.1 Workers' Comp 2.6 1.1 0.81 0.25 0.80 1.4 Uninsured 13.4 9.2 7.2 6.4 11.7 7.4 Identified PCP 57.7 59.6 59.4 54.7 57.0 54.1 Metro Area 79.8 79.5 82.8 84.8 87.9 85.2 Region Northeast 20.7 18.1 21.8 18.1 13.5 18.3 Midwest 23.2 22.3 17.8 29.7 21.3 26.9 South 30.7 35.1 40.6 32.6 42.7 34.5 West 25.4 24.5 19.9 19.5 22.5 20.4 Headache Chief Complaints† Acute or New Onset 62.3 54.0 54.2 54.2 50.6 56.7 Chronic Routine 32.0 39.1 41.5 40.6 40.4 38.9 Pre/Post Operative 2.5 0.25 0.73 1.05 0.57 0.60 Preventative Care 2.0 1.9 2.3 2.2 3.8 3.5 * White, Black, and Other patients are all non-Hispanic in origin. Hispanic origin may include patients of any race. Other race/ethnicity includes persons of Asian, Native Hawaiian, Pacific Islander, American Indian, or multiple races. † 80.8% of the sample comprises patients with a chief complaint of headache (proportions may not add to 100% due to the 1.7% missing values for this variable). PCP primary care physician. Pvalue 0.42 0.38 0.027 <0.001 .89 .67 .45 <0.001 Table A7. Adjusted* Proportions of Use by Identified PCP versus Non-PCP over Time Year 1999-2000 2001-2002 2003-2004 2005-2006 2007-2008 2009-2010 (sample n, PCP)† (n=519) (n=496) (n=511) (n=522) (n=511) (n=543) P-value [Sample n, non-PCP] [n=680] [n=1,104] [n=1,037] [n=929] [n=969] [n=933] Advanced Imaging (CT/MRI) PCP 5.7 4.4 5.2 4.7 10.2 10.8 0.012 Non-PCP 6.9 7.6 8.8 16.2 15.5 15.7 <0.001 Referrals to Other Physicians PCP 5.2 8.1 11.3 8.9 12.9 11.0 0.022 Non-PCP 7.2 10.3 8.1 9.1 11.1 14.5 0.017 Headache Prevention Counseling PCP 27.6 26.5 22.8 27.1 18.1 19.7 0.028 Non-PCP 16.0 13.9 19.1 9.5 9.6 13.8 0.15 Medications Abortive NSAIDs/APAP PCP 15.0 26.8 17.3 16.3 18.9 17.1 0.39 Non-PCP 12.6 13.2 15.2 10.0 15.0 14.3 0.65 Triptans/Ergot PCP 8.3 13.9 10.2 14.4 14.1 16.3 0.43 Non-PCP 8.6 13.8 11.7 13.7 13.5 15.7 0.004 Preventative PCP 7.8 7.0 9.4 9.8 8.0 12.7 0.13 Non-PCP 10.0 12.1 9.7 13.3 20.2 17.4 <0.001 Opioid/Barbiturate PCP 18.0 16.2 22.2 18.6 18.4 17.9 0.97 Non-PCP 17.1 12.7 13.7 14.3 22.9 18.8 0.16 *In this table, our models adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, region, insurance type, symptom duration, and whether the visit was located in a metropolitan area. † In this stratified analysis, the variable for PCP-status was missing unknown 6.5% of the time. For this stratified analysis, we collapsed the worker’s compensation insurance variable into the uninsured variable due to a lack of enough cells for the models to converge. Appendix References: 1. Mafi JN, McCarthy EP, Davis RB, Landon BE. Worsening Trends in the Management and Treatment of Back Pain. JAMA Intern Med. 2013;173(17):1573–81. 2. Schneider D, Appleton L, McLemore T. A reason for visit classification for ambulatory care. Vital Health Stat 2. 1979;(78):i–vi– 1–63. 3. Snow V, Weiss K, Wall EM. Guidelines for the Treatment and Prevention of Migraine Headaches. Ann Intern Med. 2002;137(10):840–852. 4. Silberstein SD. Practice parameter: Evidence-based guidelines for migraine headache (an evidence-based review): Report of the Quality Standards Subcommittee of the American Academy of Neurology. Neurology. 2000;55(6):754–762. 5. Beithon J, Gallenberg M, Johnson K, Kildahl P, Krenik J, Liebow M, et al. Institute for Clinical Systems Improvement. 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