URBAN GROWTH DYNAMICS (1956-1998) IN MEDITERRANEAN COASTAL REGIONS: THE CASE OF ALICANTE, SPAIN Juan A. Pascual Aguilar1, Carlos Añó, Antonio Valera & Juan Sánchez Land Use Planning Department. Centro de Investigaciones sobre Desertificación -CIDE (CSIC-Universitat de València-GV). Camí de la Marjal s/n. 46470 Albal, Valencia (Spain). Telf. +34 96 1220540. Fax: +34 96 1270967. E-mail: juan.a.pascual@uv.es 1Corresponding author ABSTRACT Among factors causing soil degradation one of the most important, although less studied in Mediterranean environments, is the irreversible loss of soil due to urbanisation processes, inserted into the more general concept of soil sealing. In coastal Mediterranean regions, such as the Valencia Region, Spain, land cover transformations are mainly produced by contemporary socio-economic changes that have produced a drift from traditional agriculture to industrial and tourism economies, reinforced by population’s trends to concentrate in cities or larger urban regions. Evaluation of soil sealing is then a key element to understand soil degradation and the disappearance, in most cases, of highly productive soils. This work, inserted within a major study on land use-cover change and soil degradation of metropolitan areas in the Valencia Region, presents the preliminary results on the urban-non urban (open agrarian and natural spaces) dynamics in the municipality of Alicante, the second largest city in the region. Three sets of panchromatic air photos for the years 1956, 1985 and 1998 have been used. After air photo scanning, on screen digitising using a base digital topographic map at scale 1:10,000, was applied to extract two major types of soil cover: agrarian and urban. A Geographical Information System vector structure has been implemented for cartographic comparison. Finally, to identify spatial and temporal changes maps and overlays together with synthetic tables were produced in order to assess soil degradation. Results show that there has been a substantial loss of soil devoted mainly to agriculture. Urban growth can be differentiated into three distinct spatial patterns: 1) edge compact enlargement of the city boundaries, including growth following the main road network; 2) compact new urbanisation alongside the coast and 3) the colonisation by groups of individual residences mainly over continental open spaces. One of the main impacts of such new urban pattern has been the loss of the most fertile soils distributed over the alluvial plains around the city, which has been mainly occupied by the tourist and residential buildings. Keywords: Mediterranean environments, Urban dynamics, Desertification, degradation, Soil sealing, Aerial photograph, Geographical information Systems. Land INTRODUCTION The expansion of cities has been a relevant feature of the second half of the last century almost in all areas of the planet. Using population concentration as an indicator of urban growth, in 1950 less than 1 billion people, 30 per cent of the population, lived in urban areas; whereas in 2003 the world’s urban population was estimated at 3 billion (43 per cent) and is expected to reach 5 billion by 2030, which would be some 61 per cent of the planet’s total population (United Nations, 2004). Although there is a strong relationship between urban population increase and urban expansion, in developed countries the growth of urban areas has to be understood not only by means of population but also as fundamental instruments of modern social and economic trends (globalisation). Such trends concentrate in urban regions labour forces, industrial, commercial and service activities and the required human, physical and technological infrastructures. People grouping in cities are tightly related with modern trends of global economies; although these transforming cities would represent the engines of growth for their respective societies, they are also becoming sources of instability (Van Vliet, 2002). In some areas, the globalisation phenomenon shows a certain component of social insecurity, because, up to now, the process is basically economical, based on seeking consumers (Environment and Urbanization, 2002), rather than in the setting of equilibrium among resources distribution between consumers and producers and the increase of population’s welfare. Instability that is also highlighted by the fact that in the last decades together with the rapid urban population rise- there has been an even more dramatic increase of urban population with lower incomes (Cohen, 2004). In such case, urban development becomes a crucial agent in the land use-land cover dynamics of any territory (López et al., 2001; Mendoza and Etter, 2002). The process signifies a radical land use-cover transformation from other uses (normally agriculture or more natural open spaces) that commonly implies the soil degradation (Lambin, 1997). In addition to this, recent studies (e.g., Morello et al., 2000; Fazal, 2000; Nizeyimana et al., 2001; Hathout, 2002; Hasse and Lathrop, 2003) show that urban development consumes highly productive soils. The urbanizing process consumes land resources, reducing the possibility to develop other traditional and more sustainable land uses. Or even affecting the ecological properties of the areas were urbanization expands. In most Mediterranean countries, urban spread has been done in flat coastal plains, where initially most attempts has been made to strike the most beneficial balance between development and preservation of natural and agricultural lands (Van Teeffelen, 1984). Although yet it is valid the hypothesis that the continued degradation and mismanagement of many coastal areas continues (European Comission, 1999). In the last decades, soil degradation induced by urban growth has become one of the most environmental threats in Mediterranean countries, mainly in coastal environments (Leontidou et al., 1998; Plan Bleu, 2003). Soil loss through surface sealing under housing and transport infrastructures it’s a critical environmental issue leading to desertification, an advanced stage of land degradation. As a consequence the soil, a non-renewable resource, loss its multifunctional role (Blum, 1998) and therefore, the process of urban growth finally lead in much of these areas to the total and irreversible disappearance of soils dedicated to non urban uses. One of the main driving forces of land use and land cover changes is caused by urbanisation (Hubacek and Vazquez, 2002), that modify and fragment the structure and organisation of rural landscape attributes and create new ones (Poudevigne et al., 1997; Antrop, 2000; Milesi et al., 2003). According to various researchers (e.g., Coccossis, 1991; Weber and Puissant, 2003) urbanisation processes, including residential, industrial and infrastructure development, seems to have been the single most instrumental process of change for the European Mediterranean regions. In recent years land use-cover in Mediterranean environments, mainly in coastal areas, is changing at a high rate. Contemporary socio-economic history of coastal Mediterranean regions, such us the Valencia Region (Spain), has led to considerable land useland cover transformations causing, in some cases, the irreversible loss of prime farmland. Evaluation of soil sealing by urbanisation is then a key element to understand soil degradation and the disappearance of agriculture or forestry land. Therefore loss of soil by urban growth constitutes an indicator for assessing land degradation (Hoobler, et al. 2003; Tullock, et al. 2003) and desertification in the Mediterranean basin (Sommer et al., 1998). This work inserted within a study on land use-land-cover and soil degradation of metropolitan areas in the Valencia Region, presents the preliminary results on the urban-non urban dynamics since 1956 to 1998 in the municipality of Alicante, the second largest city in the region. STUDY AREA The municipality of Alicante is located in the centre, by the eastern littoral band, of the province of Alicante in the Spanish Valencia region. Together with nine more municipalities conforms a higher order territorial unit, known as the Comarca del Alicantí (Figure 1). Alicante lays on the eastern most extreme of the Betica Mountains. From there to the Mediterranean shores the relief is descending gradually, according to three mountain belt systems, in an intricate of dissected substructures of small mountain ranges, “sierras”, and valleys that conform a typical littoral eastern Iberian Mediterranean shores. The topography of the municipality of Alicante is resumed according to its slope distribution. Most of its territory has slopes above 5%. Further, almost one third is above 7% of slope; being the western and northern most part of it above 15% or even lying on steeper slopes (Padilla, 1998). Within this topographic structure fluvial lower plains of recent formation are found. From the northern mountain ranges the fluvial dissection is responsible for the ephemeral stream (barranco) and ephemeral river (rambla) systems that contribute to the final formation of the alluvial plains. The study area has a typical dry semiarid Mediterranean climate with an annual average temperature about 17ºC and an annual rainfall of 300 mm, very irregularly distributed through out the year and with a major peak of high intensity rainfalls usually recorded during autumn. A second minor rainfall season is also registered in spring. The shortage of rainfall and its concentration in few days over the year gives a considerable amount of clear sunny days, with almost 3000 hours of sun per year (Pérez Cueva, 1994). From the environmental point of view, both climate and topography constitute the two main elements that can determine the model and pattern of urban expansion, reinforced by the attractiveness of the see facing eastern part of the municipality. SPAIN A B A. Valencia Region B. Alicante Province 9 10 1 4 5 2 6 8 7 3 City of Alicante Municipality 1. Agost 2. Aigües 3. Alicante 4. Busot 5. El Campello 6. Mutxamel 7. San Juan de Alicante 8. Sant Vicent del Raspeig 9. La Torre de les Maçanes 10. Xixona N 0 5 10 15 Study Area Alicantí Comarca (County) Kilometers Figure 1. Location of the study area METHODOLOGY The analysis of urban growth has been implemented into a vector Geographic Information System (GIS) structure (Burrough and McDonnell, 1998) according to a three major step approach (Figure 2). First, data sources for feature extraction where identified. Although there exist alternative data sources that could allow the task of soil sealing feature extraction such as maps and satellite imagery, in this work aerial photographs have been used. With respect to satellite data, it is true that nowadays products with very detailed resolution are already available (Neubert, 2001). Nonetheless the high cost of such images together with the inexistence of the same sources for historical dates, and the necessity of harmonisation to improve data consistency and comparability, make feasible the use of aerial photographs that has been proved effective in studies of similar nature (e.g., Taylor et al., 2000; Fricke and Wolff, 2002; Hathout, 2002; Cheng and Masse, 2003). Thus, three sets of panchromatic aerial photographs for the years 1956, 1985 and 1998 at scales 1:33 000 (1956), 1:30 000 (1985) and 1:25 000 (1998) constituted the main data sources for mapping land use-cover changes. The data input and database construction phase and management, consisted on high resolution scanning with sufficient detail for delimitation of small urban features such as isolated new housing and narrow (around 2 m of width) streets and roads. After scanning, all aerial photographs were georeferenced and a single composite mosaic made for each year. Georefencing was the result of combining the scanned photographs, a common set of control points and a base digital topographic map at scale 1:10 000. Finally geometric (polygon) and semantic databases (tables with attributes) were constructed for each layer of information, or year, by aerial photograph interpretation technique (Bird et al., 2000) and on screen digitising. Information from the 1998 aerial photographs were digitised as the reference urban growth data layer, allowing on one hand feature recognition and visual training of the panchromatic sources, and on the other a support for polygon delimitation of the rest of historical sets. Attribute definition for polygon assignation where defined according to two major classes: urban (that where subdivided into low density when buildings where no compacted, high density such as residential blocks in cities) and non-urban. ... 1956 1998 1985 1985 1956 1998 Class 1. Density Class 2. Density DATA SOURCES Urban. High Urban. Low Class 3.DATA NonINPUT Urban & DATA BASE MANAGEMENT SPATIO-TEMPORAL ANALYSIS Figure 2. Methodological structure for the study of soil sealing by urban growth in the municipality of Alicante Once both semantic and geometric data bases where constructed, it was possible to proceed with the third phase of the methodology, which consists on the spatial and temporal analysis. Two main criteria where taken into account: a synchronic (at one date) spatial analysis where undertaken for each year followed by a diachronic map comparison to define spatiotemporal trends. To assess and illustrate the results of the spatial and temporal changes of soil loss by urban growth maps and overlays together with synthetic tables were produced as GIS outputs. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION Factors affecting the growth of urban spaces are related to both environmental and socio-economic variables. The former could be restrictive (such as very steep relief, flooding areas, etc.) or prone to urban growth expansion (such as littoral position, or even good weather -dry and worm- conditions). On the other hand, socio-economic factors would reinforce urban growing; for example, the recent tourist industry development, the political and administrative provincial capital status and the progressive population increase are factors that would increase urban expansion potentials. From an environmental perspective, the municipality is structured by a dense ephemeral streams and ephemeral rivers descending from the highest western steeper slopes (Figure 3). Such topographic distribution is very limiting for urban dissemination in the inner and central mountain formations, or at least will determine an urban structure of low density urbanisation. While over the flat lands, where the original city of Alicante settlement is found, the urban growth is related to a high density expansion model. Other aspects such as climate and see facing slopes will reinforced the low density pattern of the steeper areas. In fact such two major types of urban growth dynamics have been developed since 1956 in Alicante. One should have to be related with a type of dispersed settlement that nowadays could be explained by the tourism and second residence expansion. This low density urban growth had a higher moment of expansion in the period 1956-1985 when there was an increase equivalent to 5% of the total municipal area (Table 1). 14 B A 12 11 9 10 13 8 C 6 5 7 D 1 4 E City of A licante 3 2 N 0 2 4 6 8 Kilometers 0 - 150 150 - 3 00 300 - 4 50 450 - 6 00 600 - 7 50 750 - 9 00 900 - 1 05 0 Altitude distribution 16 15 EA AN RR E IT ED M N A SE 1. S i e rr a G r o ssa 2. S i e rr a d e ls C o lm e n a rs 3. S i e rr a d e l S a n xo 4. S i e rr a d e Fo n tca l en t 5. S e r r eta N e g ra 6. S i e rr a M itja n a 7. S i e rr a d e la s Á g u i la s 8. S i e rr a d e l C a ste ll a r 9. S i e rr a d e B o na l b a 10 . S i e rr a d e l a B a ll es te ra 11 . S i e rr a d e L l o fri u 12 . S i e rr a d el V e n to s 13 . S i e rr a d el C id 14 . S i e rr a d el M a ig m ó 15 . S i e rr a d e l a P e n ya rr o ja 16 . S i e rr a d el C ab e ç ó d 'O r A . B a rr a n co Ho n d o B . B a rr a n co d e V e rc he r e t C. R ío S e co D. R a m b la d 'O r gé g i a E . B a rr a n co d e le s O ve ll es 105 0 - 12 00 120 0 - 13 50 135 0 - 16 00 Alic a nte M un ic ip ality Slop e dist ribu tion Figure 3. Relief distribution of Alicante municipality and surroundings < 10% > 10% Table 1. Urban growth types and synthetic dynamics of the municipality of Alicante 1956 TYPE OF LAND COVER Ha % High density 618 3.1 Urban Low density 371 1.8 Total 989 4.9 Non urban 19,088 95.1 Total 20,077 100 1985 Ha % 1,738 8.6 1,399 7.0 3,137 15.6 16,940 84.4 20,077 100 1998 Ha % 2,325 11.6 1,789 8.9 4,114 20.5 15,963 79.5 20,077 100 This period is coincident with the intensive decades of the constitution and consolidation of the tourism industry of the area. From 1985 to 1998 the low density urban growth has signified an additional 1% (1,553 Ha). This type of settlement has occurred in the inner continental part of the municipality, with two different foci of expansion: one in the west and a second, closer to the Mediterranean, in the north (Figure 4). Attending the spatio-temporal distribution of the process, in 1956 most of the urban spaces were of high density, being concentrate around the original city of Alicante. It can be found a very little high density area by the east on the shore line that will be a second element of expansion in coming years. The low density urban spatial distribution in 1956 is scarce. Its major area of representation is located between the two high density elements above mentioned. The rest of low density surfaces are scattered over the study area. In 1985 the spatial trends of soil sealing distribution by urban expansion is highly different. The major area around Alicante city is now growing assuming a crescent shape. Also there is an increment of such features alongside the shore line (north and south) and towards the confluence with the second spot of high density identified in 1956. The low density pattern is now more evident due to the fact of its important increase in surface. The original trend to connect the city of Alicante with the coast line by the northeast is now consolidated; while it can also be found a larger concentration by the northwest of the municipality. In 1998, the trends described for the image of 1985 are now well consolidated: expansion and compaction according to the crescent shape of the city of Alicante, occupation of the shore line by high density buildings, concentration of low density areas between the city and the second point of high density on the coast line and enlargement of the low density residential surfaces on the west of the area. 1985 1956 N N Non urban Non urban 0 5 Km HIGH-DENSITY URBAN Urban: highURBAN density LOW-DENSITY Urban: low density 0 5 Km HIGH-DENSITY Urban: highURBAN density LOW-DENSITY URBAN Urban: low density 1956-1998 1998 N 0 N 5 Km Non urban HIGH-DENSITY URBAN Urban: highURBAN density LOW-DENSITY Urban: low density 0 5 Km 1956 1985 1998 Figure 4. Spatio-temporal distribution of urban expansion in Alicante In all, the model of urban growth of Alicante is synthesised by the 1956-1998 image (Figure 4). Nowadays the municipality has a semi-polynuclear high density settlement with at least two differentiated points of expansion: the city of Alicante and the eastern area. On the other hand the low density enlargement has been done mainly in the inner parts of the municipality, being with the time a scattered pattern of residences well identified over the western hills. For the period analysed, constant population increase seems to be a synthetic expression of the socio-economic forces behind the urban sprawl experienced in the municipality (Figure 5). This is so for the first 20 years analysed. Since 1980, there must be other reasons (urban cultural changes in the housing demand, financial investments for the development of commercial, leisure and sport areas, etc.) that explain the steady rising of urban surface while population growth stops or even decrease. 1. Alicante 2. Agost 3.Aigües 5. El Campello 6. Mutxamel 7. San Juan de Alicante 9. La Torre de les Maçanes 10. Xixona 11. County totals 4. Busot 8. San Vicente del Raspeig Figure 5. Population trends for the Alicantí Comarca For the county, the topography restriction will explained the differential population growth in mountain municipalities (Agost, Busot, Aigües, La Torre de les Maçanes and Xixona), with very low population increase rates. On the contrary the littoral less steep municipalities (Alicante, San Vicent del Raspeig and San Juan de Alicante) present high rates of population growth. Then it could be suggested that population trends -associated with the topographic argument- will prevent massive urbanization. Therefore the urban growth model, apart from traditional settlements, would be more of the low density type. In this way it can not be forgotten that Alicante is the province capital city, characterised by it’s political, administrative and services role. It is also the main destination of international charter flights (mostly from northern UE countries) because its strategic location in one of the largest tourist areas of Spain (Costa Blanca) based on the sun and beach binomial. Consequently, the city of Alicante has experienced, since its original settlement, an expansion based on the population increase and its particular socio-economic features. CONCLUSIONS Land degradation processes resulting from human activities constitute the most important environmental threat in the Mediterranean countries. The final phase of the process leads to desertification. Among factors causing soil degradation one of the most important, although less studied in Mediterranean environments, mainly in coastal areas, is soil loss through urban development and construction of transport infrastructure, phenomenon known as soil sealing. The urban land transformation experienced by the municipality of Alicante since the 1950s have produced the irreversible loss of considerable part of its surface. The intensity of expansion had a major step between 1956 and 1985, while since that date until 1998, the trends were consolidated. In all it has extended from 5% of its territory in 1956 to 20.5% in 1998. Results show that there has been a substantial loss of soils devoted to both agricultural land uses and natural open spaces. Urban growth can be differentiated into three distinct spatial patterns: 1. Edge compact enlargement of the city boundaries including growth following the main road network. 2. Compact new urbanisation of alongside the coast. 3. Colonisation by groups of individual residences (low density urban growth) mainly over both continental open spaces. The process, although it is similar to other main municipalities of the Valencia Region such as Valencia city (Pascual Aguilar, 2002; Pascual Aguilar et al., 2002), has its own characteristics; being the low density development the most important. Topography is the most relevant force behind restrictions to a denser urbanisation. While in the municipality of Valencia, located in a very flat alluvial plain, the only restriction is the existence of the Albufera Lagoon, declared as a Natural Park. In the rest of the municipality rates of urban growth are always related with high density urbanisation, and the proportion of land covered by artificial surfaces is then higher than in Alicante municipality. REFERENCES Antrop, M. Changing patterns in the urbanized countryside of Western Europe. Landscape Ecology, 2000; 15: 257270. Bird, A. C., Taylor, J. C., and Brewer, T. R. Mapping National Park landscape from ground, air and space. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 2000; 21: 2719-2736. Blum, W. E. H. “Soil degradation caused by industrialization and urbanization”. In Towards sustainable land use: furthering cooperation between people and institutions, H.P. Blume, H. Eger, E. Fleischhauer, A. Hebel, C. Reij and K.G. Steiner, eds. Reiskirchen: Catena Verlag, 1998. Burrough, P. A. and McDonnell, R. A. Principles of Geographical Information Systems. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1998. Cheng, J. and Masser, I. Urban growth pattern modelling: a case study of Wuhan city, PR China. Landscape and Urban Planning, 2003; 62: 199-217. Coccossis, H. N. “Historical land use changes: Mediterranean regions of Europe”. In Land Use Changes in Europe. Processes of Change, Environmental Transformations and Future Patterns, F.M. Brouwer, A.J. Thomas and M.J. Chadwick, eds. Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1991. Cohen, B. Urban growth in developing countries: A review of current trends and a caution regarding existing forecasts. World Development, 2004, 32: 23-51. Environment and Urbanization (Editorial). Globalization and cities. Environment and Urbanization, 2002; 14: 3-12. European Comissin. Towards a European Integrated Coastal Zone Management (ICZM) Strategy: General Principles and Policy Options. Luxembourg: Office for Official Publications of the European Communities, 1999. Fazal, S. Urban expansion and loss of agricultural land – a GIS based study of Saharanpur City, India. Environment and Urbanization, 2000; 12: 133-149. Frike, R., and Wolff, E. The MURBANDY Project: development of land use and network databases for the Brussels area (Belgium) using remote sensing and aerial photography. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, 2002, 4: 33-50. Hasse, J. E. and Lathrop, R. G. Land resource impact indicators of urban sprawl. Applied Geography, 2003; 23: 159-175. Hathout, S. The use of GIS for monitoring and predicting urban growth in East and West St Paul, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada. Journal of Environmental Management, 2002; 66: 229-238. Hoobler, B. M., Vance, J. D., Hamerlinck, L. C., Munn, L. C. and Hayward, J. A. Applications of land evaluation and site assessment (LESA) and a geographic information system (GIS) in East Park County, Wyoming. Journal of Soil and Water Conservation, 2003, 58: 105-112. Hubacek, K. and Vazquez, J. The Economics of Land Use Change. Interim Report IR-02-015. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburgh, Austria, 2002. Lambin, E. F. Modelling and monitoring land-cover change processes in tropical regions. Progress in Physical Geography, 1997; 21: 375-393. Leontidou, L., Gentileschi, M. L., Aru, A. and Pungetti, G. “Urban Expansion and Littoralisation”. In Atlas of Mediterranean Environments in Europe, P. Mairota, J.B. Thornes and N. Geeson, eds. Chichester: John Wiley & Sons, 1998. López, E., Bocco, G., Mendoza, M. And Duhau, E. Predicting land-cover and land-use change in the urban fringe. A case in Morelia city, Mexico. Landscape and Urban Planning, 2001; 55: 271-285. Mendoza, J. E. and Etter A. Multitemporal analysis (1940-1996) of land cover changes in the southwestern Bogotá highplain (Colombia). Landscape and Urban Planning, 2002; 59: 147-158. Milesi, C., Elvidge, C. D., Nemani, R. R., and Running, S. W. Assessing the impact of urban land development on net primary productivity in the southeastern United States. Remote Sensing of Environment, 2003; 86: 401410. Morello, J., Buzai, G. D., Baxendale, C. A., Rodríguez, A. F., Matteucci, S. D., Godagnone, R. E., Casas, R. Urbanization and the consumption of fertile land and other ecological changes: the case of Buenos Aires. Environment and Urbanization, 2000; 12: 119-131. Neubert, M. Segment-based analysis of high resolution satellite and laser scanning data. Proceedings of the 15 th International Symposium Informatics for Environmental Protection-Sustainability in the Information Society; 2001 10-12 October; Zurich, Switzerland. Nizeyimana, E. L., Petersen, G. W., Imhoff, M. L., Sinclair, H. R., Waltman, S. W., Reed-Margetan, D.S., Levine, E.R., and Russo, J.M. Assessing the Impact of Land Conversion to Urban Use on Soils with Different Productivity Levels in the USA. Soil Science Society of American Journal, 2001; 65: 391-402. Padilla, J. A. Colonización vegetal en campos abandonados de la provincia de Alicante. Alicante: Universidad de Alicante, 1998. Pascual, J. A. Cambios de usos del suelo y régimen hídrico en la rambla de Poyo y barranc de Carraixet. Valencia: Servicio de Publicaciones de la Universitat de València, 2002. Pascual, J. A., Añó, C., Valera, A., Poyatos, M., and Sánchez, J. Urban growth (1956-1998) and soil degradation in the municipality of Valencia (Spain). In: Sustainable Use and Management of Soils in Arid and Semiarid Regions (Eds. A. Faz, R. Ortiz, A.R. Mermut, pp. 396-397.) 2002. Pérez Cueva, A. J. Atlas climático de la Comunidad Valenciana (1961-1990). Valencia: Generalitat Valenciana, 1994. Plan Bleu. Threats to Soils in Mediterranean Countries. Document Review. Sophia Antipolis: Plan Bleu Centre d’activités régionales, 2003. Poudevigne, I., van Rooij, S., Morin, P., and Alard, D. Dynamics of rural landscapes and their main driving factors: A case study in the Seine Valley, Normandy, France. Landscape and Urban Planning, 1997; 38: 93-103. Sommer, S., Loddo, S., and Puddu, R. Indicators of soil consumption by urbanisation and industrial activities. Proceedings of the International Seminar on Indicators for Assessing Desertification in the Mediterranean supported by the Agenzia Nazionale per la Protezione dell Ambiente; 1998 18-20 September; Porto Torres, Italy. Taylor, J. C., Brewer, T. R., and Bird, A. C. Monitoring landscape change in the National Parks of England and Wales using photo interpretation and GIS. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 2000; 21: 2737-2752. Tulloch, D. L., Myers, J. R., Hasse, J. E., Parks, P. J. and Lathrop, R. G. Integrating GIS farmland preservation policy and decision making. Landscape and Urban Planning, 2003; 63: 33-48. United Nations. World urbanization prospects. The 2003 revision. New York: United Nations, 2004. Van Teeffelen, W. A European coastal zone planning strategy. European Regional Planning No. 47. Strasbourg: Council of Europe, 1984. Van Vliet, W. Cities in a globalizing world: from engines of growth to agents of change. Environment and Urbanization, 2002; 14: 31-40. Weber, C. and Puissant, A. Urbanization pressure and modelling of urban growth: example of the Tunis Metropolitan Area. Remote Sensing of Environment, 2003; 86: 341-352.