1 Radiation belt particles: radial transport, acceleration and loss Radiation belt electron flux and energy enhancements result from radial transport with conservation of the first adiabatic invariant, proportional to energy (or momentum in the relativistic limit) and inversely proportional to magnetic field strength. There are two classes of such transport and acceleration on MHD time scales, impulsive and diffusive. An extreme example of impulsive acceleration occurred on March 24, 1991, due to a high speed interplanetary shock produced by a Coronal Mass Ejection (CME). The magnetopause was compressed inside the orbit of geosynchronous spacecraft, producing new electron and proton radiation belts with energies > 10 MeV in the normally depleted slot region (see Figure 1b). Radial transport and energization of electrons occurred on a particle drift time scale of minutes, due to the induction electric field launched by rapid magnetopause compression. Figure 2 shows ‘before’ and ‘after’ shock arrival snapshots of electron flux vs. energy (x-axis) and L (y-axis) from guiding center test particle calculations which advance trajectories using electric and magnetic fields produced by a global MHD simulation of magnetosphere interaction with the solar wind (Elkington et al., 2002). The new > 10 MeV electron (and proton, see Hudson et al., 1997) belts produced inside geosynchronous orbit on the time scale of interplanetary shock passage persisted for years, as observed by the low altitude SAMPEX satellite in polar orbit, viewing radiation belt particle precipitation into the atmosphere. The more typical response of the highly variable outer zone electron flux to solar wind variation occurs over a time scale of hours to days and weeks (Reeves et al., 1998). Increase in flux at higher energies has been observed to be correlated with increased solar wind velocity and southward interplanetary magnetic field. The former may drive the growth of velocity-shear instability along the boundary between the magnetosphere and solar wind, the magnetopause. Low frequency, long wavelength perturbations of the magnetopause boundary can transfer energy to modes in the same frequency and wavelength range within the magnetosphere, called Ultra Low Frequency or ULF oscillations, with periods up to tens of minutes. Enhancement in wave power at these frequencies has been seen both with ground-based and space-borne magnetic field measurements to be correlated with relativistic electron flux enhancements (Baker et al., 1998). Near solar maximum, large geomagnetic storms are often initiated by solar Coronal Mass Ejections. CME-driven interplanetary shocks compress the magnetopause, causing what is called a storm sudden commencement (SSC). Even without an SSC, an extended period of southward IMF Bz will give rise to geomagnetic storm activity through enhanced reconnection on the dayside driving substorm activity on the nightside and overall enhanced convection. The average horizontal component of the earth's magnetic field at four near-equatorial locations used to compute the Dst index first shows an increase in the case of a shock-induced SSC, but over a longer period of hours decreases due to enhanced magnetospheric convection and build up of the ring current. Plasma is transported radially inward from the plasma sheet (Figure 1a) due both to steady enhanced convection and substorm dipolarization to a stronger magnetic field region where the radial gradient in the magnetic field causes a westward drift of energetic (tens - hundred keV) ions and eastward drift of electrons making up the ring current. As 2 much as 30% of the enhanced energy input to the magnetosphere during a geomagnetic storm resides in the ring current, which produces a magnetic field at the surface of the earth of opposite sign to the dipole field, giving rise to the Dst signature plotted in Figure 3 with the 30-day averaged flux of 2-6 MeV electrons (bottom) and 19-27.4 MeV protons (top) along with the average sunspot number plotted over a decade of SAMPEX measurements (Li et al., 2001). Both electrons and protons of keV-MeV energies drift azimuthally around the earth on closed drift shells, conserving the magnetic flux through the cross sectional area of their drift paths. When such drifting particles experience a variation in magnetic (or convection electric) field strength at a frequency comparable to their drift period, the magnetic flux invariant is no longer conserved, and particles will diffuse radially from one drift shell to another. Radial diffusion due to fluctuating fields on the drift time scale has a long history of explaining transport and energization of trapped MeV electrons on time scales of days to years. However, recent storm analysis using multi-spacecraft measurements has shown that electron flux can increase by many orders of magnitude on the time scale of hours, slower than the acceleration over a drift period (minutes) seen for the March 24, 1991 storm (Li et al., GRL, 1993), but much too fast for standard radial diffusion models. It has been shown, using fields from LFM MHD simulations of storm events, with solar wind input measured at WIND or ACE coupled to a guiding center test particle code, that ULF waves with periods corresponding to the longitudinal drift period of MeV electrons (minutes) give rise to enhanced radial diffusion (Elkington et al., 2002; 2003; 2004; Hudson et al., 2001), exceeding previous estimates which incorporate simplifying assumptions for spatial and temporal variations and azimuthal symmetry (Falthammar, 1965). Satellite measurements of particle velocity distributions suggest that additional localized heating due to waves with frequencies comparable to the electron gyrofrequency is also taking place (Braughtigam and Albert, 2002). Such waves are generated spontaneously by increased electron flux levels and perpendicular velocity space anisotropy which results from radial transport. The short time scale over which electrons are seen to precipitate into the atmosphere by the SAMPEX satellite, after increased fluxes are first seen closer to the equatorial plane, suggests that particles diffuse in velocity space, trading perpendicular and parallel energy on a time scale comparable to that of radial transport (as fast as a few hours). For relativistic electrons the same resonant interaction with waves at a multiple of the gyrofrequency can cause local diffusion in energy as well (Summers and Ma, 2000; Roth et al., 1999; Summers et al., 2004). Further work is needed to quantify the rate at which ULF waves affect radial transport and electron cyclotron waves provide additional energization, along with quantifying scattering loss into the atmosphere due to whistler mode chorus on the dawn side and electromagnetic ion cyclotron waves at dusk, where the ring current source population intersects the plasmaphere buldge. The importance of developing predictive capability based on measured solar wind input, quantifying the balance between source and loss processes, has been identified as one of the major goals of NASA’s Living With a Star program, because of the threat that trapped relativistic electrons pose to satellites and astronauts. 3 Model Description A numerical model has been developed which follows the evolution of energetic particle distributions from Lorentz or guiding center, test particle trajectories in time dependent fields obtained from the Lyon-Feder Mobarry (LFM) global MHD code (Lyon et al., 2004). Thus, the full kinetic effects of particle interactions with MHD fields is included. Since the total energy density of MeV electrons (and ions) in the magnetosphere is very small compared to the thermal population, these particles may be considered noninteracting, justifying a test particle approach. This approach has been used extensively, both to isolate and understand the physical processes affecting radiation belt populations, and to model the global dynamics of the Earth's radiation belts under a variety of magnetospheric conditions (c.f. Hudson et al, 1997,1998; Elkington et al., 2002,2004; Kress et al. 2004,2005). Currently, we calculate energetic electron fluxes in the magnetosphere either by launching electrons from the plasmasheet or using an initial source population such as AE8 evolved in time. The latter has been renormalized to fit measured flux levels and spectra for specific storms (Hudson et al., 2001). Energetic electron trajectories are computed by solving the relativistic Lorentz equation using an adaptive 4th order Rung-Kutta integrator. The step size is adjusted at each time step to be ~1% of the instantaneous gyro period of the particle. Linear interpolations in space and time from gridded MHD fields are used to obtain the fields at the instantaneous particle position. In our previous near-earth radiation belt studies, magnetospheric model fields were first interpolated from the MHD code's distorted spherical grid onto a 3D Cartesian grid where particle trajectories are computed, with the spatial resolution over the entire Cartesian grid corresponding to the highest (innermost) MHD grid resolution. For the proposed work, the code will be generalized to interpolate field quantities to particle positions on a general grid structure, utilizing the metric for that grid to interpolate field quantities to particle positions. Outstanding questions to be addressed by a coupled model: 1. What is the relative influence of solar wind velocity and interplanetary magnetic field in controlling relativistic electron acceleration? What are the distinctions and commonality of the two classes of electron flux enhancements, those produced by CMEs around solar maximum and those due to high speed solar wind streams which predominate during the declining phase of the solar cycle, see Figure 3? 2. What role does location of the plasmapause play in determining the location of the MeV electron phase space density peak and it maximum value. A coupled MHD-test particle model which includes a dynamic plasmasphere and a parametrized loss rate describing pitch angle scattering by whistler mode and EMIC waves will address this question. 4 3. What role does the prior state of the magnetosphere play? e.g. plasmasheet source population density? Are multiple Dst-minimum storms more geoeffective for electrons than isolated storms? This question is tied to the fact that solar active regions often produce multiple storms, such as the 2003 Halloween storm, in a short time period each of which affects the evolution of its predecessor. 4. How probable are extreme radiation belt flux enhancements? such as that which occurred on March 24, 1991, which produced new MeV electron and trapped solar proton belts on a drift time scale of minutes? References Baker, D. N., T. I. Pulkkinen, X. Li, S. G. Kanekal, J. B. Blake, R. S. Selesnick, M. G. Henderson, G. D. Reeves, H. D. Spence and G. Rostoker, Coronal mass ejections, magnetic clouds, and relativistic magnetosphere electron events, J. Geophys. Res, 103, 17279, 1998. Baker, D.N., S. G. Kanekal, X. Li, S.P. Monk, J. Goldstein and J.L. Burch, An extreme distortion of the Van Allen belt arising from the Halloween solar storm in 2003, Nature 432, 878, 2004. Blake, J.B., W.A. Kolasinski, R.W. Fillius and E.G. Mullen, Injection of electrons and protons with energies of tens of MeV into L < 3 on 24 March, 1991, Geophys. Res. Lett., 19, 821, 1992. Brautigam, D.H., and J.M. Albert, Radial diffusion analysis of outer radiation belt electrons during the October 9, 1990, magnetic storm, J. Geophys. Res., 105}, 291, 2000. Elkington, S.R., M.K. Hudson, J.G. Lyon, and M. J. Wiltberger, MHD/Particle simulations of radiation belt dynamics, J. Atmos. Solar Terr. Phys., 64, 607, 2002. Elkington, S.R., M.K. Hudson and A.A. Chan, Resonant acceleration and diffusion of outer zone electrons in an asymmetric geomagnetic field, J. Geophys. Res., 108, 1116, 2003. Elkington, S.R., M.Wiltberger, A.A. Chan, and D.N. Baker, Physical models of the geospace radiation environment, and the Center for Integrated Space-Weather Modeling, J. Atmos. Solar Terr. Phys.,66, 1371, 2004. Falthammar, C.G., Effects of time-dependent electric fields on geomagnetically trapped radiation, J. Geophys. Res., 70, 2503 , 1965. Hudson, M. K., S. R. Elkington, J. G. Lyon, V. A. Marchenko, I. 5 Roth, M. Temerin, J. B. Blake, M. S. Gussenhoven and J. R. Wygant, Simulations of radiation belt formation during storm sudden commencement, J. Geophys. Res., 102, 14,087, 1997. Hudson, M.K., S.R. Elkington, J.G. Lyon, M. Wiltberger and M. Lessard, Radiation belt electron acceleration by ULF wave drift resonance: Simulation of 1997 and 1998 storms, Space Weather, Geophys. Monogr. Ser. 125, P. Song, H. Singer and G.Siscoe, eds., American Geophysical Union, Washington, D.C.,289 , 2001. Hudson,M.K., B.K.Kress, J.E.Mazur, K.L.Perry and P.L.Slocum (2004b), 3D modeling of shock-induced trapping of solar energetic particles in the earth's magnetosphere, J. of Atmospheric & Solar Terrestrial Phys., 66, 1389 2004. Horne, R.B. and R.M. Thorne, Potential wave modes for electron scattering and stochastic acceleration to relativistic energy during magnetic storms, Geophys. Res. Lett., 25, 3011, 1998. Kress, B. T.; Hudson, M. K.; Slocum, P. L., Impulsive solar energetic ion trapping in the magnetosphere during geomagnetic storms, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, No. 6, L06108, 2005. Kress, B.T., M. K. Hudson, K. L. Perry, and P. L. Slocum, Dynamic modeling of geomagnetic cutoff for the 23-24 November 2001 solar energetic particle event, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, No. 4, LO4808, 2004. Li, X., I.Roth, M.Temerin, J.R. Wygant, M.K. Hudson, and J.B. Blake, Simulation of the prompt energization and transport of radiation belt particles during the March 24, 1991 SSC, Geophys. Res. Lett., 20, 2423, 1993. Li, X., D.N. Baker, S.G. Kanekal, M. Looper and M. Temerin, Long term measurements of radiation belts by SAMPEX and their variations, Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, 3827, 2001. Reeves, G.D., D.N. Baker, R.D. Belian, J.B. Blake, T.E. Cayton, J.F. Fennell, R.H.W. Friedel, M.M. Meier, R.S. Selesnick and H.E. Spence, The global response of relativistic radiation belt electrons to the January 1997 magnetic cloud, Geophys. Res. Lett., 25, 3265, 1998. Roth, I., M. Temerin and M.K. Hudson, Resonant enhancement of relativistic electron fluxes during geomagneticly active periods, Ann. Geophys., 17, 631, 1999. Summers, D. and C.-Y Ma, A model for generating relativistic electrons in the earth's inner magnetosphere based on gyroresonant wave-particle interactions, J. Geophys. Res., 105, 2625, 2000. D. Summers, C. Ma and T. Mukai, Competition between acceleration and loss mechanisms of relativistic electrons during geomagnetic storms, J.Geophys. Res., 109, doi:10.1029/2004JA010437, 2004. 6 Figure 1a. A schematic of the magnetosphere, showing major particle populations and current systems. Figure 1b. Schematic of major radiation belt components, the outer zone electrons (purple), inner zone – primarily protons (blue), with slot region between, and trapped anomalous cosmic rays (yellow). Highly idealized structure contrasts with timedependence evident in Figure 2. 7 Figure 2. The unexpected creation of new electron (and proton, not shown) radiation belts during the March 24, 1991 geomagnetic storm, simulated using an AE-8 source population (insert) to initialize guiding center test particle trajectory calculations in fields obtained from global MHD simulations with the Lyon-Feddar-Mobarry 3D MHD code driven by model upstream solar wind parameters. In this case no measurements were available in the solar wind as available from WIND and ACE for the Cycle 23 solar maximum (Source: Elkington et al., JASTP, 64(5-6): pp.607-615). See Hudson et al., 1997 for corresponding MHD simulation results for protons. 8 Figure 3. Thirty-day averaged MeV proton (top) and electron (bottom) fluxes from July 1992 to January 2001, as measured by the SAMPEX satellite in low-altitude polar orbit. Solar cycle variation is evident, with electron fluxes greater during the declining phase of the solar cycle, penetrating to lowest L-value (equatorial radial distance) during large storms characterized by negative Dst geomagnetic activity index. The latter penetration has been correlated with plasmapause location (Baker et al., Nature, 2004). Inner zone proton fluxes maximize at solar minimum (1996), when cosmic rays have greater access to the inner heliosphere. Source: Li et al., 2001.