Municipal Waste Generation – Part I Teacher Background Information: Use the pdf document for Municipal Waste Generation found on the following website. http://www.epa.gov/epawaste/nonhaz/municipal/pubs/msw07rpt.pdf Content Area: http://www.factmonster.com/us/census/national-1790Reading line graphs 2000.html Goals: To… assess or review the students’ ability to read line graphs and calculate the percent of change in data. Objectives: Students will . . . Read and interpret graphs and tables Determine percent of increase/decrease Procedure: (for the teacher) Ask students if they can estimate how many things they have thrown in the trash can so far today. Explain that it is a significant amount and that everyone on the planet is doing the same thing. Explain that you are going to explore a little deeper about the concept of waste using math data and concepts. Hand out the student sheet. Review and answer questions. Give students time to complete the worksheet. Show students the PPT presentation – you may want to and make it into a competition. ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Calculating percent of change Standards met: NM-NUM.9-12.3 NM-ALG.9-12.4 NM-COMM.PK-12.1 Time required: 20-30 minutes Materials: (per student) MSW Generation Rates graph handout U.S. populations table handout Calculator needed: make teams Municipal Waste Generation Part I: Student Worksheet Name: ____________________________________Class period: ________ Use the figure 1 graph and the US population chart to answer the following. 1. Calculate the percent of increase/decrease for each 5-year period (6-year period from 2000 – 2006) for both graphs. (show your calculations) MSW Total Per Capita 1960 – 1965: _______ ________ 1965 – 1970: __________ 1970 – 1975: _________ _________ 1975 – 1980: _________ _________ 1980 – 1985: _________ _________ ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. __________ MSW Total Per Capita 1985 – 1990: ________ _________ 1990 – 1995: _________ _________ 1995 – 2000: _________ _________ 2000 – 2006: _________ _________ 2. Give an explanation for why the rates of change for Total MSW are not the same as the rates of change for Per Capita Waste from 1960 – 2006. 3. State whether the following statement is “true” or “false” and explain: “If the per capita generation of waste decreases, then the total MSW generation will decrease also.” ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. 4. Which graph (“Total MSW generation” or “Per Capita generation”) gives more cause for concern and why? ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Municipal Waste Generation: Student Data – Figure 1 Name:____________________________________ Class period:_________ ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Municipal Waste Generation: Student Data – US Population Chart Name:_________________________________ Class period:_______ National Censuses, 1790–20001 Resident Year population Land area, Pop. per 2 sq mi sq mi 1790 3,929,214 864,746 4.5 1800 5,308,483 864,746 6.1 1810 7,239,881 1,681,828 4.3 1820 9,638,453 1,749,462 5.5 1830 12,866,020 1,749,462 7.4 1840 17,069,453 1,749,462 9.8 1850 23,191,876 2,940,042 7.9 1860 31,443,321 2,969,640 10.6 1870 39,818,449 2,969,640 13.4 1880 50,155,783 2,969,640 16.9 1890 62,947,714 2,969,640 21.2 1900 75,994,575 2,969,834 25.6 1910 91,972,266 2,969,565 31.0 1920 105,710,620 2,969,451 35.6 1930 122,775,046 2,977,128 41.2 1940 131,669,275 2,977,128 44.2 1950 150,697,361 2,974,726 50.7 1960 179,323,175 3,540,911 50.6 1970 203,302,031 3,540,023 57.4 1980 226,545,805 3,539,289 64.0 1990 248,709,873 3,536,278 70.3 2000 281,421,906 3,537,441 79.6 ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Municipal Waste Generation Part I: Student Worksheet – Teacher Answer Key Use the figure 1 graph and the US population chart to answer the following. 1. Calculate the percent of increase/decrease for each 5-year period (6-year period from 2000 – 2006) for both graphs. (show your calculations) MSW Total Per Capita 1960 – 1965: 18.7 % 10.6 % (88.1 + 121.1)/2 = 104.6 (2.68 + 3.25)/2 = 2.965 (104.6 – 88.1)/88.1 = .187 (2.965 – 2.68)/2.68 = .106 1965 – 1970: 15.8 % (88.1 + 121.1)/2 = 104.6 (2.68 + 3.25)/2 = 2.965 (121.1 - 104.6)/104.6 = .158 (3.25 - 2.965)/2.965 = .096 1970 – 1975: 12.6 % (121.1 + 151.6)/2 = 136.35 (3.66 + 3.25)/2 = 3.455 (136.5 – 121.1)/121.1 = .126 (3.455 – 3.25)/3.25 = .063 1975 – 1980: 11.2 % (121.1 + 151.6)/2 = 136.35 (3.66 + 3.25)/2 = 3.455 (151.6 – 136.5)/136.5 = .112 ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. 9.6% 6.3% 10.6 % (3.66 – 3.455)/3.455 = .106 MSW Total Per Capita 1980 – 1985: (151.6 + 205.2)/2 = 178.4 – 151.6)/151.6 = .177 17.7 % 5.9 % (4.5 + 3.66)/2 = 4.08(178.4 4.08 – 3.66)/3.66 = .059 1985 – 1990: 15.0 % (151.6 + 205.2)/2 = 178.4 (4.5 + 3.66)/2 = 4.08 (205.2 - 178.4)/178.4 = .150 (4.5 - 4.08)/4.08 = .103 1990 – 1995: 4.4 % (214.3 – 205.2)/205.2 = .044 (4.46 – 4.50)/4.50 = -0.009 1995 – 2000: 11.2 % (238.3 – 214.3)/214.3 = .112 (4.64 – 4.46)/4.46 = 0.040 2000 – 2006: 5.5 % (251.3 – 238.3)/238.3 = .055 (4.60 – 4.64)/4.64 = -0.009 10.3 % -0.9 % _4.0 % -0.9 % 2. Give an explanation for why these rates of change (percents) for each period are not the same for the two graphs. While the per capita generation of waste levels, the total amount of waste increased because the population continues to increase. 3. State whether the following statement is “true” or “false,” and explain: “If the per capita generation of waste decreases, then the total MSW generation will decrease also.” False. As seen, the per capita generation decreased but the total MSW did not. This is because the per capita generation is affected by the changes in population. 4. Which graph (“Total MSW generation” or “Per Capita generation”) gives more cause for concern and why? ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Total MSW: It’s the amount of waste that causes the immediate concern. It is a good thing that the per capita generation is decreasing – it just isn’t enough to cause the total waste to decrease. ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Municipal Waste Generation – Part II Teacher Background Information: Use the PDF document for Municipal Waste Generation found on the following website. http://www.epa.gov/epawaste/nonhaz/municipal/pubs/msw07-rpt.pdf Goals: To assess or review students’ ability to interpret pie charts, and successfully perform operations with percents and fractions. Objectives: Students will . . . Read and interpret graphs Determine the fraction of the total for various parts of a pie graph Use percentages to determine the amount associated with each part of a pie graph Solve problems using fractions Procedure: (for the teacher) If you have not already done the first waste lesson you may want to start this lesson with the warm-up and culminating activity from the last lesson. ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Content Area: Reading pie charts Renaming percents as fractions Operations with percents Standards met: NM-NUM.9-12.3 NM-PROB.REP.PK-12.1 Time required: 20 – 30 minutes Materials: (per student) Figure 5 Total MSW Generation pie chart handout Calculator : Municipal Waste Generation – Part II: Student Worksheet Name:_____________________ Class period:_________ Use the pie chart to answer the following questions. (show all calculations) 1. What is the approximate number of tons for each category of material in this graph? (First write the fraction of the total waste generated for each category) Paper: Glass: Metals: Plastics: Rubber/leather & textiles: Wood: Yard trimmings: Food scraps: ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. 2. Identify up to three combinations of categories: a) one-tenth of the total waste? b) one-fifth of the total waste? c) one-fourth of the total waste? d) nine-twentieths of the total waste? e) one-half of the total waste? 3. If all of the percentages in the graph are added together, what is the total that you would expect to have? Is this true for the graph in this problem? If not, explain a possible reason? ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Municipal Waste Generation – Part II: Student Worksheet – Teacher Key Name:_____________________ Class period:_________ Use the figure 5 pie chart to answer the following questions. (show all calculations) 1. What is the approximate number of tons for each category of material in this graph? (First write the fraction of the total waste generated for each category) Paper: 327/1000 x 254,000,000 tons 83,058,000 Glass: 53/1000 x 254,000,000 tons 13,462,000 Metals: 82/1000 x 254,000,000 tons 20,280,000 Plastics: 121/1000 x 254,000,000 tons 30,734,000 Rubber/leather & textiles: 76/1000 x 254,000,000 tons Wood: ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. 19,304,000 56/1000 x 254,000,000 tons 14,224,000 Yard trimmings: 128/1000 x 254,000,000 tons 32,512,000 Food scraps: 125/1000 x 254,000,000 tons 31,750,000 2. Identify up to three combinations of categories (showing all of your calculations) that account for approximately . . . (the top three combinations are shown below) a) one-tenth of the total waste? (Accept combinations from 9% - 11%) Rubber, Leather, and Textiles (RLT) & Other (7.6% + 3.2%) 10.8% Wood & Glass (5.6% + 5.3%) 10.9% b) one-fifth of the total waste? (Accept combinations from 19% - 21%) Food & RLT (12.5% + 7.6%) 20.1% Plastics & Metals (12.1% + 8.2%) 20.3% Plastics & RLT 19.7% (12.1% + 7.6%) ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. c) one-fourth of the total waste? (Accept combinations from 24% - 26%) Yard Trimmings & Plastics (12.8% + 12.1%) 24.9% Yard Trimmings & Food (12.8% + 12.5%) 25.3% Food & Plastics (12.5% + 12.1%) 24.6% d) nine-twentieths of the total waste? (Accept combinations from 44% - 46%) Paper & Plastics (32.7% + 12.1%) 44.8% Paper & Food (32.7% + 12.5%) 45.2% Paper & Yard Trimmings (32.7% + 12.8%) 45.5% e) one-half of the total waste? (Accept combinations from 49% - 51%) Paper & Plastic & Glass 12.1% + 5.3%) 50.1% (32.7% + Paper & Food 12.5% + 5.3%) 50.4% (32.7% + Paper & Yard Trimmings 12.8% + 5.3%) 50.5% (32.7% + 3. If all of the percentages in the graph are added together, what is the total that you would expect to have? Is this true for the graph in this problem? If not, explain a possible reason? The total percentage should be 100%. Yes, the total for this graph is 100% ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Municipal Waste Generation: Student Data – Figure 5 ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Municipal Waste Generation – Part III Teacher Background Information: Use the PDF document for Municipal Waste Generation found on the following website. http://www.epa.gov/epawaste/nonhaz/municipal/pubs/msw07-rpt.pdf Goals: To….. Assess or review students’ understanding of how regression analysis can be used to represent data in a way that predictions can be made concerning that data. Objectives: Students will . . . Fit a curve to given data Use function notation to identify a function Use interpolation and extrapolation to estimate data that is not provided in the data set Use the correlation coefficient (r) to comment on the goodness of fit of their function (extension) Procedure: (for the teacher) All procedures are reflected in the student handout Content Area: Reading bar graphs Function notation Curve fitting (calculator active) Interpolation & Extrapolation Goodness of fit using the correlation coefficient (extension) Prerequisites: Using graphic display calculator/computer to conduct regression analysis Standards met: NM-ALG.9-12.2 NM-ALG.9-12.3 NM-PROB.COMM.PK-12.1 Time required: 20-30 minutes Materials: (per student) Number of landfills in the United States bar graph handout Graphic Display Calculator: ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Municipal Waste Generation – Part III: Student Worksheet Name:___________________________________ Class period:_________ Use the Landfills bar graph and your available technology (calculator or computer) to: 1. Determine the function (equation) that best models the data in the graph. Write this equation using the function notation L(x), where x is the year and L(x) is the number of landfills. 2. Use your function to estimate L(2003) and L(2004). 3. Use your function to estimate L(2020). Comment on the reasonableness of your answer. (extension): Comment on how well your function fits the data (including your “r value” in your comment.)? ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Municipal Waste Generation: Student Worksheet – Landfills bar graph Name: _____________________________ ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Class period:_________ Student Worksheet: STAT CALC menu on TI-83 calculator 4. LinReg Fits a linear model to data (Xlistname, Ylistname, freqlist, regequ) LinReg 5. QuadReg Fits a quadratic model to data (Xlistname, Ylistname, freqlist, regequ) QuadReg 6. CubicReg Fits a cubic model to data (Xlistname, Ylistname, freqlist, regequ) CubicReg 7. QuartReg Fits a quartic model to data (Xlistname, Ylistname, freqlist, regequ) QuartReg 9. LnReg Fits a logarithmic model to data (Xlistname, Ylistname, freqlist, regequ) LnReg 10. ExpReg Fits an exponential model to data (Xlistname, Ylistname, freqlist, regequ) ExpReg A. PwrReg Fits a power model to data (Xlistname, Ylistname, freqlist, regequ) PwrReg B. logistic Fits a logistical model to data (Xlistname, Ylistname, freqlist, regequ) Logistic C. SinReg SinReg Fits a sinusoidal model to data (iterations, Xlistname, Ylistname, period, regequ) When using the TI-83 calculator to find an equation that will model data using one of the regression models above, you should set the “DiagnosticOn” by pressing 2nd catalog and select “diagnosticon”, then press enter. This will display the diagnostics r and r2 with the results when you execute a regression model. ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. The Correlation (r) measures the strength and direction of the linear association between two quantitative variables x and y. The calculator linearly transforms the data to allow us to use r with non-linear data. The Coefficient of determination (r2) is the proportion of the total variability that is explained by the least squares regression of y on x. (0 ≤ r2 ≤ 1) The value r2 tells us what percent of the total variation of the y-values about their mean can be explained by the terms of the model (x-values). (1 - r2) is the percentage of variation that is unexplained by the model. The closer is to one, the better the fit of the model to the data. In the r2 scale, a correlation of ±.7 is about halfway between 0 and 1. (In other words, when r = ±.7, r2 = ±.5) ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Municipal Waste Generation – Part III: Student Worksheet – Teacher Key Use the Landfills bar graph and your available technology (calculator or computer) to: 1. Determine the function (equation) that best models the data in the graph. Write this equation using the function notation L(x), where x is the year and L(x) is the number of landfills. Using the quadratic regression function on the TI-83 calculator, the equation: L(x) = 28.52855x2 – 114284.09x + 114455841.7 models the data with a correlation coefficient (r) of .99674. Using the exponential regression function: L(x) = (8.69117 x 1085)(.90930x) models the data with a correlation coefficient of .96183. 2. Use your function to estimate L(2003) and L(2004). Quadratic model: L(2003) ≈ 1630 L(2004) ≈ 1659 Exponential model: L(2003) ≈ 1701 L(2004) ≈ 1547 3. Use your function to estimate L(2020). Comment on the reasonableness of your answer. Quadratic model: L(2020) ≈ 9896 Not very reasonable, or desirable. Exponential model: L(2020) ≈ 338 landfills will be gone some day. Reasonable. It is our hope that all (extension): Comment on how well your function fits the data (including your “r value” in your comment.)? The quadratic model fits the data very well, with a correlation coefficient (r-value) of ≈.99674, but it would have the number of landfills increase in the years to come. This is not reasonable or desirable. The exponential model fits the data pretty well, with a correlation coefficient of ≈.96183. The closer the r-value is to 1 or -1, the better the fit of the model to the data. ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Municipal Waste Generation – Part IV Teacher Background Information: Use the pdf document for Municipal Waste Generation found on the following website. http://www.epa.gov/epawaste/nonhaz/municipal/pubs/msw07-rpt.pdf Goals: To….. Assess or review students’ understanding of reading and interpreting tables and graphs, constructing specialty graphs, and the use of percentages in such areas. Objectives: Students will . . . Read and interpret graphs and tables Calculate the percentage of the whole for various parts Construct graphs (pie, and stacked bar) Procedure: (for the teacher) All procedures are reflected in the student handout Content Area: Reading tables Renaming fractions as percents Creating pie charts and stacked bar graphs Prerequisites: Knowledge of constructing pie charts and “stacked” bar graphs Standards met: NM-NUM.9-12.3 NM-MEA.9-12.1 NM-DATA.9-12.3 NM-PROB.REP.PK-12.1 Time required: 30 – 45 minutes Materials: (per student) Table 3 Generation Materials recovery Composting, Combustion with energy recovery Discards of MSW handout Graph paper and circle graph paper Rulers and protractors: ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Municipal Waste Generation – Part IV: Student Worksheet Name:___________________________________ Class period:_________ 1. Use the generation materials recovery table to determine the “percentage of the total generation” for the following categories for 1960 and 2006: (show all calculations) Recovery for recycling: Recovery for composting: Total materials recovery: Combustion with energy recovery: Discards to landfill/other disposal: ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. 2. Construct pie charts (graphs) 1960 and 2006 using the percentage of the total generation from problem #1. Show your calculations, on a separate sheet of paper, for determining the angle measures needed to construct each graph. Remember titles and labels. ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. 3. Construct a stacked bar graph. Your graph will show the amount of waste recovery (in millions of tons) from the different activities, for the years 1960 and 2006, “stacked” to form one bar for each year. Your categories should include: recycling, composting, combustion, and landfill/other. Remember titles and labels for your graph. 4. Identify and describe any trends that you see in the stacked bar graph. ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. STAT CALC menu on TI-83 calculator 4. LinReg Fits a linear model to data (Xlistname, Ylistname, freqlist, regequ) LinReg 5. QuadReg Fits a quadratic model to data (Xlistname, Ylistname, freqlist, regequ) QuadReg 6. CubicReg Fits a cubic model to data (Xlistname, Ylistname, freqlist, regequ) CubicReg 7. QuartReg Fits a quartic model to data (Xlistname, Ylistname, freqlist, regequ) QuartReg 9. LnReg Fits a logarithmic model to data (Xlistname, Ylistname, freqlist, regequ) LnReg 10. ExpReg Fits an exponential model to data (Xlistname, Ylistname, freqlist, regequ) ExpReg A. PwrReg Fits a power model to data (Xlistname, Ylistname, freqlist, regequ) PwrReg B. Logistic Fits a logistical model to data (Xlistname, Ylistname, freqlist, regequ) Logistic C. SinReg Fits a sinusoidal model to data (iterations, Xlistname, Ylistname, period, regequ) SinReg When using the TI-83 calculator to find an equation that will model data using one of the regression models above, you should set the “DiagnosticOn” by pressing 2nd catalog and select “diagnosticon”, then press enter. This will display the diagnostics r and r2 with the results when you execute a regression model. ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. The Correlation (r) measures the strength and direction of the linear association between two quantitative variables x and y. The calculator linearly transforms the data to allow us to use r with non-linear data. The Coefficient of determination (r2) is the proportion of the total variability that is explained by the least squares regression of y on x. (0 ≤ r2 ≤ 1) The value r2 tells us what percent of the total variation of the y-values about their mean can be explained by the terms of the model (x-values). (1 - r2) is the percentage of variation that is unexplained by the model. ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Municipal Waste Generation – Part IV: Student Worksheet – Teacher Key Name: ______________________________ Class period: _________ 1. Use the materials generation recovery table to determine the “percentage of the total generation” for the following categories for 1960 and 2006: (show all calculations) Recovery for recycling: 1960 6.36% 2006 24.27% Recovery for composting: 1960 2006 0.0% 8.28% Combustion with energy recovery: 1960 0.0% 2006 12.50% Discards to landfill/other disposal: 1960 93.64% ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. 2006 54.99% 2. Construct pie charts (graphs) 1960 and 2006 using the percentage of the total generation from problem #1. Show your calculations, on a separate sheet of paper, for determining the angle measures needed to construct each graph. Remember titles and labels. (The graph should include the following categories: Recycling, Composting, Combustion, & Landfill/other.) 1960 Recycling: 360 x .0636 = 23° Composting: 360 x 0 = 0° Combustion: 360 x 0 = 0° Landfill/Other: 360 x .9364 = 337° 2006 Recycling: 360 x .2427 = 87° Composting: 360 x .0828 = 30° Combustion: 360 x .125 = 45° Landfill/Other: 360 x .5499 = 198° ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. 3. Construct a stacked bar graph. Your graph will show the amount of waste recovery (in millions of tons) from the different activities, for the years 1960 and 2006, “stacked” to form one bar for each year. Your categories should include: recycling, composting, combustion, and landfill/other. Remember titles and labels for your graph. 4. Identify and describe any trends that you see in the stacked bar graph. Recycling & Composting (total materials recovery) has increased the most, but has begun slowing its growth to about .6% per year. Combustion with energy recovery peaked in 1990 and has since declined at a small, but increasing, rate. Discards to landfill/other decreased dramatically at first, but now seem to have leveled off at about 55% of the total waste generated. ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved. Municipal Waste Generation: Student Worksheet - Generation materials recovery Name:____________________________________ Class period:_________ ©2010 Beyond Benign – All Rights Reserved.