Comparing Two Population Means (matched pairs and independent samples) 1. The personnel manager of a large retail clothing store suspects a difference in the mean amount of break time taken by workers during the weekday shifts compared to that of the weekend shifts. It is suspected that the weekday workers take X 1 = 53 minutes of break time per 8-hour shift and S1 = 7.3 minutes. A random sample of 40 weekend workers had a mean X 2 = 47 minutes and S 2 = longer breaks on the average. A random sample of 46 weekday workers had a mean 1 9.1 minutes. Test the manager’s suspicion at the 5% level of significance. Two-Sample Z-Test and CI Sample 1 2 N 46 40 Mean 53.00 47.00 StDev 7.30 9.10 SE Mean 1.1 1.4 Difference = mu (1) - mu (2) Estimate for difference: 6.00 95% lower bound for difference: 3.01 Z-Test of difference = 0 (vs >): Z-Value = 3.34 2. P-Value = 0.001 Two growth hormones are being considered. A random sample of 10 rats were given the first hormone and their average X 1 = 2.3 pounds with standard deviation S1 = 0.4 pound. For the second hormone, a random sample of 15 rats showed their average weight gain to be X 2 = 1.9 pounds with standard deviation S 2 = 0.2 pound. Assume weight gain was the weight gains follow a normal distribution. Using a 10% level of significance, can we say there is a difference in average weight gains for the two growth hormones? Two-Sample T-Test and CI Sample 1 2 N 10 15 Mean 2.300 1.900 StDev 0.400 0.200 SE Mean 0.13 0.052 Difference = mu (1) - mu (2) Estimate for difference: 0.400 90% CI for difference: (0.156, 0.644) T-Test of difference = 0 (vs not =): T-Value = 2.93 3. P-Value = 0.013 DF = 23 A local claims that the waiting time for its customers to be served is the lowest in the area. A competitor's bank checks the waiting times at both banks. The sample statistics are listed below. Test the local bank's claim. Use 0.05. Local Bank n1 = 15 Competitor Bank n2 = 16 X 1 = 5.3 minutes X 2 = 5.6 minutes S1 = 1.1 minutes S2 = 1.0 minutes Two-Sample T-Test and CI Sample 1 2 N 15 16 Mean 5.30 5.60 StDev 1.10 1.00 SE Mean 0.28 0.25 Difference = mu (1) - mu (2) Estimate for difference: -0.300 95% upper bound for difference: 0.344 T-Test of difference = 0 (vs <): T-Value = -0.79 P-Value = 0.217 DF = 29 4. Suppose that simple random samples of college freshman are selected from two universities - 15 students from school A and 20 students from school B. On a standardized test, the sample from school A has an average score of 1000 with a standard deviation of 100. The sample from school B has an average score of 950 with a standard deviation of 90. What is the 95% confidence interval for the difference in test scores at the two schools, assuming that test scores came from normal distributions in both schools? Two-Sample T-Test and CI Difference = mu (1) - mu (2) Estimate for difference: 50.0 95% CI for difference: (-15.6, 115.6) T-Test of difference = 0 (vs not =): T-Value = 1.55 Both use Pooled StDev = 94.3719 P-Value = 0.130 DF = 33 Answer: 95% confidence interval is -15.6 to 115.6. That is, we are 95% confident that the true difference in population means is within: -15.6 to 115.6. 5. The local baseball team conducts a study to find the amount spent on refreshments at the ball park. Over the course of the season they gather simple random samples of 50 men and 100 women. For men, the average expenditure was $20, with a standard deviation of $3. For women, it was $15, with a standard deviation of $2. What is the 99% confidence interval for the spending difference between men and women? Assume that the two populations are independent and normally distributed. Two-Sample Z-Test and CI Difference = mu (1) - mu (2) Estimate for difference: 5.000 99% CI for difference: (3.759, 6.241) Z-Test of difference = 0 (vs not =): Z -Value = 10.66 P-Value = 0.000 Answer: The 99% confidence interval is $3.76 to $6.24. That is, we are 99% confident that men outspend women at the ballpark by at least $3.76 and at most $6.24. 6. SAT prep courses are often very expensive, but are they worth it? The data below is from nine different randomly selected students who took the SAT twice (once before taking Kaplan’s test prep course and one after taking the Kaplan test prep course). At the 5% level of significance, test the claim that the after scores are better: Student 1 2 3 4 Before Score 480 510 530 540 After Score 460 500 530 520 Difference 20 10 0 20 **The standard deviation of the differences is 25.2212 7. 5 550 580 -30 6 560 580 -20 7 600 560 40 8 620 640 -20 9 660 690 -30 A salesman for a shoe company claimed that runners would record quicker times, on the average, with the company's brand of sneaker. A track coach decided to test the claim. The coach selected eight runners. Each runner ran two 100-yard dashes on different days. In one 100-yard dash, the runners wore the sneakers supplied by the school; in the other, they wore the sneakers supplied by the salesman. Each runner was randomly assigned the sneakers to wear for the first run. Their times, measured in seconds, were as follows: Runners Company Sneaker School Sneaker 1 10.8 11.4 2 12.3 12.5 3 10.7 10.8 4 12.0 11.7 5 10.6 10.9 6 11.5 11.8 7 12.1 12.2 8 11.2 11.7 X D = -.225 and s D = .276. Assume the population of differences is approximately normal. Note. For the differences, Paired T-Test and CI Diff. N 8 Mean -0.2250 StDev 0.2760 SE Mean 0.0976 95% CI for mean difference: (-0.4557, 0.0057) T-Test of mean difference = 0 (vs < 0): T-Value = -2.31; 8. P-Value = 0.027 Twenty-four males age 25-29 were selected from the Framingham Heart Study. Twelve were smokers and 12 were nonsmokers. The subjects were paired, with one being a smoker and the other a nonsmoker. Otherwise, each pair was similar with regard to age and physical characteristics. Systolic blood pressure readings were as follows: People Smokers Nonsmokers 1 122 114 2 146 134 3 120 114 4 114 116 5 124 138 6 126 110 7 118 112 8 128 116 9 130 132 10 134 126 11 116 108 12 130 116 List the differences A - B and verify that X D = 6 and s D = 8.40. Use a 5% level of significance to determine whether the data indicate a difference in mean systolic blood pressure levels for the populations from which the two groups were selected. You may assume that the population of differences is approximately normal. Paired T-Test and CI Diff. N Mean StDev SE Mean 12 6.00 8.40 2.42 95% CI for mean difference: (0.66, 11.34) T-Test of mean difference = 0 (vs not = 0): T-Value = 2.47 9. P-Value = 0.031 A local school district is concerned about the number of school days missed by its teachers due to illness. A random sample of 10 teachers is selected. The number of days absent in one year is listed below. An incentive program is offered in an attempt to decrease the number of days absent. The number of days absent in one year after the incentive program is listed below. Test the claim that the incentive program cuts down on the number of days missed by teachers. Use = 0.05. Assume that the distribution is normally distributed Teacher Days absent before incentive Days absent after incentive A 3 1 B 8 7 C 7 7 D 2 0 E 9 8 F 4 2 G 2 0 H 0 1 I 7 5 J 5 5 10. A weight-lifting coach claims that weight-lifters can increase their strength by taking a certain supplement. To test the theory, the coach randomly selects 9 athletes and gives them a strength test using a bench press. The results are listed below. Thirty days later, after regular training using the supplement, they are tested again. The new results are listed below. Test the claim that the supplement is effective in increasing the athletes' strength. Use = 0.05. Assume that the distribution is normally distributed. Athlete Before After A 215 225 B 240 245 C 188 188 D 212 210 E 275 282 F 260 275 G 225 230 H 200 195 I 185 190 Confidence Interval (Two populations) 1. Is there a difference in the total scores for women’s and men’s basketball games? A random sample of n1 = 55 women’s games had a mean winning score of x1 = 78. Another random sample of n2 = 60 men’s games had a mean winning score of x 2 = 90. Historical data suggests 1 = 10 and 2 = 16. Find a 95% confidence interval for the population difference (1 2 ) . 95% CI for difference: (-16.89, -7.11) 2. Two growth hormones are being considered. A random sample of 10 rats were given the first hormone and their average weight gain was x1 = 2.3 pounds with standard deviation s1 = 0.4 pound. For the second hormone, a random sample of 15 rats showed their average weight gain to be x 2 = 1.9 pounds with standard deviation s2 = 0.2 pound. Assume the weight gains follow a normal distribution. Find a 90% confidence interval for the difference in average weight gains for the two growth hormones. Two-Sample T-Test and CI Sample 1 2 N 10 15 Mean 2.300 1.900 StDev 0.400 0.200 SE Mean 0.13 0.052 Difference = mu (1) - mu (2) Estimate for difference: 0.400 90% CI for difference: (0.194, 0.606) T-Test of difference = 0 (vs not =): T-Value = 3.32 Both use Pooled StDev = 0.2949 P-Value = 0.003 DF = 23 3. Stone Tires has developed a new tread which they claim reduces stopping distance on wet pavement. A random sample of 56 test drives with cars using tires with tread type I (old design) showed that the average stopping distance on wet pavement was x1 = 183 feet. A random sample of 61 test drives conducted under similar conditions, but with cars using tires with tread type II (new tread) showed that the average stopping distance was x 2 = 152 feet. Historical data suggests 1 = 49 feet and 2 = 53 feet. Find a 90% confidence interval for the population mean difference (1 2 ) of stopping distances for the two types of tire tread. a) 15.5 to 46.5 b) 13.5 to 44.5 c) 14.5 to 43.5 d) 16.5 to 45. 5 e) 12.5 to 43.5 4. At a large office supply store, the daily sales of two similar brand-name laser printers are being compared. A random sample of 16 days showed that Brand I had mean daily sales x1 = $2464 with standard deviation s1 = $529. A random sample of 19 days showed that Brand II had mean daily sales x 2 = $2285 with sample standard deviation s2 = $440. Assume sales follow an approximately normal distribution. Find a 90% confidence interval for the population mean difference in sales (1 2 ) .