Applied Linear Statistical Models Test 2 Fall 2003 Instructions: After completing the exam, please submit it via email to dhjones@rci.rutgers.edu. The revised deadline is Midnight Sunday December 14, 2003. Partial credit will apply to submissions after this date until 6 am Monday December 15, 2003. In the subject line of your email, please put “Final Test” (without the quotes) followed by your name. In your answer sheet, begin each question on a new page. Number all pages. A regional delivery service company recently conducted a study to investigate the relationship between the cost of shipping a package (Y), the package weight (X1), and the distance shipped (X2). Twenty packages were randomly selected from among the large number received for shipment and a detailed analysis of the shipping cost was conducted for each package. The data are displayed below. Cost_of_Shipment $3.30 $2.00 $11.00 $2.60 $1.90 $8.00 $15.50 $5.00 $1.00 $4.40 $6.00 $1.70 $14.50 $14.00 $9.20 $1.10 $12.10 $1.50 $8.00 $3.90 Dr. Douglas H. Jones Package_Weight 4.10 0.30 5.10 5.90 4.50 3.50 7.00 2.40 0.60 0.75 6.20 1.10 6.50 7.50 6.60 2.70 8.10 0.70 4.40 3.20 Page 1 Distance_Shipped 95 160 240 47 53 250 260 209 100 280 115 90 240 190 160 45 160 80 202 145 Rutgers Business School Question 1 Estimate a multiple regression model involving the two given explanatory variables. Using the ANOVA table, perform and interpret the result of an F test. Use 5% significance level in making the statistical decision in this case. Perform the preliminary exploratory analysis first. Step a) Copy and past the data to the statistical package. Create the proper names and labels Variables View window. Press the Print Screen key, paste in your test answer sheet. Step b) Create the proper Summary Statistics and box-plots using Explore. Copy and paste into your answer sheet. Are there any features that need discussing? What are they? Step c) Create the Correlation Matrix, copy and paste into your answer sheet, discuss. Step d) Fit the following model: Copy and paste the coefficient table, discuss. Step e) Test the hypotheses: Copy and paste the ANOVA table, discuss. Step f) Copy and paste the Model Summary table, compare the standard error of the estimate with the appropriate statistic of y in step b. Dr. Douglas H. Jones Page 2 Rutgers Business School Question 2 Is it worthwhile to add the terms X12 and X22 to the regression equation of Question 1? Base your decision here on a partial F test. Once again, employ a 5% significance level in performing this test. Step a) What are the appropriate full (model 2) and reduced models (model 1)? Step a) What are the Hypotheses for testing the Reduced Model vs. the Full Model? Step b) Create the variables X1X2, X1X1, and X2X2. Open the Data View window; press the print screen key, paste into your answer sheet. Step c) Fit the Reduced Model 1, followed by the Full Model 2. Copy and paste the appropriate ANOVA tables. Step d) What is the computed partial F-statistic and it p-value? Dr. Douglas H. Jones Page 3 Rutgers Business School Question 3 Is it worthwhile to explore other models versus the full model of Question 2? Once again, employ a 5% significance level in performing this analysis. Step a) Use the Block option with Stepwise Regression. Copy and paste the Stepwise results. Compute the requires partial F-statistics. Dr. Douglas H. Jones Page 4 Rutgers Business School Question 4 Based on the previous findings, what regression equation should this company use in predicting the cost of shipping a package? Defend your recommendation. Step a) What is the final regression equation is Step b) At the 5% significance value, what are the results of using the partial F-test for testing the reduced model (Y = X1 X2 X1X2) in favor of the full model (Y = X1 X2 X1X2 X1X1). Step c) How much is the standard error of estimate less for model (Y = X1 X2 X1X2 X1X1) compared to model (Y = X1 X2 X1X2). What is the final standard error of estimate? Step d) Examine the residual plot and normal probability plot of residuals for the final model. Copy and paste the plots. Discuss. Dr. Douglas H. Jones Page 5 Rutgers Business School