Name________________________________________________Last 4 digits TUID________ Economics 1102 Homework #1 Define or explain briefly. Ten points each. (1) perfect market (2) efficient resource allocation Part II. True or false. Explain (be sure to). Twenty points. (3) If a resource allocation is efficient, then it is desirable. 1 Part III. Quantitative Problems. (4) 20 points. Prior to the destruction of the World Trade Center, air travel in the United States was forecast for the year 2013 at 1515 billion seat miles at a price of $165 million per billion seat miles. The (arc) price elasticity of demand for air travel is estimated to be -.75. Even if the demand for air travel is fully restored, i.e., the confidence in air travel returns to its pre-disaster level, the price of air travel is expected to increase by over 40% due to the implementation of new security procedures. Given this, and the price elasticity of demand of -.75, what would be the projected number of seat miles of air travel in the United States in the year 2012? Provide your answer in the table below. Note, the elasticity formula to be used in solving the problem is given by, Q2 Q1 P2 P1 %QuantityDemanded E .75 . % Pr ice P2 P1 Q2 Q1 Case Projected Air Travel And Costs for 2013 Billion Seat Miles (BSM) Price ($Billion/BSM) Projection-Pre 9/11/01 Q1 = 1515 P1 = 165 Projection Post-9/11/01 Q2 = ? P2 = 235 Note: In the above, Seat Miles is the variable and price is the parameter. (5) 40 points. Consider the formulation of a model to "explain" the number of visitors to Atlantic City per month. Let this be the variable, V = the number of visitors to Atlantic City in a month. For the example, assume that people visit Atlantic City (AC) due to: a) its characteristics as a seaside resort; and, b) due to the opportunity to gamble at casinos there. In a given month AC's attractiveness as a resort could be measured by the weather. For this purpose let S = the number of predominately sunny days in a month and T = the number of days in the month with the temperature at noon no lower than 85 Fo. For the influence of gambling use E = the dollars spent by all casinos in a month on advertising and promotions and C = the number of casinos operating outside of Atlantic City within a hundred mile radius. The idea of the model is that, given the values of S, T, E, and C projected for a month, there should be a reasonable chance of predicting the value of V for the given month. V is the variable and {S,T,E, C} are the parameters. These relationships are revealed by the functional notation, V = f(S, T, E, C). 2 In this notation, the value(s) to the left of the equal sign denote variables, the symbol(s), here "f", in front of the parenthetical denotes a relationship (i.e., function), and the values within the parentheses denote the parameters. Data. Consider the data below collected in the mid-six months of the year 2013. Month APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP V 250000 245000 250000 275000 280000 300000 S 20 20 21 23 23 23 T 18 18 22 22 22 24 E 400000 400000 405000 405000 425000 405000 C 5 6 6 6 6 6 Based on the data above, compute the arc elasticity of visitors (V) to each of S, T, E, and C. Place your answers in the table below using our standard format. Be sure to indicate which pair of months were used when computing each elasticity. Variable/Parameter S T E C V Based on the size of the elasticities, does it look like the weather related parameters or the casino related parameters are more important in explaining the number of visitors that come to Atlantic City. 3