ST213: Mathematics of Random Events A list of things you should know! ALGEBRA: Definition of an algebra. Definition of the “smallest algebra generated by a collection of sets”. How to construct the smallest algebra generated by a given collection of sets. How to check that a given collection of sets is an algebra. How to check that a given collection is the smallest algebra containing a collection of sets. -ALGEBRA: Definition of a -algebra. Definition of the “smallest -algebra generated by a collection of sets”. How to construct the smallest -algebra generated by a given collection of sets, especially a collection of singletons. How to check that a given collection of sets is a -algebra. How to prove that the algebra generated by two different collections of sets is the same. -algebra. How to check that a given collection is the smallest algebra containing a collection of sets. LIMIT SETS: Know the definition of limit sets and what they mean in terms of “how often an event happens”. Be able to write a statement from analysis in set-theoretic terms. In particular, you should know the definition of convergence of a sequence and you should be able to write the set of points for which a sequence Xn() convergence in terms of limits sets. PROBABILITY MEASURES: You should know the definition of a probability measure and how to check whether a given settheoretic function is a probability measure. You should know and be able to prove the properties of a probability measure and use them when required. EXTENSION THEOREM: You should be able to state Caratheodory’s extension theorem. You should be able to use it in order to decide whether the extension of a probability defined on an algebra to a given -algebra is unique. If not, you should be able to construct counter-examples, i.e. two probability measures that are the same on the given algebra but different on the given algebra. RANDOM VARIABLES: You should know the definition of a random variable/measurable function and be able to check whether a given function is a random variable/measurable. You should know the definition of the “smallest -algebra generated by a random variable”. EXPECTATIONS: You should know the definition of an indicator random variable and a simple random variable and the definition of their expectation. You should know the definition of the expectation for non-negative random variables and for arbitrary random variables. You should know the Monotone Convergence Theorem and the Dominated Convergence Theorem and be able to use them in order to compute expectations of random variables that are limits of a sequence of “simpler” random variables. You should know, for example, how to use the Monotone Convergence Theorem in order to define the expectation of a non-negative random variable. BOREL-CANTELLI LEMMAS: You should be able to state and prove both Borel-Cantelli Lemmas. You should be able to use the Borel-Cantelli Lemmas in order to compute probabilities of limit sets. CONVERGENCE OF SEQUENCES: You should know the definition of “almost sure convergence” and “convergence in probability”. You should be able to use the Borel-Cantelli Lemmas to prove convergence of a sequence. You should be able to prove Markov’s inequality and use it in order to prove convergence in probability. LAW OF LARGE NUMBERS: You should be able to state and apply the Law of Large Numbers.