Elaine Sunderlin EBM 6/25/2010 “Probing to Bone in Infected Pedal Ulcers” M. Lindsay Grayson, MD, et.al. JAMA;Vol 273, No.9;March 1, 1995;721-723 Background: - Pedal ulcers occur in up to 25% of diabetic patients - Important to determine difference between soft tissue infections alone and soft tissue infections with underlying osteomyelitis - What’s the best way to diagnose osteomyelitis? Hypothesis: The presence of bone, via gentle probing, in the depths of infected pedal ulcers in patients with diabetes is indicative of osteomyelitis Type of Study: Prospective cohort study of hospitalized diabetic patients receiving antibiotic treatment for severe limb-threatening foot infection. Methods: During a 2 year period beginning in December 1998 , 92 patients with 97 infections were enrolled in a randomized, double-blinded, single-center prospective clinical trial to study the efficacy of Ampicillin/Sulbactam versus Imipenem/Cilastatin in the treatment of limb-threatening foot infections in diabetic patients. This data pool was used in this follow-up study. Patients in the original study without pedal ulceration, with nonhealed recent surgical wounds, or with pedal infection that had been debrided in a manner to likely expose the adjacent bone were excluded. - In patients with open ulcers, probing to detect bone was performed prior to debridement - When ulcers were covered by an eschar, probing was undertaken after debridement that was limited to removal of overlying eschar - Probing was done using a sterile, blunt, 14cm stainless steel eye probe held like a pencil. One of the two authors assessed the ulcer at bedside - Bone was considered palpable (positive probe test) when on gentle probing, the evaluator detected a rock-hard, often gritty structure at the ulcer base without the apparent presence of any intervening soft tissue. - Diagnosis of osteomyelitis o Histologic (92%): presence of inflammatory cells within the bone, fibrosis of intertravecular soft tissue, and destruction or necrosis of bone and reactive new bone formation + radiographic (35%) + clinical criteria (46%) o Radiographic alone (2%): bone destruction on imaging studies o Clinical criteria alone (4%): identification of purulent friable nonviable bone by the surgeon performing debridement o Radiographic and clinical (2%) Results: Osteomyelitis present 33 17 50 Positive test Negative test Totals Osteomyelitis absent 4 22 26 Totals 37 39 76 Specificity = _______number of true negatives_________ # of true negatives + # false positives 22 = 0.66 (66%) 26 Sensitivity = _______number of true positives_________ # of true positives + # false negatives 33 = 0.85 (85%) 50 Positive predictive ____________True positives__________ Value (PPV) True positives + false positives 33__ = 0.89 (89%) 33 + 4 Negative predictive ____________True negatives_________ Value (NPV) True negatives + false negatives __22__ = 0.56 (56%) 22 + 17 Positive Likelihood Ratio ______Sensitivity_________ 1 – specificity ___0.66__ = 4.4 1 – 0.85 Negative Likelihood Ratio ___1 – sensitivity________ Specificity _1 – 0.66 = 0.4 0.85 Is the study valid? I think so. It is a cohort study with a small number of patients. As they were testing a physical exam, there is always examiner difference. They tried to limit that with only 2 observers performing the exam. The histology specimens were only examined by 1 pathologist who was blinded to the probe test results. Would I use this in my clinical practice? Unlikely. The positive predictive value is not robust. In general, the current diagnostic tools for osteomyelitis are limited, at best.