Mapping the Oil & Gas Potential of Canada’s North US-Canada Northern Oil & Gas Research Forum November 13-15, 2012 Anchorage, Alaska Peter Hannigan Natural Resources Canada Geological Survey of Canada – Calgary 3303-33 Street N.W., Calgary Peter.Hannigan@NRCan-RNCan.gc.ca 1 Present GSC Program (1) Geo-Mapping for Energy & Minerals (GEM) GEM Program was announced in 2008 Federal Budget GEM is aimed at improving geological mapping for resource development, with a major focus on northern Canada “The development of energy and mineral resources is the primary source of economic growth in Canada’s North. Exploration for new mineral resources is an inherently risky but potentially rewarding economic activity… Publicly available geoscience maps help companies target new exploration activity to the areas of highest mineral 2 potential.” Present GSC Program (2) GEM Implementation GEM-Energy: Main focus on better knowledge of conventional resources in sedimentary basins. Will include unconventional resources if development is likely Will include research on areas of greatest Uranium potential May include small or shallow (“stranded”) gas fields with potential as a local energy supply GEM-Minerals: Focused on areas of greatest mineral potential 3 Present GSC Program (3) GEM-Energy Objectives Provide a detailed resource assessment for the North for oil, gas, and uranium, supported by maps that indicate major geological factors controlling the distribution of these resources. Compile results into publicly available databases that are released in a timely fashion. 4 Present GSC Program (4) GEM-Energy Projects Yukon (includes Liard) Mackenzie Delta & Corridor Western Arctic Islands Eastern Arctic Islands (includes Saglek Basin) Hudson Bay & Foxe Basin Uranium 5 GEM Project Areas Western Arctic Islands YukonLiard ThelonNunavut Athabasca Basin Hudson Bay-Foxe Basin 6 What’s next? The GEM program ends on March 31, 2013 GEM-II or Son of GEM? GNES program 7 New Energy Supply Program- GNES Program Focus Geoscientific analyses & assessments of energy resources in Canada’s frontier basins Characterization of sedimentary basins & their geological parameters Petroleum basin analysis (priority frontier basins; DFAIT-UNCLOS) Target Outcome? Geoscience research on frontier basin energy plays attracts exploration interest Activities Petroleum basin data synthesis and assessment; knowledge gaps; data acquisition Shale-hosted petroleum Target Outcome? Increased effectiveness in exploration/ development of shale petroleum projects Activities Best-practice, standardized methodology for resource assessment Thematic studies to characterize shales as petroleum reservoirs & to develop geoscience proxies for commercial success in shale reservoir Strengthening energy geoscience-policy interface Canadian Energy Geoscience Innovation Cluster 8 Hudson Bay Basin 9 New Energy Supply Program- GNES Program Focus Geoscientific analyses & assessments of energy resources in Canada’s frontier basins Characterization of sedimentary basins & their geological parameters Petroleum basin analysis (priority frontier basins; DFAIT-UNCLOS) Target Outcome? Geoscience research on frontier basin energy plays attracts exploration interest Activities Petroleum basin data synthesis and assessment; knowledge gaps; data acquisition Shale-hosted petroleum Target Outcome? Increased effectiveness in exploration/ development of shale petroleum projects Activities Best-practice, standardized methodology for resource assessment Thematic studies to characterize shales as petroleum reservoirs & to develop geoscience proxies for commercial success in shale reservoir Strengthening energy geoscience-policy interface Canadian Energy Geoscience Innovation Cluster 10 Mackenzie Corridor 11 Major Discoveries 2004 Lac Maunoir , 2003 Nogha From Lemieux, 2007 12 Petroleum Wells and Pipelines 13 Petroleum Potential 37 conventional oil & gas exploration plays have been defined 25 in Interior Platform; 12 in Foreland Belt 30 have enough data for quantitative analysis Interior Platform plays have total mean in-place potential of 600 * 109 m3 of gas (21 Tcf) 387 * 106 m3 of oil (2432 MMBO) Foreland Belt plays have total mean in-place potential of 329 * 109 m3 of gas (12 Tcf) 375 * 106 m3 of oil (2359 MMBO) Unconventional oil & gas have not been quantitatively analyzed. However, multi-Tcf of recoverable resources have been announced from initial testing and fracturing (Horn River) 14 Mackenzie Corridor Undiscovered Pool Sizes (Gas) 15 Mackenzie Corridor Undiscovered Pool Sizes (Oil) 16 Exploration Plays From Lemieux, 2007 17 Petroleum Prospectivity Map Very High High High to Moderate Moderate Low to Moderate Low Very Low GSC Open File 7110 (in press) 18 Thank you! For further information: Peter.Hannigan@NRCan-RNCan.gc.ca 19