New calibration procedure in analytical chemistry in agreement to VIM 3 Miloslav Suchanek ICT Prague and EURACHEM Czech Republic T&M Conference 2010, SA 2 Prague castle and Vltava river T&M Conference 2010, SA 3 Overview - New definition of calibration - Theoretical backround of various calibration methods - Practial calculation with MS Excel - Do we need measurement uncertainty? T&M Conference 2010, SA 4 Terminology x, independent variable y, dependent variable c, concentration, content y, Y, indication, signal Measurement in chemistry: calibration of a measurement procedure not calibration of an instrument Result : quantity value ± expanded measurement uncertainty T&M Conference 2010, SA 5 ISO/IEC Guide 99:2008 International vocabulary of metrology (VIM 3) 2.39 calibration operation that, under specified conditions, in a first step, 1) established a relation between the quantity values with measurement uncertainties provided by measurement standards and corresponding indications with associated measurement uncertainties and, in a second step, 2) uses this information to establish a relation for obtaining a measurement result from an indication T&M Conference 2010, SA 6 Calibration models x u(x) y u(y) Ordinary linear regression Bivariate regression Monte Carlo simulation Bracketing x – concentration, content; y – indication, signal T&M Conference 2010, SA 7 Ordinary regression cannot be used! underestimation of measurement uncertainty T&M Conference 2010, SA 8 Solution: 1. Least square analysis with uncertainties in both variables bivariate (bilinear) regression 2. Monte Carlo simulation (regression) (MCS) 3. Bracketing calibration T&M Conference 2010, SA 9 Bivariate (bilinear) regression – theory (J.M. Lisy et.all: Computers Chem. 14, 189, 1990) Task: Estimate the parameters of linear equation y = b1 + b2.x providing that experimental data have a structure: xi u(xi) and yi u(yi) (u(xi) and u(yi) are standard uncertainties) T&M Conference 2010, SA 10 Solution: U wRi ( yi f ( xi , b j ))2 N j = 1,2; N is the number of experimental points wRi 1/ u 2 Ri Ri yi f ( xi ,bj ) uRi2 uyi2 b22 .uxi2 U wRi .Ri2 See EXCEL calculations N Parameters of linear model are estimated iteratively T&M Conference 2010, SA 11 The Monte Carlo steps 1. Each calibration point is characterised by {xi u(xi), yi u(yi) } assumed to be normally distributed {N(xi, u2(xi)), N(yi, u2(yi)} 2. Replace each calibration point by a randomly selected point (j) {xi(j), yi(j)} 3. Perform a (simple) Linear Regression using the « new » calibration dataset (j) 4. Derive the slope and intercept of calibration (j): b2(j), b1(j) 5. Repeat the sequence (e.g. 1000 times) 6. Compute the average and standard deviation of all b2(j), b1(j) to obtain the slope b2 and intercept b1, respectively. T&M Conference 2010, SA 12 The Monte Carlo calculation provides reliable results compliant with GUM (ISO/IEC Guide 98-3:2008) easy to implement in a spreadsheet See EXCEL calculations T&M Conference 2010, SA 13 Bracketing calibration Model equation c2 .(Yx Y1 ) c1.(Y2 Yx ) cx (Y2 Y1 ) concentration of analyte in sample concentration of analyte in standards (one below and one above concn. in sample) signals corresponding to the analyte concns. T&M Conference 2010, SA See EXCEL calculations cx c1, c2 Y1, Y2, Yx 14 c[mg/L] 10 20 30 40 50 sample u( c) 0,3 0,6 0,9 1,2 1,5 A 0,117 0,208 0,304 0,403 0,506 0,252 u(A) 0,005 0,005 0,007 0,005 0,006 Rsc 3,0% 3,0% 3,0% 3,0% 3,0% RsA 4,3% 2,4% 2,3% 1,2% 1,2% 0,007 T&M Conference 2010, SA 15 5 points calibration Absorbance (a.u.) 0,5 0,4 0,3 0,2 0,1 10 20 30 40 50 concentration (mg/L) T&M Conference 2010, SA 16 BIVARIATE REGRESSION GOTO EXCEL RESULT X(sample) 24,25 u (k=1) 0,75 Rsu 3,10% T&M Conference 2010, SA 17 Monte Carlo simulation GOTO EXCEL RESULT X(sample) 24,28 u (k=1) 0,83 Rsu 3,40% T&M Conference 2010, SA 18 The simulated dataset 0,6 Absorbance (a.u.) 0,5 0,4 0,3 0,2 0,1 0,0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 concentration (mg/L) T&M Conference 2010, SA 19 Bracketing GOTO EXCEL RESULT X(sample) 24,58 u (k=1) 1,00 Rsu 4,05% T&M Conference 2010, SA 20 Conclusions Sample value, c u(c) Rsu Ordinary linear regression 24,29 0,48 2,0% Bivariate linear regression 24,25 0,75 3,1% Monte Carlo simulation 24,28 0,84 3,4% Bracketing 24,58 1,00 4,1% Measurement uncertainty is the most important in decision making process! T&M Conference 2010, SA 21 L Measurement result with 95% probability below limit Measurement result with 95% probability over limit 5% u u is the procedure characterization! u 5% results L-1.64*u acceptance area L+1.64*u ¿ grey zone ? rejection area 3.28 * u T&M Conference 2010, SA 22 Thank you! miloslav.suchanek@vscht.cz T&M Conference 2010, SA 23