Ultimate Ownership and The Cost of Capital

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Cost of Equity,

Control Divergence, and Institutions

Teresa Chu, University of Macau

In-Mu Haw, Texas Christian University

Lee-Seok Hwang, Seoul National University

Woody Wu, Chinese University of Hong Kong

Cost of Equity, Control

Divergence, and Institutions

1.

Introduction

2.

Literature Review & Hypotheses

Development

3.

Research Design & Sample

4.

Empirical Results & Interpretations

5.

Conclusions

2

Introduction

Research Questions:

 Whether the separation of ownership and control of the ultimate owner is systematically related to the firm’s cost of equity capital?

 Whether the investor protections play a corporate governance role in constraining the risk of expropriation of minority shareholders thereby reduce the increase in the cost of equity capital as induced by the ultimate ownership structure?

3

Literature Review -

Cost of equity capital models

Cost of capital is the expected return of investors who supplied financial capital to firms

Market information models:

Modigliani and Miller (1958), Sharpe (1964), Fama and

French (1993 & 1995), etc.

Accounting information models:

Ohlson (1995), Gebhardt et al. (2001), Claus and

Thomas (2001), Easton (2004), Ohlson and Juettner

(2005), etc.

Gode and Mohanram (2001 & 2003), Botosan and

Plumlee (2005), Easton and Monahan (2005) and Guay et al. (2005) examine different cost of equity models but

4 find confounding results

Literature Review -

Cost of equity & corporate governance

Corporate governance emerged from concern over the principal-agent problem in corporations

Insider trading enforcement has negative and significant association with equity cost (Bhattacharya and Daouk [2002])

Firms with high quality accounting earnings can enjoy significantly lower cost of equity (Francis et al. [2004])

Both theoretical and empirical studies generally support a negative relation between disclosure levels and cost of equity (Diamond and Verrecchia [1991], Easley

O’Hara [2004], Botosan [1997], Botosan and Plumlee

[2002], Hail [2002], Chen et al. [2004], Hail and Leuz

[2006a], etc.)

5

Literature Review

- Ultimate ownership

 Ultimate owner is the shareholder who has determining voting rights and not controlled by anyone else

 Except for large firms in richest common law countries, firms are typically controlled by families or government

AND ultimate owners generally possess control rights in excess of ownership rights through group structure and management participation (La Porta et al. [1999])

 Other studies find similar phenomenon in East Asia

(Claessens et al. [2000]), Western Europe (Faccio and

Lang [2002]), Canada (Attig et al. [2002]), Sweden

(Cronqvist and Nilsson [2003]) and emerging economies (Lins [2003])

6

Literature Review

- Ultimate ownership & expropriation of minority shareholders

Concentrated ownership may lead to opportunistic incentives of ultimate owners to hold up minority investors (Shleifer and Vishny [1997])

Recent evidence of expropriation:

 Less informative accounting earnings (Fan and Wong [2002])

Income management incentives (Haw et al. [2004])

Higher dividend rates (Faccio et al. [2001] and Leung [2004])

Firm value discounts (Claessens et al. [2002], Lins [2003],

Lemmon & Lins [2003])

Lower stock returns (Baek, et al. [2004])

Higher asymmetric information costs (Attig et al. [2002] &

[2006])

Higher agency costs (Cronqvist & Nilsson [2003])

Higher external auditing costs (Fan and Wong [2005]) 7

Hypothesis One

 Outside United States, concentrated ownership and ownership-control divergence is prevalent (La Porta et al. [1999], Claessens et al. [2000], Attig et al. [2002], Faccio and

Lang [2002], Lins [2003], Cronqvist and

Nilsson [2003], etc.)

 Ultimate owners have both incentives and abilities of expropriation (Shleifer and Vishny

[1997])

 Shift agency conflicts to between controlling owners and minority investors

8

Hypothesis One - continued

 No ideal ownership structure and entrepreneurs can set up a particular organizational structure to achieve different objectives

 To provide private enforcement of property rights and confront poor judicial system (La Porta et al.

[1999])

 To preserve proprietary information and optimize decision making (Christie et al. [2003])

 Conjecture those controlling owners who obtain effective control but maintain low equity investment have incentives to expropriate

9

Hypothesis One - continued

Firm ownership structure is observable and shareholders can price-protect themselves if they expect potential divergent actions by controlling owners

Evidence shows that shareholders capitalize potential agency costs into stock price (Claessens et al. [2002],

Lins [2003] and Lemmon and Lins [2003])

Ownership-control divergence increases bid-ask spread hence higher asymmetric information costs and agency costs (Attig et al. [2002])

Big 5 auditors charge fee premium to clients with controlling owners (Fan and Wong [2005])

Detrimental effect caused by ownership-control divergence increase potential costs and should ultimately translate to higher external capital cost

10

Hypothesis One - continued

H1: Positive relationship exists between the firm’s cost of equity capital and the level of ownership-control divergence of the ultimate owner, after controlling for traditional risk factors, industry factors and country factors.

11

Hypothesis One - continued

Alternative explanations:

Firms engage in group building precisely because they suffer from capital market imperfection

 Group-affiliated firms can benefit from risk sharing, internal capital transfer, income smoothing and liquidity smoothing

(Khana and Yahef [2005] and Claessens et al. [2006])

 Internal market hypothesis is efficient in Japanese keiretsu

(Hoshi et al. [1991])

Agency problem arises from reasons unrelated to firm’s cost of equity

 Concentrated ownership alleviates free-riding problem as in dispersed shareholding (Grossman and Hart [1980] and

Shleifer and Vishny [1986])

 Agency problem is simply a side effect of monitoring

12

Literature Review

- Role of investor protections

Investor protection is potentially useful corporate governance mechanism as it reduces power and incentives of controlling owners and makes expropriation less cost effective (La Porta et al. [2000])

Some recent evidence:

Better shareholder protection is associated with higher valuation of corporate assets (La Porta et al. [2002])

Foreign firms that cross-list in U.S. have significantly higher firm valuations (Doidge et al. [2004])

Firms in countries with strong and well-enforced outsider rights engage in less earnings management (Leuz et al. [2003])

Extra-legal investor protection outperforms legal investor protection in constraining earnings management (Haw et al.

[2004])

Both legal and extra-legal mechanisms can curb private benefits of control (Dyck and Zingales [2004])

13

Hypothesis Two & Three

 Good investor protection is expected to be able to constrain the higher equity cost as induced by the ultimate ownership structure

 Evidence shows that legal protection is directly related to cost of equity

Insider trading enforcement (Bhattachrya & Daouk

[2002]), high quality accounting standards (Francis et al. [2004]), extensive securities regulation and strong enforcement mechanism (Hail and Leuz [2006a]) are negatively associated with cost of equity

Stronger commitment to stricter corporate governance also have a significant impact on cost of

14 equity (Hail and Leuz [2006b])

Hypothesis Two & Three

- continued

Legal protection is expected to reduce cost of equity indirectly through less severe agency problem

 Less auditing and enforcement costs (Lombardo & Pagano

[2000]), decrease information asymmetry and increase stock liquidity (Brockman & Chung [2003]), less earnings management (Leuz et al. [2003] and Haw et al. [2004]) and higher firm valuation (La Porta et al. [2002], Lins [2003] and

Doidge et al. [2004])

Extra-legal investor protection can further restrain private benefits of control (Dyck and Zingales [2004] and Haw et al. [2004])

Extra legal investor protection provides auxiliary investor protection or surrogate for legal protection

15

Hypothesis Two & Three

- continued

H2: The positive relation between the firm’s cost of equity capital and the level of ownership-control divergence of the ultimate owner is less pronounced in high legal investor protection countries

Two legal institutional factors:

(1) Disclosure requirement index ( DISRE )

(2) Securities regulation index ( SECRE )

16

Hypothesis Two & Three

- continued

H3: The positive relation between the firm’s cost of equity capital and the level of ownership-control divergence of the ultimate owner is less pronounced in high extra-legal investor protection countries

Two extra-legal institutional factors:

(1) Product market competition ( MKTCOM )

(2) Tax compliance ( TAXCOM )

17

Research Design and Sample

 21 countries (9 East Asian plus 12 Western

European countries)

 1991 to 2003

 Both financial and industrial firms

 Financial data (Worldscope)

 Analysts forecasts and price (IBES international)

 Ownership structure (Claessens et al. [2000] and

Faccio & Lang [2002])

 Legal institutional variables (La Porta et al. [2006])

 Extra-legal institutional variables (Dyck & Zingales

[2004])

18

Research Design and Sample

- continued

 4 implied cost of equity models

 Claus and Thomas (2001)

 Gebhardt et al. (2001)

 Ohlson and Juettner-Nauroth (2005)

 Easton (2004)

 Final Sample consists of 8,868 firm-years (or

1,791 individual firms)

19

Research Design and Sample

- continued

Initial sample in WORLDSCOPE with sufficient data to compute SIZE , DB and ROAVAR

Less :

Insufficient data for RETVAR

Insufficient data for FBIAS

Insufficient data for r avg

No ownership data

1% of all firm-level attributes (except SIZE ), firm-years with inflation rates greater than 25% and less than 5 observations in a country-year

Final sample

Firm-years

79,586

(34,362)

(17,189)

(9,680)

(8,407)

(1,080)

8,868

20

Descriptive Statistics- Table 1

Panel A: Distributional Statistics

Variable r

CT r

GLS r

OJ r

PEG r

AVG

N

8,894

8,968

8,923

13,374

8,868

Mean Std. Dev.

10.09% 4.13%

9.37%

11.97%

11.94%

4.37%

4.27%

5.48%

10.89% 3.91%

Min.

3.49%

2.28%

5.01%

2.92%

4.37%

Q1

7.27%

Percentile

Q2 Q3 Max.

9.40% 11.96% 31.38%

5.84% 9.03% 12.17% 24.07%

9.08% 11.10% 14.02% 32.49%

8.29% 10.89% 14.49% 40.69%

8.13% 10.26% 12.83% 28.22%

21

Descriptive Statistics- Table 1

Panel B: Pearson Correlation Coefficients r

GLS r

OJ

Variable r

CT

0.609 *

0.810 * r

GLS

0.528 * r

PEG

0.562 * 0.465 * r

AVG

0.865 * 0.758 *

* indicates statistical significance at 1% level (two-tailed) r

OJ

0.865 *

0.938 * r

PEG

0.856 *

22

Descriptive Statistics- Table 1

13

14

15

16

9

10

11

12

17

18

19

20

21

7

8

5

6

3

4

1

2

Panel C: Sample Information, Cost of Equity Proxies and Institution Variables by Country

Country Firm-years Country-years Mean Coverage Mean r

AVG

Austria

Belgium

Finland

France

Germany

Hong Kong

Indonesia

Italy

Japan

Korea (South)

Malaysia

Norway

Philippines

Portugal

Singapore

Spain

Sweden

Switzerland

Taiwan

Thailand

UK

Total/Average

7.84%

15.72%

10.39%

12.85%

14.28%

10.07%

10.31%

10.94%

11.00%

11.05%

13.23%

11.13%

10.62%

13.41%

16.42%

9.76%

12.00%

11.19%

10.43%

14.22%

11.64%

11.83%

22.26%

18.95%

36.34%

39.08%

27.74%

39.95%

39.38%

31.03%

36.20%

48.42%

30.41%

25.60%

49.14%

42.06%

25.94%

15.27%

34.34%

3.18%

15.57%

10.81%

45.37%

31.24%

10

5

13

13

13

4

13

12

13

13

8

11

10

12

12

13

13

12

10

8

13

231

1,638

70

411

156

110

35

339

294

828

473

88

166

123

205

293

710

298

237

135

69

2,190

8,868

4.81%

3.09%

2.69%

4.35%

3.31%

3.68%

4.24%

2.78%

Standard

Deviation

3.36%

3.52%

3.97%

3.56%

3.59%

4.25%

4.12%

3.12%

3.99%

2.75%

2.69%

4.42%

3.53%

3.61%

Disclosure

Requirement

0.83

0.42

1.00

0.50

0.75

0.75

0.92

0.58

0.42

0.92

0.50

0.67

0.25

0.42

0.50

0.75

0.58

0.67

0.75

0.92

0.83

0.66

Securities

Regulation

0.89

0.55

0.84

0.50

0.47

0.55

0.78

0.43

0.21

0.81

0.59

0.46

0.18

0.34

0.49

0.58

0.45

0.48

0.64

0.62

0.73

0.55

Market

Competition

4.61

4.81

5.21

5.07

5.64

4.90

4.84

4.96

5.91

5.85

4.42

5.14

5.29

--

5.26

5.83

5.08

5.22

5.56

4.77

5.74

5.21

Tax

Compliance

1.83

2.18

5.05

1.91

4.41

3.29

4.34

3.96

3.39

4.49

3.25

3.41

3.41

4.56

2.53

1.77

3.60

--

3.53

3.86

3.47

Research Design and Sample

- continued

Traditional risk controls

SIZE = Natural log of US$ market capitalization

RETVAR = Standard deviation of monthly returns over last 12 months

DB = Total long-term debt

Total common equity

ROAVAR = Standard deviation of accounting ROA over last 5 years

FBIAS = (Mean forecast EPS

1

- Actual EPS)/Price

INFL = Expected inflation proxied by 1-year ahead realized annual inflation rate

24

Descriptive Statistics- Table 2

Panel A: Distributional Statistics

Variable

INFL

SIZE

RETVAR

DB

ROAVAR

FBIAS

CASH

VOTE

DIV

N

8,868

8,868

8,868

8,868

8,868

8,868

8,868

8,868

8,868

Mean Std. Dev.

1.78% 1.88%

Min.

-3.20%

6.635

0.098

0.536

0.030

1.627

0.047

0.780

0.033

0.009

0.041

20.93% 19.85%

1.359

0.029

0.000

0.002

-0.061

0.00%

25.00% 20.42%

0.196

0.297

0.00%

0.000

Q1

0.60%

5.468

0.065

0.076

0.010

Percentile

Q2

1.70%

6.506

0.088

0.309

0.019

Q3

2.91%

7.723

0.118

0.679

0.036

Max.

11.88%

12.432

0.354

7.495

0.241

-0.005

0.0004

0.010

0.439

5.00% 15.00% 31.33% 100.00%

10.00%

0.000

20.00%

0.000

36.00%

0.381

100.00%

1.000

25

Descriptive Statistics- Table 2

Panel B: Pearson Correlation Coefficients

Variable

SIZE

INFL

-0.108 *

SIZE RETVAR

RETVAR -0.052 * -0.148 *

DB -0.075 * 0.134 * 0.020 #

ROAVAR

FBIAS

CASH

0.112 *

-0.019 #

0.144 *

-0.207 *

-0.123 *

-0.229 *

0.187 *

0.158 *

0.013

DB

-0.062 *

0.063 *

-0.035 *

ROAVAR

0.052 *

0.038 *

FBIAS

0.048 *

VOTE

DIV

0.139 *

-0.172 *

-0.239 *

0.075 *

0.013

0.007

-0.032 *

0.050 *

0.031 *

-0.097 *

0.053 *

0.010

CASH

0.930 *

-0.400 *

VOTE

-0.135 *

DIV r

AVG

0.251 * -0.418 * 0.200 * 0.051 * 0.226 * 0.271 *

* and # indicate statistical significance at 1% and 10% levels (two-tailed), respectively

0.128 * 0.134 * -0.087 *

26

Empirical Results &

Interpretations

To test H1:

r

AVG

 

0

(

1

)

DIV

(

2

)

CASH

(

3

)

INFL

(

4

)

SIZE

(

5

)

RETVAR

 j

YEAR

(

6

)

DB

 k

(

7

)

ROAVAR

INDUSTRY

 

(

8

)

FBIAS

 l

COUNTRY

 

27

Main Results – Table 3

Variable

N

Intercept ?

Model 1

8,868

15.711 *

Model 2

8,868

16.095 *

Model 3

8,868

16.016 *

VOTE

DIV

CASH

INFL

SIZE

RETVAR

DB

ROAVAR

+

+

+

+

+

+

+

--

--

--

0.208 *

-0.729 *

8.028 *

0.639 *

3.222 **

0.004

--

-0.013 **

0.208 *

-0.747 *

8.001 *

0.636 *

3.147 **

--

0.295 **

-0.008 *

0.208 *

-0.745 *

7.993 *

0.634 *

3.218 **

FBIAS

Year

19.466 *

Included

19.482 *

Included

19.480 *

Included

Industry & Country

Adj. R 2

Included

43.60%

Included

43.75%

Included

43.79%

F-Statistics 150.01 * 144.70 * 144.89 *

* and ** indicate statistical significance at 1% and 5% levels (two-tailed), respectively

Model 4

13

20.588 *

--

0.277 *

-0.007 *

-2.251

-0.658 *

9.857 *

0.616 *

4.799 *

17.540 *

--

Included

48.82%

--

28

Sensitivity Analyses of Main Results

– Table 4 r

MED r

PC r

PREM r

DP r

FF

N

Intercept

DIV

CASH

INFL

Variable

?

+

+

(1)

8,858

15.446 *

0.268 #

-0.007 **

0.200 *

(2)

8,868

2.235 *

0.129 **

-0.003 *

0.092 *

(3)

8,868

14.325 *

0.252 #

-0.009 *

--

(4)

7,083

4.891 *

0.136 #

-0.003 **

0.084 **

SIZE

RETVAR

DB

ROAVAR

FBIAS g

Forecasts

Year, Industry &

Country

Adj. R 2

+

+

+

+

+/

-0.759 *

8.359 *

0.659 *

3.233 **

19.250 *

--

Included

-0.329 *

3.533 *

0.282 *

1.384 **

8.474 *

--

Included

-0.757 *

7.604 *

0.627 *

3.028 **

19.439 *

--

Included

-0.185 *

-4.402 *

-0.011

-5.556 *

--

-0.291 *

Included

42.69% 43.10% 37.44% 26.09%

F-Statistics 138.42 * 140.94 * 113.88 * 55.34 *

*, ** and # indicate statistical significance at 1%, 5% and 10% levels (two-tailed), respectively

19.57%

36.82 *

(5)

6,037

3.174 *

0.278 **

0.002

0.036

-0.006

11.676 *

0.261 *

8.925 *

--

--

Included

29

N

Sensitivity Analyses of Main Results

– Table 4

Exclude 8

Euro-in

Exclude UK

Firms

Exclude

Japanese

Exclude Asian

Firms during

Firms 1995 to 1997 countries

Variable (6)

6,214

(7)

6,678

(8)

7,230

(9)

8,224

Intercept ?

16.148 * 17.363 * 16.149 * 16.566 *

DIV

CASH

INFL

SIZE

RETVAR

DB

ROAVAR

+

+

+

+

+

0.438 **

-0.009 **

0.209 *

-0.763 *

8.557 *

0.507 *

2.826 #

0.286 #

-0.003

0.237 *

-0.781 *

6.374 *

0.717 *

4.722 **

FBIAS

Year, Industry & Country

Adj. R 2

+ 21.478 *

Included

17.082 *

Included

20.444 *

Included

47.70% 47.13% 35.94%

F-Statistics 142.64 * 127.63 * 87.31 *

*, ** and # indicate statistical significance at 1%, 5% and 10% levels (two-tailed), respectively

0.345 #

-0.009 *

0.209 *

-0.748 *

7.833 *

0.660 *

2.913 #

0.295 #

-0.008 *

0.222 *

-0.750 *

8.394 *

0.649 *

3.127 **

18.848 *

Included

41.83%

124.17 *

30

Sensitivity Analyses of Main Results

– Table 4

Group

Affiliation

Diversification External

Capital Need

Financial

Constraint

2-stage

Regressions

N

Variable

Intercept ?

(10)

3,333

15.786 *

DIV

CASH

+

0.377 **

0.017 **

Additional variable +/

-0.0008

INFL

SIZE

RETVAR

DB

ROAVAR

FBIAS

+

+

+

+

+

0.355 *

-0.833 *

5.889 *

0.725 *

5.166 **

17.038 *

(11)

8,523

15.774 *

0.340 **

-0.006 **

0.065 *

0.217 *

-0.760 *

7.892 *

0.611 *

3.439 **

19.409 *

(12)

7,720

16.127 *

0.369 **

(13)

8,422

17.135 *

0.324 **

-0.006 ** -0.006 **

0.000

0.230 *

-0.741 *

8.061 *

0.642 *

3.162 **

20.218 *

-1.159 *

0.218 *

-0.717 *

7.290 *

0.608 *

1.441

19.684 *

(14)

4,651

16.204 *

2.851 #

-0.004

--

0.078

-0.732 *

6.171 *

0.768 *

3.658

15.684 *

Year, Industry &

Country

Adj. R 2

Included

56.62%

Included

44.10%

Included

43.10%

Included

44.75%

F-Statistics 118.54 * 138.21 * 120.33 * 140.18 *

*, ** and # indicate statistical significance at 1%, 5% and 10% levels (two-tailed), respectively

Included

49.34%

95.33 *

31

Sensitivity Analyses of Main Results

– Table 4

Foreign Listing Big-5 Auditor CIFAR

N

Intercept

Variable

?

(15)

8,518

16.277 *

(16)

8,488

16.042 *

DIV

CASH

Additional variable

INFL +

+

+

+/

0.378 **

-0.006 **

0.514 *

0.218 *

0.354 **

-0.007 **

-0.061

0.197 *

SIZE

RETVAR

DB

-0.797 *

7.819 *

0.621 *

-0.732 *

7.758 *

0.629 *

ROAVAR

FBIAS

+

+

+

2.975 **

19.403 *

3.490 **

19.420 *

Year, Industry & Country

Adj. R 2

Included

44.22%

Included

43.76%

F-Statistics 138.81 * 135.78 *

*, ** and # indicate statistical significance at 1%, 5% and 10% levels (two-tailed), respectively

(17)

1,283

8.290 *

0.474 #

0.026 *

0.031 **

0.256 *

-0.000 *

18.329 *

0.533 *

-0.583

11.836 **

Included

51.71%

30.85 *

32

Empirical Results &

Interpretations - continued

 Ownership-control divergence of the ultimate owner has a positive and significant relation with the cost of equity capital

 Cash-flow rights of the ultimate owner has a negative and significant relation

 Results are robust to alternative cost of equity proxies, sub-samples, specifications and with/without potentially correlated omitted variables

33

Empirical Results &

Interpretations - continued

 To test H2 and H3, full sample is split into subsamples using partitioning variables

 Sub-sample equals low for countries with less than or equal to the median index values of 49 countries

(La Porta et al. [2006]) and 39 countries (Dyck &

Zingales [2004])

 Run separate regression of the main model for each sub-sample

34

N

Role of Legal Protection –

Table 5

Disclosure Requirement Securities Regulation

Variable Low

2,320

High

6,548

Low

3,944

High

4,924

Intercept ?

17.526 * 15.701 * 16.216 * 14.971 *

DIV

CASH

INFL

SIZE

RETVAR

DB

ROAVAR

+

+

+

+

+

0.559 #

-0.005

-0.165

-0.792 *

7.907 *

0.873 *

5.065 #

0.234

-0.009 **

0.241 *

-0.744 *

8.114 *

0.542 *

2.475

FBIAS

Year, Industry & Country

Adj. R 2

+ 16.698 *

Included

38.33%

20.359 *

Included

45.59%

15.459 *

Included

47.36%

F-Statistics 41.03 * 141.66 * 99.53 *

*, ** and # indicate statistical significance at 1%, 5% and 10% levels (two-tailed), respectively

0.348 **

-0.006

0.004

-0.745 *

8.193 *

0.695 *

4.374

0.297

-0.008 **

0.249 *

-0.751 *

7.314 *

0.562 *

2.539

22.591 *

Included

36.94%

74.96 *

35

N

Role of Extra-legal Protection –

Table 6

Market Competition Tax Compliance

Variable Low

1,531

High

7,132

Low

1,196

High

7,467

Intercept ?

19.029 * 14.142 * 16. 397 * 15.550 *

DIV

CASH

INFL

SIZE

RETVAR

DB

ROAVAR

+

+

+

+

+

1.071 **

-0.007

0.122

-0.859 *

3.792 #

0.543 *

3.126

0.196

-0.008 **

0.226 *

-0.733 *

8.419 *

0.648 *

3.160 #

FBIAS

Year, Industry & Country

Adj. R 2

+ 22.089 *

Included

42.74%

19.133 *

Included

43.10%

15.666 *

Included

46.08%

F-Statistics 32.73 * 143.12 * 30.17 *

*, ** and # indicate statistical significance at 1%, 5% and 10% levels (two-tailed), respectively

0.834 #

-0.005

0.048

-0.865 *

3.586

0.655 *

9.650 *

0.230

-0.008 *

0.214 *

-0.728 *

8.144 *

0.628 *

2.117

20.233 *

Included

43.39%

147.76 *

36

Empirical Results &

Interpretations - continued

 To further support H2 and H3, introduce the legal and extra-legal institutional variables into the regressions r

AVG

 

0

(

1

)

DIV

(

2

)

DIV

INSTITUTIO N

(

3

)

(

4

)

(

6

)

(

11

)

CASH

INFL

FBIAS

(

5

)

CASH

INSTITUTIO N

(

7

)

SIZE

 

(

8

) j

YEAR

RETVAR

(

9

)

DB

  k

INDUSTRY

 

(

10

)

 

INSTITUTIO N

ROAVAR

INSTITUTION = (1) DISRE (2) SECRE (3) MKTCOM (4) T AXCOM

37

Role of Legal Protection –

Table 7

Disclosure Requirement Securities Regulation

Variable (1)

8,868

(2)

8,868 N

11.779 *

1.266 **

Intercept

DIV

DIV

DISRE

DIV

SECRE

_

_

_

_

?

+

13.527 *

2.454 *

-3.931 *

DISRE

SECRE

0.495

CASH

CASH

DISRE

CASH

SECRE

_

_

_

-0.007

0.012

Year & Industry

Adj. R 2

Included

33.85%

F-Statistics 147.38 *

* and ** indicate statistical significance at 1% and 5% levels (two-tailed), respectively

-2.359 **

3.346 *

0.027 *

-0.042 *

Included

34.29%

150.28 *

38

Role of Extra-legal Protection –

Table 8

Market Competition Tax Compliance

Variable (1)

8,663

(2)

8,663 N

14.436 *

2.778 **

Intercept

DIV

DIV

MKTCOM

DIV

TAXCOM

MKTCOM

?

+

_

_

_

9.225 *

13.048 *

-2.396 *

0.903 *

TAXCOM

CASH

CASH

MKTCOM

CASH

TAXCIN

_

_

_

0.034

-0.006

_

Year & Industry

Adj. R 2

F-Statistics

Included

33.93%

144.51 *

* and ** indicate statistical significance at 1% and 5% levels (two-tailed), respectively

-0.757 *

-0.120

-0.041 *

0.011*

Included

34.01%

145.03 *

39

Empirical Results &

Interpretations - continued

 DIV is always significant and positive in the low legal or extra-legal investor protection samples

 Magnitude of DIV in low sub-sample is always larger than the one in high sub-sample

 DIV and the interaction between the legal or extralegal investor protection are always significant with predicted signs

 Both analyses support Hypotheses Two and Three in that the positive relation between the ownershipcontrol divergence of the ultimate owner and the cost of equity is less pronounced in strong legal or extra-legal investor protection countries

40

Conclusions

Regression results suggest that the ownershipcontrol divergence of the ultimate owner is associated with a significant increase in firm’s cost of equity capital, even after controlling for traditional risk, industry and country factors

The increase in cost of equity capital as motivated by the ownership-control divergence of the ultimate owner is significantly limited in countries with extensive prospectus disclosure requirements, effective securities regulation enforcement, intense product market competition and strong disciplinary power of the taxing authority

41

Conclusions - continued

 Contributions

Direct evidence on relationship between risk of expropriation of minority shareholders and the firm’s cost of equity capital

Isolate cost of capital effects from cash flow effects and supplement prior findings on why firm value declines when control rights exceed ownership rights

Examine sole effect and interaction effect of internal and external forces on the cost of equity

Firm-level variables should contribute more robust results

Empirical evidence on effectiveness of the implied cost of capital models outside U.S.

42

Conclusions - continued

 Limitations and future research

 Measurement errors may exist in the cost of equity proxies

 Exclude firms with negative earnings forecasts

 Possible selection bias as sample only includes firms with IBES forecasts

 Introduce ultimate ownership variables only modestly increase the explanatory power for variations in the cost of equity capital

43

What is Rule of Law?

France: Everything is permitted

( except what is prohibited)

Germany: Everything is prohibited

Italy:

( except what is permitted)

Everything is permitted

( including what is prohibited)

Russia: Everything is prohibited

( including what is permitted)

China: ?

44

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