Lecture 2 National Income – Measurement and Uses Michael Insaidoo Lecture 3 After completing this lecture, you will: Understand the measurement of national income Also understand the various approaches involved in the measurement of national income Understand the uses of national income Understand the problems associated with the measurement of national income Lecture 3 National Income is the monetary value of final goods and services produced by citizens (nationals) of a country during a period of time usually one year Goods can be final and intermediate Final goods are those goods that do not enter into further stage of processing or reselling. Example is sugar cane which is sold to consumers and chewed Intermediate goods are those goods that go into further processing or resale before consumption. Example is sugar cane which is processed into sugar by a sugar factory Lecture 3 There are three approaches in the measurement of national income which are: Income Approach Product or Output Approach Expenditure Approach The three approaches results in identical or same results due to the circular flow of income Lecture 3 The Circular Flow of Income makes it possible for the national income to be measured using three approaches which gives the same results Assumptions 1) The economy is made up of two sectors – household sector and business sector 2) There is no role of saving and investment in the economy 3) The role of government and foreign sector is not captured 4) There is free flow of economic activities or resources Lecture 3 Factor Market Factor Services Factor Income (Income Approach) FIRMS HOUSEHOLD Expenditure on Goods & Services (Expenditure Approach) Market Value of Goods & Services (Output Approach) Product Market Lecture 3 Factor Market – Firms exchange money for the services provided by the households, that is wages – payments for labour services, interest on capital, rent for land and profit for enterprise (entrepreneurship) • These represents incomes received by factors of prodn • The summation of these incomes gives national income Product Market – Households exchange money for goods and services produced by firms. The summation of the values of goods and services produced by Firms gives National Product (Output). The summation of expenditure by Households on Lecture 3 goods and services gives the National Expenditure From the diagram, one can conclude that National Income = National Product (Output) = National Expenditure Lecture 3 This refers to the sum of all final incomes generated by the factors of production Labour – wages, salaries, commissions etc. Land – rent, royalties etc. Capital – interest etc. Entrepreneurship – Profits from businesses Must be noted that only factor services that generates income is accounted for Gifts, transfer payments, unemployment benefits etc are excluded Lecture 3 Undistributed profits of business enterprises are added to that period’s national income The summation of all these incomes gives Gross Domestic Income at factor cost (GDYf) The subtraction or addition of net factor income from abroad (YA) to (GDYf) gives Gross National Income at factor cost (GNYf). (GNYf) = (GDYf) (+) or (-) (YA) Gross National Income (GNYf) minus depreciation (dep) gives Net National Income at factor cost (NNYf) or National Income (NY). (GNYf) – (dep) = (NNYf) Lecture 3 It shows the functional distribution of income. This approach makes it possible to ascertain the incomes earned by the various factors of production It provides income for Income tax planning. The income data provided by this approach forms the basic data for income tax planning. These are normally used to determine the income tax rates Lecture 3 Difficulties in ascertaining all factor incomes Problem of transfer payments Fringe benefits – payments of income in kind Owner-occupied houses Difficulty in estimating net factor income from abroad Lecture 3 This approach sums up the market value of final goods and services of the productive sectors of the economy within a year The productive sectors are the Agricultural, Industrial and Services sectors Two ways of arriving at total product, either we sum up the values added at intermediate levels of production or the value of all final goods and services Value Added is the difference between the gross value of a product and the raw materials that have gone into production Lecture 3 The summation of monetary values of goods and services produced during the year gives Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at market prices GDP at market prices plus or minus net factor income from abroad (YA) gives Gross National Product (GNP) at market prices. (GNP) = (GDP) (+) or (-) (YA) Markets prices are inflated by the effect of indirect taxes and deflated by subsidies Therefore, GNP at market prices must be converted to (GNPf) at factor cost by subtracting indirect taxes and adding subsidies Lecture 3 When depreciation (dep) is subtracted from (GNPf), Net National Product at factor cost (NNPf) is obtained which is identical to National Income (NY) (NNPf) = (GNPf) - dep Lecture 3 Stages of Production Sale Value in GHȼ Cost of Intermediate Goods Value-Added in GHȼ Maize 10 -0 10 Corn Dough 18 -10 8 Kenkey Total 22 (Value of Final Goods) 50 -18 (Total cost of intermediate goods) 28 4 (Sum of value-added at each stage) 22 Final goods method record value of kenkey (GHȼ 22) which is the same as 50 – 28. On the other hand, value added method sums up values added at each stage (22) Lecture 3 Knowledge of contribution of each sector. This approach allow an economy to know the contributions of each sector and sub-sectors It indicates structural changes that are occurring in an economy. This approach enables an economy to know if there are changes in the output composition of the economy Lecture 3 Difficulty in valuation of goods and services produced and consumed Non-inclusion of some personal services Double or multiple counting Lecture 3 This approach sums up final expenditures of macroeconomic sectors of a nation For this purpose, the economy is divided into four spending sectors namely Households’ consumption (C), Firms’ private domestic investment (I), Government spending on final goods and services (G) and foreign sector – net exports (X – M) The summation of all expenditures by these sectors gives the Gross Domestic Expenditure (GDE) at market prices which is equivalent to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at market prices Lecture 3 Symbolically GDE = C + I + G + (X – M) GDE plus or minus net factor expenditure from abroad or net factor income from abroad (YA) gives Gross National Expenditure at market prices (GNE) (GNE) = (GDE) + or – YA (GNE) at market prices minus indirect taxes and plus subsidies gives (GNE) at factor cost (GNE) at factor cost minus depreciation (dep) gives Net National Expenditure at factor cost (NNE) which identical to National Income (NY). (NNE) = (GNE) – (dep) Lecture 3 Knowledge of various expenditure levels. This approach enables the economy to know the expenditure levels of the macroeconomic sectors, this helps in planning Changing pattern of private consumption. This approach also allows an economy to know the extent of changing patterns of private consumption Idea of expansion of productive capacity of the economy. This approach indicates the level of private domestic investment thus knowing the level of expansion of productive capacity Lecture 3 Difficulties in estimating exports and imports values. Under invoicing and over invoicing makes it extremely difficult to determine the actual value of net exports Double or multiple counting. This happens when a unit of expenditure is counted more than once. To eliminate this, only expenditure on final output is counted Lack of adequate statistics on expenditure levels. Many people do not keep accurate data on their expenditure levels, making it difficult to get accurate levels of expenditure Lecture 3 Nominal Income is the same as National Income at prices prevailing in a particular year of computation. It is also referred to as National Income at current prices In order to eliminate price level changes or inflation from the national income data, it is converted into real value Real National Income is also the same as National Income at constant prices It reflects the real volume of goods and services produced Lecture 3 Real Nat. Inc = Nom Nat. Income × Base Yr. Price Index Current Yr. Price Index Real Nat. Inc = Nom Nat. Income × 100 Current Yr. Price Index Price Index is an index number that shows the weighted average prices of a ‘baskets of goods’ changes over time GDP deflator measures the price level obtained by dividing the nominal GDP by the real GDP Lecture 3 Real GDP = Nominal GDP × Base Yr. Price Index Current Yr. Price Index Real GDP = Nominal GDP × 100 Current Yr. Price Index Income Per Capita (PY) – This the national income divided by the population Lecture 3 Double or Multiple Counting Non-marketed goods and services Inadequate statistical data Difficulty in estimating depreciation value Difficulty in getting accurate information from abroad Lecture 3 Knowledge of the performance of the economy Calculation of rate of growth of output in the economy Indication of Sectoral contribution of the productive sectors Information on the structural change of the economy Knowledge of the various expenditure levels Useful for income tax planning Computation of income per capita figure Guide for potential investors For inter-temporal and international comparison of Lecture 3 economic performance Lecture 3 Economic welfare or wellbeing is the volume of the real goods and services enjoyed by each citizen of a nation If the volume is high, then economic welfare is high all things being equal and vice versa Again if the volume is high, then there is a high standard of living all things being equal and vice versa Standard of living is inversely related to cost of living, if cost of living is high, standard of living is low all things being equal and vice versa Again amount of leisure (entertainment, recreation) enjoyed by citizens enhances economic quality of life Lecture 3 Generally countries use the Income per Capita (YP) statistic for measuring economic welfare Thus a high YP statistic indicates that citizens enjoy a high volume of goods and services and hence an increase in their welfare all things being equal and vice versa Lecture 3 Income distribution is not taken into account Leisure is not taken account of Product quality might be poor Composition of output – probably a chunk will be military goods Externalities are not taken account of. Pollution, traffic jams are not accounted for whilst positive externalities like education etc are also not taken account of Lecture 3 Generally the income per capita statistic is used to compare economic welfare of countries Thus if country A has a higher per capita income than country B, it is taken that country A enjoys a higher economic welfare than country B There is however problems with this comparison Lecture 3 Differences in currencies Differences in quality of goods and services Differences in composition of goods ands services Differences in the level of non-marketed goods and services Differences in the level of enjoyment of leisure Differences in Income Distribution The World Bank and UNDP developed the Human Development Index (HDI) in 1990 to address these problems. HDI combines income per head with Lecture 3 measures of life expectancy, adult literacy, health provision, education, leisure time and so on