Module H5 Session 12 Session 12. GDP by expenditure and GFS Learning objectives At the end of this session the students will be able to analyse the expenditure components of GDP explain what Government Finance Statistics consist of. Expenditure components of GDP In the previous session, we studied GDP from the production approach. In this session we study the expenditure components. The expenditure approach is based on the fact that everything that is produced (or imported) has to be used in three possible ways: for consumption, for capital formation, or for export. This is another version of the SNA goods and services account: Code P7 Supply Imports of goods/services Gross domestic product 499 1,854 Code P3/4 P5 P6 Total supply 2,353 Use Private final consumption Government final consumption Fixed capital formation Change in inventories Exports of goods & services Total use 1,243 156 386 28 540 2,353 Expenditures on goods and services, including imports, can be expressed (in principle) in both current and constant prices. Definitions are given in Annex C of the handout for session 9. Final consumption is here divided between “Private” and “Government” expenditure on goods and services. In the case of government, the expenditure will be mainly on the services (for example public administration, education and health) which are produced by civil servants and others working in the public sector. Because most of these services are not sold, they are valued at cost, i.e., the intermediate consumption, compensation of employees and estimated consumption of fixed capital incurred in producing them. The tables on the next page come from Mozambique. SADC Course in Statistics Module H5 Session 12 – Page 1 Module H5 Session 12 Gross domestic product – the expenditure view Values in 10^6 MTn, at current prices Description TOTAL SUPPLY 1996 44,441 1997 52,095 1998 59,997 1999 71,520 2000 80,414 2001 101,762 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT 32,719 39,819 46,912 51,913 58,355 76,545 IMPORTS Goods Services 11,722 10,137 1,586 12,276 10,350 1,925 13,085 10,549 2,536 19,607 16,151 3,456 22,060 17,527 4,533 25,217 20,012 5,205 TOTAL DEMAND 44,441 52,095 59,997 71,520 80,414 101,762 CONSUMPTION Private consumption Government consumption 33,317 30,692 2,625 39,390 35,735 3,655 43,714 38,822 4,892 47,224 40,857 6,367 53,404 46,722 6,682 65,741 55,415 10,326 GROSS CAPITAL FORMATION Gross fixed capital formation Changes in inventories 7,141 6,617 524 8,194 8,197 -3 11,360 8,602 2,758 19,041 10,378 8,663 19,575 18,061 1,514 19,818 15,287 4,531 EXPORTS Goods Services 3,982 2,464 1,519 4,510 2,839 1,671 4,923 3,315 1,608 5,256 3,551 1,704 7,436 5,261 2,174 16,203 13,041 3,161 Values in 10^6 MT, at constant 1996 prices Description TOTAL SUPPLY 1996 44,441 1997 48,104 1998 53,685 1999 61,919 2000 62,346 2001 64,606 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT 32,719 36,341 40,932 44,018 44,873 50,751 IMPORTS Goods Services 11,722 10,137 1,586 11,764 9,882 1,882 12,753 10,344 2,409 17,901 14,829 3,072 17,474 14,038 3,436 13,855 10,968 2,887 TOTAL DEMAND 44,441 48,104 53,685 61,919 62,346 64,606 CONSUMPTION Private consumption Government consumption 33,317 30,692 2,625 36,036 32,860 3,176 38,641 34,803 3,838 40,640 36,418 4,222 41,010 36,296 4,714 42,369 36,844 5,525 GROSS CAPITAL FORMATION Gross fixed capital formation Changes in inventories 7,141 6,617 524 7,743 7,695 47 10,264 7,693 2,571 16,569 8,919 7,650 15,122 14,004 1,118 12,818 10,674 2,143 EXPORTS Goods Services 3,982 2,464 1,519 4,326 2,668 1,658 4,780 3,229 1,551 4,710 3,199 1,511 6,215 4,607 1,608 9,420 8,241 1,179 Source: INS Mozambique http://www.ine.gov.mz Exercise 1 Based on the above estimates from Mozambique and using Excel, make tables showing the following statistics: the share of each expenditure component in the GDP (at current market prices) divide each current price figure by the corresponding GDP the growth rates (at constant prices) for each component (except inventoris) divide each constant price figure by the figure in the previous year and subtract 1. Describe briefly the main developments in the period covered. SADC Course in Statistics Module H5 Session 12 – Page 2 Module H5 Session 12 Government finance statistics (GFS) Government Finance Statistics (GFS) is an internationally accepted system for presenting data on the financial activities of government in a format suitable for economic analyses, planning, and policy determination. It is also a step on the way to providing data on the government sector that are needed in the national accounts. In principle, the statistics will cover the whole of “general government”. This includes not only central government, but also provincial government and local authorities, and social security funds. While most central government operations will normally be covered by the recurrent and development budgets, the central government sector should include the operations of semi-autonomous national organisations which may keep separate accounts.. The GFS classifies government income and expenditure into the following categories: 1 Revenue 11 Taxes 111 Taxes on income, profits, and capital gains 112 Taxes on payroll and workforce 113 Taxes on property 114 Taxes on goods and services 115 Taxes on international trade and transactions 116 Other taxes 12 Social contributions 121 Social security contributions 122 Other social contributions 13 Grants 131 From foreign governments 132 From international organizations 133 From other general government units 14 Other revenue 141 Property income 142 Sales of goods and services 143 Fines, penalties, and forfeits 144 Voluntary transfers other than grants 145 Miscellaneous and unidentified revenue 2 Expense 21 Compensation of employees 211 Wages and salaries 212 Social contributions 22 Use of goods and services 23 Consumption of fixed capital 24 Interest [GFS] 25 Subsidies 251 To public corporations 252 To private enterprises 26 Grants 261 To foreign governments 262 To international organizations 263 To other general government units 27 Social benefits 271 Social security benefits 272 Social assistance benefits 273 Employer social benefits 28 Other expense 281 Property expense other than interest 282 Miscellaneous other expense Source: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/gfs/manual/pdf/app4.pdf There is also a classification of the financial flows involved (the borrowing and lending by general government). Countries tend to modify these classifications to reflect the local situation. While information on this basis will usually be available for the recurrent budget SADC Course in Statistics Module H5 Session 12 – Page 3 Module H5 Session 12 of central government, details of the development budget, and the operations of other units and levels of government may not be so easily available. The expenditures of government also need to be classified according to purpose. The current top-level version of the international classification, COFOG, is as follows: Classification of Outlays by Functions of Government (COFOG) 01 General public services 02 Defense 03 Public order and safety 04 Economic affairs 05 Environmental protection 06 Housing and community amenities 07 Health 08 Recreation, culture, and religion 09 Education 10 Social protection Source: http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcst.asp?Cl=4&Lg=1 Further details are given in the Annex. Discussion topic Identify a published statistical table that shows the revenue of central government. To what extent do the categories correspond to the international classification on page 3? In particular, where does VAT fit in to the international classification? SADC Course in Statistics Module H5 Session 12 – Page 4 Module H5 Session 12 Annex A: Classification of Outlays by Functions of Government (COFOG) 01 General public services 011 Executive and legislative organs, financial and fiscal affairs, external affairs 012 Foreign economic aid 013 General services 014 Basic research 015 R&D General public services 016 General public services n.e.c.2 017 Public debt transactions 018 Transfers of a general character between different levels of government 02 Defense 021 Military defense 022 Civil defense 023 Foreign military aid 024 R&D Defense 025 Defense n.e.c. 03 Public order and safety 031 Police services 032 Fire protection services 033 Law courts 034 Prisons 035 R&D Public order and safety 036 Public order and safety n.e.c. 04 Economic affairs 041 General economic, commercial, and labor affairs 042 Agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting 043 Fuel and energy 044 Mining, manufacturing, and construction 045 Transport 046 Communication 047 Other industries 048 R&D Economic affairs 049 Economic affairs n.e.c. 05 Environmental protection 051 Waste management 052 Waste water management 053 Pollution abatement 054 Protection of biodiversity and landscape 055 R&D Environmental protection 056 Environmental protection n.e.c. SADC Course in Statistics 06 Housing and community amenities 061 Housing development 062 Community development 063 Water supply 064 Street lighting 065 R&D Housing and community amenities 066 Housing and community amenities n.e.c. 07 Health 071 Medical products, appliances, and equipment 072 Outpatient services 073 Hospital services 074 Public health services 075 R&D Health 076 Health n.e.c. 08 Recreation, culture, and religion 081 Recreational and sporting services 082 Cultural services 083 Broadcasting and publishing services 084 Religious and other community services 085 R&D Recreation, cultural, and religion 086 Recreation, culture, and religion n.e.c. 09 Education 091 Pre-primary and primary education 092 Secondary education 093 Postsecondary nontertiary education 094 Tertiary education 095 Education not definable by level 096 Subsidiary services to education 097 R&D Education 098 Education n.e.c. 10 Social protection 101 Sickness and disability 102 Old age 103 Survivors 104 Family and children 105 Unemployment 106 Housing 107 Social exclusion n.e.c. 108 R&D Social protection 109 Social protection n.e.c. 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