Natural Selection, ultimate inventor, efficiency expert Debates and Progress in Ecology Levels of Approach in Biology Proximate versus Ultimate Factors, mechanism vs. strategy Avian migration, day length, pituitary secretions, Wanderlust Celestial Navigation Winter as a long-term predictable agent of mortality Monarch-Viceroy butterflies example, cardiac glycosides Warning coloration, aposematic coloration, mimicry Nature versus Nurture, “environmentally-induced” polymorphism Thrush anvil, snail green-brown color polymorphism Gecko foot hairs, setae, spatulae, Van der Waal’s forces Attachment and detachment Figure 8.1 Quick Time™ a nd a d eco mp res so r ar e n eed ed to s ee this pic tur e. Figure 8.1 Testosterone Figure 8.1 Testosterone Figure 8.1 Vital Statistics of Populations Deme (Mendelian Population) Demography (assume all individuals equal) Population Parameters (emergent properties) Mean and Variance Individual Population Male or Female Sex Ratio Has Babies or not Birth Rates Alive or Dead Death Rates Given Age Age Structure Fixed Genotype Gene Frequencies Growth Rates Density Life tables: Horizontal versus vertical samples Segment Cohort Birth Time Figure 8.2 Figure 8.3 Life Tables Discrete versus Continuous Ages Pivotal Age assumption (age classes) qx = force of mortality (fraction dying during age interval) qx = age-specific death rate Survivorship curves lx = fraction of initial cohort that survives to age x ly / lx = probability of living from age x to age y Ex = Expectation of further life Type 1: Rectangular Type 2: Diagonal Type 3: Inverse Hyperbolic Xantusia vigilis sheep Uta stansburiana Figure 8.4 Quic kT ime™ and a dec ompress or are needed to s ee this pi cture. Xantusia vigilis Eumeces fasciatus Eumeces fasciatus Sceloporus olivaceus Palm tree Euterpe globosa Figure 8.5 Fecundity, Tables of Reproduction mx = age-specific fecundity Two conventions: females only, or count both males and females but weight each as one-half (only progeny entering age class zero are counted) Gross reproductive rate (GRR) is the sum of mx over all ages However, because some females will die before having all their possible babies, must calculate realized fecundity which is simply lxmx (the fraction of females surviving times their fecundity) Realized fecundity, lxmx, is summed over all ages to get the Net Reproductive Rate, R0 (also called the Replacement Rate of the Population) http://www.zo.utexas.edu/courses/THOC/breeders.html http://www.oregonlive.com/kiddo/index.ssf/2008/05/environmental_moms_stop_at_one.html http://www.zo.utexas.edu/courses/THOC/breeders.html http://www.oregonlive.com/kiddo/index.ssf/2008/05/environmental_moms_stop_at_one.html The Romneys 2 ——> 20 2 ——> 20 20 x 20 = 400 2 ——> 20 20 x 20 = 400 400 x 20 = 8,000 2 ——> 20 Exponential 20 x 20 = 400 Population 400 x 20 = 8,000 8,000 x 20 = 160,000 Growth! 2 ——> 20 Exponential 20 x 20 = 400 Population 400 x 20 = 8,000 8,000 x 20 = 160,000 Growth! 2 ——> 20 Exponential 20 x 20 = 400 Population 400 x 20 = 8,000 Growth! (Home of Duggers and Romneys) 8,000 x 20 = 160,000 Pediculus humanus Figure 8.6 Deme, demography, vital statistics of populations Population parameters, mean and variance “Life” Tables: Cohort vs. Segment Samples Age and sex specificity Homocide example: Chicago vs. England Numbers dying in each age interval Discrete vs. continuous approaches Force of Mortality qx Age-specific survivorship lx Type I, II, III survivorship (rectangular, diagonal, inverse hyperbolic) Expectation of further life, Age-specific fecundy, mx Age of first reproduction, alpha, — menarche Age of last reproduction, omega, Realized fecundity at age x, lxmx Net Reproductive rate Human body louse, R0 = 31 Generation Time, T = xlxmx Reproductive value, vx Stable vs. changing populations Residual reproductive value T, Generation time = average time from one generation to the next (average time from egg to egg) vx = Reproductive Value = Age-specific expectation of all future offspring p.143, right hand equation (4) “dx” should be “dt” In populations that are expanding or contracting, reproductive value is more complicated. Must weight progeny produced earlier as being worth more in expanding populations, but worth less in declining populations. The verbal definition is also changed to “the present value of all future offspring” QuickTime™ and a decompressor are needed to see this picture. p.146, left hand equation (5) left out e-rt term vx = mx + (lt / lx ) mt Residual reproductive value = age-specific expectation of offspring in distant future vx* = (lx+1 / lx ) vx+1 Intrinsic rate of increase (per capita, instantaneous) r=b-d rmax and ractual — lx varies inversely with mx Stable (stationary) age distributions Leslie Matrices (Projection Matrix) Dominant Eigenvalue = Finite rate of increase Illustration of Calculation of E , T, R , and v in a Stable Population with Discrete Age Classes x 0 x _____________________________________________________________________ Age Expectation Reproductive Weighted of Life Value SurvivorRealized by Realized Ex vx Age (x) ship Fecundity Fecundity Fecundity lx mx lxmx x lxmx _____________________________________________________________________ 0 1.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 3.40 1.00 1 0.8 0.2 0.16 0.16 3.00 1.25 2 0.6 0.3 0.18 0.36 2.67 1.40 3 0.4 1.0 0.40 1.20 2.50 1.65 4 0.4 0.6 0.24 0.96 1.50 0.65 5 0.2 0.1 0.02 0.10 1.00 0.10 6 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sums 2.2 (GRR) 1.00 (R0) 2.78 (T) _____________________________________________________________________ E0 = (l0 + l1 + l2 + l3 + l4 + l5)/l0 = (1.0 + 0.8 + 0.6 + 0.4 + 0.4 + 0.2) / 1.0 = 3.4 / 1.0 E1 = (l1 + l2 + l3 + l4 + l5)/l1 = (0.8 + 0.6 + 0.4 + 0.4 + 0.2) / 0.8 = 2.4 / 0.8 = 3.0 E2 = (l2 + l3 + l4 + l5)/l2 = (0.6 + 0.4 + 0.4 + 0.2) / 0.6 = 1.6 / 0.6 = 2.67 E3 = (l3 + l4 + l5)/l3 = (error: extra terms) 0.4 + 0.4 + 0.2) /0.4 = 1.0 / 0.4 = 2.5 E4 = (l4 + l5)/l4 = (error: extra terms) 0.4 + 0.2) /0.4 = 0.6 / 0.4 = 1.5 E5 = (l5) /l5 = 0.2 /0.2 = 1.0 v1 = (l1/l1)m1+(l2/l1)m2+(l3/l1)m3+(l4/l1)m4+(l5/l1)m5 = 0.2+0.225+0.50+0.3+0.025 = 1.25 v2 = (l2/l2)m2 + (l3/l2)m3 + (l4/l2)m4 + (l5/l2)m5 = 0.30+0.67+0.40+ 0.03 = 1.40 v3 = (l3/l3)m3 + (l4/l3)m4 + (l5/l3)m5 = 1.0 + 0.6 + 0.05 = 1.65 v4 = (l4/l4)m4 + (l5/l4)m5 = 0.60 + 0.05 = 0.65 v5 = (l5/l5)m5 = 0.1 Table 8.1 p. 144 delete extra terms (red) ___________________________________________________________________________ QuickTime™ and a decompressor are needed to see this picture. QuickTime™ and a decompressor are needed to see this picture. Figure 8.7 Figure 8.7