DES 606 : Watershed Modeling with HEC-HMS Module 9 Theodore G. Cleveland, Ph.D., P.E 29 July 2011 Module 9: Design Storms • Precipitation pattern defined for use in the design of hydrologic system – Serves as an input to the hydrologic system Can by defined by: – • • Hyetograph (time distribution of rainfall) Isohyetal map (spatial distribution of rainfall) Module 9: Design Storms • Spatial distribution could also be by use of Theissen weights or something similar. – Reasonable concern that point values could be too large, hence occasional use of Areal Reduction Factors Module 9: Design Storms • WRI 99-4267 ARF for Texas Design Storms – – A design storm for a point is the depth of precipitation that has a specified duration and frequency (recurrence interval). The effective depth often is computed by multiplying the design-storm depth by a “depth-area correction factor” or an “arealreduction factor.” Module 9: ARF in Texas Module 9: ARF in Texas Region of Unit Hydrograph applicability ARF and Weighted Gages • As a practical matter, ARF results suggest that for the range of UH applicability, point values could be reduced by as much as 40% • The ARF and Theissen weights would combine for multiple-gages systems – Theissen weights are area fractions, thus recover actual areas and use for ARF specification. – Apply the ARF to the rainfall time series. ARF and Weighted Gages • The “methods” of preparing such data have been addressed already. – Use Theissen weights (or other scheme) as appropriate. – Use the HEC-HMS Fill/Multiply By a Constant to reduce the magnitude of the time series • Remember to rename these new series, if they are historical, they no longer represent real measurements! Design Storm Estimates • Could use observed data and prepare your own Depth-Duration-Frequency relationship – Outside scope of this training course. • Use existing Depth-Duration-Frequency (DDF) or Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) tools for a study area – These produce point estimates! – If area on the large side, consider ARF. Concept of IDF for Design • Estimate intensity for 5-yr return period for a 30-minute duration i ~ 2.75 inches/hour Design Storms for Texas • TP-40 - Maps of storm depths for different storm durations and probabilities Design Storms for Texas • HY-35 Maps of storm depths for different storm durations and probabilities TP40, HY35 both have interpolation guidance to construct values between mapped values. Design Storms for Texas • TxDOT spreadsheet that tabulates information in the maps. Beware it is units dependent! http://onlinemanuals.txdot.gov/txdotmanuals/hyd/ebdlkup.xls Design Storms for Texas • Link is good (verified 5 AUG 11) – Reports intensity instead of depth. Multiply by time to recover depth. Author added this row, not in on-line version http://onlinemanuals.txdot.gov/txdotmanuals/hyd/ebdlkup.xls Design Storms for Texas • What the spreadsheet and the maps represent is a hyperbolic model that relates time and intensity. I b (TC d ) e • The values e,b, and d parameterize the model. • The value Tc has meaning of averaging time, although usually treated as a time of concentration. Design Storms for Texas D moves this “knee” LEFT/RIGHT • The values e,b, and d parameterize the model. • The shaded polygon is a hull that encloses TP-40 and HY-35 for Harris Co., TX (barely visible open circles) • The “design equation” curve is the EBDLKUP.xls curve for Harris Co., TX B moves this curve UP/DOWN E changes slope of the curve Design Storms for Texas D moves this “knee” LEFT/RIGHT • Aside: – The “blue” cloud is a simulation using the empirical hyetographs and PP1725 for Harris Co. – The solid red dots are maximum observed intensity regardless of location (some dots are from Texas) – The empirical curves represent an alternative model. B moves this curve UP/DOWN E changes slope of the curve Design Storms for Texas • DDF Atlas is an alternative to TP40, HY35 and the EBDLKUP.xls – Uses data more recent that these other tools – Provides guidance for interpolation and extrapolation – Works in depth – the native unit in HMS Rainfall Depth • Look up depths by recurrence interval, STORM duration, and location. Local Information • DDF for Austin, TX Local Information • IDF for Houston, TX • Most Metropolitan areas in Texas (USA) have similar DDF/IDF charts and tables published. • Serve as a basis for Design Storms Design Precipitation Hyetographs • Ultimately are interested in entire hyetographs and not just the depths or average intensities. – Techniques for developing design precipitation hyetographs 1. 2. 3. 4. SCS method Triangular hyetograph method Using IDF relationships Empirical Hyetographs (Texas specific) This slide adapted from: www.ce.utexas.edu/prof/maidment/GradHydro2010/.../DesignStorms.ppt SCS Method •SCS (1973) analyzed DDF to develop dimensionless rainfall temporal patterns called type curves for four different regions in the US. •SCS type curves are in the form of percentage mass (cumulative) curves based on 24-hr rainfall of the desired frequency. This slide adapted from: www.ce.utexas.edu/prof/maidment/GradHydro2010/.../DesignStorms.ppt SCS Method •SCS (1973) analyzed DDF to develop dimensionless rainfall temporal patterns called type curves for four different regions in the US. •SCS type curves are in the form of percentage mass (cumulative) curves based on 24-hr rainfall of the desired frequency. •If a single precipitation depth of desired frequency is known, the SCS type curve is rescaled (multiplied by the known number) to get the time distribution. •For durations less than 24 hr, the steepest part of the type curve for required duration is used This slide adapted from: www.ce.utexas.edu/prof/maidment/GradHydro2010/.../DesignStorms.ppt SCS Method If a single precipitation depth of desired frequency is known, the SCS type curve is rescaled (multiplied by the known number) to get the time distribution. • This slide adapted from: www.ce.utexas.edu/prof/maidment/GradHydro2010/.../DesignStorms.ppt SCS Method •For durations less than 24 hr, the steepest part of the type curve for required duration is used (i.e. 6-hour as shown) •HEC-HMS has SCS built-in, but does not rescale time – storm must be 24hours (or analyst rescales external to the program) 1.0 0.0 This slide adapted from: www.ce.utexas.edu/prof/maidment/GradHydro2010/.../DesignStorms.ppt SCS type curves for Texas (II&III) SCS 24-Hour Rainfall Distributions SCS 24-Hour Rainfall Distributions T (hrs) T (hrs) Fraction of 24-hr rainfall Type II Type III Fraction of 24-hr rainfall Type II Type III 0.0 0.000 0.000 11.5 0.283 0.298 1.0 0.011 0.010 11.8 0.357 0.339 2.0 0.022 0.020 12.0 0.663 0.500 3.0 0.034 0.031 12.5 0.735 0.702 4.0 0.048 0.043 13.0 0.772 0.751 5.0 0.063 0.057 13.5 0.799 0.785 6.0 0.080 0.072 14.0 0.820 0.811 7.0 0.098 0.089 15.0 0.854 0.854 8.0 0.120 0.115 16.0 0.880 0.886 8.5 0.133 0.130 17.0 0.903 0.910 0.922 0.928 0.938 0.943 9.0 9.5 Not 0.147 much difference in the two 18.0 0.148 curves space!19.0 0.163in dimensionless 0.167 9.8 0.172 0.178 20.0 0.952 0.957 10.0 0.181 0.189 21.0 0.964 0.969 10.5 0.204 0.216 22.0 0.976 0.981 11.0 0.235 0.250 23.0 0.988 0.991 This slide adapted from: www.ce.utexas.edu/prof/maidment/GradHydro2010/.../DesignStorms.ppt 24.0 1.000 1.000 SCS Method Steps • Given Td and frequency/T, find the design hyetograph 1. Compute P/i (from DDF/IDF curves or equations) 2. Pick a SCS type curve based on the location 3. If Td = 24 hour, multiply (rescale) the type curve with P to get the design mass curve 1. If Td is less than 24 hr, pick the steepest part of the type curve for rescaling 4. Get the incremental precipitation from the rescaled mass curve to develop the design hyetograph This slide adapted from: www.ce.utexas.edu/prof/maidment/GradHydro2010/.../DesignStorms.ppt Example 9 – SCS Method • Find - rainfall hyetograph for a 25-year, 24-hour duration SCS Type-III storm in Harris County using a one-hour time increment • a = 81, b = 7.7, c = 0.724 (from Tx-DOT hydraulic manual) i a t b c 81 24 * 60 7 . 7 0 . 724 0 . 417 in / hr P i * T d 0 . 417 in / hr * 24 hr 10 . 01 in • Find – Cumulative fraction - interpolate SCS table – Cumulative rainfall = product of cumulative fraction * total 24hour rainfall (10.01 in) – Incremental rainfall = difference between current and preceding cumulative rainfall This slide adapted from: www.ce.utexas.edu/prof/maidment/GradHydro2010/.../DesignStorms.ppt SCS – Example (Cont.) (hours) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Cumulative Fraction Cumulative Precipitation Incremental Precipitation Pt/P24 Pt (in) (in) 0.000 0.010 0.020 0.032 0.043 0.058 0.072 0.089 0.115 0.148 0.189 0.250 0.500 0.751 0.811 0.849 0.886 0.904 0.922 0.939 0.957 0.968 0.979 0.989 1.000 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.32 0.43 0.58 0.72 0.89 1.15 1.48 1.89 2.50 5.01 7.52 8.12 8.49 8.87 9.05 9.22 9.40 9.58 9.69 9.79 9.90 10.01 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.12 0.12 0.15 0.15 0.17 0.26 0.33 0.41 0.61 2.50 2.51 0.60 0.38 0.38 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 3 .0 0 2 .5 0 P re c ip ita tio n (in ) Time 2 .0 0 1 .5 0 1 .0 0 0 .5 0 0 .0 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 T im e (h o u rs ) If a hyetograph for less than 24 needs to be prepared, pick time intervals that include the steepest part of the type curve (to capture peak rainfall). For 3-hr pick 11 to 13, 6-hr pick 9 to 14 and so on. This slide adapted from: www.ce.utexas.edu/prof/maidment/GradHydro2010/.../DesignStorms.ppt 30 Triangular Hyetograph Method Rainfall intensity, i ta Td: hyetograph base length = precipitation duration tb ta: time before the peak r ta Td h r: storm advancement coefficient = ta/Td tb: recession time = Td – ta = (1-r)Td P 1 2 h Td Time Td h 2P Td • Given Td and frequency/T, find the design hyetograph 1. Compute P/i (from DDF/IDF curves or equations) 2. Use above equations to get ta, tb, Td and h (r is available for various locations) This slide adapted from: www.ce.utexas.edu/prof/maidment/GradHydro2010/.../DesignStorms.ppt 31 Triangular hyetograph example i a t b c 81 6 * 60 7 . 7 0 . 724 1 . 12 in / hr P i * 6 1 . 12 in / hr * 6 hr 6 . 72 in h 2P Td 2 6 . 72 6 13 . 44 2 . 24 in / hr 6 Rainfall intensity, in/hr • Find - rainfall hyetograph for a 25-year, 6-hour duration in Harris County. Use storm advancement coefficient of 0.5. • a = 81, b = 7.7, c = 0.724 (from Tx-DOT hydraulic manual) 3 hr 3 hr 2.24 t a rT d 0 . 5 6 3 h r tb Td t a 6 3 3 h r 6 hr This slide adapted from: www.ce.utexas.edu/prof/maidment/GradHydro2010/.../DesignStorms.ppt 32 Time Alternating block method • Given Td and T/frequency, develop a hyetograph in Dt increments 1. Using T, find i for Dt, 2Dt, 3Dt,…nDt using the IDF curve for the specified location 2. Using i compute P for Dt, 2Dt, 3Dt,…nDt. This gives cumulative P. 3. Compute incremental precipitation from cumulative P. 4. Pick the highest incremental precipitation (maximum block) and place it in the middle of the hyetograph. Pick the second highest block and place it to the right of the maximum block, pick the third highest block and place it to the left of the maximum block, pick the fourth highest block and place it to the right of the maximum block (after second block), and so on until the last block. This slide adapted from: www.ce.utexas.edu/prof/maidment/GradHydro2010/.../DesignStorms.ppt 33 Example: Alternating Block Method Find: Design precipitation hyetograph for a 2-hour storm (in 10 minute increments) in Denver with a 10-year return period 10minute Duration (min) 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 T d e Intensity (in/hr) 4.158 3.002 2.357 1.943 1.655 1.443 1.279 1.149 1.044 0.956 0.883 0.820 f i design 96 . 6 T d Cumulative Depth (in) 0.693 1.001 1.178 1.296 1.379 1.443 1.492 1.533 1.566 1.594 1.618 1.639 0 . 97 13 . 90 Incremental Depth (in) 0.693 0.308 0.178 0.117 0.084 0.063 0.050 0.040 0.033 0.028 0.024 0.021 rainfall T d Duration intensity of storm c , e , f coefficien ts 0 .8 Time (min) 0-10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-60 60-70 70-80 80-90 90-100 100-110 110-120 Precip (in) 0.024 0.033 0.050 0.084 0.178 0.693 0.308 0.117 0.063 0.040 0.028 0.021 0 .7 0 .6 P re c ip ita tio n (in ) i c 0 .5 0 .4 0 .3 0 .2 0 .1 0 .0 0 -1 0 1 0 -2 0 2 0 -3 0 3 0 -4 0 4 0 -5 0 5 0 -6 0 6 0 -7 0 7 0 -8 0 8 0 -9 0 T im e (m in ) This slide adapted from: www.ce.utexas.edu/prof/maidment/GradHydro2010/.../DesignStorms.ppt 34 90100 100110 110120 • Dimensionless Hyetograph is parameterized to generate an input hyetograph that is 3 hours long and produces the 5-year depth. Rescale Depth Empirical Hyetograph Average Intensity – For this example, will use the median (50th percentile) curve Rescale Time • Tabular values in the report. – This column scales TIME – This column scales DEPTH Dimensional Hyetograph Dimensional Hydrograph • Use interpolation to generate uniformly spaced cumulative depths. – Can use Excel and high-order polynomial. – HEC-HMS has built-in linear interpolation tools. • Example 2 interpolated external to HMS, but by now we know we can use the fill feature in the time-series manager Hyetographs • The methods presented, except for the SCS 24-hour all require processing external to HMS. – The empirical hyetograph, combined with DDF atlas is Texas specific. – In absence of local guidance would suggest this as the preferred Texas method. • Beware in West Texas – not a lot of data supporting the empirical hyetograph, most data is on I-35 corridor, Gulf Coast, and East Texas. • The DDF uses New Mexico data, so is believed to be appropriate for estimating storm depths. Other Design Storms • The previous discussion develops storms that are put into HEC-HMS through the Time-Series Manager as a Rain gage. • Other “built-in” options are – Frequency storm – Standard Project Storm Other Design Storms • Frequency Design Storm – Enter a frequency (probability) – Enter intensity “duration” (lengths of pulses) – Enter storm “duration” – Enter accumulated depths at different portions of the storm (dimensional hyetograph) – Enter storm area (HMS uses this value for its own ARF computations) Other Design Storms • Standard Project Storm – Depreciated Corps of Engineers method. – Not often used, included in HEC-HMS for backward compatibility to earlier (circa 1970s) projects. Summary • Design storms are precipitation depths for a location for a given storm duration and a given probability. – DDF Atlas – EBDLKUP.xls, TP40, HY35 • Design hyetographs are the time-redistribution of these depths. – SCS – Triangular – Empirical Summary • Intensities are average intensities that produce to observed depth. – DDF, IDF curves convey same information. Depth is the natural (and measured) variable. • Area Reduction Factors may be appropriate for larger watersheds represented by point gages. – Theissen weights are for spatial distribution of gages – ARFs are computed externally and applied to the time series before areal weighting. Summary • HEC-HMS models multiple gages in the Meterological Model Manager • Example 8 illustrated how to set-up multiple gages – Weights were supplied