Design of Experiment Group member: Li Zheran She Manrong Xu Zan Lei Chen Content : Motivation Literature review Design of Experiment Implementation Restrictions 2 Motivation Find out the main effect on spinning top Design a model between the effect and the response Help understand the work principle of spinning top 3 Content : Motivation Literature review Design of Experiment Implementation Restrictions 4 Literature review The history of spinningtop: ① 明代刘侗、于奕正《帝经 物略·二春场》载: “陀螺 者,木制,如小空钟,中 实而无柄。绕以鞭之绳, 卓于地,争制其鞭……”。 ② 1852年, 博科(Foucault)首 先将高速旋转的刚体称为 陀螺。 Clockwork gyro Wooden gyro Rotating handle gyro 5 Literature review The process of turning spinning-top: 6 Literature review The process of turning spinning-top: 7 Content : Motivation Literature review Design of Experiment Implementation Restrictions 8 Design of Experiment A 31 × 22 full fractional design • Factor Decomposition • Implementation of the experiments • Data analysis • The results of the design 9 Factor Decomposition Response Variable: Slewing time Control variable: ① Ground surface (cement / plastic / ceramic) ② Height ( low / high ) ③ Weight (light / heavy) Fixed variables: Force ( held constant) Nuisance factor: ① Surface homogeneous ② Wind speed 10 Factor Level Definition Control Variable Ground Surface Height Gyro Weight Code A B C Levels Level Code Cement Ground 1 Plastic Ground(playground) 2 Ceramic Ground 3 Low(H=10cm) 1 High(H=20cm) 2 Light 1 Heavy(with plasticine) 2 11 Preliminary Experiment Choose rotating handle gyro to do Ground Surface •cement the preliminary experiment to Height •H=10cm control the fixed factor Weight • light 12 Control the fixed factor 13 Control the fixed factor 14 Content : Motivation Literature review Design of Experiment Implementation Restrictions 15 Implementation A: ground surface B: height C: weight 1:cement 1:H=10cm 1:light 2:plastic 2:H=20cm 2:heavy 3:ceramic 16 Implementation Full Factorial Design 17 Data analysis • Significant effect • A: type of ground surface • C: the weight of the gyro Slewing Time 主效应图 数据均值 A B 30 20 • No significant effect • B: the height 均值 10 1 2 C 3 1 2 30 20 10 1 2 18 Data analysis(cont.) • No interaction effect • A and B • B and C • Significant effect • A and C Slewing Time 交互作用图 数据均值 1 2 45 A 1 2 3 30 A 15 45 30 B 1 2 B • On the ceramic ground, the difference is bigger. 15 45 C 1 2 30 C 15 1 2 3 1 2 19 Data analysis(cont.) Slewing Time 残差图 正态概率图 • Normality assumption • Normal probability plot √ • Histogram √ • Equal variance assumption • Residual VS fitted value ╳ 与拟合值 9 9.9 99 5 残差 百分比 90 50 10 0 -5 1 -10 0.1 -10 -5 0 5 10 10 20 30 残差 拟合值 直方图 与顺序 40 50 24 5 残差 频率 18 12 0 -5 6 -10 0 -8 -4 0 残差 4 8 1 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 观测值顺序 20 Slewing Time 的方差分析,在检验中使用调整的 SS 来源 A B C A*B A*C B*C A*B*C 误差 合计 自由度 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 48 59 S = 3.58317 Seq SS 7719.96 2.05 1189.04 2.75 575.56 6.21 18.10 616.28 10129.95 Adj SS 7719.96 2.05 1189.04 2.75 575.56 6.21 18.10 616.28 R-Sq = 93.92% Adj MS F P 3859.98 300.64 0.000 2.05 0.16 0.691 1189.04 92.61 0.000 1.38 0.11 0.899 287.78 22.41 0.000 6.21 0.48 0.490 9.05 0.70 0.499 12.84 R-Sq(调整) = 92.52% 项 常量 A 1 2 B 1 C 1 A*B 1 1 2 1 A*C 1 1 2 1 B*C 1 1 A*B*C 1 1 1 2 1 1 系数 19.6983 系数标准误 0.4626 T 42.58 P 0.000 -4.8033 -10.8533 0.6542 0.6542 -7.34 -16.59 0.000 0.000 -0.1850 0.4626 -0.40 0.691 4.4517 0.4626 9.62 0.000 0.0400 0.2400 0.6542 0.6542 0.06 0.37 0.951 0.715 -0.6967 -3.3967 0.6542 0.6542 -1.06 -5.19 0.292 0.000 0.3217 0.4626 0.70 0.490 -0.6067 -0.1167 0.6542 0.6542 -0.93 -0.18 0.358 0.859 21 Another experiment Clockwork gyro A: ground surface B: height C: weight 1:cement 1:H=30cm 1:light 2:plastic 2:H=1m 2:heavy 3:ceramic 22 Data analysis Slewing Time 主效应图 Slewing Time 交互作用图 数据均值 数据均值 B A 2 1 45 A 1 2 3 30 30 A 20 15 均值 45 10 3 2 C 1 1 2 30 B 1 2 B 15 30 45 20 C 1 2 30 C 15 10 1 2 1 2 3 1 2 23 Data analysis Slewing Time 残差图 Slewing Time 残差图(加权) 90 百分比 残差 50 0 -5 10 1 3.0 99 5 90 50 10 -10 0.1 0 5 40 30 20 10 10 拟合值 标准化残差 拟合值 直方图 与顺序 直方图 与顺序 频率 残差 20 10 10 20 5 15 0 -5 -5 0 残差 5 10 3.0 10 5 -10 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 观测值顺序 40 45 50 55 60 1.5 0.0 -1.5 -3.0 0 1 40 30 20 10 残差 30 -10 -1.5 4 2 0 -2 -4 频率 -5 0.0 -3.0 0.1 -10 1.5 1 标准化残差 百分比 99.9 10 99 标准化残差 99.9 与拟合值 正态概率图 与拟合值 正态概率图 -2.4 -1.2 0.0 标准化残差 1.2 2.4 1 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 观测值顺序 24 40 45 50 55 60 Slewing Time 的方差分析,在检验中使用调整的 SS 来源 A B C A*B A*C B*C A*B*C 误差 合计 自由度 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 48 59 S = 0.726677 Seq SS 273.476 0.089 38.019 0.537 29.137 0.136 0.973 25.347 367.714 Adj SS 308.292 0.081 64.031 0.113 29.028 0.482 0.973 25.347 R-Sq = 93.11% Adj MS 154.146 0.081 64.031 0.056 14.514 0.482 0.487 0.528 F P 291.91 0.000 0.15 0.696 121.26 0.000 0.11 0.899 27.49 0.000 0.91 0.344 0.92 0.405 R-Sq(调整) = 91.53% 项 常量 A 1 2 B 1 C 1 A*B 1 1 2 1 A*C 1 1 2 1 B*C 1 1 A*B*C 1 1 1 2 1 1 系数 19.2759 系数标准误 0.4119 T 46.80 P 0.000 -4.7976 -10.5211 0.5450 0.4967 -8.80 -21.18 0.000 0.000 -0.1617 0.4119 -0.39 0.696 4.5355 0.4119 11.01 0.000 0.0217 0.2241 0.5450 0.4967 0.04 0.45 0.968 0.654 -0.7190 -3.5094 0.5450 0.4967 -1.32 -7.07 0.193 0.000 0.3936 0.4119 0.96 0.344 -0.6616 -0.2219 0.5450 0.4967 -1.21 -0.45 0.231 0.657 25 The results of the design Main effect: Ground surface & weight with 95% confidence Ground surface effect: Ceramic material increases the slewing time Weight effect: Lighter gyro increases the slewing time 26 Content : Motivation Literature review Design of Experiment Implementation Restrictions 27 Restrictions on the experiment Force control: Though we have practice to keep force constant, there is still personal error. Difficult to control the weight: To control the weight, we choose to cover plasticine to plus weight. Data acquisition: Each run we use stopwatch to record data, which may have measuring error. Wearing restriction: With the increasing of run times, the gyro wearing increases. 28 Thank you for listening Q&A 30