Asking Research Questions Deductive, Inductive, and non-theory driven research Some Terminology Page 18 of Course Packet • Independent Variable (IV)-variable that the research intentionally manipulates in order to observe its effect on the DV. • Dependent Variable (DV)- measure of behavior used by the researcher t0 assess the effects (if any) of the IV. • (example: Effects of Caffeine on Fine Motor Skills) • Internal Validity- the degree to which differences in performance (the dependent variable) can be attributed unambiguously to an effect of the independent variable. (aka confounds or “threats to internal validity”) • External Validity- the extent to which the results of a particular research study can be generalized to different populations, settings, and conditions. • Deduction (to deduce) - to derive as a conclusion from something known or assumed (to go from a general statement or theory to specific predictions/observations) • Induction- to assert or establish on the basis of observation of particular (specific) facts (to go from specific observations to more general theory or statement) • Theory-an explanation, usually in general terms. • Hypothesis/hypotheses- a specific, testable statement, often a prediction about what you expect to happen in your study. • A theory explains events in general terms, while a hypothesis makes a specific statement about a specified set of circumstances. Example: Theory/hypothesis • “Theory”: Caffeine will negatively affect a person’s ability to perform fine motor skills. • “Hypothesis”: People will produce more errors on a mirror drawing task as the number of cups of coffee they drink increases. • You use deduction when you derive a specific hypothesis from a more general theory. • You use induction when you take a set of specific findings and produce a more general explanation (a “theory”). Theory Driven Research: Deductive & Inductive Research Programs Page 19 of Course Packet Theories serve two purposes in research: • They guide scientific research by suggesting research hypotheses. (Deductive Research) • They organize empirical knowledge. (Inductive Research) These two purposes lead to two different types of research (deductive and inductive), both driven by theories. • In Deductive research, the research uses already established theories to deduce a specific and testable hypothesis of the form “I expect this will happen if……” (Deductive hypothesis) • In Inductive research, the research gathers many specific findings (usually though performing multiple studies) and then uses these specific findings to create a more general explanation (a theory). • The hypothesis is of the form: “I wonder what will happen if….” (Inductive hypothesis) The Cyclical Nature of Theory Driven Research Page 20 of Course Packet Step1: Finding an interesting topic • Intro Psych text • Talk to others doing research in area of interest • Take a course, attend seminars or lectures • Do a literature search and read/explore what is known about the topic. Graham Wallas (1858-1932) 1926 The Art of Thought Four stages of the scientific process: 1) Preparation 2) Incubation 3) Illumination 4) Verification Stages 1-3 would all be part of the Step 1 in the process of theory-driven research. Step 2: Developing a Testable Hypothesis (review) Hypotheses can be of two sorts: Deductive and Inductive • Deductive Hypotheses are the way in which theories guide research (Form: “I expect this will happen if…”) • while Inductive Hypotheses are the way in which theories organize empirical knowledge (Form: “I wonder what will happen if…”) • A hypothesis cannot contain vague concepts such as “mentally disturbed” or “intelligence”. (need operational definitions) • A hypothesis cannot be circular. • A hypothesis is untestable if it appeals to ideas or forces that are not recognized by science (unobservable forces) Step 3: Selecting a design and evaluating ethics • Different designs map onto the different goals of a piece of research. (description, prediction, etc.). Pick a design that fits your goal. • Identify a target population and a sampling technique. • Perform a formal evaluation for ethical issues via review boards (IRB or IACUC). Must be done before ANY data are gathered, even “pilot” data! Step 4: Implement study in a way that achieves unambiguous results • Avoid “threats to internal validity”. • Control some variables and yet strive for high “external validity”. Step 5:Collect and Summarize Data Use descriptive statistics to summarize and understand data. • Measures of Central Tendency: mean, median, mode. • Measures of variability: range, variance, standard deviation. Step 6: Draw conclusions using Inferential Statistics Null Hypothesis Significance Testing (NHST) • Parametric statistics such as Student’s t-test or Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) • Non-parametric statistics such as Chi-square or Mann-Whitney U test Step 7: Reject, Modify, Support Based on your findings, you can choose one of three options: • Reject your hypothesis showing a lack of support for your original theory or idea. • Modify your original theory or idea based on your findings. • Support your original theory or idea based on your findings. Example Step 1: topic- “Stress causes illness” (general statement) Step 2: Specific hypothesis- (thru operational definition)- “I expect I will see an increase in visits to UHS during exam week.” (Deductive hypothesis) Step 3-6: ethics approval, design choice, summarize/analyze results. Find increase in viral illnesses during exam week. Step 7: Modify- Stress increases Viral illness Non-theoretical Research (Radical Behaviorism) Non-theory driven research B.F. Skinner, Radical Behaviorism • When you run into something interesting, drop everything and study it. • Some ways of doing research are easier than others • Apparatuses sometimes breakdown Theories are not necessary and can get in the way of good research. Seek only to describe the functional relationships between/amongst variables Goals of Scientific Research Pages 40-49 1) Description: events and their relationships are defined classified, cataloged. • Examples: DSM-IV TR 2000(diagnostic statistical manual of mental disorders, IV ed. TR 2000) • Pace of Life Study (Levine 1990) Pace of Life (Levine 1990) results 2) Prediction (correlation): occurs when measures vary together (co-vary) in a consistent way. • Examples: GRE scores/undergraduate GPA as predictors of success in a graduate school environment. • Ambady & Rosenthal (1993) 3) Explanation: (causal inference) requires three conditions: • co-variation of events-when one changes, the other changes in a consistent way. • time-order relationship- one event always precedes the other. Antecedent-consequent. • elimination of plausible alternative causes- eliminate all “threats to internal validity” “True Experimental Design” 4) Application: research designed to solve a problem, applied research Quasi-experimental and Applied Behavior Analysis