Graham Earl & Tom Dargie: Part 1 Interpreting sand dune habitat change at Sandwich Bay using sequential NVC survey Dr Tom Dargie – Boreas Ecology 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Nature Reserve Context: primary slacks, adjacent effects NVC mapping: 1989, 2001, 2008 Changes in habitat extent Directions of habitat change Quadrat analysis of change Princes Golf Course Nature Reserve Sandwich Royal St George’s Golf Course Bird Observatory Sandwich Bay Estate Royal Cinque Ports Golf Course © Google Earth Deal Himantoglossum hircinicum Lizard Orchid Ellenberg F = 3 Ellenberg N = 2 Orobanche caryophyllacea Clove-scented Broomrape Ellenberg F = 3 Ellenberg N = 2 NVC Mapping: Initial Survey 1989 (Sand Dune Vegetation Survey of Great Britain) (Doarks, Hedley, Radley & Woolven (1990) NCC CSD Report No. 1126) Digitised version of 1989 map used in Dargie (2002) NVC Mapping and Mapping Change: Follow-up Survey (2001) (T. Dargie (2002) Sandwich Bay Dunes, Kent: NVC Survey 2001. Unpublished Report to English Nature (Kent Team)) NVC Mapping and Mapping Change: Third Survey (2008) Royal St George’s Golf Club (T. Dargie (2009) National Vegetation Classification (NVC) survey of sand dunes at Sandwich Bay, Kent: 2008 Repeat NVC Survey of Royal St. George’s Golf Club. Unpublished Report to Natural England. NE Contract 6/NE/0126) Sandwich Bay Habitat Extents 1989 - 2001 Golf course (bunker, fairway, green, tee, other mown ground, tracks) Slack: Wet neutral grassland (MG9, MG10, MG11, MG12, MG13) Dry neutral grassland (MG1) Improved grassland (MG6, MG7) 2001 Transitional dry dune grassland (SD8 with MG1, MG6, MG7) 1989 Fixed dry dune grassland (SD8, SD10, SD11, SD12) Semi-fixed dune (SD7, SD9) 0 40 80 120 Extent (ha) 160 200 Royal St George’s GC Habitat Extents 1989 – 2001 - 2008 Golf course (bunker, fairway, green, tee, other mown ground, tracks) Slack: Wet neutral grassland (MG9, MG10, MG11, MG12, MG13) Dry neutral grassland (MG1) 2008 Improved grassland (MG6, MG7) 2001 Transitional dry dune grassland (SD8 with MG1, MG6, MG7) 1989 Fixed dry dune grassland (SD8, SD10, SD11, SD12) Semi-fixed dune (SD7, SD9) 0 20 40 Extent (ha) 60 80 Main Pathways of Change (hectares) mainly SB 1989 to 2001 mainly mainly SD8 MG1 Festuca rubra - Galium verum Arrhenatherum elatius 123 49 25 MG12 slack Schedonorus arundinaceus (Festuca arundinacea) 8 20 9 11 7 RSG 2001 to 2008 51 5 1 in cattle grazing enclosure 15 Quadrat Analysis Step 1 Pseudo-random quadrat (‘pseudoquadrat’) approach Rhind et al. (2006) Proc. Royal Irish Academy 106B first applied it to dune habitat Simulates species data for 25 quadrats per NVC sub-community based on (i) Published range in Domin scores (ii) Published constancy (frequency) class (ranging from I to V) (iii) Published range and average number of species per quadrat Dr Roy Sanderson (Newcastle) supplied pseudoquadrat data for dune NVC types Step 2 Ellenberg Scores Gradient Analysis Calculate F Moisture and N Nitrogen for pseudoquadrats and RSG quadrats Calculate mean and standard deviation for F and N per NVC (sub)community Graph probability ellipses (3 SD widths) for NVC communities on F & N axes Graph individual quadrat positions, colour coded by year Ellenberg Gradient Analysis: Pseudoquadrat Probability Ellipses Ellenberg Gradient Analysis: Royal St George’s Golf Course Quadrats Conclusions • GIS evidence suggests that SD8 fixed dune grassland is changing quite rapidly to MG1 and MG12 • Quadrat change analysis suggests the same • (Repeat analysis of target notes shows the same) • The future for key Red Data Book species at this site seems threatened by hydroecological change Hydro-ecological Investigation of Habitat Change: Based on Sandwich Bay Sand Dunes, Kent Interpreting sand dune habitat change at Sandwich Bay using sequential NVC surveys and hydrological analysis Graham C J Earl Coastal Eco-hydrological Researcher Canterbury Christ Church University Overview of Research My research is investigating research recommended in the Dargie (2009) report: • The possible interactions of physicochemical values within the groundwater; • The interactions between vegetation communities and nutrient levels; • The possible influences from golf course management; • A possible long-term increase in the water table, possibly driven by sea-level rise. The focus of this presentation: – The relationship between hydrological dynamics, physicochemical factors and overlying sand dune vegetation. Dipwell Positions Across Sandwich Bay • Dipwells chosen using Judgement Quota sampling; • Two tier approach, using historic data and ground truthing; • Locations limited by access and position of water table. Sampling Schematic Dipwell Elevation obtained from LiDAR data, adjusted to OS Newlyn datum Chemical Analysis • Water samples collected monthly June 2012 – November 2012, with a further collection quarterly from March 2013 – June 2014, and analysed for: – – – – – – – Sodium (NaCl) Potassium (KCl) Total oxidised nitrogen (TON; NO2 + NO3) Phosphate (P) Ammonia (NH3) pH Electrical conductivity (EC) Observed Total Oxidised Nitrogen Concentration Summer 2012 Autumn 2012 Winter 2012 Spring 2013 Observed Ammonia Concentration Summer 2012 Autumn 2012 Winter 2012 Spring 2013 Observed Phosphate Concentration Summer 2012 Autumn 2012 Winter 2012 Spring 2013 Null Hypotheses • There is no significant difference in nutrient concentrations between vegetation communities; – Preliminary results using a nonparametric Kruskal-Wallis test, on chemical values comparing between different NVC classes near dipwells; Summer 2012 Summer 2013 NaCl P = 0.415 P = 0.623 KCl P = 0.032 P = 0.213 PO4 P = 0.797 P = 0.197 TON P = 0.055 P = 0.884 NH3 P = 0.456 P = 0.141 Note: data collection is on going until June 2014, thus analysis is currently on an incomplete data set. Historic Weather Dynamics and NVC Communities Surveyed Years Historic Weather Dynamics and NVC Communities Observed Water Table Levels Summer 2012 Autumn 2012 Winter 2012 Spring 2013 Null Hypotheses • There is no significant difference between ground elevation and vegetation community cover; – Nonparametric test Kruskal-Wallis, on LiDAR elevation data comparing between different NVC classes near dipwells; 1989 NVC Cover P = 0.038 2001 NVC Cover P = 0.010 2012 NVC Cover P = 0.012 2013 NVC Cover P = 0.018 Adjusted data to ensure samples with ≥3 replicates were analysed. Summary • Data collection on-going (20 months out of a 24 month sample period has been collected); • Only simple non-parametric methods have been applied so far in data analysis, multivariate analysis will be run on a complete data set; • Repeat survey of tidal fluctuation effects on the water table height. Acknowledgements • Funding support: RCPGC and Natural England; • Access permission and other support: RCPGC, RSGGC, Princes GC, Alan Husk, and Sandwich Bay Residents; • Help in the field in sometimes poor conditions, plus research advice (the sun does not always shine over Sandwich!): Phil Buckley, Phil Williams, David Ponsonby, Alex Kent, John Hills (CCCU), Phil Williams (Natural England) , Tom Dargie (Boreas Ecology), Students at CCCU, Friends and Family. Thank you for listening Questions Welcome Contact: g.earl25@canterbury.ac.uk