Security Level: 2015/4/8 Simplified Network, Enriched Experience Huawei Vision of Broadband Evolution Dec. 2011 HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. Huawei Confidential www.huawei.com Fernando Vargas B. CONTENTS • Broadband Value • Broadband Industry Tends • Huawei suggestions for Ultra Broadband HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. Huawei Confidential Page 2 The New Forces of Broadband: Society, Government, Openness Open Broadband Policy changed: competition encouragement to network construction encouragement Global NBN: 50+ countries, 100+ billion Open Internet and broadband access Open content and communication Open business & competition environment Open brings tremendous opportunities National Broadband Social Broadband Broadband networks will be as critical to social and economic prosperity as networks like transport, water and power”, bandwidth becomes a new era of "black gold “ 《Broadband Declaration of U.N.》 --” Broadband Everyone, Broadband Everywhere ” HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. Huawei Confidential Page 3 NGBN is the essential national assets “I believe that America should lead the world in broadband penetration” Barack Obama, USA President “Next generation broadband will be critical enabler to build new capabilities and transform our industries” Lee Hsien Loong, PM Singapore “Universal Broadband Access is crucial for Britain’s economy” “Just announced biggest ever investment in Australian broadband-really exciting, infrastructure for the future” Gordon Brown, UK PM Kevin Rudd, Australian PM Appetite for bandwidth is unlimited. It leads to two consequences To achieve the target of Vision 2020, economy of Malaysia is required to transform … (1) Fixed network remains competitive DATO’ SRI MOHD NAJIB TUN ABDUL RAZAK Prime Minister of Malaysia HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. Huawei Confidential (2) Strong growth in new services Lars Nybergu, President and CEO of TeliaSonera Page 4 NGBN is valuable for the economy, society and industry. National Broadband Networks Deployment 0 0 Impact on0 GDP 0 Garnter (USA) 2.5% Government (Korea) 1.3% Government (Australia) 0.8% Criterion Study (US) 0.8% EIU (NZ) 0 3.9% CEBR (Scotland) Brooking Institute (US) Socio-Economic Benefits 0.6% 0.4% Avg. 1.46% 0 • Innovation • Labor Productivity • National Competitiveness • Resources Utilization • Social Inclusion • Lifestyle • For every 1% increase in BB penetration, employment rate increased 0.2-0.3%; • For every $1Investment in BB, the whole society got 10 times return • BB helped the manufacturing sector increase 5%, services sector increase 10% in labor productivity (% increases within five years) Source: Booz & Company analysis HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. Huawei Confidential Page 5 CR Government National Broadband Plan Fuente : Estrategia Nacional de Banda Ancha HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. Huawei Confidential Page 6 CR Government National Broadband Plan Fuente : Estrategia Nacional de Banda Ancha HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. Huawei Confidential Page 7 CR Government National Broadband Plan Fuente : Estrategia Nacional de Banda Ancha HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. Huawei Confidential Page 8 Fuente : Estrategia Nacional de Banda Ancha HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. Huawei Confidential Page 9 CONTENTS • Broadband Value • Broadband Industry Trends • Huawei suggestions for Ultra Broadband HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. Huawei Confidential Page 10 NGBN is Coming Fast Increase of Video and Mobile Data Traffic Incumbents’ Broadband Plan 60000 Country 单位:PB/月 Unit: PB/M Mobile Data 50000 47% of network traffic increase per year 40000 30000 2009-2017 100 Mbps 90% France 2009-2012 100 Mbps ~33% Consumer - Gaming Germany 2009-2014 50 Mbps 75% Korea 2009-2012 1 Gbps 100% Consumer - Video Malaysia 2007-2017 10 Mbps+ 38% Consumer - P2P New Zealand 2009-2019 100 Mbps 75% Singapore 2009-2015 1 Gbps 100% UK 2009-2017 24-100 Mbps 75% Consumer - Web/Email 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: CSMG analysis Source Huawei MI Video and P2P are major drives of metro and backbone expansion. MBB traffic goes up to 66 times in next 5 years, mobile operator also face similar issues 20M~100M ultra broadband era is coming in next 3 years. HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. Coverage Australia 10000 2009 Speeds Business 20000 0 2008 Program Duration Huawei Confidential Page 11 3 biggest changes in fixed network lead to ABC problem Now & Tomorrow… Past Video 1 WEB ARPU: A >90% traffic is Video Bandwidth: Fiber 2 Copper 300mn new FTTX subs to 2015 B All-IP 3 HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. TDM Huawei Confidential Huge OPEX increment How to generate new revenue? C Page 12 How to keep the technology in line with bandwidth increase? Cost: How to restrain the cost? A ARPU: Value is shifting towards Device & Cloud Value shifting… Higher Value in the device & cloud Cloud Revenue (2009) Market Value (13 Apr, 2010) $23.65 bn $182.1 bn Cloud Pipe Network pipe Device $123.0 bn $155.7 bn Device $219.7 bn $42.9 bn Source: Google finance, Apr 2009 HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. Personal Device Home Device Business Device How to extend new revenue source to Device & Cloud while enhance the golden pipe’s profitability? Huawei Confidential Page 13 Bandwidth: Ultra broadband era is coming B 50-100× Traffic increase 50-100× Traffic 130 90 64 16 Moore's law ×2 / 18 25months 1 -30 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Global traffic 128 IP traffic: ×3 / 18 months 50 10 90% traffic is Video 90% Video Web/mail, data, business, etc.. 40% Video Video 2014 2015 How to satisfy the traffic increasing ? How to adapt to the video traffic growth? Source: Broadband World Forum Europe 2009 HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. Huawei Confidential Page 14 Video traffic drives hundred times of bandwidth requirement Web/Mail Low bandwidth, intermittent traffic, concentration ratio 16 : 1 Video High bandwidth, continuous traffic, concentration ratio 2 : 1 2009 HSI+SDTV 2005 HSI Core traffic /user Metro traffic /user 2:1 1:1 16:1 1M x262 x35 0.06M Concentration Access traffic /user x67 0.03M Concentration 2012 HSI+HDTV 1:1 x134 2:1 2:1 x6 x20 Core network moves to 100G Era, Less concentration rate, network layers converged HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. Huawei Confidential Page 15 Fiber and Copper co-existence, GPON growing rapidly and ADSL/VDSL evolving continuously Global FTTx Distribution GPON Port Shipment 5.0 M DSL Port Shipment 16.3M 15.4M 14.4M 65% 13M 12.8M FTTH / FTTB 8% 27% 2.4 M VDSL FTTx + LAN Source: IDATE, FTTx Watch Service 2010 0.7 M • GPON is globally deployed in USA, European, China and Asia Pacific. HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. Huawei Confidential • VDSL & ADSL kept steady shipments Page 16 C Cost: Video and IP is driving revolutionary changes in network CAPEX OPEX Web Video TDM IP Access to Metro Concentration Rate 16:1 Traffic/user Core 2:1 Concentration 30% Service Provisioning Time Troubleshooting Time +500%, 5min to 30min +300%, 0.5hour to 2hour Network OPEX 20% 2005 Web 2009 Web+SDTV 2012 Web+HDTV 0.03M x42 2:1 Concentration Metro Network CAPEX 0.06M x164 1:1 x22 16:1 1:1 x84 2:1 2:1 Access 1M x6 x20 Network OPEX Others OPEX Source: Operator’s annual reports, CT HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. Huawei Confidential Page 17 CONTENTS • Broadband Value • Broadband Industry Tends • Huawei suggestions for Ultra Broadband HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. Huawei Confidential Page 18 Structural Cost Saving Bandwidth ARPU Broader wireline & shorter wireless will change network architecture dramatically 1892~2005 PSTN-Dialup-DSL 2005~20XX FTTx ADSL2+ 6M 3Km Broader Wireline Historic architecture change in 100 years VDSL2 30a 50M 30m AGG CO CPE CO MDU 10Km 3Km 1973~2010 Analog-GSM-HSPA CPE 300m VDSL2 17a 30M 800m 2010~20XX LTE/Wifi UMTS Voice 630m Shorter Wireless Historic architecture change in 30 years VDSL2 8B 20M 1.5m UMTS 128K 403m HSDPA 1.4M 275m MSC xGSN BSC BS CPE AGW 1Km HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. Huawei Confidential eNB/AP CPE 100m Page 19 UMTS 384K 306m Structural Cost Saving Bandwidth ARPU Deep Fiber & retreat of copper/wireless will enable Network Convergence with 3 dimensions Media Current Future Service Metro Aggregation Service Edge Aggregation Mobile Copper Fiber Metro Core Horizontal : Full Service Access Premise Network ? Lateral : Fiber to the X FMC-based Full Service Vertical : Simplification Metro Core Access Fiber goes as far as possible with retreat of copper and mobile A unified network serves all kinds of customer segments A simplified network helps carriers to reduce TCO significantly HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. Huawei Confidential Premise Network Architecture Page 20 Mobile Coppe r Service Edge Fiber Service Architecture Media Structural Cost Saving Bandwidth ARPU Simplified Architecture with SingleFAN Reduce 35% TCO Subscribers Remote Site Polarized& Flat 1M Aggregation PoP Edge Core 80 60 7 2 4000 Architecture Central Office Internet Copper High capacity& BRAS SR LSW less sites IPTV/VOD DSLAM Converge with Remote Site Terminal-like Intelligent Core Router VOIP SBC SDH aggregation Router Existing Broadband Network Architecture of Fixed Operator - 5 Layers 500 50 4 Full Service Access Residential Business Mobile backhaul Internet xPON WDM FTTH/B/C FTTM FTTO OLT MSCG Core Router Converged IMS Future ALL IP & FMC Based Full Service Network Architecture – 3 Layers Key features: large capacity OLT, seamless MPLS, 48p P2P board, 1588v2, high availability HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. Huawei Confidential Page 21 Structural Cost Saving Bandwidth ARPU “Easy ODN” save 45% ODN TCO ODN cost in FTTx Investment Drop cable CO Patch cord DP ODF 4 1 78% Closure OLT 2 Feeder cable Distribution cable Complex fiber connection, Mess to handle misconnection Complicated trench, duct, fiber laying environment Time consuming fiber dropping iODF for Mass Fiber Management Speed up Cable Laying Fast Drop Cabling Fiber Blown Micro Trench Vertical fiber deployment High soft fiber Pre-connected Solution Pre-terminated closure Zero Fiber connection info error No man power for connection information input HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. HISILICON SEMICONDUCTOR Page 22 3 Multi equipment, mess wiring, easy broken fiber Integrated Indoor deployment Integrated ONT Closure Patent Design Access Terminal Box Cost Smooth Bandwidth Upgrade ARPU Continuous Optimization of Copper Access VDSL2 Dynamic Spectrum Management L2 50Mbps@300m 65Mbps@300m Copper access evolution Dynamic Spectrum Management L3 Bandwidth DSM L2 VDSL2 2009 DSM L3 2010 2012 Copper: Continue innovation, increase performance HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. HISILICON SEMICONDUCTOR 1588v2 over DSL A/V auto-sense enable smooth migration from ADSL to VDSL Industrial 1st DSM L2 prototype 100Mbps@300m Page 23 DSM L3 Vectoring tech Crosstalk channel identification algorithms Cost Smooth Bandwidth Upgrade ARPU NG-PON Ready, Smooth Evolution with SingleFAN Platform Bandwidth WDMPON: 10G/10G, ~100KM Smooth & Seamless migration from GPON to 10G-GPON ONT OLT GPON 1490nm XGGON: 10G/2.5G, ~60KM 2010 10 G P O N 10G GPON card ONT Now 10 GPON ONT Reusing ONT Reusing ODN network OLT ONT OLT WBF Reusing EMS GPON ONT GPON ONT OLT GPON ONT ONT WBF ONT WDM coupler bandwidth up to 40G/slot Compatible ONT ONT ONT Future GPON ONT 10G GPON High 10G GPON 1577nm 2015 Reusing OLT platform G P O N ONT ONT GPON: 2.5G/1.25G, ~60KM 2009 OLT ONT ONT GPON 1490nm with 10G GPON 10G GPON ONT ONT ONT ONT Reuse the same ODN network Multiplex 10G GPON and GPON wavelengths GPON ONT with WBF to block Reuse 10G GPON wavelength. 10G GPON ONT with WBF to Huawei Confidential the same EMS Minimize operational & provisioning change block GPON wavelength HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. 10 GPON ONT Page 24 Cost Smooth Bandwidth Upgrade ARPU G.hn + WiFi for bandwidth distribution within home Solution: • ONT will support G.hn interface for power line/ phone line and coax cable communication.. G.hn WIFI AP G.hn/Eth Adaptor G.hn IP Phone G.hn IP Camera Storage ONT Analog Phone Analog Phone G.hn/Eth Adaptor WiFi Power Line Phone Line Coax Cable Ethernet Cable • Eliminate the dissatisfaction of the end users on the issue of home network interconnection. • Ubiquitous connectivity facilitate the use of ultra high bandwidth. HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. Huawei Confidential Page 25 Connection Device - WiFi Repeater WS311 WS311 • Commercial Launch: 2010, Q2 WiFi Ethernet Adapter • 1*LAN • WiFi 802.11n • WiFi AP, client, repeater 11n HGW WS20 • Commercial Launch: 2010, Q3 WiFi repeater • WiFi 802.11n • Built-in antenna,1T*1R 11n HGW HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. Huawei Confidential WS320 Page 26 Cost Bandwidth Golden Pipe help ARPU increase Managed Life & Managed Work to Extend Operators’ Position in the value chain Operators’ Business Partnership Cloud Content & Long Tail Apps Backbone Value increasing Metro Partnership Access Devices Device Value increasing Operators Managed Life + Managed Work Golden Pipe 2 sides business model Create value from upstream 3rd parties Create value from downstream end users Digitized Advertisement, Transaction fee Computing & Storage Resource leasing, Hosting… HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. Huawei Confidential 3-play: Voice, Internet, TV Music, Game, Multimedia … One-Stop-Shop Page 27 Cost Bandwidth Golden Pipe help ARPU increase iVASE to improve the experience of video service Cache moving down Phone PC STB FTTH OLT BRAS IPTV Fault Visualization Performance Visualization iVASE Cards Route Visualization iVASE: Integrated Value-Added Service Engine GoP of HDTV is more than 2 Seconds. How to improve experience and reduce bandwidth consumption when zapping? Fast Channel Change within 0.5 second (I-Frame Cache) HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. HDTV is more sensitive with packet loss (<10e-7). WiFi/PLC used for home interconnection even cause more loss. HDTV is one of real-time service, request quick troubleshooting and fault-recovery. Re-transmission, tolerate 20% of packet loss Integrated Real-time Service Monitoring Huawei Confidential Page 28 SingleMetro, Traffic Optimization Trade Storage for Bandwidth Integrated Video Cache DPI Optimizes P2P Traffic Remote Peer DPI Backbone STB Metro OLT Edge R DPI Edge R Metro DPI FCC / RET / Uni-cast 30% BW saving (BRAS) 50% BW saving (UPE) Local Peer 60% BW saving (OLT) • Video: Built-in video caches store 1% content that attracts 50% users • P2P : DPI limits backbone P2P traffic, preferable local traffic exchange HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. Huawei Confidential Page 29 Local Peer SingleBackbone, IP & Optic Synergy Multi-Layer Aggregation Router Cluster IP OTN Bandwidth Cloud Opt Point to Point DWDM Bypass model Hop by hop model • Core Router Cluster+ WDM/OTN Cloud make core network more reliable & zero waste • IP&Optical Synergy -> Traffic optimization and less core router ports usage. HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. Huawei Confidential Page 30 SingleOSS, Visualized IP OAM Service Topo U2000 Access MSAN/FTTX/CSG Correlative IP Network Router/Switch/BRA S Transmission OTN/WDM CSG AN Tunnel Topo UPE PE AGG OLT Switch Correlative CORE Metro Ethernet Aggregation IP Edge Core Router OTN/WDM Physical Topo • E2E NE Management, E2E Fault Location, E2E Service Provisioning • Visualized IP network management, simplified IP network O&M HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. Huawei Confidential Page 31 SingleFAN: Moving the Curves to Profitable Position B SingleFAN A B A C C Single Full-service Access Network Unified NETWORK Unified PLATFORM Unified OPERATION Enrich experience Simplify network Improve efficiency Any service Any scenarios Any media Any era Fast deployment Easy operation Residential Mobile BB FTTC FTTB Business FTTH Copper Fiber wireless 6~10M 20~50M >100M One for all All in one Golden Pipe help ARPU increase Smooth Bandwidth Upgrade HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. Huawei Confidential Fast & Easy Structural TCO Saving Page 32 NGBN “Big 7” addresses the ABC Issues SingleBackhaul, Any Media E2E Unified NMS 2 Service Quality Management SingleMetro, Traffic Optimization Microwave Mobile E2E Resources Management 3 Fiber 5 BRAS SingleOSS, Visualized IP OAM SingleBackbone, IP & Optic Synergy 4 PE Infotainment MDU Managed Life ODN 10GE/OTN/WDM OLT 7 1 Multi-Media Agg egress Agg ingress RNC Copper Managed Work OTN/WDM xGSN Router BSC IP DSLAM ICT SingleFAN, All in One Extend Pipe, Create Value 1 2 3 4 5 6 Lower Cost HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO., LTD. “Triple-Terabit” enables E2E Ultra Broadband 6 Enable Bandwidth Huawei Confidential 7 Page 33 Improve ARPU Thank you www.huawei.com Copyright©2009 Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd. All Rights Reserved. The information contained in this document is for reference purpose only, and is subject to change or withdrawal according to specific customer requirements and conditions.