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Business Council of New Orleans

Louisiana’s Future

May 2, 2012

60 Million Years Ago

40 Million Years Ago

20 Million Years Ago

Today Source: Earth Systems Research Laboratory

Mississippi River & Tributaries

(MRT)

Gulf of Mexico-Energy

Deepwater Horizon Well Site

Strategic Petroleum Reserves

[Pink]

LNG Terminals

[Green]

Natural Gas Market Center (Hubs)

[Orange]

Oil Import Sites/Seaports

[Purple/Red]

Petroleum Refineries

[Purple Squares]

Natural Gas Processing Facilities

[Green Diamonds]

Active Offshore Oil/Gas Platforms

[Pink]

Natural Gas Gathering/Interstate Pipelines

National Perspective:

Energy

#1 producer of domestic oil in the U.S.

#2 producer of natural gas in the U.S.

Produces or transports one-third of oil & gas

Top domestic reserves of oil & gas

Only supertanker energy port in the U.S.

#2 oil refining capacity

$5 billion/annually to US Treasury

National Perspective:

Seafood/Wildlife

#1 producer in fisheries in the Lower 48 States

#2 producer of oysters

#1 producer of blue crabs

#1 producer of crawfish

#1 producer of shrimp

#1 habitat for migratory waterfowl and songbirds restoring and protecting Louisiana’s coast

Ecosystem Services

• Five million waterfowl

• 25 million songbirds

• America’s largest wintering habitat for migratory waterfowl and songbirds

• 70 rare, threatened, or endangered species

• Top source of wild seafood in the continental

United States.

• Wetlands serve as part of the hurricane protection system

The Louisiana Purchase

"It is New Orleans, through which the produce of three-eighths of our territory must pass to market...”

Thomas Jefferson to Robert R. Livingston,

Washington,

April 18, 1802

Tonnage on Domestic

Waterway Network

restoring and protecting Louisiana’s coast

restoring and protecting Louisiana’s coast

restoring and protecting Louisiana’s coast

restoring and protecting Louisiana’s coast

restoring and protecting Louisiana’s coast

National Perspective:

Ports-Cargo

Top tonnage port in the nation

Five of the top 15 tonnage ports in the US

One of the largest cargo port complexes in the world

19 percent of all domestic waterborne commerce

• Over 30 states depend upon Louisiana’s ports for imports and exports…..

restoring and protecting Louisiana’s coast photo LA DOTD

Land Area Change in Coastal LA

1932 - 2010

Land Loss

Land Gain

Historic Land-Water Change from 1932-2010

Couvillion et al (USGS), 2011

Louisiana is Experiencing a Coastal Crisis

Predicted Land Change Over Next 50 Years

Potential to lose up to 1,756 square miles of land over the next 50 years

Louisiana is Experiencing a Coastal Crisis

Projected Land Change 2012-2061

Currently experiencing

-16 square miles/year

Future could reach

-51 square miles/year

Our Communities and Livelihoods at Risk

Predicted Future Flooding from a 100 Year Flood Event

Future Without Action

Potential for expected annual flood damages to reach $7.7 to $23.4

billion by

2061

The Future

32

Master Plan 2012

Our Objectives:

1. Reduce economic losses from stormbased flooding

2. Promote a sustainable coastal ecosystem by harnessing natural system processes

3. Provide habitats suitable to support an array of commercial and recreational activities coast-wide

4.

Sustain Louisiana’s unique heritage and culture

5. Provide a viable working coast to support industry.

1

Utilize Modeling in a Systems Context

Stage, Salinity, Water Quality

Stage, Salinity

Land Configuration,

Elevation

Stage

Stage,

Salinity

Sediment

Land

Configuration,

Elevation

2

5

Dominant Vegetation

Island

Configuration

3 4

Dominant

Vegetation Upper

Trophic

Land

Configuration,

Elevation

6

Surg e

Dominant

Vegetation

Surge,

Waves

7

2012 Coastal Master Plan

Responding to the Crisis

Louisiana’s Coastal Program:

Past, Present, and Future

A Closer Look: Southeast Coast

Master Plan Outcomes Southeast Coast

• 84 miles of shoreline protection & ridge restoration projects

• 57,888 acres of marsh creation projects

• 18,041 acres or 40 miles of barrier island/headland projects

NEARLY 58,000 ACRES OF MARSH CREATION PROJECTS

Keystone of the 2012 Master Plan:

Reconnecting the River

UPDATE

39

Keystone of the 2012 Master Plan:

Reconnecting the River

The projects in the plan would use up to 50% of the Mississippi

River’s peak flow for sediment diversions, in addition to using water and sediment from the Atchafalaya River.

Greater New Orleans Area

Greater New Orleans High Level Levee – aimed at providing the area with

500 year level of protection

Lake Pontchartrain Barrier project

Greater New Orleans LaPlace Extension

Maintain West Bank Levees (>100 year level of protection)

New Orleans East Land Bridge Restoration

Central Wetlands Marsh Creation project

Lake Borgne Marsh Creation project

Mississippi River Diversion into Barataria and Breton provide significant protection and benefits to Greater New Orleans

41

What the Draft Master Plan Delivers

$18.1 Billion Decrease over

Future Without Action

$5.4 Billion Decrease over

Future Without Action

We Continue to Make Progress

United States Geological Survey

Preliminary Land Loss/Gain 1930-2010

Keys to Future Success

1. New project delivery systems

*Corps of Engineers/Funding

2. Programmatic approach to coast

3. Venue for organized collaboration

*academia, private sector, NGOs, government scientists (Water

Institute)

4. Recognition of urgency

Future: Two Choices

46

Thank You

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