CHAPTER 4 DYNAMIC P OWERP OINT™ S LIDES BY S OLINA L INDAHL Equilibrium: How Supply and Demand Determine Prices CHAPTER OUTLINE Equilibrium and the Adjustment Process Shifting Demand and Supply Curves Gains from Trade Are Maximized at the Equilibrium Price and Quantity Terminology: Demand Compared to Quantity Demanded and Supply Compared to Quantity Supplied Does the Model Work? Evidence from the Laboratory Understanding the Price of Oil For applications, click here To Try it! questions To Video Food for Thought…. Some good blogs and other sites to get the juices flowing: Try it! Would you prefer an economic system where goods were rationed by: a) Need b) Equality/fairness c) Who can pay the most To next Try it! Market Equilibrium When Qs = Qd at a certain price, the market is in equilibrium, the amount consumers would purchase at this price is matched exactly by the amount producers wish to sell. BACK TO Market Equilibrium There is ONLY ONE PRICE where Qs = Qd This is “equilibrium price and quantity” No shortages No surpluses FREE MARKETS ALWAYS MOVE TOWARD EQUILIBRIUM PRICE BACK TO Equilibrium and the Adjustment Process Price is Determined by Supply and Demand Price of Oil per Barrel Equilibrium Price Supply Curve $30 Demand Curve 65 Quantity of Oil (MBD) Equilibrium Quantity BACK TO How Markets Find Equilibrium When Price is Too High P Energy Drinks At P = $5.00: S . $5.00 Qs = 25, Qd = 15 . 4.00 Price will fall to equilibrium ($4.00) and Qd will rise to 20, Qs will fall to 20 and 3.00 Qd = Qs 2.00 1.00 D Q 0 5 10 15 20 25 At a price of $5.00, a SURPLUS of 10 energy drinks (25-15) exists… suppliers are left with stock on the shelves- they take action to get the surplus sold and raise revenue. BACK TO How Markets Find Equilibrium When Price is Too Low P Energy Drinks At P = $3.00: S Qs = 15, Qd = 25 $5.00 4.00 . 3.00 Price will rise to equilibrium ($4.00) and Qd will fall to 20, Qs will rise to 20 and . Qd = Qs 2.00 1.00 D Q 0 5 10 15 20 25 At a price of $3.00, a SHORTAGE of 10 energy drinks (25-15) exists… buyers compete with each other for purchases- sellers see their chance to raise price and revenue BACK TO Take a look… For a look at a real-world equilibrium pricing mechanism, click the picture below to see the Aalsmeer Dutch Tulip auction in action. (3 minutes) http://video.kera.org/video/1283843915/ Shifting Demand and Supply Curves Price of energy drinks An increase in demand S Causes the equilibrium to change to a P1 higher P and Q P0 D0 Q0 Q1 D1 Quantity of energy drinks BACK TO Shifting Demand and Supply Curves Price of energy drinks A decrease in demand S Causes the equilibrium to change to a P0 lower P and Q P1 D01 Q1 Q0 Quantity of energy drinks BACK TO Shifting Demand and Supply Curves Price of energy drinks An increase in supply SS10 P0 Causes the equilibrium to change to a lower P and higher Q P1 D0 Q0 Q1 Quantity of energy drinks BACK TO Shifting Demand and Supply Curves Price of energy drinks A decrease in supply SS0 1 P1 Causes the equilibrium to change to a higher P and lower Q P0 D0 Q1 Q0 Quantity of energy drinks BACK TO Try it! Economists often say that prices are a “rationing mechanism.” If the supply of a good falls, how do prices “ration” these now-scarce goods in a competitive market? a) b) c) d) Prices allocate goods to the people with the highest willingness to pay. Prices allocate goods to the people with the lowest willingness to pay. Prices allocate goods to those with the lowest value of their own time. Prices allocate goods to the people who deserve them the most. To next Try it! Try it! To next Try it! Try it! #1: New machine is invented that lowers the cost of harvesting oranges. Try it! #2: The FDA announces health benefits to eating oranges. Try it! #2: The income of consumers falls and some orange growers quit the business and turn their orange groves into housing developments.. Gains from Trade Are Maximized at Equilibrium Price and Quantity Unexploited Gains from Trade Exist when Quantity is Below the Equilibrium Quantity Price of Oil per Barrel Satisfied Wants $57 Supply Curve Unsatisfied Wants At Q=24, there are buyers who value buying the good more than sellers value selling the good (there are unexploited gains from trade up until 65 units) Equilibrium $30 Price $15 Unexploited Gains from Trade 24 Demand Curve 65 Equilibrium Quantity Quantity of Oil (MBD) BACK TO Gains from Trade Are Maximized at Equilibrium Price and Quantity Wasteful Trades Exist when Quantity is Above the Equilibrium Quantity Price of Oil per Barrel Supply Curve $50 But at the Equilibrium Quantity There Are No Value of Wasted Gains from Unexploited Resources Trade nor Any Wasteful Trades! Equilibrium Price $30 $15 Demand Curve 65 Equilibrium Quantity 95 Quantity of Oil (MBD) BACK TO Gains from Trade Are Maximized at Equilibrium Price and Quantity A Free Market Maximizes Producer plus Consumer Surplus (the gains from trade) Price of Oil per Barrel Supply Curve Buyers Equilibrium Price $30 Non-Sellers Consumer Surplus Producer Surplus Sellers Non-Buyers Demand Curve 65 Quantity of Oil (MBD) Equilibrium Quantity BACK TO Try it! If this market is in equilibrium, what is the total producer surplus? The total consumer surplus? What are the total gains from trade? a) Consumer Surplus=$6; Producer Surplus=$4; Total Gains from Trade=$10 b) CS=$11; PS=$1; Total Gains from Trade=$12 c) CS=$250; PS=$200; Total Gains from Trade=$450 d) CS=$155; PS=$100; Total Gains from Trade=$250 To next Try it! Equilibrium and Total Surplus Equilibrium in a free market yields two important results: Goods must be produced at the lowest possible cost. Goods must satisfy the highest valued demands. These results indicate that total surplus (both of the consumer and producer) is maximized in free markets. BACK TO SEE THE INVISIBLE HAND Who is made better off and who is made worse off by a legal doctrine that says tenants must have hot water? If tenants benefit from a law that says apartments must have hot water then surely a law that says tenants must have hot water and a dishwasher benefits them even more, right? What about a law that says tenants must have hot water, a dishwasher and cable tv? For a thought experiment that suggests BOTH parties are harmed when the market is tampered with, see this post on Worth’s STIH resource bank. SEE THE INVISIBLE HAND “I am still recovering from the shock of the experimental results. The outcome was unbelievably consistent with competitive price theory. ” Vernon Smith proved the invisible hand was there. Vernon Smith, winner of 2002 Nobel Prize in Economics, on his 1956 experiments designed to disprove the supply and demand model. BACK TO The Price of Oil, 1960-2005 BACK TO Terminology: Shifts vs. Movement along Supply and Demand curves A shift in a demand (supply) curve is called a “Change in Demand (Supply)” Not to be confused with: Movement ALONG a demand (supply) curve is called “Change in Quantity Demanded (Supplied) BACK TO Changes in Demand vs. Change in Quantity Demanded Change in Demand Change in Quantity Demanded D1 Price ($) 80 Price ($) 80 40 D0 D0 20 40 Quantity (computer games) 20 40 Quantity (computer games) BACK TO Changes in Supply vs. Change in Quantity Supplied Change in Supply Change in Quantity Supplied S0 S0 S1 80 Price ($) Price ($) 80 40 20 40 Quantity (computer games) 20 40 Quantity (computer games) BACK TO Shifting Demand and Moving along Supply Curve Price of energy drinks An increase in demand S causes a movement along the Supply curve… a “Change in Quantity Supplied” P1 P0 D0 Q0 Q1 D1 Quantity of energy drinks BACK TO Shifting Supply and Moving along Demand Curve Price of energy drinks A decrease in supply SS0 1 P1 causes a movement along the Demand curve… a “Change in Quantity Demanded” P0 D0 Q1 Q0 Quantity of energy drinks BACK TO Try it! At a price of $3, quantity supplied is ______ and quantity demanded is ______, leading to a _______. a) 6; 2; surplus of 4 units b) 2; 4; surplus of 2 units c) 2; 6; shortage of 8 units d) 4; 2; shortage of 2 units To next Try it! Try it! If garden gnomes regain widespread popularity, what will happen? a) Equilibrium Price and Quantity both fall. b) Equilibrium Price and Quantity both rise. c) Equilibrium Price falls and Quantity rises. d) Equilibrium Price rises and To next Quantity falls. Try it! Try it! If the cost of wood falls, what will happen in the violin market? a) Equilibrium Price and Quantity both fall. b) Equilibrium Price and Quantity both rise. c) Equilibrium Price falls and Quantity rises. d) Equilibrium Price rises and Quantity falls. BACK TO