Week 10 Lecture 10 Ross, Westerfield and Jordan 7e Chapter 17 Financial Leverage and Capital Structure Policy 17-0 Last Lecture.. • • • • Cost of Equity Cost of Preferred Stock Cost of Debt Proportion or weight of each form of financing • Cost of Capital = WACC • Unadjusted/Adjusted • When should we use WACC? • Other approaches: pure play and subjective • Flotation Costs 17-1 Chapter 17 Outline • The Capital Structure Question • The Effect of Financial Leverage • Capital Structure and the Cost of Equity Capital • M&M Propositions I and II with Corporate Taxes • Bankruptcy Costs • Optimal Capital Structure 17-2 Choosing a Capital Structure • What is the primary goal of financial managers? • Maximize stockholder wealth • Choose the optimal capital structure • Maximize the value of the firm • Minimize the WACC 17-3 Capital Restructuring • Financial leverage = the extent to which a firm relies on debt financing • Capital restructuring involves changing the amount of leverage a firm has without changing the firm’s assets • The firm can increase leverage by issuing debt and repurchasing outstanding shares • The firm can decrease leverage by issuing new shares and retiring outstanding debt 17-4 The Effect of Leverage • How does leverage affect the EPS and ROE of a firm? • More debt financing, means more fixed interest expense • In expansion, we have more income after we pay interest, have more left over for stockholders • In recession, we still have to pay our costs therefore we have less left over for stockholders • Leverage amplifies the variation in both EPS and ROE 17-5 Example: Financial Leverage, EPS and ROE 17-6 Break-Even EBIT • Break-Even EBIT where: EPS debt = EPS no debt • If expected EBIT > break-even EBIT, then leverage is beneficial to our stockholders • If expected EBIT < break-even EBIT, then leverage is detrimental to our stockholders 17-7 Example: Break-Even EBIT EPS no debt EPS debt earnings earnings interest shares shares Numbers in thousands EBIT EBIT 250 500 250 250EBIT 500EBIT 250 250EBIT 500EBIT 125000 250EBIT 125000 $125000 EBIT $500 250 EPS with No Debt = $500/500 = $1 EPS with Debt = ($500-$250)/250 = $1 17-8 Break Even EBIT With debt With no debt 17-9 Capital Structure Theory • Modigliani and Miller Theory of Capital Structure • Proposition I – firm value • Proposition II – cost of equity & WACC • The value of the firm is determined by the cash flows to the firm and the risk of the assets • Changing firm value • Change the risk of the cash flows • Change the cash flows 17-10 Capital Structure Theory Under Three Special Cases • Case I – Assumptions • No taxes • No bankruptcy costs • Case II – Assumptions • With taxes • No bankruptcy costs • Case III – Assumptions • With taxes • With bankruptcy costs 17-11 Case I – No Taxes • Proposition I • The value of the firm is NOT affected by changes in the capital structure • The cash flows of the firm do not change; therefore, value doesn’t change • Proposition II • Cost of Equity increases as Debt increases • The WACC of the firm is NOT affected by capital structure 17-12 Case I - No Taxes - Equations • WACC = RA = (E/V)RE + (D/V)RD • RE = RA + (RA – RD)(D/E) • RA is the “cost” of the firm’s business risk, i.e., the risk of the firm’s assets • (RA – RD)(D/E) is the “cost” of the firm’s financial risk, i.e., the additional return required by stockholders to compensate for the risk of leverage 17-13 Figure 17.3 17-14 Case I - No Taxes - Example • Data • Required return on assets = WACC = RA = 16%, • Cost of debt = RD = 10% • Percent of debt = D = 45% • E = 1 - 0.45 = 0.55 or 55% • D/E = 0.45/0.55 = 0.82 • What is the cost of equity? • RE = RA + (RA – RD)(D/E) • RE = 0.16 + (0.16 – 0.10)(.45/.55) = 20.91% • Proof for WACC: • WACC = RA = (E/V)RE + (D/V)RD • WACC = RA = 0.55 * 20.91% + 0.45 * 10% = 16% 17-15 Case I – No Taxes Example continued.. • What happens if the firm increases leverage so that D/E = 1.5? (before D/E = 0.82 when D=45%,E=55%) • What is the cost of equity? • RE = RA + (RA – RD)(D/E) • RE = 0.16 + (0.16 – 0.10)(1.5) = 0.25 or 25% • Proof for WACC: • WACC = RA = (E/V)RE + (D/V)RD E 1 V 1 D/E • From D/E = 1.5, D = 60%, E = 40% • WACC = 0.4 * 25% + 0.6 * 10% = 16% 17-16 The CAPM, Business Risk, Financial Risk and Proposition II • How does financial leverage affect systematic risk? • CAPM: RE = Rf + E(RM – Rf) – for equity • CAPM: RA = Rf + A(RM – Rf) – for assets • Where A is the firm’s asset beta and measures the systematic risk of the firm’s assets, also called unleverred beta – the risk of the assets if the firm would have no debt ( in essence E = A if no debt) • RE = RA + (RA – RD)(D/E) • RE = RA + (RA – Rf)(D/E) - assume RD = Rf • • Proposition II • As we introduce debt in the firm: • RE = Rf + A(1+D/E)(RM – Rf) • E = A(1 + D/E) Therefore, the systematic risk of the stock depends on: • Systematic risk of the assets, A, (Business risk) • Level of leverage, D/E, (Financial risk) 17-17 Case II – Introducing Taxes • What happens to the firm’s cash flows? • Interest is tax deductible • Therefore, when a firm adds debt, it reduces taxes, all else equal • The reduction in taxes increases the cash flow of the firm • How should an increase in cash flows affect the value of the firm? 17-18 Case II - with Taxes - Example Unlevered Firm No Debt EBIT Interest Levered Firm With Debt 5000 0 5000 (6250@8%) 500 Taxable Income Taxes (34%) 5000 4500 1700 1530 Net Income 3300 2970 CFFA 3300 3470 17-19 Interest Tax Shield • Annual interest tax shield • Tax rate times interest payment • 6250 in 8% debt = 500 in interest expense • Annual tax shield = 0.34(500) = 170 • Present value of annual interest tax shield • Assume perpetual debt for simplicity • PV = 170 / 0.08 = 2125 6250 0.08 0.34 PV 6250 0.34 2125 0.08 D R D TC PV D TC RD 17-20 Case II - with Taxes - Proposition I • The value of the firm increases by the present value of the annual interest tax shield • Value of a levered firm = value of an unlevered firm + PV of interest tax shield • Assuming perpetual cash flows • VU = EBIT(1-T) / RU with no debt RU = RA= RE and VU = E • VL = VU + D*TC • E = VL - D 17-21 Case II – with Taxes Proposition I - Example • Data Inc. has earnings of 25 million per year every year. The firm has no debt and the cost of capital is 12%. If tax is 35% what is the value of the firm? • EBIT = 25 million; Tax rate = TC= 35%; Unlevered cost of capital = RU= 12% = RA = RE VU = ? • VU = EBIT(1-T) / RU • VU = 25(1-0.35) / 0.12 = $135.42 million • VU = E 17-22 Case II – with Taxes Proposition I - Example (cont.) • Data Inc. decides to issue bonds that have a market value of 75 million at a cost of 9%. What is the value of the firm? What will be the value of equity? • D = $75 million, RD= 9%, VL = ?, E = ? VU = 135.42 (calculated on previous slide) • VL = VU + tax shield • VL = VU + D*TC • VL = 135.42 + 75(0.35) = $161.67 million • E = VL - D • E = 161.67 – 75 = $86.67 million 17-23 Figure 17.4 Case II - with Taxes Proposition I 17-24 Case II – with Taxes - Proposition II • Recap: In case I – Proposition II - no taxes: • RE increases as Debt increases • WACC is unchanged • When taxes are introduced in Case II: • RE increases as Debt increases RE = RU + (RU – RD)(D/E)(1-TC) • WACC decreases as D/E increases because the cost of debt decreases RL = WACC = (E/V)RE + (D/V)(RD)(1-TC) 17-25 Case II – with Taxes Proposition II - Example • Data Inc. info from Case II proposition I: • EBIT = 25 million; TC= 35%; D = $75 million; RD= 9%; Unlevered cost of capital = RU= 12% E = $86.67m; VL = $161.67m D/E = 75/86.67 = 0.87, E/V = 86.67/161.67 = 0.54, D/V = 75/161.67 = 0.46 • RE = RU + (RU – RD)(D/E)(1-TC) • RE = 0.12 + (0.12-0.09)(0.87)(1-0.35) = 13.69% • RL = WACC = (E/V)RE + (D/V)(RD)(1-TC) • RL = WACC = (0.54)(0.1369) + (0.46)(0.09)(1-.35) = 10.05% 17-26 Example: Case II – Proposition II • Suppose Data Inc. changes its capital structure so that the debt-to-equity ratio becomes 1. • Before: D/E = 0.87, E= 54%, D=46% • Now: D/E = 1, E= 50%, D=50% • What will happen to the cost of equity under the new capital structure? (previously 13.69%) • RE = 0.12 + (0.12 – 0.09)(1)(1-0.35) = 13.95% • What will happen to the weighted average cost of capital? (previously 10.05%) • WACC = 0.5(0.1395) + 0.5(0.09)(1-0.35) = 9.9% • What if D/E = 1.25?, RE = ?, WACC = ? 17-27 Figure 17.5 - Case II with Taxes Proposition II 17-28 Case III – with Bankruptcy Costs • Now we add bankruptcy costs • As the D/E ratio increases, the probability of bankruptcy increases • This increased probability will increase the expected bankruptcy costs • At some point, the additional value of the interest tax shield will be offset by the increase in expected bankruptcy cost • At this point, the value of the firm will start to decrease and the WACC will start to increase as more debt is added 17-29 Figure 17.6 – Case III with Bankruptcy costs 17-30 Figure 17.7 Case III with Bankruptcy costs 17-31 Bankruptcy Costs • Direct costs • Legal and administrative costs • Indirect costs • Larger than direct costs & more difficult to measure and estimate • Financial distress costs • All costs associated with going bankrupt and/or avoiding bankruptcy 17-32 Conclusions • Case I – no taxes or bankruptcy costs • No optimal capital structure • Case II – corporate taxes but no bankruptcy costs • Optimal capital structure is almost 100% debt • Each additional dollar of debt increases the cash flow of the firm • Case III – corporate taxes and bankruptcy costs • Optimal capital structure is part debt and part equity • Occurs where the benefit from an additional dollar of debt just offsets the increase in expected bankruptcy costs 17-33 Figure 17.8 17-34 Managerial Recommendations • The tax benefit is only important if the firm has a large tax liability • Risk of financial distress • The greater the risk of financial distress, the less debt will be optimal for the firm • The cost of financial distress varies across firms and industries and as a manager you need to understand the cost for your industry 17-35 End Chapter 17 17-36