HFT 6477 Summer A 2012 Florida International University Jasinet Coble Craig Wright Lillian Vitale Dillon Burke Nuria Gutierre Daniel Mayer Introduction • IHG is a holding company • The principal activities: hotels and resorts, with franchising, management, ownership and leasehold interests in over 4,400 establishments, with more than 658,000 guest rooms in over 100 countries and territories worldwide. 7 Unique Brands The pipeline totaled 1,144 hotels (180,484 rooms) Regions • • • • • Americas Europe Asia Middle East and Africa Greater China Cost of Equity (CAPM) • kE = Rf +(Km – Rf) • Rf = return on the risk free asset • = Beta (Computed 1.42 – Please see Excel attachment) • Km = return on the market portfolio • kE = .04 + 1.42(.12 - .04) • kE = .1536 or 15.36% Cost of Debt • kD = Interest Expense/Interest Bearing Debt (Total long term plus total short term debt) • kD = 56,000,000/691,000,000 • kD = .0810 or 8.10% Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) • • • • • • • WACC = kA = (1 – L)kE + L(kD) (1 – T) L = Total Liabilities/Total Assets L = 2,413,000,000/2,968,000,000 L = .8130 or 81.30% kE = Cost of Equity kE = .1536 or 15.36% kD = Cost of Debt = Interest Expense/Interest Bearing Debt • kD = .0810 or 8.10% WACC (Cont.) • • • • • • T = Tax Expense/Earnings before taxes T = 81,000,000/544,000,000 T = .1489 or 14.89% WACC = kA = (1 – L)kE + L(kD) (1 – T) kA = (1 - .8130)(.1536) + (.8130)(.0810)(1 - .1489) kA = .0848 or 8.48% Adjusted Operating Cash Flows • • • • Net Income + Depreciation + Interest Net Income = 473,000,000 Depreciation = 99,000,000 Interest = 8,000,000 • AOCF= 473,000,000 + 99,000,000 + -8,000,000 • AOCF= $580,000,000 Estimated Growth Rates • Year 1 (2012) 4% - increased revenues and dividends paid in past 2 years • Years 2 (2013) - 4 (2015) - Growth rate change increases of 2% each year: – 120 hotel expansion starting at the end of 2013 – 26% portfolio increase • 100 healthy hotels in US • 20 luxury in China Estimated Growth Rates cont… • Year 2 8% - hotels will start expanding at the end of year – Cash flows will be minimal in this short time • Year 3 10% - expansion continues & new hotels are being established – US expansion targets middle class – Europe & US recession – Chinese expansion targets domestic Chinese travelers – booming economy • Year 4 12% - expansion continues, larger cash flows… • Current value of share: $29.48 • Current price of share: $23.35 (6/10/12) • We recommend potential investors to purchase IHG shares! Valuation • IHG is financed heavily with equity Any Questions?