CHAPTER 26 Mergers, LBOs, Divestitures, and Holding Companies Topics in Chapter Types of mergers Merger analysis Role of investment bankers LBOs, divestitures, and holding companies 26-2 Economic Justifications for Mergers Synergy = Value of the whole exceeds sum of the parts Operating economies Financial economies Differential management efficiency Taxes (use accumulated losses) Break-up value = Assets more valuable broken up and sold 26-3 Questionable Reasons for Mergers Diversification Purchase of assets below replacement cost Acquire other firms to increase size, thus making it more difficult to be acquired 26-4 Merger Types Horizontal Vertical Congeneric Related but not same industry Conglomerate Unrelated enterprises 26-5 Five Largest Completed Mergers (as of December, 2007) TABLE 26-1 26-6 Friendly & Hostile Mergers Friendly merger: Supported by management of both firms Hostile merger: Target firm’s management resists the merger Acquirer must go directly to the target firm’s stockholders – “tender offer” - try to get 51% to tender their shares. Often, mergers that start out hostile end up as friendly, when offer price is raised 26-7 Merger Analysis DCF Analysis Corporate Valuation (Ch 11) Adjusted Present Value Method (Ch 26.7) Equity Residual Model (Ch 26.8) = Free Cash Flow to Equity Method Market Multiples Analysis Provides a “benchmark” 26-8 The APV Model + = Value of firm if it had no debt Value of tax savings due to debt Value of operations First term = unlevered value of the firm Second term = value of the interest tax shield 26-9 The APV Model VL VU TD (15-7) (16-4) (26-1) VOP FCFt VU t ( 1 R ) t 1 sU (15-1) (26-2) VTS TSt t t 1 ( 1 r sU ) (26-3) 26-10 APV Model VU = Unlevered value of firm = PV of FCFs discounted at unlevered cost of equity, rsU VTS = Value of interest tax shield = PV of interest tax savings discounted at unlevered cost of equity, rsU Interest tax savings = Interest * (tax rate) = TSt 26-11 APV vs. Corporate Valuation Best model when capital structure is changing Merger often causes capital structure changes over the first several years Causes WACC to change from year to year Hard to incorporate year-to-year WACC changes in the corporate valuation model Corporate Valuation (i.e., discount FCF at WACC) = easier than APV when capital structure is constant 26-12 Steps in APV Valuation 1. Calculate unlevered cost of equity, rsU rsL rsU ( rsU rd )( 1 T )( D S ) rsU w s rsL w d rd (16-6) (26-4) (26-5) 2. Project FCFt ,TSt until company is at its target capital structure for one year and is expected to grow at a constant rate thereafter. 26-13 Steps in APV Valuation Project horizon growth rate, g 3. Calculate horizon value of unlevered firm using constant growth formula and FCFN HV U ,N FCFN 1 FCF( 1 g ) rsU g rsU g (26-7) Calculate horizon value of tax shields using constant growth formula and TSN TSN 1 TS( 1 g ) HV TS ,N rsU g rsU g (26-8) 26-14 Steps in APV Valuation 4. Calculate Value of Operations Calculate unlevered value of firm as PV of unlevered horizon value and FCFt HVU ,N FCFt VU t N ( 1 r ) ( 1 r ) t 1 s ,U sU N (26-9) Calculate value of tax shields as PV of tax shield horizon value and TSt HVTS,N TSt t ( 1 rsU ) N t 1 ( 1 rs ,U ) N VTS (26-10) 26-15 Steps in APV Valuation 4. Calculate Value of Operations Calculate Vop as sum of unlevered value and tax shield value VOP VU VTS 5. (26-11) Find total value of the firm VU VTS Vop Vop Value of non - ope ratingas s e ts VF S VF Value of de bt P S # s hare s 26-16 The FCFE Approach FCFE = Free Cash Flow to Equity Cash flow available for distribution to common shareholders FCFE FCF After- tax interestexpenseprincipalpaym ents new lyissueddebt (26-12) FCFE NI Net investm entin operatingcapital interesttax shield net changein debt 26-17 FCFE Approach Value of Equity = VFCFE FCFEt t Assuming constant growth: t 1 ( 1 r sL ) (26-13) FCFEN 1 FCFE( 1 g ) HV FCFE ,N rsL g rsL g (26-14) HVFCFE ,N FCFEt t ( 1 rsL ) N t 1 ( 1 rsL ) (26-15) N VFCFE S VFCFE Non - operatingassets (26-16) 26-18 TABLE 26-2 26-19 Valuation Examples Caldwell Inc’s acquisition of Tutwiler Tutwiler Market value of equity = $62.5 m Debt = $27 m Total market value = $89.5 m % Debt = 30.17% Cost of debt, rd = 9% 10 million shares outstanding 26-20 Tutwiler Acquisition Tutwiler’s pre-merger beta = 1.20 Risk-free rate = 7% Market risk premium = 5% CAPM rsL= 13% WACC w d ( 1 T )rd w s rsL WACC 0.3017 ( 0.60 )( 9%) 0.6983( 13%) WACC 10.707% 26-21 Tutwiler Acquisition Both firms = 40% tax rate Post-horizon g= 6% Caldwell will issue debt to maintain constant capital structure: $6.2 m debt increase at merger 26-22 Projecting Post-Merger CFs 01/01/10 12/31/10 12/31/11 12/31/12 12/31/13 12/31/14 Panel A: Selected Items 1 Net Sales $105.0 $126.0 $151.0 $174.0 $191.0 2 Cost of goods sold 80.0 94.0 113.0 129.3 142.0 3 Selling & Admin expenses 10.0 12.0 13.0 15.0 16.0 4 Depreciation 8.0 8.0 9.0 9.0 10.0 5 EBIT 7.0 12.0 16.0 20.7 23.0 6 Interest Expense 3.0 3.2 3.5 3.7 3.9 7 Debt 33.2 35.8 38.7 41.1 43.6 46.2 8 Total Net Operating Capital 116.0 117.0 121.0 125.0 131.0 138.0 26-23 Post-Merger CF Projections 01/01/10 12/31/10 12/31/11 12/31/12 12/31/13 12/31/14 Panel B Corporate Valuation CFs 9 NOPAT=EBIT(1-T) (T=40%) $4.2 $7.2 $9.6 $12.4 $13.8 10 Less net invest. In op cap 1.0 4.0 4.0 6.0 7.0 11 Free Cash Flow $3.2 $3.2 $5.6 $6.4 $6.8 Panel C: APV Model Cash Flows 12 Free Cash Flow $3.2 $3.2 $5.6 $6.4 $6.8 13 Interst tax savings = INT(T) 1.2 1.28 1.4 1.48 1.56 Panel D: FCFE Model Cash Flows 14 Free Cash Flow $3.2 $3.2 $5.6 $6.4 $6.8 15 Less A-T Interest=INT(1-T) 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.4 16 Plus Δdebt 6.2 2.6 2.9 2.5 2.5 2.6 17 FCFE $6.2 $4.0 $4.1 $6.0 $6.7 $7.1 26-24 Tutwiler – Corporate Valuation FCF2015 FCF2014 ( 1 g ) HV OP ,2014 WACC g WACC g (26-7) $6.800( 1.06 ) HV OP ,2014 $153.1m 0 / 1070 0.06 VOperation $110.1 Value of Equity $110.1 $27 $83.1m 26-25 Tutwiler: Corporate Valuation Panel B Corporate Valuation CFs 9 NOPAT=EBIT(1-T) (T=40%) $4.2 $7.2 $9.6 $12.4 $13.8 10 Less net invest. In op cap 1.0 4.0 4.0 6.0 7.0 11 Free Cash Flow $3.2 $3.2 $5.6 $6.4 $6.8 Horizon value $153.1 FCF Present Value of FCF $3.2 $3.2 $5.6 $6.4 $159.9 $110.1 Minus Value of current debt $27.0 Value of Equity $83.1 26-26 Tutwiler – APV Approach Estimate Tutwiler’s Unlevered Cost of Equity: rsU w s rsL w d rd (26 - 5) rsU 0.6983( 13%) 0.3017 ( 9%) rsU 11.793% 26-27 Tutwiler – APV Approach Panel C: APV Model Cash Flows 12 Free Cash Flow $3.2 $3.2 $5.6 $6.4 Horizon Value of FCF $124.4 Total FCF Value (Unlevered) 13 $6.8 $3.2 $3.2 $5.6 $6.4 $131.2 1.2 1.28 1.4 1.48 1.56 $88.7 Interest tax savings = INT(T) Horizon Value of tax savings $28.7 Total Tax Shield $1.2 $1.3 $1.4 $1.5 Value(Tax Shield) $21.4 Total Value of Firm $110.1 Minus Value of current debt $27.0 r(sU) 11.793% Value of Equity $83.1 g= 6% $30.3 26-28 Tutwiler – FCFE Model HVFCFE ,2014 FCFE2015 FCFE( 1 g ) rsL g rsL g (26-14) $7.06( 1.06 ) HV FCFE ,N $106.9 m 0.13 0.06 26-29 Tutwiler – FCFE Model Panel D: FCFE Model Cash Flows 14 Free Cash Flow $3.2 $3.2 $5.6 $6.4 $6.8 15 Less A-T Interest=INT(1-T) 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.4 16 Plus Δdebt 6.2 2.6 2.9 2.5 2.5 2.6 17 FCFE $6.2 $4.0 $4.1 $6.0 $6.7 $7.1 Horizon value of FCFE Total FCFE Value of FCFE 106.9 $6.2 $4.0 $4.1 $6.0 $6.7 r(sL) 13.0% g= 6% $114.0 $83.1 26-30 Tutwiler Value Recap TUTWILER Equity Current Value of Equity $62.5 Corporate Valuation $83.1 APV Approach $83.1 FCFE Model $83.1 Tutwiler is worth more as part of Caldwell than stand-alone 26-31 The Bid Price Caldwell’s Bid for Tutwiler Caldwell will assume Tutwiler’s debt Analysis shows Tutwiler worth $83.1m to Caldwell Added short-term debt for acquisition If Caldwell pays more Caldwell value diluted How much should Caldwell offer? 26-32 Caldwell’s Bid for Tutwiler Target’s Estimated value Target’s current value Merger premium “Synergistic Benefits” = $83.1 million = $62.5 million = $20.6 million = $20.6 million Realizing synergies has been problematic in many mergers 26-33 Caldwell’s Bid Offer range = $62.5m to $83.1m $62.5m → merger benefits would go to the acquiring firm’s shareholders $83.1m →all value added would go to the target firm’s shareholders 26-34 Bid Strategy Issues High “preemptive” bid to ward off other bidders Low bid and then plan to go up Do target’s managers have 51% of stock and want to remain in control? What kind of personal deal will target’s managers get? 26-35 Do mergers really create value? According to empirical evidence, acquisitions do create value as a result of economies of scale, other synergies, and/or better management. Target firm shareholders reap most of the benefits Final price close to full value Target management can always say no Competing bidders often push up prices 26-36 Acquisition with Permanent Change in Capital Structure Tutwiler currently: $62.5m value of equity $27m debt = 30.17% debt Caldwell’s plan Increase debt to 50% Maintain level from 2012 on New rate on debt = 9.5% Tax shield, WACC and bid price will change 26-37 Change in Tax Shield 9. Debt 52.63 a 10. Interest 11. Interest tax savings 63.16 73.68 78.95 87.33 5.000 2.000 6.000 2.400 7.000 2.800 7.500 3.000 8.296 3.319 This last debt level is consistent with the assumed long-term capital structure The last interest payment is consistent with the long-term capital structure 26-38 Effect on the Bid Price New Horizon Value Calculation First, calculate Tutwiler's horizon value if it were unlevered. HVU = FCF 2014 * (1 + g) ÷ HVU = 6.8 * 1.060 ÷ HVU = $124.42 (rU - g) 0.1179 - 0.06 Second, calculate the horizon value of Tutwiler's tax shields under new financing plan: HVTS = TS 2014 * (1 + g) ÷ (rU HVTS = 3.319 * 1.060 ÷ 0.1179 HVTS = g) 0.06 $60.72 Horizon value of Tax Shields is larger due to increased debt level. 26-39 Revised Value of Tutwiler Panel C: APV Model Cash Flows with Increased Debt 12 Free Cash Flow $3.2 $3.2 $5.6 $6.4 Horizon Value of FCF $124.4 Total FCF Value (Unlevered) 13 $6.8 $3.2 $3.2 $5.6 $6.4 $131.2 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.0 3.3 $88.7 Interest tax savings = INT(T) Horizon Value of tax savings $60.7 Total Tax Shield $2.0 $2.4 $2.8 $3.0 Value(Tax Shield) $44.3 Total Value of Firm $133.0 Minus Value of current debt $27.0 r(sU) 11.793% Revised Value of Equity $106.0 g= 6% $64.0 26-40 Recap: Value of Tutwiler Equity TUTWILER Equity Total Per Sh Current Value of Equity $62.5 $6.25 Original Merger Value $83.1 $8.31 APV Approach Revised $106.0 $10.60 26-41 Merger Payment Cash Shares in acquiring firm Debt of the acquiring firm Combination 26-42 Bid Structure Effects Capital structure of post-merger firm Tax treatment of shareholders Ability of target shareholders to benefit from post merger gains Federal & state regulations applied to acquiring firm 26-43 Tax Consequences Shareholders Taxable Offer Payment = primarily cash or bonds IRS views as a “sale” Target shareholders taxed on gain Original purchase price vs. Offer price Taxed in year of merger 26-44 Tax Consequences Shareholders Non-taxable Offer Payment = primarily stock IRS views as an “exchange” Target shareholder pay no taxes at time of merger Taxed at time of stock sale Preferred by shareholders 26-45 Tax Consequences Firms Non-taxable offer Simple merger of balance sheets Continue depreciating target’s assets as previously Taxable offer – depends on offer type Offer for target’s assets Offer for target’s stock 26-46 Tax Consequences Firms Taxable Offer for Target’s assets Acquirer pays gain on offer – asset value Acquirer records target’s assets at appraised value Depreciation based on new valuation “Goodwill” = offer – new valuation Amortized over 15 years/straight line 26-47 Tax Consequences Firms Taxable Offer for Target’s Stock 2 Choices of tax treatment 1. Record acquired assets at book value and continue depreciating on current schedule 2. Record acquired assets at appraised value and generate goodwill 26-48 Figure 26-1 26-49 Purchase Accounting Purchase: Assets of acquired firm are “written up or down” to reflect purchase price relative to net asset value Goodwill often created An asset on the balance sheet Common equity account increased to balance assets and claims 26-50 Table 26-4 26-51 Income Statement Effects Table 26-5 26-52 Goodwill Amortization Goodwill amortization: No longer amortized over time for shareholder reporting Still amortized for Federal Tax purposes Goodwill subject to annual “impairment test” If fair market value has declined, then goodwill is reduced 26-53 The Role of Investment Bankers Arranging mergers Identifying targets Developing defensive tactics Establishing a fair value Financing mergers Arbitrage operations 26-54 Defensive Tactics “Super Majority” 1/3 of Directors elected each year 75% approval for merger versus simple majority Convince target price is too low Raising anti-trust issues Open market repurchase of stock to push price up Finding a “White Knight” Finding a “White Squire” Taking a “Poison Pill” ESOP plans 26-55 Poison Pills Any technique used to discourage hostile takeovers Borrowing on terms that require immediate repayment if acquired Selling desirable assets at low prices Granting lucrative “golden parachutes” Allowing current shareholders to buy shares at reduced prices 26-56 Risk Arbitrage “Arbitrageurs” or “arbs” Speculation in likely takeover targets Insider trading scandals Ivan Boesky 26-57 Who Wins? Takeovers increase the wealth of target firm shareholders Benefit to acquiring firm debatable “Event Studies” – Target stock price 30% for hostile tender offers 20% for friendly mergers 26-58 Alliances versus Acquisitions Access to new markets and technologies Multiple parties share risks and expenses Rivals can often work together harmoniously Antitrust laws can shelter cooperative R&D activities 26-59 Leveraged Buyout (LB0) Small group of investors buys all publicly held stock Takes the firm private Group usually includes management Purchase often financed with large amounts of high-yield debt Investors take firm public to “cash out” 26-60 Advantages and Disadvantages of Going Private Advantages: Administrative cost savings Increased managerial incentives Increased managerial flexibility Increased shareholder participation Disadvantages: Limited access to equity capital No way to capture return on investment 26-61 Types of Divestitures Sale of entire subsidiary to another firm “Spin-off” “Carve-out” Spinning off a corporate subsidiary by giving the stock to existing shareholders Selling a minority interest in a subsidiary Outright liquidation of assets 26-62 Motivation for Divestitures Subsidiary worth more to buyer than when operated by current owner Settle antitrust issues Subsidiary’s value increased operated independently Change strategic direction Shed money losers Get needed cash when distressed 26-63 Holding Companies Corporation formed for sole purpose of owning the stocks of other companies Typically, subsidiary companies: Issue their own debt Equity held by the holding company Holding company sells stock to individual investors 26-64 Advantages and Disadvantages of Holding Companies Advantages: Control with fractional ownership Isolation of risks Disadvantages: Partial multiple taxation Ease of enforced dissolution 26-65