AY202a Galaxies & Dynamics Lecture 24: Cosmological Distance Ladder The Hubble Constant: H0 = *current* expansion rate = (velocity) / (distance) = (km/s) / (Megaparsecs) named after Edwin Hubble who discovered the relation in 1929. The story of the Hubble Constant (never called that by Hubble!) is the “Cosmological Distance Ladder” or the “Extragalactic Distance Scale” Basically, we need distances & velocities to galaxies and other things. Velocities are easy --- pick a galaxy, any galaxy, get spectrum with moderate resolution, R ~ 1000 (i.e λ/R ~ 5Å) N.B. R = Linear Reciprocal Dispersion, get line centroids to ~ 1/10 R ~ 0.5Å/5000Å ~ 1 part in 104 ~ 30 km/s Distances are Hard! Hubble’s original estimates of galaxy distances were based on brightest stars which were based on Cepheid Variables Distances to the LMC, SMC, NGC6822 & eventually M31 from Cepheids. Find the brightest stars and assume they’re the same (independent of galaxy type, etc.) Lemaitre 1927 Hubble 1929 Oort 1932 Baade 1952 Lemaitre 1927 Hubble 1929 Oort 1932 Baade 1952 deVaucouleurs ‘76 Cosmological Distance Ladder DV++ 102 +/- 5 S&T 52 +/- 2 !!! Une construction solide et durable pour atteindre H0 Fukugita, Hogan & Peebles 1993 Cosmological Distance Ladder Find things that work as distance indicators (standard candles, standard yardsticks) to greater and greater distances. Locally: Primary Indicators Cepheids MB ~ -2 to -6 RR Lyrae Stars MB ~ 0 Novae MB ~ -6 to -9 RR Lyraes Cepheids Pretty Good Distance Indicators --- Standard Candles from the Leavitt Law (PL) relation: L ≈ P3/2 PLC relation MV = -2.61 - 3.76 log P +2.60 (B-V) but ya gotta find them! H0 circa 1929 ~ 600 km/s/Mpc Wrong! 1. Hubble’s galactic calibrators not classical Cepheids. 2. At large distances, brightest stars confused with star clusters. 3. Hubble’s magnitude scale was off. Galactic/LMC Calibration of Leavitt Law H-band version Welch et al P-L Relation, LMC Calibrate Cepheids via parallax, moving cluster = convergent point method, expansion parallax Baade-Wesselink, main sequence (HR diagram) fitting. Secondary Distance Indicators Brightest Stars (XX??) Tully-Fisher (+ IRTF) Planetary Nebulae LF Globular Cluster LF Supernovae of type Ia Supernovae of type II (EPM) Fundamental Plane (Dn-σ) Faber-Jackson Surface Brightness Fluctuations Red Giant Branch Tip Luminosity Classes (XXX) HII Region Diameters (XXX) HII Region Luminosities (???) • Tully-Fisher Basis for TF = L vs Vrot Law The Back-of-the-Envelope (BOTE) approach: ½ mv2 = GMm/r (A ha!) Assume M/L ~ constant M ~ L v2 ≈ 2GLC/r (where C = M/L) but we also have L = <μ> π r2 mean surface brightness For Spiral Galaxies, empirically <μ>B ~ constant ~ 21.65 mag/sq-arcsec = Freeman’s Law thus r = (L/π<μ>) ½ v2 1/2 = 2GC(π<μ>) L/L1/2 = 2GC (π<μ>)1/2 L1/2 so L~ 4 v (4G2C2) π <μ> A more complete and general derivation of the L ~ v4 law involves assuming self-similarity among most spiral galaxies. You can find the derivation in AHM (1979) Surface Brightness Fluctuations Tonry & Schneider Image by J. Tonry SBF in practice Tonry & Schneider ’88 M32 vs NGC3379 Baade-Wesselink --- EPM EPM = Expanding Photospheres Method Basically observe and expanding/contracting object at two (multiple) times. Get redshift and get SED. Then L1 = 4πR12σT14 & L2 = 4πR22σT24 and R2 = R1 + v δt (or better ∫ vdt) Dn-σ PNLF GCLF MV ~ -7.3 σ ~ 1.4 magnitudes From MW + M31 M31 IR Nantais TRGB = Tip of the Red Giant Branch M31 TRGB in LMC MI(TRGB) = -3.63 + 0.68[Fe/H] + 0.26[Fe/H]2 (Bellazzini et al ’04) Sharp cut-off at the bright end of the RGB Luminosity Function measured using an “edge” detector Jj Jjj Jjjj Jjj Jjj Jjj Jjj jjj HST H0 Key Project Team • Aaronson et al. 1985 Mould et al. 1989….. HST Servicing Mission STS61 December 1993 Cepheid Light Curves N1326a Matching P-L Relations IC4182 (HST) MW (Ground) ITF Calibration SBF Calibration SN Ia Calibration Some Convergence! Warts! Systematic Errors in LMC distance (PL-calibration) !!! ~10% Flow Field Corrections Basic Photometry Chemisty Statistical Errors in Fits to the Data Calibrators LMC Distance Chemistry [Fe/H] not the same everywher e as LMC Global (High z) Methods Sunyaev-Zeldovich Effect CMB modified by hot intracluster gas δT/T ~ ∫ ne k Te dl Gravitational Lensing Time delay between two (or multiple) images depends on path length difference which can be tied to a gravitational model for the lensing galaxy/cluster . SDSS Lenses H0 from CMB requires lots of priors! (i.e you have to input the cosmological model…) (Tegmark) Riess et al 2009 NGC3982 Redo cepheids vs N4258 Maser Galaxy 74 km/s/Mpc Age of the Universe: Ages of the Oldest things: stars, galaxies, star clusters Cosmological expansion age : ~ (1/H0) x geometric factors Ages of the World Cooper’s Chronicle 1560 Bishop Ussher 1658 Globular Star Cluster M15 Just 15 years ago GC ages were quoted as 16-18 Gyr! ! “Well, this should give us some valuable insight into the origin of the Universe!” “Because that’s the way it is.” GUTS Inflation Ω = 1.0000000000 Globular Cluster Ages! • Change in the He triple alpha reaction rate He4 + He4 + He4 = C12 • 1997 Hipparcos recalibration of the subdwarf distance scale - 10% more distant • Small change in the cosmic He abundance Chaboyer et al. 1998 Ages of the Oldest Globular Clusters Cosmological Age Calculation For models w/o a Cosmological Constant, for q0 = 0 -1 t0 = H0 q0 = ½ -1 t0 = (2/3)H0 q0 > ½ -1 t0 = H0 (1/(1-2q0) + ..) where q0 = W/2 (if L = 0) For the general case (with a CC), the full form is: t0 = 0 -1 -H0 ∫∞ (1+z)[(1+z) (Wmz+1) – 2 (WLz(z+2))] -1/2 dz and a good approximation is t0 = -1 -1 1/2 (2/3) H0 sinn [(|1-Wa|/Wa) ] 1/2 / |[1-Wa]| Where Wa = Wmatter -0.3*Wtotal + 0.3 and sinn-1 = sinh-1 = sin-1 if if Wa </= 1 Wa > 1 (from Carroll, Press and Turner, 1992) Also, for a flat model with L, -1 t0 = (2/3)H0 -1/2 1/2 1/2 WL ln[(1+WL )/(1-WL) ] The Age of Flat Universes H0/ΩΛ 0.0 0.6 0.7 0.8 55 65 70 75 11.9 10.0 9.4 8.7 15.1 12.7 11.9 11.1 17.1 14.5 13.6 12.6 18.5 16.2 15.1 14.0 Where Ωtotal = 1.00000…, and the ΩΛ = 0 models are the Standard CDM models in Gyr JPH’s Favorite Guess Today: H0 = 74 +/- 5 km/s/Mpc The Universe is going to expand forever Its current age is around 13.5 Billion Years, and There is a good chance its FLAT with a Cosmological constant = Omega(Lambda) ~ 0.7 when all the systematics are included. Next progress will probably be made locally with a better Cepheid calibration. • Gold’s Law: Complex problems often have simple, easy to understand, wrong solutions. Irwin’s Maxim: • Things are only simple when you don’t know very much. Yogi’s Caution: It ain’t what you don’t know, Its what you know that ain’t so. (originally S. Clemens = M. Twain) Myths Biases “Traditional Wisdom” can lead you down the garden path. Tarzan’s Dilemma: Don’t miss the forest for the trees. Keep the Big Picture in mind. Ask clear questions. Know why you asked them. Remember your assumptions! (and communicate them) “To My Data, Right or Wrong!” Lets go have some ice cream!