INCOME MODEL MULTIPLIER M.POURHOSSEINI MACROECONOMIC BACKGROUND • IN THIS TUTORIAL WE REVIEW SOME BASIC MACROECONOMIC AGGREGATES • The purpose is to provide the students whose first degree is not economics with some basic tools • Multiplier THE DETERMINATION OF NATIONAL INCOME • The multiplier: introduction – the circular flow of income and effects of changes in injections A simplified circular flow of income model A simplified circular flow of income model J=I+G+X A simplified circular flow of income model J=I+G+X Incomes A simplified circular flow of income model J=I+G+X Incomes Cd W=S+T+M THE DETERMINATION OF NATIONAL INCOME • Equilibrium national income – withdrawals equal injections – income equals expenditure • The multiplier: introduction – the circular flow of income and effects of changes in injections – definition of the multiplier: DY/DJ THE DETERMINATION OF NATIONAL INCOME • The multiplier: the withdrawals and injections approach – graphical analysis: shift in the J line The multiplier: (a) a shift in injections W, J W a O Ye1 J1 Y The multiplier: (a) a shift in injections W, J W b J2 a O Ye1 J1 Ye2 Y The multiplier: (a) a shift in injections W, J Multiplier = DY / D J = DY / DW = c - a / b- c W J2 J1 O b DJ DW a Ye1 DY J2 c J1 Ye2 Y THE DETERMINATION OF NATIONAL INCOME • The multiplier: the withdrawals and injections approach – graphical analysis: shift in the J line – the formula: 1 / mpw or: 1 / (1 – mpcd ) THE DETERMINATION OF NATIONAL INCOME • The multiplier: the withdrawals and injections approach – graphical analysis: shift in the J line – the formula: 1 / mpw or: 1 / (1 – mpcd ) – numerical illustration THE DETERMINATION OF NATIONAL INCOME • The multiplier: the withdrawals and injections approach – graphical analysis: shift in the J line – the formula: 1 / mpw or: 1 / (1 – mpcd ) – numerical illustration – the withdrawals multiplier The multiplier: (b) a shift in withdrawals W, J W1 a O Ye1 J Y The multiplier: (b) a shift in withdrawals W, J W1 W2 O a c Ye1 Ye2 J Y The multiplier: (b) a shift in withdrawals W, J Multiplier = DY / DW = c - a / a- b W1 W2 a c DW b O Ye1 DY Ye2 J Y THE DETERMINATION OF NATIONAL INCOME • The multiplier: the withdrawals and injections approach – graphical analysis: shift in the J line – the formula: 1 / mpw or: 1 / (1 – mpcd ) – numerical illustration – the withdrawals multiplier • The multiplier: the income and expenditure approach THE DETERMINATION OF NATIONAL INCOME • The multiplier: the withdrawals and injections approach – graphical analysis: shift in the J line – the formula: 1 / mpw or: 1 / (1 – mpcd ) – numerical illustration – the withdrawals multiplier • The multiplier: the income and expenditure approach – graphical analysis The multiplier: (c) a shift in the expenditure function E, W, J Y E1 O Ye1 Y The multiplier: (c) a shift in the expenditure function E, W, J Y E2 E1 O Ye1 Ye2 Y The multiplier: (c) a shift in the expenditure function E, W, J Y Multiplier = DY / D J = c - a / b- a E2 E1 c DY b DJ a O Ye1 Ye2 Y THE DETERMINATION OF NATIONAL INCOME • The multiplier: the withdrawals and injections approach – graphical analysis: shift in the J line – the formula: 1 / mpw or: 1 / (1 – mpcd ) – numerical illustration – the withdrawals multiplier • The multiplier: the income and expenditure approach – graphical analysis – numerical illustration THE DETERMINATION OF NATIONAL INCOME • The multiplier: some qualifications – deriving the mpcd from the mpc – effects of changes in one injection or withdrawal on other ones • Relationship between the 45° line diagram and the AD and AS diagram Showing the multiplier effect on the 45o line and AD/AS diagrams Y Cd, W, J E1 O Ye Y Showing the multiplier effect on the 45o line and AD/AS diagrams P AS AD1 O Y Y Cd, W, J E1 O Ye Y Showing the multiplier effect on the 45o line and AD/AS diagrams P AS AD1 O Y Y E2 Cd, W, J E1 O Ye Ye2 Y Showing the multiplier effect on the 45o line and AD/AS diagrams P AS AD1 O AD2 Y Y E2 Cd, W, J E1 O Ye Ye2 Y