Neoclassical Theory Problems With Classical Theory • Labor Theory of Value unrealistic • Assumption of constant opportunity costs too restrictive • Demand is largely ignored Increasing Opportunity Cost • The PPF is bowed out, not a straight line • This is because resources are not equally suited to all kinds of production The PPF with Increasing Opportunity Costs Y PPF X Production Possibilities Frontier • Slope of a tangent line at any point along the PPF is – the marginal rate of transformation, or – the opportunity cost of the horizontal axis good, or – MCX/MCY The PPF with Increasing Opportunity Costs Romance Novels 53 50 A The opportunity cost of the 16th journal article is more than that of the 6th. B Therefore, the PPF must be bowed out. C 30 D 15 5 6 15 16 Econ. Journal Articles The Relative Price Line • The price of good X in terms of good Y is represented by the slope of a downwardsloping straight line The Relative Price Line Here X is relatively cheap (Px/Py is small) Y Slope = Px/Py X The Relative Price Line Here X is relatively expensive (Px/Py is big) Y Slope = Px/Py X Producer Equilibrium • Producers will choose to produce where the relative cost of producing one more unit of X is just equal to the relative price at which the producer can sell a unit of X • That is, equilibrium occurs where MCX/MCY = PX/PY The PPF with Increasing Opportunity Costs Y PPF X Producer Equilibrium Y At point E, MCX/MCY = PX/PY E Autarky Price Line PPF X Producer Equilibrium Y Q MCX/MCY At point Q, MCX/MCY < PX/PY, so more X and less Y will be produced PX/PY PPF X Producer Equilibrium Y At point Z, MCX/MCY > PX/PY, so less X and more Y will be produced MCX/MCY Z PX/PY PPF X Producer Equilibrium • Neither Q nor Z can be equilibria • Only when MCX/MCY = PX/PY will equilibrium be attained (that is, only at point E) Preferences: Including the Demand-Side • The aggregated preferences of a country can be represented by community indifference curves Community Indifference Curves Y A B X Community Indifference Curves Y Consumers are indifferent between pt. A and pt. B, and all other pts. on the CI A B X Community Indifference Curves Y Consumers are indifferent between pt. A and pt. B, and all other pts. on the CI A There are many, many CIs each representing higher or lower levels of consumer satisfaction B X Community Indifference Curves Y CI4 CI3 CI2 CI1 X Consumer Equilibrium • Given relative prices (PX/PY), consumers will choose a combination of X and Y that puts them on the highest possible community indifference curve Consumer Equilibrium Y Price line E CI4 CI3 CI2 CI1 X Autarky Equilibrium • In equilibrium, supply and demand jointly determine PX/PY, and therefore how much X and Y is produced (and consumed) Autarky Equilibrium Y E Y1 Community Indifference Curve PPF X1 X Production in Trade • Let’s suppose that Country A has a comparative advantage in good X • What will happen to the relative price of good X as Country A moves to trade? • It will rise (otherwise, Country A would not wish to produce more of good X in order to export it) Production in Trade Y E Y1 E' Y2 Autarky Price Line Int’l Price Line X1 X2 X Production in Trade Steeper int’l price line means PX/PY has increased Y E Y1 E' Y2 Autarky Price Line Int’l Price Line X1 X2 X Trade Equilibrium Y Y3 Y2 C' F X3 E' X2 X Trade Equilibrium Y Y3 Country A exports X3X2, and imports Y3Y2 C' imports Y2 F E' exports X3 X2 X Movement From Autarky to Trade (Country A’s Perspective) • Movement to trade causes relative price of good X to rise • Higher relative price of X triggers a shift in production: more X will be produced, less Y • Higher relative price of X lowers consumption of X, raises consumption of Y • Extra X is exported, shortfall in Y is met by imports Countries A and B Together • Let’s continue to suppose that A has a comparative advantage in good X • Therefore, B must have a comparative advantage in good Y • It must also be true that (PX/PY)A < (PX/PY)B Autarky in Countries A and B Y Country A Y Country B (PX/PY)A E Y1 e Y4 (PX/PY)B X1 X X4 X Autarky to Trade in A and B Y Country A Y Country B (PX/PY)T E Y1 Y4 X1 X e X4 X Production in Trade in A and B Y Country A (PX/PY)T Y5 Y1 Country B Y E Y4 e' e E' Y2 X1 X2 X X5 X4 X Consumption in Trade in A, B Y Country A Y5 C' Y1 Country B Y E Y4 e' e c' E' Y2 X1 X2 X X5 X4 X Exports, Imports in A and B Y Country A Y1 Y2 e' Y5 C' Y3 Country B Y Exp. E e Y4 Y6 Imp. c' E' F Imp. Exp. X3 X1 X2 X X5 X4 X6 X Minimum Conditions for Trade • Trade will be mutually advantageous as long as the two countries’ APRs differ • This can occur because of: – differences on the supply side, or – differences on demand side, or – both Identical Demand Conditions • Suppose that the citizens of Country A have the exact same tastes and preferences as the citizens of Country B • Then their community indifference curves would be identical • Autarky prices will still differ between the countries as long as the countries differ on their supply sides Identical Demand Conditions Y Country B’s PPF Country A’s PPF X Identical Demand Conditions Y (PX/PY)B CI1 e Y4 E Y1 X4 X1 (PX/PY)A X Identical Demand Conditions (PX/PY)T Y CI1 Y5 Y4 f e E Y1 Y3 F (PX/PY)T X5 X4 X1 X3 X Identical Demand Conditions (PX/PY)T Y CI1 Y5 f C’,c' Y2 CI2 Y3 F (PX/PY)T X5 X2 X3 X Identical Demand Conditions • Even if demand conditions are the same, differences in supply conditions would cause differences in APRs across countries, and so: • Trade could still be mutually advantageous • Implicitly, this is what is going on in the Classical model Identical Supply Conditions • What if two countries have identical technologies and resource endowments? • Then their PPFs would be identical • The Classical model would predict no trade, but what does the Neoclassical model show? Identical Supply Conditions Y PPF for both countries X Identical Supply Conditions Y Y1 (CI1)A E (PX/PY)A e Y4 (PX/PY)B (CI1)B X1 X4 X Identical Supply Conditions Y Y1 E Y3 E’, e' e Y4 X1 X3 X4 (PX/PY)T X Identical Supply Conditions Y Y2 Y1 C' E Y3 E’, e' e Y4 Y5 c' X2 X1 X3 X4 X5 X Identical Supply Conditions Y Y2 C' A’s imp. Y3 Y5 E’, e' F A’s exp. B’s exp. c' f B’s imp. X2 X3 X5 X Identical Supply Conditions • Even if supply conditions are the same, differences in demand conditions would cause differences in APRs across countries, and so: • Trade could still be mutually advantageous • This was not a possibility in the Classical model, because it assumed away demand