ECMC02 – Week 11 More General Equilibrium Analysis THE PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES FRONTIER From the contract curve in the production box. Tradeoff between X and Y at cost-minimizing points along the contract curve. 1 PPF - all technically efficient combinations of X and Y that can be produced with a fixed amount of resources (i.e., of L and K). Points inside the PPF are inefficient; points outside the PPF are unattainable. 2 The (absolute value of the) slope of PPF is MRTXY = -(dY/dX) - the marginal rate of transformation of good X for good Y. It measures the rate at which the economy can (efficiently) transform good Y into good X, by reallocating resources from one to the other. It can also be described as the opportunity cost of X in terms of Y. 3 For example, we could have this PPF: Y = 14 – (X/6) – (X2/12) , 0<=X <= 12 Then dY/dX = - 1/6 – 1/6(X), so the MRT = 1/6 + 1/6(X) 4 Values of X 0 1 2 4 6 8 12 Values of Y 14 13 ¾ 13 1/3 12 10 7 1/3 0 5 MRT = -dY/dX 1/6 2/6 3/6 5/6 7/6 9/6 13/6 The Marginal Rate of Transformation of good X for good Y is equal to the ratio of the marginal costs of the two goods MRTXY = MCX/ MCY. As more Y is produced, the marginal cost of Y increases and the marginal cost of X falls. This gives us the increasing cost PPF, or concave PPF (bowed outwards). 6 The PPF shows us the many possible combinations of X and Y that are technically efficient. How, then, do we find the efficient product mix? This is not technical efficiency. Instead relationship between preferences and costs. In other words, the efficient product mix must have the MRS of every consumer equal to the marginal rate of transformation (the rate at which consumers just value X in terms of Y is equal to the cost of transforming Y into X. Therefore, the product mix is not efficient unless MRS for all consumers = MRT. 7 Why must this condition be met? Assume it isn’t. Then, perhaps, MRTXY = 1 while consumers have MRSXY = 2. That means the ratio of the marginal costs of the two goods is equal to 1 (the opportunity cost of X = 1 unit of Y), but consumers are willing to give up 2 units of Y and take 1 unit of X in exchange and stay equally happy. Therefore, the economy could give up producing 2 units of Y, produce 2 units of X instead, and make consumers happier. 8 Will a competitive equilibrium give us an efficient product mix? We are now looking at the decision of firms about how much to produce. In perfect competition a producer will keep on producing until P = MC (profit maximization). If each firm does this then: PX/ PY = MCX/ MCY. But consumers will each set MRSXY = PX/ PY . So in the final competitive equilibrium: MUX/MUY (=MRSXY) = PX/PY= MCX/MCY (=MRTXY) A competitive general equilibrium gives efficiency in consumption, in production, and in product mix. 9 REVIEW (a) competitive equilibrium in exchange will give MRSPXY = PX/PY = MRSMXY (consumers will adjust consumption to reach the contract curve) (b) competitive input markets will give MRTSXLK = MRTSYLK (firms will trade inputs to reach contract curve) (c) competitive producers will adjust output until MCX = PX and MCY = PY (firms profit maximize in choosing amount of output). (d) As a result, firms choose the mix of output such that PX/ PY = MCX/ MCY MUX/MUY = PX/PY = MCX/MCY 10 Example: from Problem Set, Question #4 Assume that PPF is X2 + 12Y = 432 Utility function aggregated over all individuals in society (or one person): U = XY What is the pareto-optimal mix of products in this economy? What amount of utility (in utils) will society get? 11 Set up Lagrangean ℒ = XY + λ(432 – X2 – 12Y) Take the partial derivatives of this function and set equal to zero to find constrained maximum 12 The optimal product mix is therefore X = 12 and Y = 24. Here the MRS = MRT (check). At these values, U = XY = 12 x 24 = 288 utils 13 Second part of this question asks what happens if there is a possibility of international trade. Let’s look at this issue graphically. 14 Second part of Question #4 Assume that X and Y can trade internationally on a 1-for-1 basis. Will this country trade? How much will it trade? How much will it produce of X and Y? How much will it consume of X and Y? What will be the effect on utility? Trade on a 1-1 basis says that this country can trade its surplus X produced for an equal number of units of Y (from international trade). In mathematical terms, XP – XC = YC – YP. The two constraints to the problem are the PPF and the set of international prices. The PPF affects production and the international prices affect consumption and production. 15 Set up Lagrangean ℒ = XCYC + λ(432 – XP2 – 12YP) + γ(XP – XC - YC + YP) Take the partial derivatives of this function and set equal to zero to find constrained maximum 16 HOW WILL AN EXCISE TAX AFFECT EQUILIBRIUM? V Z 17 Of course, there will be a chain of effects, but the immediate effect of the tax (let us say a tax on good Y) will be to change the relative price ratio which affects the behaviour of producers. If there is a tax of t (where t is a proportion) then the price ratio which was PX/ PY will become PX/ (1 – t)PY. This will be a steeper price line than before, encouraging producers to change their output mix until PX/ (1 – t)PY = MCX/ MCY . In other words, producers will want to move around to point Z from point V (i.e. away from the original equilibrium). Point Z will have more X and less Y than the original equilibrium. 18 However, although producers see this new price ratio, consumers will see a different price ratio (there is a wedge driven between the prices paid by consumers and those received by sellers). The marginal rate of transformation will be different than the (common) marginal rates of substitution. The result is not pareto optimal. There is too much X and too little Y in the product mix, but it is an equilibrium. Note the new conclusion. A tax on one product will cause too little production in that market, but too much in the other market!!! 19