ACC3200 Incremental Analysis for Short-Term Decision Making Learning Objectives Describe the five steps in the decision-making process Define and identify relevant costs and benefits Analyze a special-order decision. Analyze a make-or-buy decision Analyze the decision to eliminate an unprofitable business segment Analyze a sell-or-process further decision. Prioritize products to maximize short-term profit with constrained resources 7-3 Steps in the Decision-Making Process Improve future decisions 7-4 Relevant versus Irrelevant Costs and Benefits Relevant costs are costs that will change depending on the alternative selected. Relevant costs are also called differential costs, incremental costs, or avoidable costs. 7-5 Relevant versus Irrelevant Costs and Benefits Irrelevant costs are costs that do not differ between alternatives. Costs that have been incurred in the past. (sunk costs) Costs that are the same regardless of the alternative chosen. 7-6 Opportunity Costs and Capacity Considerations An opportunity cost is a benefit that is given up when one alternative is selected over another. At capacity, adding additional work requires giving up a portion of the existing work. The benefit of the existing work given up is an opportunity cost. With idle capacity, additional work may be added without sacrificing existing work. There is no opportunity cost to the additional work. 7-7 Special-Order Decisions A special order is a one-time order that is not considered part of the company’s normal ongoing business. When analyzing a special order, only the incremental costs and benefits are relevant. 7-8 Special-Order Decisions A major university has asked Mattel to make a special University Barbie, dressed in a sporty outfit with the school’s logo and colors. The university bookstore has offered to buy 25,000 of these dolls at a price of $7.00 each. Mattel has the capacity to fill the order without affecting production of other Barbie products, which are normally sold to toy stores and discount chains for $9.00 each. More Information 7-9 Special-Order Decisions Mattel estimates that its unit cost to produce the University Barbie will be: Direct materials Direct labor Variable manufacturing overhead Fixed manufacturing overhead Total manufacturing cost Unit Cost $ 3.50 1.00 0.50 2.50 $ 7.50 Should Mattel accept the special order? 7-10 Incremental Analysis (with Excess Capacity) Incremental Analysis of the Special Order for 25,000 University Barbie Dolls Incremental Revenue Less Incremental Costs: Direct materials Direct labor Variable Overhead Fixed Overhead Total Incremental Cost Incremental Profit Per Unit $ 7.00 Total $ 175,000 3.50 1.00 0.50 5.00 2.00 87,500 25,000 12,500 125,000 $ 50,000 $ 7-11 Qualitative Analysis Mattel should assure themselves the special-order price of $7.00 would not lead other customers, purchasing through regular channels, to expect a price reduction from $9.00 to $7.00. Mattel would not want to use this type of analysis to make long-run pricing decisions, because in the long run, prices must cover all costs, including fixed costs, if the company is to be profitable. 7-12 Incremental Analysis (without Excess Capacity) Direct materials Direct labor Variable MFG Overhead Fixed MFG Overhead Total Manufacturing Cost The opportunity cost is the contribution margin lost on regular sales. Unit Cost $ 3.50 1.00 0.50 2.50 $ 7.50 Regular sales price Variable cost Contribution margin Variable cost = $5.00 Per Unit $ 9.00 5.00 $ 4.00 7-13 Incremental Analysis (without Excess Capacity) Incremental Analysis of the Special Order for 25,000 University Barbie Dolls Incremental Revenue Per Unit $ 7.00 Less Incremental Costs: Direct materials Direct labor Variable Overhead Fixed Overhead Opportunity cost of lost sales Total Incremental Cost Incremental Profit $ 3.50 1.00 0.50 4.00 9.00 (2.00) Total $ 175,000 87,500 25,000 12,500 100,000 225,000 $ (50,000) 7-14 Make-or-Buy Decisions A decision to make a part or provide a service internally rather than to buy externally from a supplier is called a “make-or-buy” decision. Make-or-buy decisions are also called insourcing versus outsourcing decisions. 7-15 Make-or-Buy Decisions Mattel is trying to decide whether to continue packaging the American Girl doll “in-house” or outsource the packaging process to an external supplier. Mattel’s packaging costs for the dolls are: Internal Cost of Packaging 200,000 American Girl Dolls Packaging Materials Packaging Direct Labor Indirect Materials Packaging Supervision Other Fixed MFG Overhead Total Packaging Cost Annual Cost $ 300,000 90,000 60,000 50,000 200,000 $ 700,000 Unit Cost $ 1.50 0.45 0.30 0.25 1.00 $ 3.50 The outside supplier bid $3.00 per doll for the packaging work. Should Mattel outsource the packaging? 7-16 Make-or-Buy Decisions • The agreement with the outside supplier includes a 3-year contract for a minimum of 200,000 units per year. • All costs directly related to the packaging activities, including all direct and indirect materials, labor, and supervision, would be avoided if the packaging is outsourced. • Other total fixed manufacturing overhead costs would remain unchanged. • The factory space that is now used for packaging could be used to expand production of a popular product line. The expansion would generate an additional $150,000 in profit per year. 7-17 Incremental Analysis Relevant Costs of Packaging 200,000 Units per Year Supplier's Price ($3.00 per unit) Packaging Materials ($1.50 per unit) Packaging Direct Labor ($0.45 per unit) Indirect Materials ($0.30 per unit) Packaging Supervisor Profit from Expanding Another Product Line Total cost Internal Costs $ 300,000 90,000 60,000 50,000 $ 500,000 Outsourced Costs $ 600,000 $ (150,000) 450,000 7-18 Qualitative Analysis • What is the supplier’s level of quality and reliability? • What happens if demand for the product drops below 200,000 units or rises significantly higher than 200,000? Does the supplier have the capacity to meet the increased demand? Will the price be higher or lower for any additional or fewer units? • What happens in three years? Will the price of packaging increase significantly? Returning to internal packaging will be difficult after the space is converted to another use. • What if the predicted profit to be generated by expanding the other product line has been substantially over- or underestimated? • Does outsourcing the packaging create any additional risks, such as loss of sensitive information to the supplier that could result in a competitive disadvantage for Mattel? 7-19 Decisions to Eliminate Unprofitable Segments One of the most important decisions managers make is whether to continue or eliminate a business segment, such as a product or a store. A segment is a candidate for elimination if its revenues are less than its relevant (avoidable) expenses. 7-20 Decisions to Eliminate Unprofitable Segments Mattel has three versions of its Power-Wheels batterypowered vehicles. The company is considering eliminating the Barbie Mustang product, because it has shown a loss for the past few years. Considerations before eliminating the Barbie Mustang: • What costs (and revenues) will be affected by the decision? • Will the costs (and revenues) of other product lines be affected by the decision? • Are there any opportunity costs to consider, such as alternative use of facilities? 7-21 Decisions to Eliminate Unprofitable Segments Segmented Income Statement for the Power-Wheels Product Lines Jeep Wrangler 4X4 Sales Revenue $ 500,000 Variable Costs 200,000 Contribution Margin 300,000 Direct Fixed Costs 50,000 Segment Margin 250,000 Common Fixed Costs* 100,000 Profit Margin $ 150,000 Barbie Mustang $ 150,000 100,000 50,000 40,000 10,000 30,000 $ (20,000) Dora the Explorer Jeep $ 350,000 140,000 210,000 30,000 180,000 70,000 $ 110,000 $ $ Total 1,000,000 440,000 560,000 120,000 440,000 200,000 240,000 * Common fixed costs are allocated based on a percentage of total sales revenue. Should Mattel drop the Barbie Mustang? 7-22 Decisions to Eliminate Unprofitable Segments • Elimination of the Barbie Mustang will eliminate the revenues, variable costs, and direct fixed costs for the Barbie Mustang product. • Elimination of the Barbie Mustang will increase sales of the Dora the Explorer Jeep by 10%, with no effect on the Jeep 4X4. • Total variable costs of the Dora the Explorer Jeep will also increase by 10 % as a result of the increased sales. • Total common fixed costs will not be affected by the elimination of the Barbie Mustang. They will be reallocated to the remaining products based on total sales dollars. 7-23 Incremental Analysis Segmented Income Statement for the Power Wheel Product Lines After Elimination of the Barbie Mustang Jeep Wrangler 4X4 Sales Revenue $ 500,000 Variable Costs 200,000 Contribution margin 300,000 Direct Fixed Costs 50,000 Segment Margin 250,000 Common Fixed Costs* 113,000 Profit Margin $ 137,000 Dora the Explorer Jeep $ 385,000 154,000 231,000 30,000 201,000 87,000 $ 114,000 Total $ 885,000 354,000 531,000 80,000 451,000 200,000 $ 251,000 * Allocated based on a percentage of total sales revenue. 7-24 Incremental Analysis Let’s look at an approach that focuses on only the relevant items for the decision. Relevant Cost and Revenue Approach Elimination of Barbie Mustang Lost Sales Reduced Variable Costs Reduced Direct Fixed Costs Lost Segment Margin $ (150,000) 100,000 40,000 Effect on Dorer Explorer (10% increase) Increased Sales ($350,000 × 10%) $ 35,000 Increased Variable Costs ($140,000 × 10%) (14,000) Increased Contribution Margin Net Increase in Profits from Eliminating the Barbie Mustang $ (10,000) $ 21,000 11,000 7-25 Qualitative Analysis What if the expected increase in sales of the Dora the Explorer Jeep has been overestimated or underestimated? • Will the elimination of the Barbie Mustang free up resources (people, space, or machines) that could be used in another way? • Can the company introduce another product that will yield more than $11,000 in incremental profit? • Are there any other opportunity costs associated with keeping the Barbie Musting? 7-26 Sell-or-Process Further Decisions Businesses are often faced with the decision to sell partially completed products or to process them to completion and hopefully sell them at a higher price. As a general rule, we process further only if incremental revenues exceed incremental costs. Costs of manufacturing the product up to the sell-orprocess decision point are sunk and therefore irrelevant. 7-27 Sell-or-Process Further Decisions Mattel has developed a new toy, spending a total of $250,000 on R&D. Demand for the new toy is estimated to be 100,000 units at a price of $15 per unit. If the company spends an additional $100,000 on R&D to enhance the toy, it could be sold for $18 per unit. However, the enhanced toy would have a slightly higher manufacturing cost. The following table gives us the information we need to decide between the current design and the enhanced design. 7-28 Sell-or-Process Further Decisions Estimated Demand Estimated Sales Price (Per Unit) Estimated Manufacturing Costs (Per Unit) Direct Materials Direct Labor Variable Manufacturing Overhead Fixed Manufacturing Overhead Total Unit Manufacturing Costs Research and Development Costs Current Design 100,000 units $ 15 Enhanced Design 100,000 units $ 18 $ $ $ 3.00 1.50 0.50 2.00 7.00 $ 4.25 1.75 0.75 2.00 8.75 $ 250,000 $ 350,000 Should Mattel sell the product as it is currently designed, or spend more money to create an enhanced design? 7-29 Sell-or-Process Further Decisions Increased Sales Revenue 100,000 units × ($18 – $15) Increased Manufacturing Costs 100,000 units × ($8.75 – $7.00) Increased R & D Costs Increased Profit $ 300,000 $ (175,000) (100,000) 25,000 Mattel will make an additional $25,000 in profit by enhancing the product. 7-30 Prioritizing Products with Limited Resources When a limited resource restricts a company’s ability to satisfy demand, the company is said to have a constrained resource that is referred to as a bottleneck. To maximize profits in the short run, a company with a bottleneck must prioritize its products or services so as to maximize contribution margin per unit of the constrained resource. The focus is on contribution margin instead of segment margin because fixed costs will not change in the short run, and are not relevant. 7-31 Prioritizing Products with Limited Resources One of Mattel’s factories produces three types of toy cars, Match Box, Hot Wheels, and Remote Control with the following financial and production information. Unit Sales Price Unit Variable Costs Unit Contribution Margin Match Box $ 5.00 2.00 $ 3.00 Hot Wheels $ 15.00 7.00 $ 8.00 Remote Control $ 25.00 10.00 $ 15.00 Machine time required (minutes per unit) 6 minutes 10 minutes 20 minutes 10,000 10,000 10,000 60,000 minutes 100,000 minutes 200,000 minutes Monthly demand (units) Total Machine Requirements 7-32 Prioritizing Products with Limited Resources Unit Contribution Margin Machine time required (minutes per unit) Match Box $ 3.00 ÷ 6 minutes Hot Wheels $ 8.00 ÷ 10 minutes Remote Control $ 15.00 ÷ 20 minutes Contribution margin per minute of machine time $0.50 per minute $ 0.80 per minute $ 0.75 per minute 7-33 Prioritizing Products with Limited Resources Priority Production Machine time required (minutes per unit) Total Machine Requirements Match Box 3 5,000 units Hot Wheels 1 10,000 units 6 minutes 10 minutes 30,000 minutes 100,000 minutes Remote Control 2 10,000 units 20 minutes 200,000 minutes End of Topic 7