Bucharest, 16-17 May 2013 SOME GENERAL ASPECTS ON DAIRY CATTLE IN ROMANIA H. GROSU, I.N.C.D.B.N.A.-BALOTESTI ITEMS • AGRICULTURAL LAND; • AGRICULTURAL CONTRIBUTION ON GDP; • CONTRIBUTION OF ANIMAL HUSBANDRY TO AGRICULTURAL SECTOR; • EVOLUTION OF THE LIVESTOCK; • MILK PRODUCTION; • MILK CONSUMTION; • EVOLUTION OF THE FORAGE SUPPLY; • SOME CONTRIBUTIONS OF THE IBNA INSTITUTE TO SUPPORT THE DAIRY SECTOR IN ROMANIA Agricultural land, by destination 16000 14000 14709.3 14702.3 14684.9 14635.5 13298 12000 10000 8000 9423.3 9415.1 9422.5 9405 8305 6000 4000 4861.4 4862.4 4841.8 4818.5 424.6 421.8 420.6 412 182 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 4494 2000 0 suprafata agricola Arabil Pasuni+fanete Altele Contribution of agriculture, forestry and fishery to the GDP 6.9 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.1 5.9 6 5.8 5.7 5.5 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Contribution of animal production to the total agricultural production 45 43.9 43 41.6 41 39.1 39 38.3 37 37.2 37.1 36.1 35 34.9 34.5 33 31 31.6 30.4 29 27 25 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2010 Livestock numbers 1989-2012 Evolution EVOLUTION of the total livestock and of the origin livestock in 1989 – 2012 (Source: INS, MADR 2013) – mil. animals Origin livestock per county, %, in 2013 (Source, MADR 2013) Evolution of cattle farm size, 2007 - 2012 (Source, MADR 2013) 80 72.44 69.61 70 64.32 59.72 59.43 60 58.05 50 40 30 30 30.57 29.35 26.43 22.59 21.25 20 10 4.02 4.83 2.3 5.77 2.98 6.52 3.49 4.05 6.41 4.53 6.89 0 2007 2008 % 1-2 capete din total 2009 %3-20 capete din total 2010 % 21-100 capete din total 2011 % peste 100 capete din total 2012 4.49 EVOLUTION of the proportion of artificial insemination in 1992 – 2012 (Source: ANARZ, 2013) 80 76.8 73.4 70 60 54 50 47 45 54 46 46 2007 2008 53 54 47 40 40 36 38 36 30 20 1992 1995 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2009 2010 2011 2012 EVOLUTION of the cows in MILK RECORDING in 1995 – 2012 (Source: ANARZ, 2013) 12 10.73 10 9.84 9.56 8.88 7.94 8 6.26 6 5.29 5.51 5.63 5.64 5.66 4 2 1.75 1.91 2011 2012 1.32 0 1995 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Livestock production 2001-2012 Average production per animal EVOLUTION of the average milk production – liters/cow, in 1989 – 2012 (Source: INS, MADR 2013) 4000 3807 3688 3493 3653 3564 3510 3540 3500 3371 3263 3133 3014 3000 2500 2595 2245 2000 1958 1500 1989 1991 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 MILK YIELD/COW IN SOME COUNTRIES (Source: EUROSTAT, 2011) 12000 10000 9616 9583 9118 8152 8131 7595 8000 7570 7103 7011 6773 6000 3583 4000 2000 M a an i Ro m rit an ie ar ea B de Jo s ia Ta ril e Ja po n a nl an d Fi ad a Ca n em ar ca Su SU A Is ra el ed ia Da n Co r ee a de Su d 0 Top 10 herds belonging to RGCA Total lactation 305 D lactation (EM) No. HERD County No. cattle 1 HEJJA GERGELY I.I. Covasna 8 11032.2 446.4 368.5 8987.3 365.3 309.5 2 Ferma Badeana Vaslui 48 10572.8 441.0 384.2 9440.9 397.5 332.6 3 SC GHENIA FARM SRL Ialomita 247 9893.6 372.6 336.8 7890.3 297.6 285.0 4 TOP STAR 2000 SRL Covasna 23 9614.2 356.5 310.7 7899.4 293.6 264.1 5 FERMA TARZII Vaslui 94 9206.1 393.1 340.4 7640.5 327.2 290.9 6 AGRO-VET-SRL Covasna 19 9051.2 355.6 287.9 7484.7 295.7 239.9 7 MILK-PROD SRL Covasna 52 7789.6 309.8 256.5 7349.2 291.0 250.7 8 S.C. AGROINVEST SRL I.F. MUNTEANU VIORICA S.C. Horticola International Sevis Iasi 29 7652.3 307.9 257.1 7023.9 284.0 239.3 Iasi 21 7578.1 307.0 257.1 6212.7 252.5 215.5 Sibiu 105 7488.5 295.8 260.6 6386.2 252.6 236.8 9 10 L Kg G Kg P Kg L Kg G Kg P Kg EVOLUTION of the total milk production – thousands hl, in 2001 – 2012 (Source, MADR 2013) 60000 58307 55000 55288 55444 55334 54875 53089 52761 50000 51000 50570 45000 43947 42824 41463 40000 35000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 EVOLUTION of the production of commercial milk – thousands hl, in 2001 – 2012 (Source, MADR 2013) 31000 29000 28834 27000 27629 28197 28000 26868 25937 25000 25310 25006 23000 24017 22321 21000 21462 19000 17000 17433 15000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Forage supply 1990-2012 Cultivated area Total cultivated area – thousand hectares (Source: INS 2012) 9500.0 9247.1 9194.0 9123.5 9073.6 9031.4 9187.0 8946.9 9000.0 8936.1 8854.2 8826.2 8691.5 8848.4 8834.0 8557.9 8500.0 8470.5 8429.3 8000.0 7872.1 7970.9 7896.4 7500.0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Alfalfa + clover – thousand hectares (Source: INS 2012) 600.0 595.8 571.6 509.4 500.0 470.0 464.1 464.0 472.5 467.7 487.6 479.7 476.8 476.3 460.8 455.3 439.1 436.2 400.0 412.9 402.1 300.0 285.1 200.0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Area cultivated with main crops – cereal grains, oleaginous and green forages, % (Source: INS 2013) 80.0 73.5 71.1 69.9 69.8 70.0 65.8 64.8 70.7 69.8 65.8 63.2 60.7 69.3 67.1 66.5 66.0 64.9 62.4 66 66.8 67.3 64.8 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 19.9 20.0 16.2 15.6 14.4 13.7 13.0 12.5 13.3 11.8 12.1 10.0 0.0 6.4 6.5 8.8 11.2 7.3 7.0 8.5 12.6 9.4 13.1 12.5 11.7 10.5 10.4 12.3 11.7 15.0 13.5 14.2 16.4 17.2 18.1 15.8 16.0 13.3 9.7 10.9 9.9 10.6 10.5 10.6 6.5 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Cereale, total Oleaginoase Furaje verzi Consumption of meat, milk and eggs in 2020 [kg.(nr.)/capita/year] Consumption of meat, milk and eggs in 2020 (kg/capita/year) Specification MU 2010 (%) 2020 (%) 2020/2010 (%) Cattle meat Kg 6.6 (11.4) 8.9 (12.40) 35 Sheep meat Kg 1.9 (3.2) 2.4 (3.34) 24 Pig meat Kg 29.9 (51.64) 34.3 (47.77) 15 Poultry meat Kg 19.5 (33.68) 26.2 (36.49) 34.1 Total meat Kg 57.9 (100.0) 71.8 (100.0) 24 Cow milk L 200 300 50 Pcs. 275 293 7 Eggs EU FORAGE CROPS FOR ANIMAL PRODUCTION: PRESENT SITUATION AND PROSPECTS (2020; Source: MADR) To/ha 2010 To/ha Total production 2020 (thousand to) 2010 2020 16 149 24 987 For animal consumption (thousand to) 2010 2020 Area (thousand ha) 2010 2020 5573.26 4777.0 6300.0 TOTAL CEREAL CROPS Corn 4.3 4.5 9060.7 15075 2787.95 2108.7 3350 Wheat + rye 2.7 3.5 5774.2 8400.0 1641.64 2150.5 2400 Barley + two-row barley Soya 2.5 2.75 1314.1 1512.0 1143.67 517.8 550 2.4 2.5 149.9 1250 376.74 63.9 500 Sunflower 1.6 1.7 1267.4 1870 673.21 793.7 1100 Silages 30 20617.94 Fresh forages 7720.33 Hay 3312.36 PROSPECTIVE REQUIREMENT OF CROP AREA FOR ANIMAL NUTRITION (2020) (thousand ha: IBNA data) Forage Corn Wheat + rye Barley Cattle Sheep and goats Total ruminants Total poultry Pigs TOTAL 213,46 149,66 333,95 145,59 127,75 109,76 359,05 277,41 443,71 158,91 117,15 0 190,01 131,69 13,17 707,97 526,25 456,88 697,07 383,10 1080,17 276,06 334,87 1691,10 33% 33% 33% 44% 56% 37% 168,56 225,09 345,23 0 209,41 51,15 243,34 0 377,97 276,24 588,57 0 73,22 148,32 120,89 5,76 0 131,57 133,06 0 451,19 556,13 842,52 5,76 TOTAL PROTEIN FORAGES 738,88 503,90 1.242,78 348,19 264,63 1.855,60 % OF THE TOTAL ARABLE AREA 35% 44% 38% 56% 44% 41% Fresh forages Silage Hay Rooty plants TOTAL BULK FEDS 109.72 346.64 178.63 65.98 700.97 144.85 51.52 35.80 38.55 270.72 254.57 398.16 214.43 104.53 971.69 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 254.57 398.16 214.43 104.53 971.69 % OF THE TOTAL ARABLE AREA 32% 23% 29% 0 0 22% 2136.92 1157.72 3294.64 624.25 599.50 4518.39 TOTAL CEREAL GRAIN CROPS % OF THE TOTAL ARABLE AREA Peas Soya beans Sunflower meal Rapeseed meal Grand total Some Contributions of the IBNA Institute to Support Dairy Cattle Sector in Romania I. Provide a wide range of products for all farm animals species (including dairy cows): - BIOCONS – biological preservative preparation used at forage ensiling - BOVILACT – biological additive used in cattle feeding - Protein-vitamin-mineral concentrates (CPVM) for cattle; Catalogue with vitamin-mineral mixes (ZOOFORT) and premixes Guidebook for assessing the nutritive value of feeds for ruminant Guidebook with diet formulation for dairy cows II. Performs the technologic transfer by marketing a wide range of products for all farm animals species (including dairy cows) and categories developed by animal trials Some Contributions of the IBNA Institute to Support Dairy Cattle Sector in Romania III. Provides various services to farmers: - Chemical analysis of feed; - Chemical analysis of milk (for farmers included in Milk Recorded Schemes); - Estimation of the Breeding Values for dairy cattle belonged to the General Dairy Cattle Association from Romania HISTORY OF GENETIC EVALUATION METHODS IN DAIRY CATTLE (http://www.aps.uoguelph.ca/~lrs/GROSU/BOOK.html ; January 2013) • Horia Grosu, Romania • Larry Schaeffer, Canada • Pascal Anton Oltenacu, U.S.A. • Duane Norman, U.S.A. • Rex Powell, U.S.A. • Valentin Kremer, United Kingdom • Georgios Banos, Greece • Raphael Mrode, UK • Julio Carvalheira, Portugal • Janusz Jamrozik, Canada • Corneliu Draganescu, Romania HISTORY OF GENETIC EVALUATION METHODS IN DAIRY CATTLE (http://www.aps.uoguelph.ca/~lrs/GROSU/BOOK.html ; January 2013) • 1. Genetic Evaluations I. YEARS 1920-1970 2. Daughter-Dam Comparisons 3. Selection Index 4. Contemporary Comparisons 5. USDA Modifed Contemporary Comparisons 6. Cumulative Differences 7. Regressed Least Squares II YEARS 1971-2000 8. 9. 10. 11. Linear Models Sire Models Animal Models . International Models (MACEINTERBULL; UPPSALA) 12. Multiple Traits 13. Test Day Models 14. Genetic Change 15. Threshold Models 16. Survival Analysis III YEARS 2001-present 17. Genomics Era