TURKISH INSURANCE INDUSTRY AND GUNES SIGORTA 26/10/2010 October 2010 1 TURKISH INSURANCE INDUSTRY TURKISH ECONOMY IN 2010 • National Income: GDP : 1.080 Billion TL = 717 Billion USD GDP per capita: 9 728 USD • Inflation: CPI (consumer price index): 6.40 % PPI (producer price index): 8.87 % • Unemployment: 11.4 % • Population: 73,7 million 26/10/2010 June 2011 October 2010 2 TURKISH INSURANCE INDUSTRY MARKET INCOME Premium Income 14.130.276.182 TL, an increase of 15 % compared to 2009 NON LIFE 11.528.123.146 TL which represents 81,58 % of the total premium income and a growth of 14,5 % compared to 2009. LIFE 26/10/2010 June 2011 2.602.153.036 TL which is 18,42 % of the total premium income and a growth of 17,53 % compared 2009. October 2010 3 TURKISH INSURANCE INDUSTRY MILLION USD PREMIUM PRODUCTION (2006-2010) 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 2006 Non Life 5,787 Life 968 Total 6,755 2007 7,380 1,024 8,404 2008 7,849 1,212 9,061 2009 6,770 1,168 7,938 2010 7,935 1,448 9,383 Source: Association of Insurance and Reinsurance companies of Turkey 26/10/2010 June 2011 October 2010 4 TURKISH INSURANCE INDUSTRY PREMIUM INCOME SPLIT 2010 The below graphs shows market share of the branches for 2010. The accident branch, which is mainly consist of motor own damage premium ,is stil the largest one. Credit & Suretyship 0.34% Legal Protection 0.30% Life 15.44% General Liability 2.32% Accident 26.30% MTPL 18.01% Health 12.07% Fire 14.62% General Losses 7.03% Marine 2.88% Air Vehicles & Liability 0.69% Source: Association of Insurance and Reinsurance companies of Turkey 26/10/2010 June 2011 October 2010 5 TURKISH INSURANCE INDUSTRY PREMIUM PRODUCTION IN% OF GBT TOTAL PREMIUM PRODUCTION IN% OF GBT NON-LIFE PREMIUM PRODUCTION IN% OF GBT Source: Association of Insurance and Reinsurance companies of Turkey 26/10/2010 June 2011 October 2010 6 TURKISH INSURANCE INDUSTRY TOTAL PREMIUM PRODUCTION PER CAPITA (USD) Source: Association of Insurance and Reinsurance companies of Turkey 26/10/2010 June 2011 October 2010 7 TURKISH INSURANCE INDUSTRY LIFE & NON LIFE PREMIUM PRODUCTION (TL) 2006-2010 Accident Health Air Vehicles&Liability Marine Fire General Losses MTPL General Liability Credit&Suretyship Legal Protection Total Non-Life Total Life Total 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Change between 2010-2009 3.361 983 0 346 1.585 485 1.479 0 8 26 8.274 1.386 9.660 3.975 1.218 0 365 1.717 619 1.651 0 14 39 9.597 1.412 11.010 3.359 1.327 63 414 1.872 822 2.060 233 37 32 10.199 1.575 11.774 3.214 1.415 104 374 1.994 930 2.249 251 45 36 10.614 1.822 14.436 3.716 1.705 98 407 2.065 993 2.545 328 48 43 11.948 2.181 14.129 15,60% 20,50% -6,50% 8,70% 3,50% 6,80% 13,10% 30% 6,60% 20,70% 12,60% 19,70% 13,60% Source: Association of Insurance and Reinsurance companies of Turkey 26/10/2010 June 2011 October 2010 8 TURKISH INSURANCE INDUSTRY TECHNICAL RESULTS Although overall loss ratio decreased to 67.03% in 2010 from 75.31% from 2009, total non life companies produced a minor technical loss in 2010, while it was 1.04% technical profit in 2009. The main reason of this worsening on technical results comes from MTPL branch, its technical loss reached to 17.22% in 2010 while it was 5.27% in 2009. While loss ratio in Accident and health branches are improving, general liability branch produce a technical loss in 2010. Fire loss ratio improved to 31.46% in 2010 from 63.11 in 2009, which this branch had important flood losses in September 2009. On the other hand overall, new reserving had also high contribution to the worsening of the technical results in 2010. Accident Health Air Vehicles&Liability Fire Marine Credit&Suretyship General Losses Land Vehicles Liability(MTPL) General Liability Legal Protection Total Non-Life 2009 (TL) 2010 (TL) Loss Ratio % Technical Profit % Loss Ratio % Technical Profit % 79,29 -4,05 69,3 1,87 91,81 -8,26 84,47 -2,01 44,21 -0,75 108,76 -5,85 63,11 9,71 31,41 10,07 44,2 30,69 26,16 31,99 84,23 -2,94 2,06 22,31 57,24 8,21 42,08 5,2 83,73 -5,27 97,08 -17,22 80,46 28,32 90,58 -5,58 4,12 57,15 0,97 50,44 75,31 1,04 67,03 -0,04 Source: Association of Insurance and Reinsurance companies of Turkey 26/10/2010 June 2011 October 2010 9 TURKISH INSURANCE INDUSTRY TOP TEN INSURANCE COMPANIES Comparison of Market Shares Rank Non-life Companies 1 Axa 12,71 Ziraat Hayat ve Emeklilik 27,59 2 Anadolu 11,89 Anadolu Hayat Emeklilik 16,38 3 Allianz 8,33 Garanti Emeklilik 4 Ak 7,41 Halk Hayat ve Emeklilik 6,48 5 Yapı Kredi 6,35 AvivaSA 5,70 6 Gunes 6,17 Yapı Kredi Emeklilik 5,03 7 Groupama 5,81 Finans Emeklilik ve Hayat 3,91 8 Ergo 5,81 Vakıf Emeklilik 3,82 9 Eureko 5,18 Allianz Hayat ve Emeklilik 3,41 10 Mapfre Genel 3,45 Deniz Emeklilik ve Hayat 2,77 Top Ten Companies Market Share (%) Life Companies 73,09 Top Ten Companies Market Share (%) 10,74 85,83 Source: Association of Insurance and Reinsurance companies of Turkey 26/10/2010 June 2011 October 2010 10 TURKISH INSURANCE INDUSTRY FINANCIAL RESULTS Non-life companies total return on equity is decreasing as from 2008 and in 2010. This decline is coming fram mainly reduced investment incomes and poor technical results. Profitability of Non-Life and Life Companies over 5 Years (million TL) 9,000 14% 8,000 12% 7,000 10% 6,000 5,000 8% 4,000 6% 3,000 4% 2,000 2% 1,000 0 0% 2006 2007 2008 Net profit Equity Capital 2009 2010 Return on Equity Source: Association of Insurance and Reinsurance companies of Turkey 26/10/2010 June 2011 October 2010 11 TURKISH INSURANCE INDUSTRY CHANGE IN MARKET SHARES Branches ACCIDENT 2010-12 Premium Production (TL) SHARE(%) 2009-12 Premium Production (TL) SHARE(%) CHANGE 598.383.023 5,01 540.446.289 5,09 10,72% HEALTH 1.705.491.729 14,27 1.415.181.842 13,33 20,51% LAND VEHICLES 3.116.553.873 26,08 2.671.260.772 25,17 16,67% 680.830 0,01 152.925 0,00 338,81% 47.397.058 0,40 57.327.385 0,54 -17,32% WATERBORNE VEHICLES 107.866.780 0,90 112.590.114 1,06 -4,20% MARINE 298.641.084 2,50 261.394.034 2,46 14,25% 1.979.817.594 16,57 1.925.464.137 18,14 2,82% 993.472.682 8,31 934.627.948 8,81 6,30% LAND VEHICLES LIABITY 2.544.954.031 21,30 2.249.453.148 21,19 13,14% AIR VEHICLES LIABILITY 50.256.018 0,42 47.104.205 0,44 6,69% 544.021 0,00 374.488 0,00 45,27% 327.658.844 2,74 251.945.709 2,37 30,05% CREDIT 31.775.341 0,27 27.711.707 0,26 14,66% FIDELITY GUARANTEE 16.452.876 0,14 16.641.819 0,16 -1,14% FINANCIAL LOSSES 84.708.056 0,71 65.386.767 0,62 29,55% LEGAL PROTECTOIN 43.349.341 0,36 36.693.364 0,35 18,14% 11.948.003.182 100 10.613.756.654 100 12,57% RAIL VEHICLES AIR VEHICLES FIRE GENERAL LIABILITY WATERBORNE VEHICLES LIABILITY GENERAL LIABILITY NON-LIFE TOTAL Source: Association of Insurance and Reinsurance companies of Turkey 26/10/2010 June 2011 October 2010 12 TURKISH INSURANCE INDUSTRY PREMIUM PRODUCTION PER DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS(%) Non-Life 26/10/2010 June 2011 2009 2010 Direct Sales 6,39 7,46 Insurance Agencies 70,60 69,10 Bank Agencies 12,48 13,40 Brokers 10,56 10,10 October 2010 13 TURKISH INSURANCE INDUSTRY MARKET COMPOSITION As of March 2011, the Association has 64 members. Out of these 64 companies, 62 are insurance (10 life, 14 life and pension and 38 nonlife companies )and remaining 2 are reinsurance companies. INSURANCE AND REINSURANCE COMPANIES Market Composition 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Insurance companies 53 56 59 58 62 Life 21 21 23 22 24 Non life 32 35 36 36 38 Reinsurance companies 2 2 2 2 2 TOTAL 55 58 61 60 64 Source: Association of Insurance and Reinsurance companies of Turkey 26/10/2010 June 2011 October 2010 14 TURKISH INSURANCE INDUSTRY PERFORMANCE OF THE TURKISH REINSURANCE MARKET IN 2010 •The non-profitable motor lines lead most of the insurance companies towards more profitable non-motor lines which in resulted in cheaper pricing to get new market share. • Despite a growth higher than the inflation rate, the sector concluded a consolidated loss for all lines of business combined, on non-life. The non-life industry grew in average app 13,6%. • As for the number of policies, the figure reached 40,1 million in 2010 which is an approximately increase of 19% when compared to 2009. 26/10/2010 June 2011 October 2010 15 TURKISH INSURANCE INDUSTRY PERFORMANCE OF THE TURKISH REINSURANCE MARKET IN 2010 Property (inc. Engineering) Casualty Marine •The free tariff application for earthquake for sum insureds above TL 100 million is perceived well by the clients but not very much so by the market. Also, the advisory tariff for terrorism business is no longer applicable. Even though it may stay as a prerequisite for some treaty acceptances, most of the business in the direct market runs without the assumed rates. The direct market for general casualty business i.e. general third party liability, employers liability etc. is still under heavy competition. Compulsory coverages like medmal and onshore pollution liability finds limited cpacity and interest in international markets. The premium growth in the marine sector in 2010 was 15.56% despite the fact that marine insurance rates fell heavily and the softening trend is expected to continue in 2011 as well. There is enough capacity provided through the local market. 26/10/2010 June 2011 October 2010 16 TURKISH INSURANCE INDUSTRY HIGHLIGHTS Solvency II In Turkey’s EU harmonization process, the Turkish insurance sector has been conducting studies on the implementation of Solvency II. A sample of ten insurance companies were determined to conduct Quantitative Impact Study 4 (QIS 4), which had previously been conducted by the European Commission in EU countries. QIS 5 was also started to be applied from December 2010. Regulation on Technical Reserves There have also been major amendments to the “Regulation on Technical Reserves of Insurance, Reinsurance and Pension Companies”. In this context, a more developed and sophisticated actuarial chain ladder method for the calculation of IBNR reserves has been introduced. 26/10/2010 June 2011 October 2010 17 TURKISH INSURANCE INDUSTRY HIGHLIGHTS Medical Malpractice Medical malpractice insurance became compulsory in Turkey in July 2010. With the introduction of “Compulsory Liability Insurance on Medical Malpractice”, doctors and dentists are required to be covered by professional liability insurance. Doctors working at public or private institutions will pay half their insurance premiums and their institutions will pay the remainder. Doctors working at their own private offices will pay the entire premium. Coastal Facilities Sea Pollution Compulsory Liability Insurance Another compulsory insurance that was introduced in 2010 with the publication of tariffs and procedures is the “Coastal Facilities Sea Pollution Compulsory Liability Insurance. In this context, all coastal facilities (including refineries, gas terminals, power houses, industrial production facilities, shipyards, etc.) are obliged to be covered by insurance against sea pollution. 26/10/2010 June 2011 October 2010 18 TURKISH INSURANCE INDUSTRY HIGHLIGHTS Recent MTPL limits are stated as 20.000/40.000 TL for material damage and for 200.000 TL for bodily injury from 01.01.2011 and those limits are still considered to be low and do not provide enough coverage for insured. Maximum limits for TCIP are increased from 140.000 TL to 150.000 TL as of 01.01.2011 •According to the new law, hospital benefits after traffic accidents will be will be handled and paid by Ministry of Health. Certain percentage of the premium in order to settle the bodily injury claims, which is not yet fixed, will be transfered to Ministry of Health. 26/10/2010 June 2011 October 2010 19 GUNES SİGORTA IN FIGURES 26/10/2010 June 2011 October 2010 20 GUNES SIGORTA IN FIGURES GUNES SIGORTA – PROFILE Corporate name Date of Foundation Authorized Capital Paid Capital : Güneş Sigorta A.Ş. : 17.09.1957 : 300.000.000 TL : 150.000.000 TL SHAREHOLDERS AMOUNT OF SHARE TRY. Türkiye Vakıflar Bankası T.A.Ş. Groupama International Vakıfbank Employees Private Social Security Services T.V.B. Employees Retirement&Health Funds Foundation Stocks offered to the Public Total 26/10/2010 June 2011 October 2010 RATE OF SHARE % 51.336.302 45.000.000 34,22 30 15.000.000 10 7.515.000 5,01 31.148.698 150.000.000 20,77 100 21 GUNES SIGORTA IN FIGURES KEY FIGURES 2010 2009 3.093.601 3.038.702 Total Premium Production 737.368.263 727.074.961 Paid Losses 439.169.040 438.878.201 1,4 2,5 6 5 6,4 7,22 Technical Profit (TL) 19.335.478,00 34.177.927,00 Net Profit (TL) -32.445.443,00 -15.138.120,00 2.654,00 2.439,00 Number of Policies Growth Rate (%) Rank Market Share Number of Agencies 26/10/2010 June 2011 October 2010 22 GUNES SIGORTA IN FIGURES KEY FIGURES Premium Production 2009-2010 Premium Production (TL) 2010 2009 Fire Motor & Misc. Accident 107.059.126 107.838.563 246.450.202 258.118.465 Motor TPL 185.994.659 168.344.839 Health 56.208.419 58.012.183 Others 141.655.857 134.760.911 Total 737.368.263 727.094.668 26/10/2010 June 2011 October 2010 23 GUNES SIGORTA IN FIGURES 26/10/2010 June 2011 KEY FIGURES October 2010 24 GUNES SIGORTA IN FIGURES OUR AGENCY NETWORK YEARS 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 T.VAKIFLAR 355 359 350 322 BANKASI 299 294 292 301 302 340 420 442 538 OTHER BANKS 67 87 90 31 42 65 80 89 107 223 205 271 279 BROKERS 7 10 12 17 23 28 33 39 47 48 54 59 62 EXCLUSIVE 693 703 788 811 AGENTS 867 911 946 965 982 26/10/2010 June 2011 October 2010 1.238 1.421 1.667 1.760 25 GUNES SIGORTA IN FIGURES OUR AGENCY NETWORK Development of Bankassurance Development of Exclusive Agency Network 26/10/2010 June 2011 October 2010 26 GUNES SIGORTA IN FIGURES PREMIUM PRODUCTION BRANCH ACCIDENT HEALTH LAND VEHICLES AIR VEHICLES MARINE HULL MARINE CARGO FIRE GENERAL LOSSES LAND VEHICLES LIABILITY AIR VEHICLES LIABILITY MARINE LIABILITY GENERAL LIABILITY CREDIT SURETYSHIP FINANCIAL LOSSES LEGAL PROTECTION TOTAL 26/10/2010 June 2011 2009 2010 RoC 11.766.597 58.012.183 186.817.241 16.110.728 13.789.280 12.407.099 131.446.919 86.583.946 168.344.839 22.641.888 0 11.351.825 81.957 1.753.856 2.242.524 3.671.127 727.022.010 12.385.895 56.208.419 170.915.777 17.380.629 7.867.247 14.021.249 128.725.398 99.461.272 185.994.659 24.520.206 0 12.263.724 3.814 1.821.641 2.182.841 3.615.494 737.368.263 5,3% -3,1% -8,5% 7,9% -42,9% 13,0% -2,1% 14,9% 10,5% 8,3% 0,0% 8,0% -95,3% 3,9% -2,7% -1,5% 1,4% October 2010 27 GUNES SIGORTA IN FIGURES (Million TL) FINANCIAL INDICATORS 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011-1Q Income Statement Gross Written Premiums 512,4 637,5 709,6 727,0 737,4 230,1 Net Written Premiums 260,9 342,8 373,9 395,0 415,7 109,9 Net Earned Premiums 244,1 290,8 342,6 375,0 409,7 105,9 -196 -233,1 -269,0 -308,6 -341,8 -84,4 Net Commission Expenses -13,2 -14,1 -53,7 -29,4 -41,9 -8,4 Net Technical Profit 29,2 49,4 57,0 30,0 18,4 10,4 General Expenses -31,3 -43,7 -59,5 -62,4 -70,1 -18,2 Profit Before Tax 2,4 10,2 15,7 -16,8 -32,4 -5,3 Net Profit* 2,4 7,0 11,1 -16,8 -32,4 -5,3 Total Assets 401,8 498,7 655,6 736,7 782,7 797,7 Shareholders’ Equity 161,2 197,0 230,1 236,6 242,3 238,9 Net Claims Incurred Balance Sheet 26/10/2010 June 2011 October 2010 28 GUNES SIGORTA IN FIGURES MARKET SHARE DEVELOPMENT Comparison of Top Ten Companies FIRE 2008 2009 2010 Axa 14,88% 15,41% 14,22% Anadolu 12,13% 11,80% 11,49% Ak 7,52% 7,67% 7,11% Allianz 8,99% 9,16% 9,21% Groupama 7,05% 6,86% 4,37% Guneş 7,58% 6,83% 6,50% Yapı Kredi 5,06% 4,72% 5,23% Eureko 6,16% 6,51% 6,38% Ergo 5,85% 5,18% 5,18% Mapfre Genel 3,51% 3,52% 3,12% 26/10/2010 June 2011 MARINE 2008 2009 2010 Axa 9,79% 10,28% 8,79% Anadolu 10,21 10,40% 10,13% Ak 7,77% 6,69% 5,43% Allianz 10,93% 10,27% 9,06% Groupama 5,55% 5,22% 5,27% Guneş 5,21% 4,75% 4,70% Yapı Kredi 3,94% 3,70% 3,72% Eureko 6,07% 6,61% 6,21% Ergo 10,94% 10,17% 10,58% Mapfre Genel 5,88% 5,66% 6,79% October 2010 29 GUNES SIGORTA IN FIGURES MARKET SHARE DEVELOPMENT Comparison of Top Ten Companies 2010 MOTOR TPL 2008 2009 2010 16,24% 14,87% Axa 13,15% 14,69% 20,55% 12,51% 12,98% 15,13% Anadolu 9,19% 10,60% 9,48% Ak 10,06% 9,86% 9,89% Ak 8,33% 7,04% 5,32% Allianz 6,57% 6,40% 6,24% Allianz 5,14% 4,18% 3,65% Groupama 8,32% 8,20% 6,57% Groupama 9,15% 7,29% 6,18% Guneş 7,04% 6,99% 5,48% Yapı Kredi 4,00% 3,73% 4,74% Guneş 7,80% 7,76% 7,53% Eureko 4,11% 3,94% 4,89% Yapı Kredi 2,48% 2,02% 2,18% Ergo 7,67% 7,60% 7,31% Eureko 1,41% 1,63% 2,14% Ergo 12,12% 10,56% 6,82% Mapfre Genel 3,45% 3,86% 3,61% Mapfre Genel 3,72% 3,49% 4,16% LAND VEHICLES 2008 2009 Axa 17,79% Anadolu 26/10/2010 June 2011 October 2010 30 GUNES SIGORTA IN FIGURES MARKET SHARE DEVELOPMENT OF TECHNICAL BRANCHES HEALTH 2008 2009 2010 GENERAL LOSSES 2008 2009 2010 Axa 0,23% 0,71% 3,71% Axa %8,60 % 9,94 % 7,41 Anadolu 10,10% 10,82% 10,31% Anadolu %9,67 % 10,64 % 11,16 Ak 7,74% 8,28% 8,08% Ak %7,55 % 9,23 % 6,47 Allianz 19,10% 18,57% 17,81% Allianz %6,48 % 6,25 % 5,15 Groupama 4,88% 4,91% 5,64% Groupama %10,11 % 9,91 % 9,59 Guneş 4,52% 4,10% 3,30% Guneş %11,29 % 9,31 % 10,01 Yapı Kredi 21,76% 20,11% 19,78% Yapı Kredi %4,67 % 4,64 % 5,56 Eureko 1,94% 1,95% 2,53% Eureko %8,49 % 10,45 % 8,15 Ergo 1,16% 2,75% 3,21% Ergo %4,41 % 2,80 % 3,03 Mapfre Genel 2,19% 2,24% 2,25% Mapfre Genel %4,76 % 4,44 % 4,63 26/10/2010 June 2011 October 2010 31 GUNES SIGORTA IN FIGURES OUR REINSURANCE PANEL Our Treaty Reinsurers European Market Far East Market Middle East Market Facultative Placements Fire Local Engineering Liability Marine 26/10/2010 June 2011 Local & Middle East Markets London Market Local October 2010 32 GUNES SIGORTA IN FIGURES 26/10/2010 June 2011 STRATEGIC FOCUS AREAS October 2010 33 GUNES SIGORTA IN FIGURES TURKISH MARKET REQUIREMENTS Back to back cover As per original policy terms, warranties, clauses and conditions Follow the original settlements/fortune in every respect Subject to Turkish Law, Practice and Jurisdiction 26/10/2010 June 2011 October 2010 34 GUNES SIGORTA IN FIGURES CONTACT INFORMATION GÜNEŞ SİGORTA A.Ş. Güneş Plaza, Büyükdere Cad. No:110 34394 Esentepe-Şişli / İSTANBUL Tel: +90 212 444 19 57 Fax: +90 212 355 64 64 www.gunessigorta.com.tr 26/10/2010 June 2011 October 2010 35 Thank you for your attention 26/10/2010 October 2010 36