City of Almaty • City of Almaty is located in the south-east of the country. As of January 1, 2012 the area is 0.3 thousand square kilometers, the region's population is 1450.3 thousand people. Density of population over the region per 1 km is 4.0 people. • Economy: transport: railway and highways, food, light and heavy industry. • Almaty area is divided into 7 districts. •The main socio-economic indicators of the region for 2011 are provided in the table. As of January 1, 2012 Area, thousand square kilometers Density for 1 square kilometer 0.3 0.0 Share in total RK area, % 4.0 6.1 Index level in RK 1450.3 8.7 Share in total RK population, % 740.9 8.4 Share in total RK EAP, % 699.2 638.1 41.7 8.4 11.4 8.8 121674 90028 Index level in RK 81022 45435 Index level in RK 114.9 117.2 Level in RK 4865.4 17.8 106.8 107.4 532.7 3.3 Share in RK index, % Agriculture total output (services), billion Tenge 1.5 0.1 Share in RK index, % Fixed asset investment, billion Tenge 415.0 8.3 Share in RK index, % 1068.6 27.6 Population, thousand people 2011 Economically active population employed hired labor unemployed Demography: thousand people Region’s population is growing. In 2000 it was 1130 thousand people at the beginning 2012 – 1450 thousand people: 1,500 1362 1,400 1287 1,300 1,200 1,100 1391 1414 1450 GRP, billion Tenge 1325 1248 1130 1129 1209 1132 1150 Monthly average nominal salary, Tenge Nominal population income (estimation), average per capita a month, Tenge Compared to previous year in % 1175 1,000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 CPI (end of period), by December of previous year in % Volume of industrial product, billion Tenge Retail trade, billion Tenge Share in RK index, % Share in RK index, % Share in RK index, % Share in total RK GRP, % Index level in RK Share in total RK index, % 1 Economically active population (EAP) EAP of the region is increasing at a moderate pace and in 2011 it reached 740.9 thousand people. 699.2 thousand people are employed, 41.7 thousand people are unemployed. The economically inactive population made up 388.1 thousand people, it is below the level of 2000: Labor Force Economically active population Including: Economic Employed ally thousand including: inactive people Unemplo populatio yed Hired Selfn labor employed 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 336.6 333.3 344.8 354.4 367.3 372.3 367.6 363.5 383.0 386.4 388.1 556.0 563.3 577.3 602.0 619.1 643.4 677.3 705.5 706.9 722.4 740.9 59.9 54.0 51.6 52.7 52.2 53.0 53.1 51.9 54.6 45.5 41.7 496.1 509.3 525.7 549.4 566.9 590.5 624.3 653.6 652.2 676.9 699.2 388.7 406.3 428.8 454.5 520.9 546.8 580.2 607.3 606.3 620.2 638.1 107.4 103.0 96.9 94.8 46.0 43.7 44.1 46.4 45.9 56.7 61.1 The number of employed population increases and unemployed population falls in both absolute and relative terms. For 10 years, from 2001 to 2011, the employed population has increased from 89 to 94%, while the number of unemployed people has fallen from 11 to 5%. Characteristic feature of the employed population dynamics is the growth of hired labor and the reduction of selfemployed people. From 2001 to 2011 the number of hired labor has increased from 78% to 91%, the number of selfemployed people has fallen from 22 to 9%. EAP structure corresponds to the average in Kazakhstan: EAP Structure in 2001 EAP Structure in 2011 6% 11% Unemploy ed 89% Employed Employed Population Structure in 2001 94% Employed population structure In 2011 Hired labor 22% 78% Selfemployed 9% 91% 2 Unemployment Level Changing the employed population structure is supported by a strong tendency of unemployment rate reduction from 12.1% in 2000 to 5.6% in 2011 and the growth of the economic activity of the population: 70.0 • In 2011 unemployment rate in Almaty was above the average in Kazakhstan – 5.4%: Kazakhstan – 5.4 14.0 City of Almaty Алматы 12.0 East Kazakhstan Восточно-Казахстанская City of Astana Астана 12.1 68.0 10.8 9.6 66.0 5.2 North Kazakhstan Северо-Казахстанская 8.9 8.8 10.0 8.4 8.2 5.4 Pavlodar Павлодарская 5.2 South Kazakhstan Южно-Казахстанская 7.7 7.8 7.4 8.0 6.3 64.0 5.7 Mangistau Мангистауская 5.8 5.5 Kyzylorda Кызылординская 5.6 6.0 Kostanay Костанайская 5.4 Karaganda Карагандинская 62.0 60.0 5.6 5.8 68.9 62.3 62.8 62.6 66.0 63.3 62.9 62.8 64.8 64.9 4.0 65.2 65.6 5.3 Zhambyl Жамбылская 5.5 West Kazakhstan Западно-Казахстанская 2.0 5.3 Atyrau Атырауская 5 Almaty Алматинская 58.0 0.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Economic activity rate, % Unemployment rate, % 5.1 Aktobe Актюбинская 4.9 Akmola Акмолинская 5.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 % 3 Quality of Life Life expectancy at birth in the region is increasing and the values are above the average in Kazakhstan: number of years Some of life quality indicators in 2011: 74.0 72.0 70.0 68.0 66.0 67.8 68.4 68.7 68.2 65.5 65.8 66.0 65.8 69.6 70.5 70.4 71.3 70.9 71.6 Child mortality for 1000 quick-born 17,04 14,84 Maternal mortality for 100,000 quick-born 11 17,4 Number of TB cases registered for the first time, 100,000 68,6 86,8 68.3 68.4 69.0 67.8 67.4 66.2 65.9 66.2 66.3 67.1 64.0 Birth rate for 1000 people 62.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Share of population with income used for consumption below the poverty line is decreasing and it is below the average in Kazakhstan: % 50 46.7 44.5 37.5 40 33.9 31.6 30 18.2 20 12.7 10 0 19.4 13.1 12.1 12.6 10.6 Mortality for 1000 people RK 12.1 8.5 12.1 13.7 8.2 3.0 6.5 2.6 5.3 2.0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Almaty City RK Monthly average in tenge Almaty City RK City of Almaty 17,69 22,50 8,03 8,71 Cost of living has been growing steadily since 2003, and the values are above the average in RK: 20,000 18,638 15,786 15,557 15,000 10,000 5,000 12,282 7,247 7,765 8,752 6,457 6,785 10,089 7,618 8,410 16,233 16,072 13,487 12,660 12,364 9,653 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 Almaty City 2007 2008 2009 RK 2010 2011 4 Enrollment 160 % 18. 140 80 14. 72.5 75.4 76.9 78.7 78.9 78.2 77.3 75.4 74.9 72.9 73.6 20 0 30000 100.6 107.3 113.8 122.5 128.1 134.5 138 127.4 123.9 103.4 101 28 877 25 064 8. 40 35000 12. 10. 60 40000 12.5 24 059 6. 27 049 31 630 20 975 4. 9.5 33 410 25000 8.1 20000 39 43715000 36 939 34 396 10000 2. 5000 . Almaty City RK The number of students in technical and vocational education has been decreasing since 2007, despite an increase of region’s population: 14.0 12.0 10.0 9.2 8.0 6.0 4.0 26,050 2.0 12.6 13.013.4 12.9 12.3 12.2 12.0 11.1 10.7 74,505 72,535 79,190 53,732 63,126 81,194 38,617 35 90,000 80,000 11.8 70,000 60,000 25 31.9 30.8 30.7 28.8 30.1 26.5 26.5 25.4 25.2 25.4 228,838 205,657 20 40,000 15 136,409 30,000 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Almaty City Share in RK 30 The number of students in higher education has been growing at a moderate pace, despite the decrease of region’s population: 50,000 70,910 20,000 72,659 10,000 0.0 % 16.0 people % 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Almaty City Share in RK 10 165,696 189,550 221,442 250000 29.1 187,176 200000 150000 195,221 183,152 186,499 5 people % 100 45000 15.3 15.4 14.914.6 13.913.6 14.9 13.0 16. 120 The number of children in regular preschools has increased since 2001: people Enrollment share of the population aged 6-24 years has increased since 2001 and its values are above the average in RK: 0 100000 50000 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Almaty City Share in RK 5 Population Income Monthly average nominal salary per employee in Almaty for 2011 is 121,674 Tenge, that is above the country’s average – 90,028 Tenge: 0 50000 100000 150000 200000 Tenge The index of the nominal and real incomes showed a decline during the crisis in 20092010. In these years the growth of nominal income was less than the consumer price index, i.e. revenue growth did not cover inflation: 140000 121674 120000 90239 100000 tenge Kazakhstan – 90,028 г. Алматы 121674 City of Almaty г. Астана 132612 City of Astana Восточно-Казахстанская East Kazakhstan 73677 Северо-Казахстанская North Kazakhstan 61712 75338 Pavlodar Павлодарская South Kazakhstan 67721 Южно-Казахстанская Mangistau Мангистауская 151041 Kyzylorda Кызылординская 81518 Kostanay Костанайская 67252 Karaganda Карагандинская 77940 Zhambyl Жамбылская 61825 West Kazakhstan Западно-Казахстанская 87503 Atyrau Атырауская 165975 Almaty 67638 Алматинская Aktobe Актюбинская 79878 Akmola 64495 Акмолинская In the dynamics the average nominal salary per employee and the average nominal income per capita are ever-growing. 78021 80000 60000 39614 49201 59240 28396 32622 24235 29347 23386 17243 20123 20000 14478 40000 106597 95139 41238 69881 71012 70543 51703 38190 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 The average nominal salary per employee, tenge The average nominal income per capita, tenge 135.4 135.2 130.1 140 130 127.2 % 120 119.1 116.6 111.3 107.7 110 100 90 120.4 121.1 107.9 107.5 121.7 116.7 108.5 111.1 110.8 108.7109.6 116.1 116.6 110.8 112 127.1 110.7 101.6 93.5 107.5 112.2 99.3 92.5 108 106.8 80 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Consumer price index The index of nominal income The index of real income 6 Economy • GRP growth in 2011 doesn’t exceed the average growth of total GRP of all the regions of Kazakhstan and makes up 124.8% compared to 2010, against the total value of RK - 126.4%: 25 bln. tenge 6,000.0 22.3 19.7 5,000.0 17.6 4,000.0 20.8 18.8 18.2 18.4 17.5 18.7 18.1 17.8 20 15.97 15 4,896 3,000.0 2,950 3,1753,923 2,676 2,000.0 2,273 1,497 1,102 1,000.0 0.0 10 415 571 5 0 GRP Region's share in total GRP Growth of total GRP in RK – 126.4 г. Almaty Алматы City of 124.8 Астана City ofг.Astana 117.9 Восточно-Казахстанская East Kazakhstan 130.6 Северо-Казахстанская North Kazakhstan 143.0 Павлодарская Pavlodar 148.0 Южно-Казахстанская South Kazakhstan 125.1 Мангистауская Mangistau 117.9 Кызылординская Kyzylorda 120.4 Костанайская Kostanay 688 809 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 region's share in total GRP (%) • Despite the GRP growth, the city’s share in total GRP of all the regions has fallen from 22.3% in 2006 to 17.89% in 2011: 132.5 Карагандинская Karaganda 128.0 Жамбылская Zhambyl Западно-Казахстанская West Kazakhstan Атырауская Atyrau Алматинская Almaty Актюбинская Aktobe Акмолинская Akmola 142.1 126.2 121.2 124.9 125.9 138.1 0 50 100 150 200 % compared to previous year 7 Investment bln. tenge • Fixed assets investment tends to stable significant growth, however, its values have decreased during the crisis in 2009-2011: 600 5 010 4,585 4654 4,211 500 400 0 4,000 2,825 2,421 200 100 5,000 3,392 300 596 54 3,000 493 485 1,704 417 383 398 1,328 334 943 1,100 278 115 6,000 415 2,000 153 166 1,000 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Almaty City % Growth in Kazakhstan in general – 107.7 г.Алматы City of Almaty г.Астана City of Astana 104.3 144.3 Восточно-Казахстанская East Kazakhstan 167.0 Северо-Казахстанская North Kazakhstan 134.7 Павлодарская Pavlodar 112.0 Южно-Казахстанская South Kazakhstan 104.0 Мангистауская Mangistau 99.3 Кызылординская Kyzylorda RK 89.9 Костанайская Kostanay • The share of fixed assets investment in the Kazakhstan’s level of investment has decreased from maximum 16.4% in 2004 to 8.3% in 2011: 20 124.7 Карагандинская Karaganda 119.9 Жамбылская Zhambyl 72.6 Западно-Казахстанская West Kazakhstan 73.0 Atyrau Атырауская 97.4 Almaty Алматинская 15 16.35 10 5 • The growth of fixed assets investment in 2011 didn’t exceed the total average level of RK regions and made up 104.3% compared to previous year against 107.7% in general in RK: 12.16 9.05 13.95 12.52 13.80 121.6 Aktobe Актюбинская 14.78 14.53 105.9 Akmola Акмолинская 11.52 8.35 8.56 8.29 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 114.9 0 50 100 150 200 % compared to previous year 8 Agriculture bln. tenge The volume of production in agriculture has decreased compared to 2000 and made up 1.4 billion Tenge: 3 1,641.4 1,404.5 2 1,600 1,442.6 1,400 1,089.4 2 1.8 1 1,800 2.1 825.6 2.0 763.8 615.4 698.9 557.4 1.5 533.6 402.0 1,200 1,000 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 1 1.2 0.4 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Almaty City RK City of г. Almaty Алматы 0.1 City of Astana г. Астана East Kazakhstan Восточно-Казахстанская North Kazakhstan Северо-Казахстанская 0.1 600 Kyzylorda Кызылординская 0 11.6 4.2 South Kazakhstan Южно-Казахстанская Mangistau Мангистауская 400 10.6 Pavlodar Павлодарская 800 200 0 • The share of the region’s volume of production in agriculture in total Kazakhstan’s volume of industry’s production. In 2010 0.1% of country’s agricultural production was manufactured in the region: 11.4 0.3 3.1 Kostanay Костанайская 14.8 Karaganda Карагандинская 5.8 Zhambyl Жамбылская 4.7 West Kazakhstan Западно-Казахстанская 3.7 Atyrau Атырауская 1.3 Almaty Алматинская 15.1 Aktobe Актюбинская 5.7 Akmola Акмолинская 7.5 0 5 10 15 20 % of total 9 Real Sector bln. tenge The growth of industrial production volumes was observed throughout the study period, excluding crisis years 2008-2009, when manufacturing volumes have decreased: 600 532.7 500 381.8 400 302.8 300 236.4 140.5 200 100 429.5 363.9 82.4 101.8113.3 126 70 69 36 14 114 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Mining industry output Manufacturing output Electricity, gas and water production and distribution Industrial production billion Tenge • The share of industrial production in the Kazakhstan’s level has decreased from 4,6% in 2000 to 3.3% in 2011: 14 12 10.4 8 6 4 2 0 10.9 10.2 10 9.3 11.5 10.9 5.2 4.6 5.1 4.8 5.0 4.8 0.0 4.5 4.6 9.5 8.3 9.7 9.4 4.9 Mln Tenge Share in RK level 2010 Shar e in GRP Construction 212 368 10.9 5.4 Production of food products, beverages and tobacco 162 782 17.8 4.1 Production and distribution of electricity, gas and water 69 877 8.3 1.8 Machine industry 52 395 13.9 1.3 Metallurgic industry and production of finished metal products 44 632 2.6 1.1 36 075 17.8 0.9 28 522 29.9 0.7 Other industries 27 914 92.5 0.7 Chemical industry 11 845 9.5 0.3 Production of rubber and plastic goods 9 882 12.3 0.3 419 360 319 167 0 0 285 338 186.9 353.5 • Real sector industries with the highest values of production in 2010 are construction, production of food products, production and distribution of electricity, machine industry, production of finished metal products and etc. These industries have the significant share in the total production volume of RK and region’s GRP: 3.6 0.0 3.9 3.5 0.0 8.7 3.3 Production of other non-metal mineral production Production of finished metal products other than machine and equipment 0.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 10 Sector Enterprises 15 14 11 17 16 16 14 15 13 13 2,0922,0912,045 1,9272,023 1,851 1,609 1,586 1,5661,441 1,420 500 1,600 1,400 22 23 22 24 24 25 23 18 1,200 19 18 1,000 10 800 600 5 400 965 1,6971,690 1,526 1,4361,393 1,305 1 237 1,092 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Almaty City 0 0 15 10 5 200 0 20 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Almaty City Share in RK 0 Share in RK • The number of working agricultural enterprises is growing: units 120 1.8 1.6 % 1,000 11 15 % units 2,000 units 20 2,500 1,500 • The number of construction companies has increased since 2003, and decreased during the crisis: 1,800 30 % • The number of industrial enterprises has decreased sharply from 2006: 1.3 100 80 60 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.6 1. 0.6 0.7 .8 40 0.4 0.2 20 0 1.6 28 37 29 30 0.3 0.2 9 10 21 0.2 0.2 9 9 17 101 83 .6 .4 .2 . 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Almaty City Share in RK 11 Small and Medium Business • SME share of the region's GRP is growing at a moderate pace and it is above the average level in RK: % • The number of registered legal entities as of October 1, 2012 is 88 853. The SME number is 88 317. The structure of the enterprises number is close to the RK average level: Almaty City 3%1% RK 4% 1% 60 50 40 30.4 31.6 33.4 27.6 30 Small 20 20.3 18.9 19.7 Medium 10 Large 97% 95% - 23.6 18.7 20.3 49.9 43.5 45.5 37.4 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Almaty City RK 12 Interbudgetary Relations Budget revenues of the city of Almaty in 2011 amounted to 312.4 trillion Tenge, including 103.1 trillion Tenge of transfers from the national budget. Expenses amounted to 323 trillion Tenge, including 52 trillion Tenge of transfers the national budget. Thus, the region is subventional: Name Million Tenge Cash execution Revenues including income transfers Expenses including transfers Budget deficit (surplus) 312 423.1 103 131.9 322 967.3 51 988.1 -10 544.2 350000 17326 Million Tenge 300000 250000 -1767.6 5319 -212 946 589 3502.1 814 -667 -9079 50000 -10544.3 0 Deficit (-), surplus (+) 40665 40877 -212 2001 55540 54594 946 2002 48173 47584 589 20000 2003 66731 61412 5319 15000 2004 81119 81786 -667 2005 107296 116375 -9079 2006 156365 155550 814 5000 2007 231279 233516 -2237 0 2008 264789 266557 -1768 -5000 2009 2010 278336 274834 3502 327319 309993 17326 2011 312423 322967 -10544 -2237.4 100000 Costs and financing 2000 10000 200000 150000 Receivables -10000 -15000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Revenues Expenses and credits Deficit (-), surplus (+) 13 Development Program for Almaty City for 2011-2015 Main target indicators: GRP increase by 29% in 2015, compared to the level in 2010. GRP in % to the previous year shall reach 102.8, 103.6, 104.1, 104.7 and 105.5% respectively. An increase of the share of industry in GRP from 5.8 to 8% in 2015 . An increase of the share of the manufacturing industry in GRP from 4.9 to 6.0% in 2015 . The fixed asset investment growth rate shall be 30-35%. Export of agricultural products shall increase by 30%. The number of operating companies in SMEs shall increase to 62%. The share of the population with income below the minimum cost of living shall decrease from 3.9% to 3.5% by 2015. Unemployment rate shall fall from 7.1% to 6.4%. Life expectancy shall increase by 2 years. Coverage of pre-school education of all children under school age shall rise from 30.8% to 72%. 14