Aktobe Region • Region is located in the west of the country. As of January 1, 2012 the area is 300.6 thousand square kilometers, the region's population is 786.3 thousand people. Density of population over the region per 1 km is 2.6 people. • Resource base includes rich reserves of gold, silver, cobalt, potassium salts, fossil linen, kaolin, glass and nonferrous raw materials, natural facing materials, jade and bituminous rocks, and etc. • Administrative-territorial structure of the region includes 12 administrative districts, 8 cities, 4 urban villages. •The main socio-economic indicators of the region for 2011 are provided in the table. Demography: thousand people Region’s population is growing. In 2000 it was 678 thousand people, at the beginning 2012 – 786 thousand people: Population, thousand people 790 770 750 704 730 710 678 670 668 668 672 679 687 757 764 777 786 695 670 650 hired labor unemployed Monthly average nominal salary, Tenge Nominal population income (estimation), average per capita a month, Tenge Compared to previous year in % 11.0 2.6 6.1 786.3 4.7 415.8 395.6 284.5 20.2 4.7 4.8 5.1 4.3 79878 90028 45196 45435 Share in total RK area, % Index level in RK Share in total RK population, % 116.6 117.2 1433.1 5.2 Agriculture total output (services), billion Tenge Fixed asset investment, billion Tenge Share in total RK EAP, % Share in RK index, % Share in RK index, % Share in RK index, % Index level in RK Index level in RK CPI (end of period), by December of previous year in % 106.8 Volume of industrial product, billion Tenge 1253.9 Retail trade, billion Tenge 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 300.6 2011 Economically active population employed GRP, billion Tenge 810 690 As of January 1, 2012 Area, thousand square kilometers Density for 1 square kilometer Level in RK Share in total RK GRP, % Index level in RK 107.4 7.9 116.0 5.1 386.0 7.7 244.1 6.3 Share in RK index, % Share in RK index, % Share in RK index, % Share in total RK index, % 1 Economically active population (EAP) EAP of the region is increasing at a moderate pace and in 2011 it reached 415.8 thousand people. 395.6 thousand people are employed, 20.2 thousand people are unemployed. Economically inactive population made up 152.2 thousand people, it is above the level in 2000: Labor Force Economically active population Economic Including: ally Employed thousand inactive including: people Unempl populatio oyed n Hired labor Self-employed 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 110.3 130.0 133.3 130.1 130.5 131.9 133.1 136.7 139.9 142.0 152.2 364.2 335.0 348.0 365.8 372.9 380.8 387.4 393.8 397.3 399.9 415.8 41.3 34.2 33.7 34.5 34.3 32.5 28.8 25.1 24.1 21.4 20.2 322.8 300.8 314.3 331.3 338.6 348.2 358.5 368.7 373.3 378.5 395.6 175.5 178.8 191.7 200.3 210.0 217.9 225.7 239.8 246.2 256.2 284.5 147.3 122.0 122.6 130.9 128.6 130.3 132.8 128.8 127.1 122.3 111.1 The number of employed population increases and unemployed population falls in both absolute and relative terms. For 10 years, from 2001 to 2011, the employed population has increased from 89 to 95%, while the number of unemployed has fallen from 11 to 5%. Characteristic feature of the employed population dynamics is the growth of hired labor and the reduction of self-employed people. From 2001 to 2011 the number of hired labor has increased from 54% to 72%, the number of self-employed people has fallen from 46 to 28%. EAP and employed population structure corresponds to the average in Kazakhstan: EAP Structure in 2011 EAP Structure in 2001 11% 5% Unemploy ed Employed 89% Employed Population Structure in 2001 95% Employed Population Structure in 2011 Hired labor 28% 46% 54% Selfemployed 72% 2 Unemployment Level The changes of employed population structure are supported by a strong tendency of unemployment rate reduction from 13.3% in 2000 to 4.9% in 2011 and constant level of economic activity of the population: 79.0 14 13.3 11.4 77.0 12 10.2 9.7 75.0 9.4 9.2 10 8.5 Kazakhstan – 5.4 Алматы City of Almaty 5.6 Астана City of Astana 5.8 5.2 Восточно-Казахстанская East Kazakhstan 5.4 Северо-Казахстанская North Kazakhstan 5.2 Павлодарская Pavlodar 7.4 73.0 • In 2011 unemployment rate of the region was slightly below the average in Kazakhstan – 5.4%: 6.4 8 6.0 5.3 71.0 4.9 69.0 6 4 5.7 Южно-Казахстанская South Kazakhstan 5.8 Мангистауская Mangistau 5.5 Кызылординская Kyzylorda 5.4 Костанайская Kostanay 5.3 Карагандинская Karaganda 67.0 65.0 2 68 77 72 72 74 74 74 74 74 74 74 73 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Economic activity rate, % Unemployment rate, % 0 5.5 Жамбылская Zhambyl 5.3 Западно-Казахстанская West Kazakhstan 5 Атырауская Atyrau 5.1 Алматинская Almaty 4.9 Актюбинская Aktobe 5.5 Акмолинская Akmola 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 % 3 Quality of Life Life expectancy at birth in the region is increasing and the values are above the average in Kazakhstan: number of years Some of life quality indicators in 2011: 71.0 68.0 67.0 65.5 65.8 66.0 65.8 66.2 66.2 65.9 66.3 65.0 67.1 67.6 64.0 63.0 Child mortality for 1000 quick-born 12,02 14,84 68.3 68.4 69.0 69.0 66.0 63.9 63.9 63.9 64.3 68.6 69.3 70.2 66.2 65.4 65.7 66.0 Maternal mortality for 100,000 quick-born 17 17,4 Number of TB cases registered for the first time, 100,000 76,4 86,8 Birth rate for 1000 people 62.0 Mortality for 1000 people 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Share of population with income used for consumption below the poverty line is decreasing and it is below the average in Kazakhstan: % 50 46.7 44.5 40 30 20 10 0 37.5 41.4 33.9 36.9 28.5 31.6 28.0 28.7 22,74 22,50 7,34 8,71 RK 18.2 17.2 12.7 10.3 12.1 8.2 7.0 6.3 6.5 6.0 5.3 2.4 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Aktobe region RK Monthly average in tenge Aktobe region RK Aktobe region 70.0 Cost of living has been growing steadily since 2003, but the values are below the average in RK: 18,000 16,000 14,240 14,000 11,674 11,882 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,793 7,275 8,192 6,000 4,000 6,457 6,785 8,883 9,896 8,410 12,405 16,072 13,487 12,660 12,364 9,653 7,618 2,000 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Aktobe region 2008 2009 RK 2010 2011 4 Enrollment % 80 70 9. 72.5 78.4 75.4 76.9 78.7 78.9 78.2 77.3 83.9 81.4 80.8 80.8 83.1 7. 75.4 74.9 6. 72.9 73.6 5.9 5.7 5.6 5.4 5.7 5.6 7.2 6.4 6.2 65 2. 60 1. . 30 000 20 000 21 444 3. 69.5 71.2 35 000 25 000 5. 4. 77.7 76.3 77.1 40 000 7.8 7.4 8. 85 75 The number of children in regular preschools has significantly increased since 2001: people 90 % Enrollment share of the population aged 6-24 years was decreasing from 2005 and its values were below the average in RK in 2010 and 2011: 9 182 8 290 8 702 35 136 14 800 11 807 19 007 15 000 10 000 5 000 24 338 10 328 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Aktobe region RK The number of students in technical and vocational education is increasing: 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.1 5.9 6.3 6.2 6.2 35,000 6.2 27,817 5.9 45,000 6.4 40,000 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.0 6.3 22,287 34,928 38,187 31,821 38,067 38,734 30,000 25,000 20,000 38,503 15,000 10,000 37,335 5,000 16,724 5.8 5.7 5.6 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Aktobe region Share in RK 6.0 % 6.5 people % Share in RK The number of students in higher education has been growing steadily since 2008, but the values are below the level of 2001-2006: 5.6 5.0 5.2 4.5 4.7 40,000 4.9 37,740 4.0 3.0 28,801 29,433 35,037 35,000 4.3 3.5 3.7 20,000 24,335 15,000 23,199 24,808 1.0 4.3 30,000 25,000 33,031 2.0 4.0 4.1 people Aktobe region 26,969 10,000 25,336 0.0 5,000 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Aktobe region Share in RK 5 Population Income Monthly average nominal salary per employee for 2011 is 79,878 Tenge, that is below the country’s average – 90,028 Tenge: 79878 80000 tenge Kazakhstan – 90,028 г. Алматы 121674 City of Almaty г. Астана 132612 City of Astana Восточно-Казахстанская East Kazakhstan 73677 Северо-Казахстанская 61712 North Kazakhstan 75338 Павлодарская Pavlodar 67721 Южно-Казахстанская South Kazakhstan Мангистауская 151041 Mangistau Кызылординская 81518 Kyzylorda Костанайская 67252 Kostanay Карагандинская 77940 Karaganda Жамбылская 61825 Zhambyl Западно-Казахстанская 87503 West Kazakhstan Атырауская 165975 Atyrau 67638 Алматинская Almaty Актюбинская 79878 Aktobe 64495 Акмолинская Akmola 0 50000 100000 150000 200000 Tenge In the dynamics, the average nominal salary per employee and the average nominal income per capita are ever-growing. 90000 The index of the nominal and real incomes showed a decline during the crisis in 2009. In 2009 the growth of nominal income was less than the consumer price index, i.e. revenue growth did not cover inflation: 69726 70000 60000 50271 50000 34851 40000 56090 40905 29482 24702 23848 21078 18125 16982 19347 13750 20000 8264 9752 11351 10000 60375 35010 33710 38761 41238 30000 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 The average nominal salary per employee, tenge The average nominal income per capita, tenge 150 141.7 140 130 119.5 120 % 110 121.1 118.0 116.4 111.9 111.5 109.9 123.5 113.9 115.3 117.5 124.5 113.0 96.3 106.6 100 90 127.7 105.6 106.7 106.2 106.9 106.4 107 114.5 108.2 115.0 115.9 107.3107.6 90.6 106.8 105.8 107.4 80 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Consumer price index The index of nominal income The index of real income 6 • GRP shows the growth in the dynamics either in absolute or in relative terms: bln. tenge 1,600.0 1,200.0 5.4 5.1 1,400.0 5.4 5.1 4.8 4.54 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.0 1,478 5.0 5 4.5 4 1,000.0 800.0 3 872 600.0 679 1,174 854 2 517 400.0 413 200.0 0.0 6 118 147 180 237 1 296 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 GRP Region's share in total GRP region's share in total GRP (%) Economy • GRP growth in 2011 is slightly below the average growth of total GRP of all RK regions and makes up 125.9% compared to 2010, against the total value of RK - 126.4%: Growth of total GRP in RK – 126.4 г. Almaty Алматы City of 124.8 Астана City ofг.Astana 117.9 Восточно-Казахстанская East Kazakhstan 130.6 Северо-Казахстанская North Kazakhstan 143.0 Павлодарская Pavlodar 148.0 Южно-Казахстанская South Kazakhstan 125.1 Мангистауская Mangistau 117.9 Кызылординская Kyzylorda 120.4 Костанайская Kostanay 132.5 Карагандинская Karaganda 128.0 Жамбылская Zhambyl Западно-Казахстанская West Kazakhstan Атырауская Atyrau Алматинская Almaty Актюбинская Aktobe Акмолинская Akmola 142.1 126.2 121.2 124.9 125.9 138.1 0 50 100 150 200 % compared to previous year 7 Investment bln. tenge • Fixed assets investment tends to a stable significant growth: 450 6,000 400 4,5854654 4,211 350 300 200 150 50 0 5,000 4,000 3,392 2,825 2,421 250 100 5 010 596 41 1,704 1,328 1,100 943 62 83 116 131 184 187 3,000 225 287 313 364 386 2,000 1,000 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Aktobe region RK • The share of fixed assets investment in the Kazakhstan’s level of investment has increased from 6.9% in 2000 to 7.7% in 2011: 8.72 % 9 9 8 8 7 7 6 6 5 7.51 6.90 6.56 • The growth of fixed assets investment in 2011 was below the total average level in RK regions and made up 105.9% compared to previous year, against 107.7% in general in RK. This tendency can be explained by the base effect from the stronger decrease of investments in 2010 in the region compared to RK level: 7.83 7.71 7.69 7.61 6.62 6.64 6.82 6.82 Growth in Kazakhstan in general – 107.7 104.3 City ofг.Алматы Almaty г.Астана City of Astana Восточно-Казахстанская East Kazakhstan Северо-Казахстанская North Kazakhstan 167.0 134.7 Павлодарская Pavlodar Южно-Казахстанская South Kazakhstan Мангистауская Mangistau 112.0 104.0 99.3 Кызылординская Kyzylorda Костанайская Kostanay Карагандинская Karaganda Жамбылская Zhambyl Западно-Казахстанская West Kazakhstan Атырауская Atyrau Алматинская Almaty Актюбинская Aktobe Акмолинская Akmola 89.9 124.7 119.9 72.6 73.0 97.4 121.6 105.9 114.9 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 144.3 50 100 150 200 % compared to previous year 8 Agriculture bln. tenge • The share of the region’s volume of production in agriculture in total Kazakhstan’s volume of industry’s production. In 2010 5.7% of country’s agricultural production was manufactured in the region: The volume of production in agriculture was increasing until 2009, decreased in 2010 to 82.3 billion Tenge: 100 1,641.4 90 1,404.5 80 70 825.6 50 40 30 Алматы City of г. Almaty 0.1 1,600 1,442.6 г. Астана City of Astana 0.1 1,400 East Kazakhstan Восточно-Казахстанская 1,089.4 60 615.4 557.4 533.6 82.3 1,800 1,200 88.1 82.3 763.8 698.9 800 400 45.0 200 10 24.5 0 11.6 4.2 11.4 Южно-Казахстанская South Kazakhstan 0.3 Мангистауская Mangistau 3.1 Кызылординская Kyzylorda 14.8 Костанайская Kostanay 57.3 20 North Kazakhstan Северо-Казахстанская Pavlodar Павлодарская 1,000 600 402.0 10.6 27.0 27.4 20.6 16.7 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 0 5.8 Карагандинская Karaganda 4.7 Жамбылская Zhambyl 3.7 Западно-Казахстанская West Kazakhstan 1.3 Атырауская Atyrau 15.1 Almaty Алматинская Aktobe region RK Aktobe Актюбинская 5.7 Akmola Акмолинская 7.5 0 5 10 15 20 % of total 9 Real Sector The growth of industrial production volumes was observed throughout the study period, excluding crisis year 2009, when the mining industry showed a decrease: bln. tenge 1,400 1,253.9 1,200 800 485.4 600 400 200 0 962.0 881.5 1,000 93.2 112.8140.4 194.8 557.4 657.9 695.2 Mln Teng e 982 740 643 312.5 229 22 26 126 201 54 122 66 40 169 206 46 67 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Mining industry output Manufacturing output Electricity, gas and water production and distribution Industrial production billion Tenge • The share of industrial production in the Kazakhstan’s level has increased from 5.2% in 2000 to 7.9% in 2011: 14 12 11.1 10 6 4 2 10.3 9.2 8.1 8 5.6 6.0 6.9 8.0 5.2 3.7 4.4 8.5 8.4 8.6 6.8 10.0 7.6 5.9 4.3 6.0 • Real sector industries with the highest values of production in 2010 are production of crude oil and natural gas, construction, mining of metal ores, other mining industries, chemical industry, and etc. These industries have the significant share in the total production volume of RK and region’s GRP: 4.1 9.7 7.9 6.4 7.9 6.3 4.4 4.3 Share in Shar RK level e in 2010 GRP Production of crude oil and natural gas 541 142 8.7 46.1 Construction 126 479 6.5 10.8 Metal ores mining 101 301 15.5 8.6 Other mining industries 97 268 22.1 8.3 Maintenance in mining industry 87 770 24.1 7.5 Agriculture 82 276 5.7 7.0 71 662 4.2 6.1 53 585 6.4 4.6 40 698 4.5 3.5 19 216 15.5 1.6 Metallurgic industry and production of finished metal products Production and distribution of electricity, gas and water Production of food products, beverages and tobacco Chemical industry 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 10 600 500 400 3 4 300 200 480 484 4 4 498 542 4 4 520 5 5 5 5 6 5 4 4 576 561 623 622 620 592 3 2 1 100 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Aktobe region 0 • The number of construction companies is increasing: 5 4 4 4 250 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 200 3 3 150 2 243 234 256 235 204 100 2 183 164 169 175 1 50 1 0 0 300 % 700 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Aktobe region Share in RK Share in RK • The number of working agricultural enterprises has been growing since 2009, however, its share has decreased from maximum 5.9% in 2003 to 4.6% in 2011: 300 250 5.6 100 50 7. 5.9 4.6 5. 5.1 278 243 6. 5.5 5.2 200 150 5.9 % 350 units units • The number of industrial enterprises was increasing until 2008 and decreasing from 2008, however, its share in RK level has grown up: %units Sector Enterprises 271 4.2 265 4.1 4.4 4.2 3.9 248 228 222 252 219 4. 288 3. 227 2. 253 0 1. . 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Aktobe region Share in RK 11 Small and Medium Business • The number of registered legal entities as of October 1, 2012 is 12 625. The SME number is 12 528. The structure of the enterprises number is close to the RK average level: • SME share of the region's GRP is growing at a moderate pace, but it’s below the average level in RK: % 40 RK Aktobe region 35 30.4 33.4 31.6 27.6 30 4% 1% 5%1% 25 20 20.3 18.9 19.7 30.0 15 10 Small 5 Medium 13.9 14.2 - Large 2005 95% 94% 22.2 19.4 24.0 12.8 2006 2007 2008 Aktobe region 2009 2010 2011 RK 12 Interbudgetary Relations Budget revenues of Aktobe region in 2011 amounted to 124.9 trillion Tenge, including 60.7 trillion Tenge of transfers from the national budget. Expenses amounted to 128.1 trillion Tenge, including 0,5 trillion Tenge of transfers to the national budget. Thus, the region is subventional: Name Cash execution Million Tenge Revenues including income transfers Expenses including transfers Budget deficit (surplus) 124889.2 60671.1 128082.7 529.4 -3193.5 140000 3508.2 Million Tenge 120000 100000 80000 1931.7 1572 250 60000 13 218 142 -1064 40000 -2693 20000 -1484.6 -2234.1 -3193.5 0 Expenses and credits Costs and financing Deficit (-), surplus (+) 2000 13070 12820 250 2001 17873 17860 13 2002 14434 14216 218 4000 2003 18951 18809 142 3000 2004 23909 24973 -1064 2000 2005 31904 34597 -2693 1000 2006 45424 43853 1572 0 2007 58455 60689 -2234 -1000 2008 89848 86340 3508 -2000 2009 103883 101952 1932 -3000 2010 114581 116066 -1485 -4000 2011 124889 128083 -3194 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Revenues Receivables Deficit (-), surplus (+) 13 Aktobe Region Development Program for 2011-2015 Main target indicators: GRP increase in real terms in 2015 by 1.4 times compared to 2009 level; An increase of the share of manufacturing industry in GRP to 13.1% in 2015 (2009 7.9%). An increase of the share of local content in the procurement of goods of public institutions and organizations, strategic enterprises - up to 62%, procurement of works and services - more than 92%. An increase of the share of non-resource exports in total exports - 45.5% by 2015 (2009 - 31.8%), including export in the agricultural sector to 2.53% by 2015 (2009 1.26%) . Ensure the provision for the number of gasified settlements with the oil-associated (natural) gas to 51.3% of the total number of settlements by 2015. An increase of the labor productivity in agriculture by 1.4 times by 2015 compared to 2009. The life expectancy of the population in 2015 shall be 70.1 years (2009 - 68.19 years); Total mortality in 2015 to be 7.62 per 1,000 people of the population (2009 - 8.46); Coverage of preschool education and upbringing in educational institutions in 2015 shall be 98% (2009 - 64.3%); Reduce the unemployment rate to 5.0% in 2015 (2009 - 6.0%); Reduce the share of population with income below the minimum cost of living to 4.0% in 2015. (2009 - 6.3%); Reduce energy intensity of GRP by 2015 at least by 10%; Reduce emissions of air pollutants by 6.5% in 2015 compared to the level of 2009. 14