Five Gender Gaps in the Labour Market Moazam Mahmood Director Economic and Labour Market Analysis Employment Policy Department ILO Economic Indicators used in Gender-related Measures Earned Income GDI = 𝑓 (life expectancy, education, earned income) RSW = 𝑓 (education, life expectancy, earned income) Labour Market Participation SIGE = 𝑓 (education, life expectancy, share in higher occupations/positions, share in parliament) GEI = 𝑓 (education, economic participation [% of women in total paid job, ratio of female income to male income], empowerment) GGI = 𝑓 (economic participation, education, political empowerment, health and survival) GSI (AGDI) = 𝑓 (social power, economic power [wages and other income, time-use, employment, employment in management, access to resources], political power) GGM = 𝑓 (labour force participation rates, education, life expectancy) Note: Sources of Indices GDI, GEM, GII – UNDP RSW, SIGE – Djikstra GGM, GEM3 – Klasen/Schüler GEI – Social Watch GGI – World Economic Forum GSI (AGDI) – UNECA Hybrid GII = 𝑓 (reproductive health, empowerment, labour force participation) GEM = 𝑓 (representation in senior positions in the economy, power over economic resources [earned income], political representation) GEM3 = 𝑓 (parliamentary representation, economic participation in leadership positions, income shares) Source: Klasen (2013) • - Limitations Measurement of income: wage income often not well-estimated, non-wage income almost impossible to estimate especially in developing countries Economic participation: limited representation of multiple dimensions (unemployment, employment-to-population, labour force participation rates) Not measuring the labour market correctly and sufficiently Global Employment Trends for Women 2012 The report examines the conditions of women’s engagement in the labour market, by analysing the gender gaps for five indicators. • Unemployment Positive gender gap indicates that women are disadvantaged. Closing the gap, convergence, means moving towards zero. Economic indicator of registered distress in the labour market • Employment-to-population ratio Assessment of employment growth rates and discouragement by gender • Labour force participation Demographic and behavioral indicator, indicating increase or decrease of different age groups to the labour market - Demographic change shows impact on the labour market, for example through more women in younger age cohorts dropping out of the labour force for education. - Behavioral change affects the labour market, for example by society and culture choosing to send more of its working-age women into the labour market. • Vulnerability • Sectoral and occupational segregation Economic indicators of job quality Data and Time period - For the economic indicators (unemployment, employment, vulnerability, and segregation) the gaps are examined over the last decade, 2002-2012, with the focus on the crisis. For the demographic and behavioral variable (labour force participation), gaps are examined over the past two decades (1992-2012) as it moves more slowly. Global findings • Gender gap in unemployment - Constant in the period 2002 to 2007, but increased as an impact of the crisis from 2008 to 2012 • Gender gap in employment - Convergence in the period 2002 to 2007, but reversals coinciding with the period of the crisis from 2008 to 2012 in many regions • Gender gap in participation - Convergence in the 90s but constant in the 2000, with increasing gaps in some regions like South and East Asia, Central and Eastern Europe Demographic and behavioral change adding, even over-riding, to the impact of the crisis • Gender gap in vulnerability, occupational segregation - Significant gap for 2012 • Sectoral segregation - Women crowding into service sector, in both developed and developing countries 1. Gender gap in unemployment Figure: Global female and male unemployment, 2002-2017 Male unemployment Female unemployment Male unemployment rate Female unemployment rate 210 7.0 190 6.5 150 0.7 pp 130 6.0 110 0.5 pp 90 5.5 70 50 Unemployment rate (%) Unemployment (millions) 170 5.0 30 10 4.5 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Note: 2012 are preliminary estimates and 2013 onwards are preliminary projections. Source: ILO, Trends econometric models, July 2012. • Before crisis (2002-2007): gap in unemployment rates constant at 0.5 percentage points • Impact of crisis (2008-2012): increase of gap to 0.7 percentage points by 2012 (unemploying 13 million more women) • Projections show no reduction by 2017 1. Gender gap in unemployment: regional variation Figure: Gender gap in unemployment rate by region, 2000-2012 Before Crisis (2002-2007) Regions with low gender gaps in unemployment rate Gender gap in unemployment rate (percentage points) 2.0 South Asia 1.5 Sub-Saharan Africa 1.0 South-East Asia & the Pacific 0.5 0.0 Central & South-Eastern Europe (nonEU) & CIS Developed Economies & European Union -0.5 -1.0 East Asia • Downward trend in the positive gap - Advanced economies - North Africa - South East Asia - Sub-Saharan Africa - South Asia • Increase in the positive gap - Middle East • Negative gender gap - Central and Eastern Europe - East Asia -1.5 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Impact of Crisis (2008-2012) Regions with high gender gaps in unemployment rate Gender gap in unemployment rate (percentage points) 12.5 North Africa 10.5 8.5 Middle East 6.5 Latin America & the Caribbean 4.5 2.5 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Note: 2012 are preliminary estimates. Source: ILO, Trends econometric models, July 2012. 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 • Reversal of convergence and increase in positive gap - South Asia - South East Asia - Africa • Convergence towards zero (from negative gaps) - Advanced economies - Central and Southern Europe • Unaffected by the crisis - Latin America and the Caribbean - Middle East - East Asia 2. Gender gap in employment Table: Gender gap in employment-to-population ratios, 2002, 2007 and 2012 Male employment-topopulation ratio (%) Female employment-topopulation ratio (%) Gap (percentage points) Region 2002 2007 2012p 2002 2007 2012p 2002 2007 2012p WORLD 73.3 73.5 72.7 48.6 49.0 47.8 24.8 24.6 24.8 Developed Economies & European Union 64.5 65.2 61.6 47.7 49.5 48.4 16.7 15.7 13.2 Central & South-Eastern Europe (non-EU) & CIS 61.3 63.0 64.7 44.4 45.2 46.0 16.9 17.8 18.7 East Asia 77.4 76.8 75.4 66.4 65.6 64.0 10.9 11.2 11.4 South-East Asia & the Pacific 78.0 77.7 78.3 54.7 55.1 56.0 23.3 22.6 22.3 South Asia 79.8 79.4 78.5 34.2 33.6 30.4 45.7 45.9 48.1 Latin America & the Caribbean 74.3 75.4 74.8 43.9 47.2 48.8 30.3 28.2 26.0 Middle East 66.3 67.1 68.2 13.7 15.1 15.3 52.6 52.0 52.8 North Africa 66.2 68.1 68.3 16.6 19.7 19.7 49.5 48.4 48.5 Sub-Saharan Africa 70.4 70.5 70.8 57.4 58.9 59.2 12.9 11.7 11.6 Note: 2012 are preliminary estimates; the gap equals the difference between male and female ratios. Source: ILO, Trends econometric models, July 2012. • Before crisis (2002-2007): slight decrease in global gender gap by 0.2 percentage points Decrease seen in… - Developed Economies & EU - South-East Asia & the Pacific - Latin America and the Caribbean - Middle East - North Africa - Sub-Saharan Africa • Impact of crisis (2008-2012): increase in global gap by 0.2 percentage points Increase seen in… - Central & South-Eastern Europe (non-EU) and CIS - East Asia - South Asia - Middle East → Can be explained by employment growth rates by gender 2. Gender gap in employment Table: Global and regional employment growth rates by sex Average over the period: 1992–2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012* Average over the period: 2013–17* 1.6 0.6 0.3 1.1 2.1 2.2 2.0 3.5 2.7 2.6 1.8 1.3 2.2 1.2 1.9 1.8 1.9 4.0 2.4 2.8 1.3 0.3 1.4 0.1 1.8 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.9 2.9 0.5 -3.1 -1.5 0.7 1.7 1.4 0.1 4.2 2.4 2.7 1.5 -0.4 1.8 1.0 2.3 1.6 2.4 3.8 2.3 2.8 1.5 0.5 1.8 0.7 2.0 2.0 1.4 3.0 1.2 3.0 1.4 0.3 1.0 0.7 1.5 1.9 1.5 2.6 1.8 3.0 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.5 1.4 1.8 1.4 2.2 1.9 3.0 1.8 1.1 0.3 1.2 1.9 2.6 3.7 6.2 3.2 3.3 1.6 1.6 2.1 1.2 3.1 -1.1 3.3 3.1 8.6 2.8 0.9 1.1 0.8 -0.2 2.6 -1.1 2.8 -1.9 2.9 3.0 0.4 -1.1 -0.7 0.6 1.7 -1.3 1.4 3.9 2.1 2.8 1.0 0.0 1.3 1.0 2.0 -1.9 3.4 5.0 3.3 2.7 1.4 0.3 1.6 0.5 2.1 2.5 2.0 4.5 -0.3 2.8 1.3 0.3 0.8 0.4 1.6 2.3 2.3 4.0 2.7 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.5 2.1 2.1 3.6 3.1 2.9 Employment growth, male (%) WORLD Developed Economies and European Union Central and South-Eastern Europe (non-EU) and CIS East Asia South-East Asia and the Pacific South Asia Latin America and the Caribbean Middle East North Africa Sub-Saharan Africa Employment growth, female (%) WORLD Developed Economies andEuropean Union Central and South-Eastern Europe (non-EU) and CIS East Asia South-East Asia and the Pacific South Asia Latin America and the Caribbean Middle East North Africa Sub-Saharan Africa Note: 2012 are preliminary estimates; 2013–17 are preliminary projections. Source: ILO, Trends econometric models, July 2012. • Before crisis: Higher employment growth rate for women(smaller base) of 1.8%, compared to men at 1.6% → Decreasing gender gap in employment-to-population ratio • Impact of crisis: Fall of global female employment growth by more than men’s (especially South Asia) → Lower female growth rate for each year of the crisis up to 2012, and projected to continue → Increasing gender gap in employment-to-population ratio In advanced economies, women’s growth rate was lower than men’s over 2011-2012, and projected through 2017 3. Gender gap in Labour force participation Figure: Distribution of female and male labour force participation rates, 1992 and 2012 n=178 Male, 1992 Male, 2012 In the long term, the global gender gap in labour force participation shows convergence in the last two decades. Female, 1992 0.0 10.0 20.0 Female, 2012 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 Labour force participation rate (%) Note: n=number of countries; 2012 are preliminary projections. Source: ILO, EAPEP, 6th edition (July 2012 update). 80.0 90.0 100.0 3. Gender gap in Labour force participation However, all the convergence progress was made in the first decade, 1990s. Table: Gender gap in labour force participation rate, by region, 2002, 2007 and 2012 Male labour force participation rate (%) Female labour force participation rate (%) Gap (percentage points) Region 1992 2002 2012p 1992 2002 2012p 1992 2002 2012p WORLD 80.2 78.1 77.1 52.4 52.1 51.1 27.9 26.1 26.0 Developed Economies & European Union 71.8 69.4 67.5 50.3 51.7 52.8 21.5 17.7 14.7 Central & South-Eastern Europe (non-EU) & CIS 74.1 68.0 70.7 52.6 49.1 50.2 21.5 18.9 20.5 East Asia 84.2 81.4 79.4 71.4 69.1 66.4 12.8 12.4 13.0 South-East Asia & the Pacific 82.6 82.8 81.8 58.4 58.4 58.8 24.2 24.4 23.1 South Asia 84.8 83.3 81.3 36.1 35.8 31.8 48.6 47.5 49.5 Latin America & the Caribbean 82.5 80.3 79.5 43.5 49.6 53.6 39.0 30.7 25.9 Middle East 77.6 73.8 74.3 13.3 17.2 18.7 64.3 56.6 55.5 North Africa 74.4 74.1 74.3 21.8 21.2 24.4 52.6 52.9 49.9 Sub-Saharan Africa 79.0 76.5 76.3 60.3 63.5 64.6 18.6 13.0 11.8 Note: 2012 are preliminary estimates; the gap equals the difference between male and female ratios. Source: ILO, Trends econometric models, July 2012. • 1992 - 2002: Decrease in gap from 28% to 26% because male rates fell by more than women’s rates Gap decreasing or constant in all regions • 2002 - 2012: Constant gender gap because male and female rates fell equally, and regional variation Decrease seen in… Increase(reversal) seen in… - Developed economies & EU - South-East Asia and the Pacific - Latin America and the Caribbean - Middle East - North Africa - Sub-Saharan Africa - South Asia: 2 percentage points - Central & South-Eastern Europe (non-EU) and CIS: 0.6 percentage points - East Asia: 0.6 percentage points Account for the global halt in convergence in the participation gaps 3. Gender gap in Labour force participation Age cohort decomposition • • - In the 1990s, female labour force participation rate has been decreasing in the last two decades for youth, and increasing for adults In the 2000s, Young female LFPR decreased in all regions Adult female LFPR increased in all regions except East Asia, and South Asia Demographic changes and behavioral factors worked to reinforce the negative impact of the crisis. • Reversal of convergence in regions more hit by the crisis, such as the advanced economies and Central and Eastern Europe, as well as regions more hit by demographic and behavioral factors, such as South Asia and East Asia Further complexity: • Increase in LFPR gaps can be due to a desirable: young girls leaving the labour market for education. • Decrease in LFPR gaps can be due to an undesirable: pervasive and persistent poverty, not allowing an option of dropping out of work. Persistent differentials in the quality of employment : vulnerability and segregation 4. Gender Difference in vulnerability In 2012, vulnerability gaps are still pervasive, with a global gender gap at 2 percentage points. Figure: Share of status in total employment by region and sex, 2012 World Central & Developed South Economies Eastern Latin & Europe South-East America & European (non-EU) Asia & the the Middle Union & CIS East Asia Pacific South Asia Caribbean East North Africa SubSaharan Africa Wage and salaried workers (%) F Own-account workers (%) 14.7 M 44.7 39.7 28.6 50.4 F 42.0 19.2 22.0 M 24.0 57.3 M 8.1 19.0 22.7 68.1 F 22.5 64.9 M 15.8 M 44.5 4.0 38.9 64.2 33.2 M 35.5 38.6 46.6 46.9 M 11.7 21.5 30.5 52.6 F 35.8 9.1 79.0 M 14.6 76.4 89.8 M 48.2 M 48.6 0.0 20.0 10.3 25.5 60.0 0.7 25.0 39.5 40.0 2.1 6.3 2.1 83.7 F • Decomposition of vulnerable employment 5.4 18.6 F Share of women in vulnerable employment lower than men’sDeveloped Economies & EU - Central & South-Eastern Europe and CIS 10.9 30.1 F Gap < 10 percentage points - East Asia - South Asia - South-East Asia and the Pacific 8.6 27.6 23.4 F 4.3 23.7 62.4 F Gap > 15 percentage points - North Africa - Middle East - Sub-Saharan Africa 33.7 55.1 F • Big regional differences in vulnerable employment gap Contributing family workers (%) 8.6 80.0 Note: 2012 are preliminary projections. The shares do not add up to 100 because the category for employers is not presented in the figure for the sake of a clear presentation. Source: ILO, Trends econometric models, July 2012. - Share of own-account workers higher for men in all regions - Share of contributing family workers higher for women in all regions, leading to a higher dependency of 100.0 women 5. Gender segregation: Sectoral Sectoral segregation increased over time, with women moving into service sectors, in both developed and developing countries. Table: Employment shares by sector and sex, world and regions (%) Both sexes WORLD Developed Economies & European Union Central & South-Eastern Europe (non-EU) & CIS East Asia South-East Asia & the Pacific South Asia Latin America & the Caribbean Middle East North Africa Sub-Saharan Africa Males WORLD Developed Economies & European Union Central & South-Eastern Europe (non-EU) & CIS East Asia South-East Asia & the Pacific South Asia Latin America & the Caribbean Middle East North Africa Sub-Saharan Africa Females WORLD Developed Economies & European Union Central & South-Eastern Europe (non-EU) & CIS East Asia South-East Asia & the Pacific South Asia Latin America & the Caribbean Middle East North Africa Sub-Saharan Africa Agriculture 2002 2012p 39.7 34.2 5.0 3.8 23.3 19.6 47.6 35.1 48.2 43.1 57.0 50.9 19.6 16.0 21.9 16.7 30.4 30.2 65.7 62.2 Agriculture 1992 2002 2012p 41.2 37.5 32.8 7.2 5.7 4.5 26.6 23.5 19.0 47.7 41.0 31.8 56.9 47.4 42.3 56.3 51.0 44.3 29.1 24.4 20.7 21.2 19.3 14.0 34.6 31.4 29.8 64.4 65.2 61.8 Agriculture 1992 2002 2012p 48.8 43.2 36.4 5.9 4.2 3.0 23.9 23.0 20.3 65.6 55.5 39.0 60.5 49.4 44.2 77.0 71.9 68.9 16.2 11.9 9.0 36.2 35.2 30.3 40.6 26.4 31.8 70.8 66.3 62.5 1992 44.2 6.6 25.4 55.8 58.4 62.1 24.7 23.0 35.9 67.2 Source: ILO, Trends econometric models, July 2012. 1992 21.1 30.5 26.6 23.1 13.7 15.4 22.3 24.1 19.0 8.3 1992 24.6 39.0 32.2 26.7 15.3 16.9 26.6 25.9 21.0 10.4 1992 15.7 19.0 19.8 18.7 11.6 11.8 14.2 11.1 11.4 5.6 Industry 2002 20.2 26.3 25.0 22.4 17.3 17.0 21.5 24.6 19.0 8.0 Industry 2002 23.9 35.6 30.7 25.9 19.5 18.5 26.0 26.8 20.6 9.8 Industry 2002 14.7 14.5 18.2 18.0 14.3 13.1 14.2 13.3 12.7 6.0 2012p 22.1 21.9 26.6 28.4 18.5 21.0 21.8 25.6 21.5 8.6 2012p 25.9 31.3 33.3 31.4 21.0 23.1 27.7 28.1 24.5 10.5 2012p 16.2 10.6 18.3 24.8 15.1 15.4 13.3 13.0 11.2 6.3 Services 2002 2012p 40.0 43.7 68.7 74.3 51.7 53.8 30.1 36.5 34.5 38.4 26.1 28.0 58.8 62.2 53.5 57.7 50.6 48.3 26.3 29.3 Services 1992 2002 2012p 34.2 38.6 41.3 53.8 58.7 64.2 41.2 45.8 47.7 25.6 33.1 36.8 27.8 33.1 36.7 26.8 30.5 32.6 44.3 49.5 51.5 52.9 53.9 57.9 44.3 48.0 45.8 25.2 25.1 27.7 Services 1992 2002 2012p 35.4 42.1 47.4 75.0 81.4 86.4 56.3 58.9 61.4 15.7 26.5 36.2 27.9 36.3 40.7 11.3 15.0 15.8 69.6 73.9 77.7 52.8 51.4 56.7 48.0 60.9 57.0 23.6 27.7 31.2 1992 34.7 62.9 48.0 21.1 27.9 22.5 53.0 52.9 45.1 24.5 2012 snapshot 1/3 of women in agriculture, 1/2 in service, and 1/6 in industry Trends in the last two decades - Industrial share of women has barely changed: women moving out of agriculture into services - In advanced economies, women’s employment in industry halved, crowding 85% of them into services. - In most developing economies, women crowded out of agriculture into services, with the exception of East Asia where women’s employment in industry went up to a quarter. 5. Gender segregation: Occupational Occupational segregation also appeared quite pervasive over time. • Men over-represented in craft and related trades workers, plant/machine operators, and managerial / legislative occupations. • Women concentrated in mid-skills occupations: clerks and service workers, and shop/market sales workers. Figure: Differences in average shares of major occupational groups by sex in selected developed and developing economies, latest year available after 2000 Difference (male minus female) in average shares of major occupational groups (percentage points) 20.0 European economies Developing economies 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 -5.0 -10.0 -15.0 Legislators, senior officials and managers Professionals Technicians and associate professionals Clerks Service workers Skilled Craft and related and shop and agricultural and trades workers market sales fishery workers workers Plant and machine operators and assemblers Elementary occupations Note: The calculation of male–female differentials by occupation is as follows, using major group X: “share of persons employed in major group X in total employment, males” minus “share of persons employed in major group X in total employment, females”. Hence, a positive differential implies that men tend to be concentrated more in the specific occupation in comparison to women. The sample of developed economies comprises 25 countries, and the sample of developing economies 24 countries. Source: KILM, 7th edition, table 5a.