The 2013 Economic Impact of Tourism in Wisconsin Presented April 2014 State Overview Key trends in 2013 The Wisconsin visitor economy continued to expand in 2013 with a 4.5% increase in direct visitor spending. This follows a 4.8% increase in 2012. ■ Wisconsin reached 100 million visits in 2013. ■ Visitor growth in 2013 was the fastest since 2010 as U.S. consumers’ pro-travel attitude reached and surpassed prerecession levels. ■ Day visitation expanded in 2013 as gas prices remained stable. ■ Per trip spending also increased as prices rose in key spending categories and visitors spent more freely. 3 Key findings Visitor spending of $10.8 billion generated $17.5 billion in total business sales in 2013 as tourism dollars flowed through the Wisconsin economy. Tourism activity sustained 185,500 jobs in 2013, both directly and indirectly. These jobs represent 7.8% of total employment in Wisconsin; 1 in every 12.8 jobs in the state is sustained by tourism activity. Including indirect and induced impacts, tourism in Wisconsin generated $1.35 billion in state and local taxes and $1.0 billion in Federal taxes last year. In the absence of the state and local taxes generated by tourism, each Wisconsin household would need to pay $590 to maintain the current level of government services. 4 Industry indicators Visits to Wisconsin destinations grew 3.5% between 2012 and 2013. Hotel room demand grew 2.7% (source: Smith Travel Research). The average daily rate increased by 3.0% in 2013 helping grow overall hotel room revenue by 5.7% (source: Smith Travel Research). State sales tax revenue on lodging properties grew 3.2% in 2013 (source: State Revenue Office). Tourism-related employment grew on par with overall state employment growth. 5 Visitor Spending Overview Visitor volume and spending in Wisconsin continued to grow in 2013. Wisconsin Visits and Spending $ 12 Wisconsin visitor volumes reached 100 million in 2013. Visitors spent a total of $10.8 billion. 11 Visits grew 3.5% while spending increased 4.5% in 2013. 6 7 Millions US$ Billions 102 100 98 10 96 9 94 8 92 7 90 88 2010 2011 Visitor Spending, bls (L) 2012 2013 Person-Stays, mls (R) Sources: Longwoods International, OTTI, Stats Can, Tourism Economics Visitor spending With transportation costs moderating, other categories supported visitor spending growth including F&B and recreation. Visitor Spending Sector 2010 (US$ Million) 2011 2012 2013 $2,380 $958 $388 $2,565 $1,057 $405 $2,671 $1,195 $408 $2,795 $1,244 $407 4.6% 4.1% -0.3% Food & bev. $2,252 $2,447 $2,569 $2,729 6.2% Retail $2,066 $2,200 $2,222 $2,272 2.3% Recreation $1,155 $1,225 $1,311 $1,393 6.3% TOTAL % Change $9,199 7.9% $9,899 7.6% $10,376 4.8% $10,840 4.5% 4.5% Tourism Industry Sales & Growth Rate US$ Billions 11 $ 9% 8% $10.4 11 7% $9.9 10 10 $10.8 6% 5% $9.2 4% 9 3% 2% 9 1% 8 0% 2010 Spending (L) 2011 2012 2013 % Change (R) Sources: Longwoods International, OTTI, Stats Can, Tourism Economics 8 % Change Lodging Other Transport Air $ Billions Wisconsin visitor spending reached $10.8 billion in 2013, posting 4.5% growth. Visitor spending by sector Travelers spent more than $2.7 billion on food & beverages and $2.2 billion in the lodging sector last year. The retail sector received nearly $2.3 billion from visitors. $ Million, 2013 values shown 3,000 2,729 2012 2013 2,272 2,500 2,182 2,000 1,650 1,500 1,348 1,000 613 500 9 2nd Home Rental Recreation Transportation Lodging Retail Food & bev. 0 In 2013, visitor spending increased 6.3% on recreation & entertainment, 6.2% on food and beverage, and 4.6% on lodging. Visitor spending distribution Strong growth in day visits with increased spending on recreation pushed the recreational share of the traveler dollar to nearly 13%. Visitor Spending by Sector Retail 21.0% Food & bev. 25.2% Recreation 12.9% Air 3.8% Other Transport 11.5% Lodging 25.8% Sources: Longwoods International, OTTI, Stats Can, Tourism Economics 10 The share of the traveler dollar spent on lodging, the largest sector, remained level at 26% in 2013. Food & beverage spending ranks second, capturing a quarter of visitor spending, followed by retail at 21%. Visitor spending trends Visitor spending has grown an average of 5.6% annually since 2010. Wisconsin's Visitor Spending by Year, Billions of $ $12 $10 $1.2 $1.3 $1.2 $8 $2.2 $2.2 $1.4 $2.3 $2.3 $4 $2.4 Lodging sales Food & bev. have increased Air 19% from 2010 Other Transport and are now Lodging above their prerecession peak. Retail $2.1 $6 Recreation $2.6 $2.7 $0.4 $1.0 $0.4 $1.1 $0.4 $1.2 $0.4 $1.2 $2.4 $2.6 $2.7 $2.8 2010 2011 2012 2013 $2 $0 Sources: Longwoods International, OTTI, Stats Can, Tourism Economics 11 ■Lodging includes second home rental Visitor spending by market segment Leisure tourism represents 88% of visitor spending in Wisconsin. Overnight visitors spend $7.3 billion in Wisconsin, 67% of the total. Day visitor spending added $3.6 billion in 2013. Domestic visitors to Wisconsin spent $10.2 billion in 2013, 94% of all visitor spending. Visitor Spending in 2013 (US$ Billion) Purpose Business Leisure Total Stay $1.3 $9.5 $10.8 12 Total $3.6 $7.2 $10.8 Share Stay Purpose Business Leisure Day Overnight Market 12.0% 88.0% Day Overnight Domestic Overseas Canada $10.2 $0.6 $0.1 Total $10.8 Market 33.2% 66.8% Domestic Overseas Canada 94.0% 5.3% 0.7% Visitor spending by market segment 0.7%Canada 5.3% Overseas 100% 90% Percentage distribution 80% Overnight 66.8% 70% 60% Leisure 88.0% Domestic 94.0% 50% 40% 30% Day 33.2% 20% 10% Business 12.0% 0% Purpose Stay Market Sources: Longwoods International, OTTI, Stats Can, Tourism Economics 13 Seasonality of lodging Wisconsin Hotel Room Revenue $ millions Tourism is a year-round industry in Wisconsin. Its peak is in the third quarter with nearly a third of all rooms rented and around 35% of hotel room revenue. In 2013, growth was strongest in the second half of the year with room revenue growing over 5% in Q3 & Q4. 2010 2011 2012 2013 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Source: Smith Travel Research Wisconsin Hotel Rooms and Revenue Quarterly Share, 2013 40% Revenue 35% Rooms 30% 25% 20% Q1=J,F,M Q2=A,M,J 15% 10% Q3=J,A,S 5% 0% Q1 Q2 Source: Smith Travel Research 14 Q3 Q4 Q4=O,N,D Seasonality of visitor spending Total visitor spending Wisconsin Quarterly Visitor Spending $ Millions also peaks in the 3rd 4,000 quarter with $3.5 billion 3,500 $3,457 in visitor sales. 3,000 $2,776 In 2013, growth was strongest in the second half of the year. Visitor spending in Q3 grew more than 5.0% and 6.1% in Q4. Business 2,500 2012 2013 $2,466 $2,141 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Source: Tourism Economics Day Visitor Spending by Quarter Wisconsin 2012 2013 % Chn 15 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 $2,088.1 $2,672.6 $3,291.2 $2,323.7 $2,141.3 $2,776.0 $3,457.2 $2,465.7 2.55% 3.87% 5.04% 6.11% Seasonality of visitor spending Tourism spending has grown in every quarter since 2011. Growth did hit a slow patch in the second half of 2012 and first part of 2013 before rebounding in the 2nd half of 2013. Business Wisconsin Tourism Spending Growth Y-o-Y Growth Rates by Quarter 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Q1 Day Q2 Q3 Q4 2011 Source: Tourism Economics 16 $ Q1 Q2 Q3 2012 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2013 Q4 State Tourism Impacts How visitor spending generates impact • Travelers create direct economic value within a discrete group of sectors (e.g. recreation, transportation). This supports a relative proportion of jobs, wages, and taxes within each sector. • Each directly affected sector also purchases goods and services as inputs (e.g. food wholesalers, utilities) into production. These impacts are called indirect impacts. • 18 Lastly, the induced impact is generated when employees whose incomes are generated either directly or indirectly by tourism, spend those incomes in the local economy. Tourism sales by industry Tourism Sales (US$ Million) Direct Agriculture, Fishing, Mining Construction and Utilities Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Air Transport 406.6 Other Transport 432.7 Retail Trade 2,272.4 Gasoline Stations 811.1 Communications Finance, Insurance and Real Estate 612.6 Business Services 66.7 Education and Health Care Recreation and Entertainment 1,143.2 Lodging 2,182.3 Food & Beverage 2,728.9 Personal Services 181.2 Government TOTAL 10,837.9 Growth Rate 4.5% * Direct sales include cost of goods sold for retail sectors 19 Indirect 32.5 283.1 459.1 97.5 4.4 162.7 15.2 1.2 241.3 698.5 710.5 5.6 57.8 2.6 121.9 117.1 117.4 3,128.3 4.4% Induced 25.0 106.2 242.6 146.7 7.2 66.6 280.1 18.5 118.5 1,126.7 222.0 687.9 37.8 2.2 226.9 168.0 66.3 3,549.3 4.3% Total 57.5 389.3 701.7 244.2 418.3 662.1 2,567.7 830.8 359.8 2,437.7 999.2 693.5 1,238.9 2,187.0 3,077.8 466.3 183.7 17,515.5 4.4% Tourism sales by industry All business sectors of the Wisconsin economy benefit from tourism activity directly and/or indirectly. Tourism Sales by Industry $ million 3,500 Direct 3,000 Indirect 2,500 Induced 2,000 1,500 20 1,000 500 Air Transport Personal Serv. Other Transp Education Manu Gas Bus. Services Recreation Lodging FIRE Retail Trade 0 F&B Sectors that serve the tourism industry, like business services, gain as suppliers to a diverse tourism industry. Total tourism employment Tourism Economy Employment Direct Agriculture, Fishing, Mining Construction and Utilities Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Air Transport Other Transport Retail Trade Gasoline Stations Communications Finance, Insurance and Real Estate Business Services Education and Health Care Recreation and Entertainment Lodging Food & Beverage Personal Services Government TOTAL Growth Rate 21 1,788 2,166 15,395 1,609 3,484 455 23,806 32,563 47,864 2,353 131,484 0.8% Indirect 345 965 1,283 614 16 1,466 228 20 1,013 4,187 8,020 83 1,247 44 2,472 1,323 917 24,244 1.1% Induced 244 327 536 924 26 603 4,293 296 421 4,080 2,613 7,093 891 38 4,612 2,410 362 29,767 1.2% Total 589 1,292 1,820 1,538 1,830 4,236 19,917 1,925 1,433 11,750 11,088 7,176 25,944 32,644 54,948 6,086 1,279 185,495 0.9% The tourism sector directly and indirectly supported 185,495 jobs, or 7.8% of all employment in Wisconsin last year. Total tourism employment 22 Thousands 60 Direct 50 Indirect 40 Induced 30 Significant indirect and induced benefits 20 10 Manu Air Transport Gas Other Transp Personal Serv. Education Bus. Services FIRE Retail Trade Recreation 0 Lodging Secondary benefits are realized across the entire economy through the supply chain and incomes as they are spent. Tourism Employment by Industry F&B Tourism is an employment intensive industry with particularly high job creation in the restaurant, hotel, and recreation sectors. Tourism employment intensity Tourism is a significant part of several industries – 92% of lodging, 34% of recreation, and 22% of food & beverage employment is directly supported by tourism spending. Tourism Employment Intensity by Industry Lodging 92.2% Recreation 34.4% Food & bev. 22.4% Retail 4.1% Total 3.7% 0% 23 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Tourism personal income Tourism Labor Income (Compensation) (US$ Million) Direct Agriculture, Fishing, Mining Construction and Utilities Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Air Transport Other Transport Retail Trade Gasoline Stations Communications Finance, Insurance and Real Estate Business Services Education and Health Care Recreation and Entertainment Lodging Food & Beverage Personal Services Government TOTAL Pch Change 24 84.0 107.7 332.6 40.4 61.9 21.6 403.8 631.8 767.7 79.3 2,530.9 2.6% Indirect 4.4 76.3 74.0 42.5 0.7 70.4 6.3 0.5 54.4 141.8 370.2 3.1 22.7 0.7 38.7 57.2 69.2 1,032.9 4.0% Induced 3.9 27.3 31.3 64.0 1.2 27.7 114.3 7.3 24.7 142.5 120.7 377.0 14.5 0.6 81.3 71.0 24.7 1,133.9 3.9% Total 8.3 103.6 105.2 106.5 85.9 205.8 453.2 48.2 79.1 346.2 512.5 380.0 441.0 633.1 887.7 207.5 93.9 4,697.7 3.2% Tourism personal income 25 1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Direct Indirect Induced Construction Manu Wholesale Tr. Other Transp Personal Serv. FIRE Education Recreation Retail Trade Bus. Services Significant indirect and induced benefits Lodging Business services and the FIRE (finance, insurance and real estate) sectors depend on tourism activity as suppliers to tourism companies and their employees. Tourism Labor Income by Industry $ million F&B Substantial employment in F&B and recreation supports significant labor income in those industries. Tourism tax generation Traveler Generated Taxes Tax Type Federal Taxes Subtotal Corporate Indirect Business Personal Income Social Security State and Local Taxes Subtotal Corporate Personal Income Sales Bed Property Excise and Fees State Unemployment TOTAL 26 2010 (US$ Million) 2011 2012 2013 917.6 950.9 983.6 1,017.9 81.9 104.8 212.6 518.2 87.4 112.0 218.6 532.9 91.5 117.2 225.4 549.5 95.6 122.4 232.7 567.2 1,202.1 1,270.8 1,313.3 1,349.5 113.2 101.9 425.3 72.7 370.9 108.5 9.6 120.9 104.8 453.1 77.3 391.7 113.0 9.9 126.6 108.1 473.4 80.9 397.8 116.4 10.2 132.2 111.6 490.4 84.6 400.4 119.9 10.5 2,119.6 2,221.7 2,296.9 2,367.4 Taxes of $2.4 billion were directly and indirectly generated by tourism in 2013. State and local taxes alone tallied $1.35 billion. Each household in Wisconsin would need to be taxed an additional $590 per year to replace the tourism taxes received by state and local governments. Tourism tax generation – state & local government Traveler Generated Taxes - State and Local Government Revenues Tax Type State Tax Subtotal Corporate Personal Income Sales Lodging Property Excise and Fees State Unemployment Local Tax Subtotal Corporate Personal Income Sales Lodging Property Excise and Fees State Unemployment 27 (US$ Million) 2012 2013 707.0 732.9 126.6 108.1 438.0 0.0 0.0 24.2 10.2 132.2 111.6 453.7 0.0 0.0 25.0 10.5 606.3 617.7 0.0 0.0 35.4 80.9 397.8 92.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 36.7 85.6 400.4 95.0 0.0 Of the $1.35 billion collected by state and local governments from traveler activity, $733 million (54%) accrued to state government. Local government revenues from visitor activity grew to $618 million. Property tax revenue, along with local excise and fees and lodging taxes, comprise the major revenue streams for local governments. Methodology and Background Why quantify the tourism economy? By monitoring tourism’s economic impact, policy makers can make informed decisions regarding the funding and prioritization of tourism development. It can also carefully monitor its successes and future needs. In order to do this, tourism must be measured in the same categories as other economic sectors – i.e. tax generation, employment, wages, and gross domestic product. 29 Why is this a challenge? Most economic sectors such as financial services, insurance, or construction are easily defined within a country’s national accounts statistics. Tourism is not so easily measured because it is not a single industry. It is a demand-side activity which affects multiple sectors to various degrees. Tourism spans nearly a dozen sectors including lodging, recreation, retail, real estate, air passenger transport, food & beverage, car rental, taxi services, travel agents… 30 Methods and data sources • Domestic visitor expenditure estimates are provided by Longwoods International’s representative survey of US travelers. These are broken out by sectors (lodging, transport at destination, food & beverage, retail, and recreation), by purpose (business and leisure), and by length of stay (day and overnight). • Tourism Economics then adjusts these levels of spending based on a range of known measures of tourism activity: 31 • Overseas visitor spending (source: OTTI, TE) • Canada visitor spending (source: Statistics Canada, TE) • Bed tax receipts • Spending on air travel which accrues to all airports and locally-based airlines • Gasoline purchases by visitors (source: TE calculation) • Smith Travel Research data on hotel revenues • Industry data on employment, wages, GDP, and sales (source: BEA, BLS, Census) Methods and data sources • An IMPLAN model was compiled for the State of Wisconsin. This traces the flow of visitor-related expenditures through the local economy and their effects on employment, wages, and taxes. IMPLAN also quantifies the indirect (supplier) and induced (income) impacts of tourism. • All results are benchmarked and cross-checked and adjusted based on the following: • 32 • US Bureau of Labor Statistics and Bureau of Economic Analysis (employment and wages by industry) • US Census (business sales by industry) The source of the employment and wage data is the Regional Economic Information System (REIS), Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce. All employment rankings are based on Bureau of Labor Statistics (ES202/QCEW) data. Selected recent economic impact clients Associations / Companies Center for Exhibition Industry Research (Economic Impact of Visa Restrictions) DMAI (Event Impact Calculator for 80 CVBs) US Travel Association (Impact of travel promotion) InterContinental Hotels States California Georgia Maryland New York North Carolina Ohio Pennsylvania Wisconsin Cities Baltimore, MD Columbus, OH Kansas City, MO London, United Kingdom New York City Omaha, NE Orlando, FL Philadelphia, PA Pittsburgh, PA Rockford, IL Countries / Provinces Bahamas Bermuda Cayman Islands Dubai Ontario Canada St. Lucia United Kingdom 33 About Tourism Economics Tourism Economics, headquartered in Philadelphia, is an Oxford Economics company dedicated to providing high value, robust, and relevant analyses of the tourism sector that reflects the dynamics of local and global economies. By combining quantitative methods with industry knowledge, Tourism Economics designs custom market strategies, project feasibility analysis, tourism forecasting models, tourism policy analysis, and economic impact studies. Our staff have worked with over 100 destinations to quantify the economic value of tourism, forecast demand, guide strategy, or evaluate tourism policies. Oxford Economics is one of the world’s leading providers of economic analysis, forecasts and consulting advice. Founded in 1981 as a joint venture with Oxford University’s business college, Oxford Economics is founded on a reputation for high quality, quantitative analysis and evidence-based advice. For this, it draws on its own staff of 40 highly-experienced professional economists; a dedicated data analysis team; global modeling tools; close links with Oxford University, and a range of partner institutions in Europe, the US and in the United Nations Project Link. For more information: info@tourismeconomics.com. 34 For more information: Adam Sacks, President adam@tourismeconomics.com Christopher Pike, Senior Economist cpike@tourismeconomics.com 35