Engineering Economic Analysis 9th Edition Chapter 2 ENGINEERING COSTS AND COST ESTIMATING Engineering Economic Analysis - Ninth Edition Newna/Eschenbach/Lavelle Copyright 2004 by Oxford University Press, Inc. 1 Engineering Costs Classifications of costs • Fixed - constant, unchanging • Rent is constant (single, married, children) • Variable - depend on activity level • Food depends on the number of occupants • Marginal - variable cost for the next unit • Depends on the next unit (adult, child, baby) • Average - total cost/number of units • Rent+ food+…+n/number of units Engineering Economic Analysis - Ninth Edition Newna/Eschenbach/Lavelle Copyright 2004 by Oxford University Press, Inc. 2 Fixed, Variable, and Total Costs Example 2-1 People 0 5 10 15 20 Variable Costs Event Tickets $ 12.50 Refreshments $ 7.50 Total costs Total VC Fixed cost $ 225.00 $ 225.00 $ 225.00 $ 225.00 $ 225.00 $ 20.00 Variable cost $ $ 100.00 $ 200.00 $ 300.00 $ 400.00 $800.00 Total cost $ 225.00 $ 325.00 $ 425.00 $ 525.00 $ 625.00 Cost ($) Fixed Costs Bus Rental $ 80.00 Gas Expense $ 75.00 Other Fuels $ 20.00 Bus Driver $ 50.00 Total FC $ 225.00 $600.00 Total cost $400.00 Fixed cost $200.00 $0 5 10 15 20 Volume Engineering Economic Analysis - Ninth Edition Newna/Eschenbach/Lavelle Copyright 2004 by Oxford University Press, Inc. 3 Profit and Loss Terms • Breakeven: total revenue = total costs • Just getting by • Profit region: total revenue > total costs • Putting money in the bank • Loss region: total revenue < total costs • Going into debt Engineering Economic Analysis - Ninth Edition Newna/Eschenbach/Lavelle Copyright 2004 by Oxford University Press, Inc. 4 Breakeven Charts Example 2-2 Fixed Costs Bus Rental $ 80.00 Gas Expense $ 75.00 Other Fuels $ 20.00 Bus Driver $ 50.00 Total FC $ 225.00 People 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Variable Costs Event Tickets $ 12.50 Refreshments $ 7.50 Total VC $ Fixed cost $ 225.00 $ 225.00 $ 225.00 $ 225.00 $ 225.00 $ 225.00 $ 225.00 $ 225.00 $ 225.00 Ticket price $ 35.00 20.00 Variable cost $ $ 100.00 $ 200.00 $ 300.00 $ 400.00 $ 500.00 $ 600.00 $ 700.00 $ 800.00 Total cost $ 225.00 $ 325.00 $ 425.00 $ 525.00 $ 625.00 $ 725.00 $ 825.00 $ 925.00 $ 1,025.00 Revenue $ $ 175.00 $ 350.00 $ 525.00 $ 700.00 $ 875.00 $ 1,050.00 $ 1,225.00 $ 1,400.00 Profit Region $ (225.00) Loss $ (150.00) Loss $ (75.00) Loss $ Breakeven $ 75.00 Profit $ 150.00 Profit $ 225.00 Profit $ 300.00 Profit $ 375.00 Profit Profit-loss breakeven chart Cost ($) $1,500.00 Total cost $1,000.00 Fixed cost $500.00 Revenue $0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Volume Engineering Economic Analysis - Ninth Edition Newna/Eschenbach/Lavelle Copyright 2004 by Oxford University Press, Inc. 5 Past (Sunk) Costs and Future (Opportunity) Costs • Sunk cost: money spent due to a past decision. We cannot do anything about these costs. • Purchase price paid for a car two years ago • Opportunity cost: a benefit that is foregone by engaging a resource in a chosen activity instead of engaging that same resource in some foregone activity. We make a choice or decision. • Buying lunch instead of gas Engineering Economic Analysis - Ninth Edition Newna/Eschenbach/Lavelle Copyright 2004 by Oxford University Press, Inc. 6 Which amount is the value at present? Example 2-3 Price when purchased Storage costs List price when purchased Current list price of new pumps Amount offered for pumps 2 years ago Current price that the pumps could be sold for $ 7,000.00 $ 1,000.00 $ 9,500.00 $ 12,000.00 $ 5,000.00 $ 3,000.00 Sunk cost Sunk cost Old list New list different features Foregone opportunity Market value Past decisions Past decisions Past decisions Past decisions Past decisions Present opportunity Engineering Economic Analysis - Ninth Edition Newna/Eschenbach/Lavelle Copyright 2004 by Oxford University Press, Inc. 7 Expense Types • Recurring expense: anticipated and occur at regular intervals. • Purchasing food, paying rent • Non-recurring expense: one-of-a-kind event that occurs at an irregular interval. • Illness, accident, death Sometimes we attempt to plan for large nonrecurring costs by buying insurance. Paying the periodic insurance premium turns this expense into a recurring cost. Engineering Economic Analysis - Ninth Edition Newna/Eschenbach/Lavelle Copyright 2004 by Oxford University Press, Inc. 8 Incremental Costs • An incremental cost is the difference between the costs of two alternatives. Example 2-4 Costs Model Cost Items Purchase price Installation costs Annual maintenance costs Annual utility expenses Disposal costs after useful life A $ 10,000.00 $ 3,500.00 $ 2,500.00 $ 1,200.00 $ 700.00 B $ 17,500.00 $ 5,000.00 $ 750.00 $ 2,000.00 $ 500.00 Incremental $ 7,500.00 $ 1,500.00 $(1,750.00) $ 800.00 $ (200.00) Engineering Economic Analysis - Ninth Edition Newna/Eschenbach/Lavelle Copyright 2004 by Oxford University Press, Inc. 9 Cash vs. Book Costs • Cash costs: movement of money from one owner to another - also known as a cash flow. • Payment this month on an auto loan • Book cost: cost of a past transaction that is recorded in a book. • Down payment recorded in your checkbook from last year’s automobile purchase Engineering Economic Analysis - Ninth Edition Newna/Eschenbach/Lavelle Copyright 2004 by Oxford University Press, Inc. 1 0 Life-cycle Costs • Life-cycle: all the time from conception to death of a product (process). • Life-cycle costs: sum total of all the costs incurred during the life cycle. • Life-cycle costing: designing with an understanding of all the costs associated with a product during its life-cycle. Engineering Economic Analysis - Ninth Edition Newna/Eschenbach/Lavelle Copyright 2004 by Oxford University Press, Inc. 1 1 Cost Estimating • Economic analysis is future based. • Costs and benefits in the future require estimating. • Estimated costs are not known with certainty. • The more accurate the estimate, the more reliable the decision. Engineering Economic Analysis - Ninth Edition Newna/Eschenbach/Lavelle Copyright 2004 by Oxford University Press, Inc. 1 2 Types of Estimates • Rough: gut level, inaccurate • -30% to +60%. • Semi-detailed: based on historical records, reasonably sophisticated and accurate • -15% to +20%. • Detailed: based on detailed specifications and cost models, very accurate • -3% to +5%. Engineering Economic Analysis - Ninth Edition Newna/Eschenbach/Lavelle Copyright 2004 by Oxford University Press, Inc. 1 3 Estimating Models Model Explanation Per Unit Uses a “per unit” factor $/sq ft, Benefits/employee Segmenting Divide problem into items, estimate each & sum Cost Indexes Index number based on history Examples US CPI Power Sizing Scaling previous known costs up or down Triangulation Looking at costs from several perspectives Learning Curve Tracking cost improvements Engineering Economic Analysis - Ninth Edition Newna/Eschenbach/Lavelle Copyright 2004 by Oxford University Press, Inc. 1 4 Cash Flow Diagrams • Summarizes the flow of money over time • Can be represented using a spreadsheet Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Capital costs $ (80,000.00) $ 10,000.00 O&M Overhaul $ (12,000.00) $ (12,000.00) $ (12,000.00) $ (12,000.00) $ (12,000.00) $ (12,000.00) Total $ (80,000.00) $ (12,000.00) $ (12,000.00) $ (25,000.00) $ (37,000.00) $ (12,000.00) $ (12,000.00) $ (2,000.00) Cash flow Cash flow $20,000.00 $$(20,000.00) $(40,000.00) $(60,000.00) $(80,000.00) $(100,000.00) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Overhaul O&M Capital costs Ye ar Engineering Economic Analysis - Ninth Edition Newna/Eschenbach/Lavelle Copyright 2004 by Oxford University Press, Inc. 1 5