Engineering Economic Analysis 9th Edition Chapter 5 PRESENT WORTH ANALYSIS Engineering Economic Analysis - Ninth Edition Newnan/Eschenbach/Lavelle Copyright 2004 by Oxford University Press, Inc. 1 Jerome P. Lavelle: In general I like this type of slide, it provides a map of the material in terms of past coverage and future materials. My only comment is that if we chose to use this approach as a first slide, we need to do it for all chapters. Also, I believe that we need “chapter learning objectives” incorporated into all of • Equivalence the chapter slides (however, we don’t yetconcept have these for any chapters). Given all of this, and for consistency sake, I would say for now we need to • Cash flows eliminate this slide. Where we have been: • Compound interest factors Where we are going in this chapter: • Understanding economic criteria • Applying present worth techniques • Assumptions in solving economic analysis problems Engineering Economic Analysis - Ninth Edition Newnan/Eschenbach/Lavelle Copyright 2004 by Oxford University Press, Inc. 2 Economic Criteria Projects are judged against an economic criterion. Situation Criterion Fixed input Maximize output Fixed output Minimize input Neither fixed Maximize difference (output-input) Engineering Economic Analysis - Ninth Edition Newnan/Eschenbach/Lavelle Copyright 2004 by Oxford University Press, Inc. 3 Economic Criteria Restated Present Worth Techniques Fixed input Fixed output Neither fixed Situation Amount of capital available fixed $ amount of benefit is fixed Neither capital nor $ benefits are fixed Criterion Maximize present worth of benefits Maximize present worth of costs Maximize net present worth (NPV) Engineering Economic Analysis - Ninth Edition Newnan/Eschenbach/Lavelle Copyright 2004 by Oxford University Press, Inc. 4 Economic Criteria - Example Purchasing Building Space Alt A Situation Example Fixed $150,000 input max B Fixed output C Neither fixed 20,000 ft2 building available $150,000 max 15-20,000 ft2 required Criterion Maximum square feet of building for the price Negotiate for minimum cost/ft2 Simultaneously negotiate for maximum building size & minimum cost/ft2 Engineering Economic Analysis - Ninth Edition Newnan/Eschenbach/Lavelle Copyright 2004 by Oxford University Press, Inc. 5 Jerome P. Lavelle: Would it be useful to have a slide that demonstrates the mechanics of calculating by hand using the tabled factors and equati too? Applying Present Worth Techniques • Analysis period must be considered • Useful life of the alternative equals the analysis period • Alternatives have useful lives different from the analysis period • The analysis period is infinite, n = Engineering Economic Analysis - Ninth Edition Newnan/Eschenbach/Lavelle Copyright 2004 by Oxford University Press, Inc. 6 Useful Lives Equal the Analysis Period 1. Require a project to last five years. 2. The equipment and tooling will last five years. 3. Calculate the PW or NPW over a five year span and junk the equipment and tooling at the end of the five years. Examples 5-1, 2, 3, & 4 Examples 5-1 Applying present worth techniques Interest rate Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 7.00 % Alternative A B -1000 300 300 300 300 300 PW of benefits $1,230.06 NPW $230.06 5-2 Interest rate Year 0 25 5-3 $1,257.75 $257.75 6.00 % Alternative A B -300 -350 -400 0 PW of costs NPW ($381.55) ($381.55) ($400.00) ($400.00) Interest rate 7.00 % Alternative Speedy Allied Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 5-4 -1000 400 350 300 250 200 -1500 0 0 0 0 200 -1600 0 0 0 0 325 PW of costs ($1,500.00) NPW ($1,357.40) ($1,600.00) ($1,368.28) Interest rate Year 8.00 % Alternative Atlas Tom Thumb <<<< Some cells are hidden. You need to unhide them to enter Alternative Speedy Allied NPW ($1,357.40) ($1,368.28) Alternative NPW Atlas Tom Thumb $143.31 $214.85 Engineering Economic Analysis - Ninth Edition Newnan/Eschenbach/Lavelle Copyright 2004 by Oxford University Press, Inc. 7 Jerome P. Lavelle: We need a slide that mentions the Repeatability Assumption for handling these problems – definition and parameters Useful Lives Different From the Analysis Period 1. Require a project to last 10 years. 2. The equipment and tooling will last five years. 3. Calculate the PW or NPW over a 10 year span. 1. Purchase new equipment and tooling twice, at the beginning of year one and six. 2. Junk the equipment and tooling at the end of each five year period. Based on example 5-3 Based on 5-3 The lives of the equipment differ, one is a multiple of the other and we can use the equipment as long as it will last. Interest rate 7.00 % Alternative Year Speedy Allied Alternative Speedy Allied NPW ($2,325.21) ($1,434.79) Purchase new Speedy 0 -1500 -1600 Purchase new Allied 1 0 0 2 0 0 3 0 0 4 0 0 Salvage old Speedy 5 -1300 0 Purchase new Speedy 6 0 0 7 0 0 8 0 0 9 0 0 Salvage old Speedy 10 200 325 Salvage old Allied PW of costs ($2,325.21) ($1,434.79) NPW ($2,325.21) ($1,434.79) Based on 5-3 The lives of the equipment differ and the least common multiple of the lives is longer than we can use the equipment. Interest rate 7.00 % Alternative Year Speedy Allied Alternative Speedy Allied Life 7 13 NPW ($1,793.91) ($1,294.45) Purchase new Speedy 0 -1500 -1600 Purchase new Allied 1 0 0 2 0 0 3 0 0 4 0 0 Salvage old Speedy 5 0 0 Purchase new Speedy 6 0 0 7 -1500 0 Salvage old Speedy 8 1100 525 Salvage old Allied PW of costs ($1,793.91) ($1,294.45) NPW ($1,793.91) ($1,294.45) Engineering Economic Analysis - Ninth Edition Newnan/Eschenbach/Lavelle Copyright 2004 by Oxford University Press, Inc. 8 Infinite Analysis Period Capitalized Cost For: Examples 5 - 5 & 6 n= A = Pi Then: Capitalized cost P = A/i This requires first computing the future cost into an equivalent A. Infinite analysis period 5-5 Annual disbursement Interest rate Capitalized cost 5-6 Disbursement Periods between disbursements Interest rate A/F PW of perpetual reconstruction Capitalized cost Alternate solution A A/P Capitalized cost Alternate solution B 70 year interest rate PW of perpetual reconstruction Capitalized cost $50.00 4% 0.04 $1,250.00 Note: this is maintenance and occurs at the end of each period. $8,000,000 Note: this is 70 construction and 7% occurs at the 0.07 beginning of each $4,956.22 period. $70,803.11 A/F/Interest rate $8,070,803.11 Disbursement + Pw of perpetual reconstruction $564,956.22 $8,070,803.11 A/P/Interest rate 112.99 $70,803.11 Disbursement/70 year interest rate $8,070,803.11 Disbursement + Pw of perpetual reconstruction Engineering Economic Analysis - Ninth Edition Newnan/Eschenbach/Lavelle Copyright 2004 by Oxford University Press, Inc. 9 Jerome P. Lavelle: The text of this table is quite difficult to read, it seems some of the row widths need to be readjusted Multiple Alternatives Examples 5 - 7, 8, 9 & 10 Where more than one alternative exists, we generally want to compare the alternatives in a single table. The goal is to develop a single table that automates as many of the calculations as possible. 5-7 Operating years Operating hours/year MARR 5 2000 7.00 % 0.07 Alternative Description Installed cost of pipeline and pump Cost per hour for pumping Annual cost of pumping PW of pumping costs PW of pipeline costs 5-8 A 2" Pipe $22,000.00 $1.20 $2,400.00 ($9,840.47) ($31,840.47) Operating years MARR C 4" Pipe $25,000.00 $0.50 $1,000.00 ($4,100.20) ($29,100.20) A Description Total capital investment Uniform net annual benefit Terminal value at end of project Do nothing $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 B Vegetable market ($50,000.00) $5,100.00 $30,000.00 Gas station ($95,000.00) $10,500.00 $30,000.00 Small motel ($350,000.00) $36,000.00 $150,000.00 PW investment PW of benefits PW of terminal value NPW of project $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 ($50,000.00) $43,419.17 $4,459.31 ($2,121.52) ($95,000.00) $89,392.42 $4,459.31 ($1,148.27) ($350,000.00) $306,488.29 $22,296.54 ($21,215.16) Operating years MARR Alternative A Do nothing $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 B Strip mining project ($610,000.00) $200,000.00 $200,000.00 $200,000.00 $200,000.00 $200,000.00 $200,000.00 $200,000.00 $200,000.00 $200,000.00 $200,000.00 ($1,500,000.00) PW investment PW of benefits PW of terminal value NPW of project $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 ($610,000.00) $1,228,913.42 ($578,314.93) $40,598.49 Operating years MARR Alternative Null Description Total capital investment Net annual benefit 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Terminal value at end of project C D 10 10.00 % 0.1 Description Total capital investment Net annual benefit 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Terminal value at end of project 5-10 D 6" Pipe $30,000.00 $0.40 $800.00 ($3,280.16) ($33,280.16) 20 10.00 % 0.1 Alternative 5-9 B 3" Pipe $23,000.00 $0.65 $1,300.00 ($5,330.26) ($28,330.26) C D $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 8 8.00 % 0.08 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 A CE-1 ($2,000.00) $1,000.00 $850.00 $700.00 $550.00 $400.00 $400.00 $400.00 $400.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 B CE-2 ($1,500.00) $700.00 $300.00 $300.00 $300.00 $300.00 $400.00 $500.00 $600.00 $0.00 $0.00 C $0.00 Engineering Economic Analysis - Ninth Edition Newnan/Eschenbach/Lavelle Copyright 2004 by Oxford University Press, Inc. 1 0 Jerome P. Lavelle: •Should Assumptions slide come at the beginning of the chapter versus the end? Assumptions in Solving Economic Analysis Problems •In looking back over the chapter I think we need a few slides inserted on the theory or pedagogy involved in each case of the use of Present Worth. • • • • • • End-of-year convention (simplifies calculations) Viewpoint (generally the firm) Sunk costs (past has no bearing) Borrowed money (consider investing only) Effect of inflation (prices are not stable) Income taxes (must be considered for realism) Engineering Economic Analysis - Ninth Edition Newnan/Eschenbach/Lavelle Copyright 2004 by Oxford University Press, Inc. 1 1