Variations of Present Worth Analysis

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Lecture No.17

Chapter 5

Contemporary Engineering Economics

Copyright © 2010

Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

Future Worth Criterion

 Given : Cash flows and

MARR (i)

 Find : The net equivalent worth at a specified period other than “present”, commonly the end of project life

 Decision Rule : Accept the project if the equivalent worth is positive.

0

$35,560

$76,000

1

$37,360

2

$47,309

$31,850 $34,400

3

Project life

Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

Example 5.6 Future Equivalent at an

Intermediate Time

Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

Example 5.8 Project’s Service Life is Extremely

Long

 : Was Bracewell's

$800,000 investment a wise one?

 Q2 : How long does he have to wait to recover his initial investment, and will he ever make a profit?

Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

Ex. 5.8: Mr. Bracewell’s Hydroelectric Project

V

1

V

2

 

$1,101 K

$1, 468 K

$367 K

0

V

2

$1, 468 K

V

1

 

$50 (

K F P

$100 (

 

$1,101 K

K

Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

How Would You Find P for a Perpetual Cash

Flow Series, A?

Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

Capitalized Equivalent Worth

 Principle : PW for a project with an annual receipt of A over infinite service life 0

A

 Equation :

P =CE(i)

= A/i

Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

Practice Problem

Given : i = 10%, N = ∞

Find : P or CE (10%)

$2,000

$1,000

0

10

P = CE (10%) = ?

Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

Solution:

$2,000

0

P = CE (10%) = ?

$1,000

10 ∞

CE(10%)

0.10

0.10

$10,000(1 0.3855)

$13,855

Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4 th edition, © 2007

A Bridge Construction Project

 Construction cost = $2,000,000

 Annual Maintenance cost = $50,000

 Renovation cost = $500,000 every 15 years

 Planning horizon = infinite period

 Interest rate = 5%

Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

Cash Flow Diagram for the Bridge

Construction Project

0

15

Years

30 45

$50,000

60

$2,000,000

$500,000 $500,000 $500,000

Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

$500,000

Solution:

 Construction Cost

P

1

= $2,000,000

 Maintenance Costs

P

2

= $50,000/0.05 = $1,000,000

 Renovation Costs

P

3

= $500,000(P/F, 5%, 15)

+ $500,000(P/F, 5%, 30)

+ $500,000(P/F, 5%, 45)

+ $500,000(P/F, 5%, 60)

.

= {$500,000(A/F, 5%,15)}/0.05

= $463,423

 Total Present Worth

P = P

1

+ P

2

+ P

3

= $3,463,423

Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

Alternate way to calculate P

3

 Concept : Find the effective interest rate per payment period

Effective interest rate for a 15-year period

 Effective interest rate for a 15-year cycle

0 15 30 45 60

i = (1 + 0.05) 15 - 1

= 107.893%

$500,000 $500,000 $500,000 $500,000

 Capitalized equivalent worth

P

3

= $500,000/1.0789

= $463,423

Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

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