Benefit Cost Analysis • Typically used for public projects • The goal is to determine if benefits exceed costs: Benefit / Cost Ratio > 1 • The goal is NOT to maximize B/C Ratio. • Interest rates used are typically lower than those used by businesses. • Typically 4% - 8% (6.5% is typical) • OMB requires 10% (except water proj.) 1 Benefit Cost Analysis The challenge is to quantify the benefits and costs. The equation… B/C = (Benefits – Disbenefits) to the public (Costs) to sponsoring agency You can use NPW, EAW, even NFW – whichever is easier in a particular problem – Hint: Choose EAW or Capitalized Cost to avoid equal lifetime issues! 2 Benefit Cost Analysis Steps: 1. Define the planning horizon. 2. Specify the Discount Rate (MARR) to be used. 3. Develop the cost and benefit-disbenefit profiles in monetary terms. 4. Compare the benefits to costs using a specified measure of worth, such as annual equivalent or present worth. 5. If the B/C ratio is: >1 project is justified =1 barely justified – political <1 not justified 6. Repeat steps 3 – 5 for alternative viewpoints 3 Cost-Benefit Profiles • Primary Benefits – (Users) measurable: • Prevention of costs / savings from implementation • Time savings from implementation • Secondary Benefits – (Users) difficult to measure: • Environment conservation / improvement • Pain & suffering avoidance • Disbenefits – (Users) quantified: • Time lost due to requirements • User fees for Operation & Maintenance • Costs – (Sponsor): • First costs & Salvage • Sponsor Operation & Maintenance (– Revenue) • Operation fees paid by users (+ Revenue) 4 Quantification Examples • Benefits due to reduction in deaths: • • • Benefits due to reduction in property damage: • • • Average number of users Average fee charged Disbenefits due to delay time: • • • • Number of incidents Average property damage per incident Disbenefits due to user fees: • • • Number of deaths avoided Average income stream of victims Number affected Average delay duration Average wage rate of patrons Costs (+ Revenues due to user fees): • • Average number of users Average fee charged 5 Vehicle Inspection Program Ex. • State inspects motor vehicles as part of licensing system. Vehicles not passing inspection must be repaired prior to license renewal. • Primary Benefits (Users): • • • Secondary Benefits (Users): • • • • Reduction in deaths due to accidents Reduction in property damage due to accidents Pollution avoidance costs Savings to accident victims families Avoidance of pain & suffering Disbenefits (Users): • • • • Cost of inspection fees Opportunity cost of time to bring car to inspection Opportunity cost of time waiting for inspection Vehicle usage costs for inspection process 6 Vehicle Inspection Program Ex. • Sponsor Costs (State): • • • Sponsor Revenues (State): • • Capital recovery costs of inspection facilities Operating costs of inspectors & admin. staff Inspection revenues (user fees) Quantifying Benefits: • • Deaths avoided • 304 victims of fatal accidents avoided • Income stream lost: $571 106 per victim Property damage avoided • 37 910 total accidents avoided annually • 63% of accidents are property only • Average property damage: $1 845 per accident Total Benefits to Users: $217 680 913 / year 7 Vehicle Inspection Program Ex. • Quantifying Disbenefits: • • • • Cost of inspection fees • 5 136 224 vehicles inspected annually • $5 fee per inspection Opportunity cost of time to bring vehicle to inspection • 5 136 224 vehicles inspected annually • 1.02 hours of inspection travel per car (round trip) • Average wage rate: $14.02 per hour Opportunity cost of time waiting for inspection • Average waiting time: 9 minutes (0.15 hr) • 5 136 224 vehicles inspected annually • Average wage rate: $14.02 per hour Vehicle usage costs for inspection process • 5 136 224 vehicles inspected annually • Operating cost per mile: $0.35 • Average round trip to station: 20 miles Total Disbenefits to Users: $145 886 225 / year 8 Vehicle Inspection Program Ex. • Quantifying Sponsor Costs: • • • Capital recovery of facilities costs • Similar facilities annual cost: $46 376 703 per yr Operating costs for inspectors & admin • Annual operating costs: $10 665 600 per year Revenue from inspection fees • 5 136 224 vehicles inspected annually • $5 fee per inspection Total Costs to Sponsor: $31 361 083 / year IS IT WORTH IT? B/C = B – D = 217 680 913 – 145 886 165 = 2.29 C 31 361 183 Economically Justified, Politically … 9